Personal and undiluted views
The Met Office

17 days ago

You think the 2022 two day heatwave was bad and worse is to come – so when did global warming start?

The Met Office and the BBC and the rest of the liberal intelligentsia really are creaming themselves over the two day heatwave back in Airstrip One. Okay there were not quite 10,000 excess deaths in fact there were sod all excess deaths but that was probably down to mask wearing and the mass rollout of untested vaccines. So when did global warming start in the UK?

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591 days ago

The Top 30 Most-Read Articles on TomWinnifrith.com in 2020

This rather surprises me. I was convinced that the top 30 would be packed full of waspish, libertarian or anti-woke articles. But it seems that many of the most read pieces on this website are the ones the Mrs thinks no-one reads, about life at the hovels here in Wales but also in Greece. Anyhow, here are my top 30 non financial articles of 2020.

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950 days ago

Uncle Christopher Booker would have loved this – The Met Office and BBC spin global cooling as global warming

My late uncle Chris would have loved this. It is one of those moments when I really want to chat to him as we would both have been laughing within seconds. It is not the fact that the UK is getting cooler but the way that in utterly Orwellian fashion the BBC and the high priests of the global warming cult, the Met Office, spin cooling as warming.

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3350 days ago

Fantasy Weather Forecasting from the EU

The world has got cooler since 1998 – even the Met Office admits this. We have skiing in Central Europe in June. But the last bastion of global warming nutters is predictably enough the EU. I bring you a real delight – the EU long range weather forecasts 2071-2100. As you can see “The rain in Spain falls…nowhere” We can all look forward to no rain, stacks of tropical nights and the Sahara desert crossing the Mediterranean and creeping up towards Switzerland. Sheer fantasy. Your money.

The link is here

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3425 days ago

The Met Office – what is the point of it?

Staffed entirely by global warming nutters the Met Office finally admitted in the Autumn that the world was not getting hotter and thus that its long term forecasts were …wrong. But at least we can rely on its short term forecasts then? Er…no.

The Met Office three-monthly outlook at the end of March 2012 stated: "The forecast for average UK rainfall slightly favours drier than average conditions for April-May-June, and slightly favours April being the driest of the three months." The Met Office has now ‘fessed up and states: "Given that April was the wettest since detailed records began in 1910 and the April-May-June quarter was also the wettest, this advice was not helpful."

But maybe that was a fluke? Er. Try this one: 20 December 2012: "For February and March the range of possible outcomes is also very broad, although above-average UK-mean temperatures become more likely". This week: The Met Office confirms that it could have been the coldest March in the UK for 51 years.

I could go on and on. The fact is that The Met’s long term forecasts have all be wrong and its short to medium term forecasts are sometimes wrong and sometimes right. Now if my three legged cat Oakley was making forecasts he would be right sometimes and wrong other times.  But Oakley would cost the taxpayer far, far less. Is the Met Office a) fit for purpose or b) good value for money or c) neither?

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3489 days ago

The Snow Profits warnings

I am not a climate change sceptic. That is to say it is not that I doubt the theory of man made climate change. I am absolutely sure about it. The whole thing is complete and utter bollocks. And so, while it may cause some surprise round at the Met Office and the BBC, I am not that shocked that it is snowing and bloody cold in January. Weather happens. However, the political elite have been pretty much unanimous in their view that global warming is happening and have thus happily cut back on spending on things like gritters or flood prevention so that that they can piss away billions of quid of other folks’ money on subsidies for wind farms and solar panels.

The impact of these policy changes compounds the general trend of us all becoming more pathetic in the way we deal with the natural world: it is hard to imagine those who taught me thirty years ago bleating about a couple of inches of snow, citing “elf n’safey” and shutting the school down. In short I do expect the snow to have a material effect on the UK economy and you will see this with four categories of trading statement.

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3506 days ago

The Met Office, like the BBC is past its sell by date

The Met Office was one of those bodies that, like the BBC, one used to trust. Back in the old days when weathermen were hired for having some sort of brain power ( Giles, Fish, etc) rather than for having big tits, you accepted that they might miss the odd hurricane but accepted that they were doing their best to keep you informed. How that changed. Like the Biased BBC the Met Office has been in the grip of global warming nutters for some years and this has produced ever more bizarre behaviour. Let us discuss rain.

I start with a quote from 23 March 2012 from the Met: “The forecast for average UK rainfall slightly favours drier-than-average conditions for April-May-June as a whole, and also slightly favours April being the driest of the 3 months. With this forecast, the water resources situation in southern, eastern and central England is likely to deteriorate further during the April-May-June period… This forecast is based on information from observations, several numerical models and expert judgement.

By 16th April we were warned that 32 million Britons faced drought until after Christmas:

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