And so to the end point of the trip down Booker family memory lane with the Mrs and Joshua - a vist to the gardens at Stourhead just over the Dorset border in Wiltshire. Do you want to save £17 on an adult ticket by joining the National Trust said the lady? Er...
The price is bloody steep. My paternal grandfather Sir John Winnifrith, was Director General of the Trust but, as I have noted before, he must be spinning in his grave at its silly virtue signalling on global warming, LGBT issues and, just last week, on Brexit. So our answer was no.
The gardens were designed around a newly created lake by Capability Brown. Again they are part of my Booker family memory trove. Serena Booker, my Auntie Cly, used to come down from London with friends and they would perfom, in costume, Gilbert & Sullivan on rafts on the lake. The performances would be on summer evenings with the laeside illuminated by torches and with my grandparents and others sitting on blankets on the grass eating and drinking. It is a happy memory of Cly and what a bright spark she was before her early death.
Back to the present, Joshua loved it and was out of his buggy running along the path as you can see below. The Mrs and I have been several times and it is wonderful place to visit. If you do go and fancy lunch, book early as the pub is always packed.
Having started last night, as I showed here, the snow carried on till well after noon so we woke up to, perhaps, ten inches of global warming in some parts of the garden. The cat belonging to the Chav family next door went for a brief walk, as you can see below but thought better of it and is now back in our kitchen sleeping on the sofa. the little creature almost lives here now, my catnapping has worked. Joshua also enjoyed the snow.
This was his first snowball fight. I gather that snowballing is banned in many state schools on grounds of "elf 'n' safey" but Joshua, his godfather Johnny an d the Mrs and I had good fun this morning. Kids may be safer but they really don't know what they are missing out on. The Mrs and Joshua are pictured below.
I was woken up at 6 AM by the Mrs snoring and peeked out of the window. It was still snowing. Snowballs with Joshua thought I and my heart leapt. This was the scene last night outside our front door here in Bristol with the global warming falling fast. A weekend trip to my father is, I suspect, on hold.
The Hollywood liberal multi-millionaires havn’t given a standing ovation like the one De Niro got at the Tony’s last night, since the last time they feted the child rapist Roman Polanski on a big stage. Maybe Harvey Weinstein got close as they lauded his contribution to the arts, while all knowing what a monster he was, but that is showbiz for you.
President Trump himself is in Singapore trying to bring peace to Korea after 70 years and to make the world a better and safer place by de-nuclearising the Korean Peninsular. That, standing up for American jobs by retaliating to Chinese dumping and subsidies and EU tariffs with a few of his own, is one reason why his own-party approval ratings (88%) are higher than any almost any other President heading towards the mid-terms. And his overall ratings are moving steadily higher and higher which at this point of the cycle is really very good indeed.
Being insulted by the clownish worm Trudeau, Macron dans le placard or the second German leader in 75 years who wants a Europe they dominate to take over world leadership; only makes Donald Trump more popular than ever among those Americans who don’t jet between the coasts on the private jets while demanding we all act to stop global warming.
But Hollywood hates Trump. Heck: make the world safer all you want, stand up for ordinary working class Americans all you want, the luvvie millionaires like De Niro still say “fuck Trump” and think we all care what they say. Robert, Meryl, Brad et al you carry on praising paedophile rapists, folks who insult the flag and urging folks to vote against ghastly Mr Trump… It played just so incredibly well on main street America back in 2016, please do it again at the mid terms and in 2020.
Honestly, ordinary American really do care what you all think…please do preach some more
PS Here is a photo of Bob a couple of years ago with a good buddy of his chatting about how they hate Republicans for being sexist and out of touch millionaires, etc.
I shall not name the Parish as that would be unfair on a female vicar who was enthusiastic and welcoming and on a large congregation of good folk but the service we attended on Easter Sunday morning was not one for the traditionalists, that is to say me. Dr Johnson would, no doubt, have viewed it as evidence that his famous bon mot on a women preaching was bang on the money.
I suppose I should have been alerted when, upon entry, we were presented with no hymn books or order of service, for everything we had to sing or say appeared on screens throughout the church. Seeing the screens excited Joshua who had immediately said "Peppa" very loudly but was somewhat disappointed when his porcine heroine failed to appear.
When I told my father that the service included a short drama session depicting the resurrection he knew which way this was heading. We had already had the same story relayed to us via the gospel (not KJV but a rather newer version) so why do we need it a second time? It is the way parts of the CofE try to "get down with the kids" and relate to "a younger audience".
In the same vein the vicar's sermon managed to include the theme music from EastEnders and also a cartoon flashed up on our screens of some folks in a swimming pool which the vicar used as a metaphor for faith. In front of us a mother, with kids dressed in the sort of home made wooly jumpers designed to get them beaten up at school but so beloved of the sort of middle class Christians who raise their hands to the Lord during hymns, nodded approvingly.
The folks in the congregation were welcoming and did not mind Joshua running around happily once he realised that Peppa was not appearing on screen. They are far better people than I can hope to be and I am sure far less judgemental, except when it comes to LGBT issues (pro), Brexit ( anti), capitalism (evil) global warming denial (akin to holocaust denial), Israel (the bad guys) and other things on which the CofE tends to be utterly judgemental.
It is just that, like my father, I find the attempts of the CofE to "relate" to a 21st Century audience just a but of a turn-off.
The Mrs says that is because my world view is from the nineteenth, not even the twentieth, century. Heck, I reply, the nineteenth century was not all bad and she gives me a Paddington stare.
In 2000, Dr David Viner, a senior research scientist at the climatic research unit (CRU) of the University of East Anglia, aka arch data fabricators and global warming nutters, noted: that within a few years winter snowfall will become “a very rare and exciting event”. “Children just aren’t going to know what snow is,” he said. My son Joshua is not yet 18 months old yet, even here in Bristol, he has now experienced four periods of snow, three since Christmas. The photos below show a family playing, yet again, in a road just covered with global warming.
There are at least five churches in the village of Kambos, the closest settlement to the Greek Hovel and a place with a population of 537. There might be more small churches hidden away somewhere that I have yet to find or have found but forgotten about. But the largest of the lot is the most modern and without a shadow of doubt the least pleasing to the eye.
Situated on top of the hill on which the village sprawls, this is the first thing you see of Kambos as you drive up into the mountains from Kalamata.I can say little in its defence as a building except that it is functional and unlike some of the smaller churches which can hold no more than a dozen and open just twice a year, it could hold most of the village which is a good thing as even the Godless in this part of the world go to Church a few times a year.
The other point in is favour is the view. Man builds ugly buildings which will one day crumble but the Taygetos mountains in the distance will be there forever and, the high reaches, are now fully draped in global warming. What a view...
This being a family website, and since I am such a fecking feminist, I decline to bring you photos of the ladies in bikinis. but as I drove along the Kalamata seafront today they were there, on the beach and heading in to the water for a swim. Not many brave the sea at this time of year and, I grant you, those that do may be out on day release, but it is just about do-able. Down by the shore it is again in the high teens and I wander around in a T-shirt.
As you drive up into the mountains of the Mani it gets a bit colder but I sit now in my office away from home, that is to say the Kourounis taverna in Kambos owned by lovely Eleni and I still wear a T-shirt.
It is a pleasant day. But if one looks up to the high Taygetos behind the village and above the Greek hovel ( photo 3 is looking down the "drive" of the hovel) , the global warming, as you can see, lies thickly.
Given that the world is actually getting colder, the Arctic sea ice is expanding, the word global warming was expunged from the dictionary by believers in the bogus religion some years ago. But I guess when folks think of "climate change" they still have visions of polar bears on melting ice caps, desertification, etc. So as UK temperatures plunge below zero (again) and snow - which the loons told us a in 2000 that kids would not know by now - covers much of the country (again), the believers in this religion have a problem.
Step forward nutso Green MP Caroline Lucas who has a new phrase "Climate breakdown". Breakdown sounds even more scary than change and has no associations with warming so - as we all shiver - it does not make this high priestess of this quack faith sound even more ridiculous than usual.
A friend who is the epitome of the remoaning metropolitan elitist emails me today to claim that "you really are becoming a fascist in your old age what with your support of Donald Trump and your climate change denial." The elitists always forget that labelling anyone with whom you disagree as a fascist demeans the true horror of what fascism is. But I suppose it is easier than actually debating facts. I shall deal with my admiration of the leader of the free world another day but let's look at some hard facts about climate change or , as it used to be known, global warming. I bring you three quotes:
The first is from 2000. David Viner who made his name at the world leading global warming (data bodging) establishment that was the University of East Anglia warned in 2000 in the Indescribably boring newspaper that because of global warming snow would soon become a “rare and exciting event”. He added: “Children just aren’t going to know what snow is.”
The UAE forecasts published in the late 1990s, replicated by other experts notably the IPCC, suggested that the world would just get hotter and hotter. That underpinned Viner's prediction. And this Group Think has formed the basis for the Paris Accord and other initiatives that will cripple Western economies in order to fight global warming. Only one world leader has dared to point out how horribly wrong the UEA forecasts ( and all the other "expert" projections) have been so far. If Viner at al cannot get their forecasts right for 20 years why should we believe their 100 year guesstimates?
Of course the only leader understanding this basic logic is Mr Donald Trump. Fools like Theresa May and all of the rest of the EU are happy to sign up to economic suicide for their own nations even though the data on which the hara kiri pledges are made is now utterly suspect.
So you understand Viner's predictions and the UAE/IPCC projections on which they are based. Now I refer you to the Guardian, the fake news publication of choice for metropolitan liberal elitists, from yesterday:
Record-breaking big freeze grips much of North America
Bone-chilling cold gripped the middle of the US as 2018 began on Monday, breaking a low temperature record, icing some New Year’s celebrations and leading to at least two deaths attributed to exposure to the elements.
The National Weather Service issued wind chill advisories covering a vast area from south Texas all the way to Canada and from Montana and Wyoming in the west through New England to the northern tip of Maine.
Dangerously low temperatures enveloped eight midwest states including parts of Kansas, Missouri, Illinois and Nebraska along with nearly all of Iowa, Minnesota, South Dakota and North Dakota.
The weather service said a temperature of 15 below zero (-9.44C) was recorded in Omaha before midnight on Sunday, breaking a record low dating back to 1884, and the temperature was still dropping early on New Year’s Day. That reading did not include the wind chill effect.
etc etc etc
But maybe that is a one off? I now refer you to Uncle Chris Booker writing in the Telegraph ten years ago:
"The winter from hell’
Over the first three months of 2008, as global temperatures continued to fall, the world endured one of its coldest winters for decades, In January, the northern hemisphere recorded its most extensive snow cover for the month since 1966 (just before those predictions that the world might be entering a ‘new ice age’). Not only were there record snow falls across North America, but countries such as Saudi Arabia, Iraq and several regions of China experienced more snow than they had seen for 50 or even 100 years. NOAA and the US National Climate Data Center reported that on land it had been only the 63rd warmest January globally in 114 years.
In February the chill continued. Snow was recorded in the deserts of southern Iran where no one could remember it ever falling before. Jerusalem had its second snowfall in a month. Astonished Athenians gazed up at a snow-draped Acropolis, while more than 200 villages in Greece and Crete were cut off by blizzards. In Turkey the number of villages cut off was estimated at 1,000.] Further heavy snows across southern China added to a disaster which had already damaged 10 percent of the country’s forests and devastated thousands of square miles of farmland.
As the four official sources of temperature data agreed that global temperatures had fallen below their 20th century average, even Hansen’s GISS figures showed the steepest January-to-January global temperature drop (0.75 degrees) since surface records began in 1880.
In the US in early March there were blizzards as far south as Texas and Arkansas. In the northern US states and Canada what was being called ‘the winter from hell’ continued to break records for cold and snow going back in some cases as far as 1873. In Afghanistan it was reported that the abnormal snow and freezing weather had killed 1,500 people and 200,000 animals. In Tibet six months of snow and record low temperatures had killed 500,000 animals, leaving a further three million at risk of starvation.
Meanwhile in Antarctica sea-ice cover was at its highest March level since satellite records began in 1979, nearly a third above its 30-year average. In the Arctic, where sea-ice the previous September had dropped to 3 million square kilometres, its lowest level ever recorded, prompting frenzied media predictions that it would soon be gone altogether, the winter freeze had now returned the ice to 13 million square kilometres, the same level it had been at a year earlier.
In western Greenland, the Danish Meteorological Institute recorded temperatures 30 degrees C below zero, while more ice was clogging the strait between Greenland and Canada than at any time for 15 years.
Snow falling in record amounts in winter, whatever next?. To happen once in a decade looks like an inconvenient truth. To happen twice suggests that the predictions made to support the bogus religion that is global warming by the "experts" are just plain bollocks. Here in Europe we ignore the facts, the record snowfalls, the plunging temperatures and still stuff the peasants with energy tariffs to fight global warming, we crucify heavy industry with additional costs to stop the planet getting warmer, our leaders follow this religion blindly.
Only one politician looks at the real data and is brave enough to call out global warming for the fraud that it is. That admirable and brave man is Donald Trump and the true fascists are those who try to close down debate on climate change by saying that it is a settled science when the hard data of what is falling from our skies suggests that this is simply not the case.
I popped up to see my father in Shipston on Stour in south Warwickshire last night with a view to heading on to Oxford early this morning for other family business. At 2.30 AM I awoke and looked out of my window and there was nothing to see. By 6.30 AM the global warming was deep, crisp and even and it was still snowing. It is now 9.15 and it is still snowing and the Oxford event has been cancelled. The snow is now at least three inches deep on the roof of my car and the forecast is for snow all day. The best bet, methinks, is to head for the motorway now and go back to Bristol in time to catch West Ham ladies in action at 2PM against Brislington Ladies ( my local team) in the FA Women's Vase 2nd round. Come on You Irons!
The BBC was forced to grovel when Lord Lawson's disstening views on the global warming scam went unchallenged on air. For many, such as Pravda's own green guru, Roger Harrabin this is a "settled science" and thus those who dare to point out things like the fact that the world is getting colder, antarctic ice is at record levels and that the computer models have all been wrong, deserve to be no platformed. On the other hand Harrabin himself is allowed to tell blatant lies which expose his innate bias and go unchallenged.
Thus yesterday Roger the liar spent all day in TV and Radio studios commenting on the global warming beanfeast organised by the UN in Bonn this week. Thousands of pen pushers and green hacks from around the world have jetted in to attend. Top of the agenda is the drive to eliminate coal where Britain is leading the way - we will have no coal fired power stations by 2025.
Of course that means screwing taxpayers to fund vast subsidies for "green energy" and consumers with higher prices. Those prices make heavy industry in the UK's own rust belt uncompetitive so causing working class unemployment. But who cares about that when we have to tackle global warming even though all the computer models are now shown to be wrong and the world is getting colder.
Harrabin was keen to point out that the UK should not be smug about its dash away from coal. He reminded listeners to Radio 4 just before 6 that this had only happened in the UK and not Germany and the US because "Margaret Thatcher had smashed the miners and Merkel and Trump have not had anyone to do their dirty work."
It is hard to know where to start with this invective but how about with the facts. Who wanted the Miners to strike? Between 1979 and 1984 Arthur Scargill and th4e National Union of Mineworkers (NUM) executive tried to organise a national strike nine times but their members would not back them. Finally in 1984 they got their way as two thirds of miners walked out over plans to close 20 or the 180 UK pits.
In 1984 the UK produced c 105 tonnes of coal but the cheapest pits were doing so at a cost of c£24 a tonne. The most expensive pits were doing so at c£120 a tonne and were producing little coal and making huge losses. The miners in those pits earned salaries that were way over national averages and the taxpayer picked up the tab for the losses. Remember that in 1976 Britain had been forced to go cap in hand to the IMF for a bailout so could not afford such profligacy.
In the end the miners strike collapsed and Thatcher "smashed" the industry according to Harrabin and the left. Except that she did not. By 1988 two thirds of miners had indeed lost their jobs but UK coal output was still 100 million tonnes. Margaret Thatcher saved the nation's finances but did not in any way destroy Britain's coal industry.
Those are the facts. Will the BBC or Harrabin apologise and correct themselves? Of course not. They live in a post fact era. Fake news is the name of the game especially when it comes to attacking evil Tories and there are few as evil as Britain's greatest ever Prime Minister.
Tory MP Christopher Heaton-Harris seems to be in a spot of bother in certain circles for writing to university vice chancellors asking for a list of those lecturers who were running course material on Brexit and asking to see that course material. That is what actually happened but the BBC's senior reporter John Simpson tweeted out something rather different. This is fake news surely?
Mr Heaton-Harris has his suspicions as to how the fortress of the liberal elitist left that is British academia is teaching our young folks about Brexit. So do I. Academia voted overwhelmingly to remain and as we have seen time and time again on campuses across the West those who dissent from what is deemed the orthodox view, that is to say the Guardian editorial line, are just not tolerated. Whether it be on global warming, transgender rights or Brexit the debate is settled and dissent is just not allowed.
But it could be that the Universities are teaching Brexit matters in an even handed manner with professors giving equal weight to arguments for and against and allowing their students to make up their minds. I hope that is what is happening. Mr Heaton-Harris made a request so that the facts are known. That seems utterly legitimate. He did not, as Simpson asserts, demand details of anti Brexit teachers. That would be wrong but it did not happen. Yet the most senior BBC reporter tweeted that it did. It is fake news. Why am I forced to pay a poll tax for the bloated salary of a tweeter of fake news, or lies as they used to be called?
Academia, including my Mrs, has reacted with outrage. I managed to stifle a laugh as she complained about the burden of work that would fall on stressed academics in complying with this. Surely they could find ten minutes during the forthcoming reading week, or during the 26 weeks a year when they do research during student holidays, to email over their lectures on this subject?
But the Mrs and others also bleat about Government interference in academic freedom. The move was branded "McCarthyite" by Prof Kevin Featherstone, head of the European Institute at the London School of Economics and "sinister" by Prof David Green, the vice-Chancellor of Worcester University who likened it to Newspeak and the Thought Police from George Orwell's Nineteen Eighty-Four.
Of course it is nothing of the sort. There is no proposal to ban anything. But surely as the taxpayer funds academia we have a right to know what is being taught? Had a Labour minister asked that all academics hand over course notes on immigration to establish that it was being taught in a fair manner would there be any objections? Of course not. It is right that all such matters are taught fairly and in a balanced manner with real debate allowed and indeed encouraged.
If academia is, indeed, embracing such an approach to its teaching of Brexit it has nothing to fear or to hide. The way that it has attacked Mr Heaton-Harris with such venom only confirms the suspicions of folks such as myself that, in at least some cases, its approach is far from balanced and that, like global warming, it regards Brexit as "settled science" with only one possible viewpoint deemed acceptable.
Starting (natch) in the US women are being urged to boycott twitter for a day because it is sexist, oppressive, full of nasty men who want to exploit them like Harvey Weinstein and Bill Clinton, etc. Okay I made that up about Harvey and Bill. Let's not talk about Democrat rapists and just stick to the narrative that Republican men oppress and Democrats all liberate. Natch it is the left which is pushing this boycott. The wonderful Ann Coulter and, almost as wonderful, Laura Ingraham are not taking part.
Perhaps that is because those of us on the right are so tired of being hectored by the left and told that "you can't say that" or "this is settled science you can't argue" and other such calls to shut up and refuse to challenge the fascist liberal orthodoxy that has taken over the media and campuses across the West, that they aren't going to shut up now.
On the right we believe in free speech and are confident that our ideas can survive the forensic scrutiny of debate. On the left there seems a terror of debate, of exposing theories such as marxism, the benefits of multiculturalism or global warming to "inconvenient truths" or facts as they were known before we entered a post fact era. It is no surprise that those on the left are today advocating that women claim victim status and respond with silence.
Next step, let's all go light some fucking candles.
Today;s Guardian celebrates news that global carbon emissions stood still in 2016 which, it says, "is a welcome sign of progress in the battle against global warming." There is in fact rater better news, an admission from leading scientists writing in Nature Geoscience that between 1998 and 2013 the world had only got warmer by a smidgeon. Many of us have been pointing this out for years but now, even the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change admits, there has been a "pause."
So despite carbon emissions going up year on year the world did not get much warmer. In fact the rate of increase was far less than between, say 1919 to 1934 a year when, incidentally, the world was a lot hotter than it was any year this decade.
My critique of the global warming nutters has always been that the data of global climate patterns bore no correlation to man made carbon emissions going back thousands of years. I may not be a scientist on a fat grant from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change but I do understand data and and that allows a fact based observation that there is no correlation between global temperatures and carbon emissions man made or otherwise.
Those in the liberal media who have sought to no platform we dissenters labelling us flat earthers or comparing us to holocaust deniers also claim that their arguments are fact based. They are not. The climate alarmists base their case not on what has happened but on what will happen, predictions. Now it is a fact that scientists have produced detailed computer models to support those predictions but what we can now also say is that it is a fact that the models have been wrong to date. They predicted warming that has just not happened.
Rather pathetically, the IPCC and others now say that just because the models have been wrong for the first 20 years that does not invalidate their long term predictions. In any proper field of science such an assertion would be ridiculed but folks like the Guardian and the BBC and, of course, St Bono believe in this bogus religion and so do not raise an eyebrow.
The great global warming scam has made men like Al Gore incredibly rich. Via green taxes and expensive regulatory measures vast wealth has been transferred from the many to the few. At what point do you think this farce will end?
Harpie Green MP Caroline Lucas attempted to hijack a debate about the Government's feeble response to Hurricane Irma by banging on about how the storm was caused by man made climate change or, as we used to call it before the world started getting colder, global warming. Rightly she was slammed for being a shameless opportunist, pontificating in the face of real human suffering. But there is a bigger inconvenient truth...the humourless bitch just has not been reading her history books. Something she fails to grasp as she bleats away on twitter.
The moment the Government accused me of 'lacking humanity' for mentioning climate change policy in relation to Hurricane #Irma. Unreal. pic.twitter.com/GAIMZjesU2
Hurricane Irma is a category 5 hurricane (the most severe), on that we can all agree with the dreary Lucas. Now for a history lesson and we start with that excellent source of liberal fake news USA Today which reports "Hurricane Irma: Only 3 Category-5 storms have ever hit the U.S." Well up to a point. What USA Today really means is not "ever" but "since records began in c1850." The reality is that there have probably been hundreds or thousands of category 5 hurricanes in millions of years before 1850 but let's just go with the modern era and back to USA Today:
It's been 25 years since a Category 5 hurricane struck the U.S., and Irma could potentially become just the fourth storm of that strength to barrel into the states. Hurricane Irma is a monster storm in the Atlantic with maximum sustained winds of 185 mph. Only one Atlantic hurricane on record, Allen in 1980, contained stronger winds, at 190 mph. The only Category 5 hurricanes to hit the U.S. are Andrew in 1992, Camille in 1969 and an unnamed storm in 1935.
Ok. Ms Lucas can you please explain how a weather pattern that also occurred in 1935, 1969, 1980 and 1992 is evidence of how the large increase in man made carbon emissions since the 60's and accelerating in the 1990s (as per the computer models of your climate change co-religionists) caused all these weather patterns. Where were the SUVs back in 1935? And the fact that Irma is less powerful than Allen in 1980 - again how does that fit with your bodged computer models and belief set?
The most destructive hurricane to hit the USA in modern times was a category 4 storm which hit Galveston killing 6,000 folks back in 1900. Natch that was down to man made climate change caused by carbon emissions too. Right, Ms Lucas. Hurricanes happen every year and whilst the BBC laps up this nonsense about climate change and carbon emissions the history books show a different tale. In ignoring the recurring power of nature, or the way God set up this planet, in ignoring hard facts to support her bogus religion of climate change, Ms Lucas is worse than shameless she is just ignorant.
The choice here in this part of Greece, if one wants an English language newspaper, is not a great one: The Daily Mail or the New York Times. The Mrs was planning a rest day while Joshua and I went on another road trip so bought both. On my return I tucked in.
The Daily Mail was, as ever, jam packed with articles about how immigrants give you cancer, social workers have caused house prices to collapse and how the late Princess Diana was a modern day saint. After about five minutes I could stand it no more and so to the NY Times which is America's Guardian, only worse. Every story is about the evils of Donald Trump expect when it it is about global warming which, as you know, is being made worse by Donald Trump.
But I write in praise of the NY Times not as an organ of truth for it is fake news to the core but as a commercial enterprise. The NYT has recognised what British papers have been slow to note, that news is a commodity which is available for free everywhere. Therefore the idea of a "newspaper" is redundant. Why should folks pay for a 24 hour old rehash of what they have watched on TV or on the web already? Of course they are ever more reluctant to do so and, hence, the traditional newspaper is doomed.
What folks will pay for is opinion or analysis which adds value to their lives or which, they perceive adds value. And thus the Times is packed with opinion articles - flagged up as such - from the front page to the back. Folks will pay for that.
The Times goes a step further in that it makes its news pieces so utterly slanted that they are almost opinion too. Take this front page article on North Korea and the POTUS. I quote:
The world's attention has understandably focused on Mt Trump's saber rattling threats against Mr Kim - most dramatically, his promise to rain "fire and fury" on North Korea if Mr Kim fired ballistic missiles at US territory"
Ends. Now there was I thinking that the UN Security Council was this week discussing how North Korea had fired a missile over Japan and that this is where the world's attention was focused. But no, for a US liberal this is all down to evil Mr Trump. The phrase sabre rattling does indeed refer to someone who threatens military action. but it is invariably used in the context of aggressive, proactive action. Trump's "fire and fury" comment was a clear warning that IF the US was attacked it would retaliate in a most brutal manner.
Sabre rattling is a term that is used in a negative sense, it is a bad thing. But until now it has not been used to describe someone discussing how they would react IF they were attacked. The NY Times ignores convention so to present Trump in a bad light. Would it really prefer it if POTUS had said "if North Korea fires missiles on US territory we will all go on a march, light candles, say we stand together and that we will not allow this to change our lives." maybe the NY Times has not learned the lessons of the 1930s when dealing with rogue states run by crackpots. Thankfully Mr Trump has.
So even the "news" in the New York Times is really fake news, it is at best opinion. In making this paper a news free zone the Times is being smart in a commercial sense. There is a ready audience of rich liberals on the US coasts who are happy to read a broadsheet that they perceive as adding value since its opinion pieces and fake news/disguised opinion articles confirm their own particular world view. As they sip fair trade semi skinned organic lattes in coffee bars on the Upper East Side or in Park Slope the metropolitan elite can agree with each other that the dreadful Trump's sabre rattling is causing tensions out East. They know its true because the Times said it was true in a "news" piece and stated that the whole world knew it was true. okay it is not true but the liberal readers of the NYT do not want to hear that. So by publishing as it dies the NY Times ensures its survival.
But it cannot argue that the NY Times is in any way a trusted source of real news, what used to be termed a newspaper. Subjective opinion and fake news in a broadsheet is something else, i am just not sure what the term should be. A Viewspaper perhaps?
The BBC, Channel 4, the Guardian and the rest of the liberal media on both sides of the Atlantic have been gagging to interview Nobel Prize winning former US Vice President Al Gore about his latest film. But at the Box Office, An Inconvenient Sequel Truth to Power is bombing. The liberal elitists may love but the great unwashed is turned off. Why? Perhaps it is because Al Gore's net worth has soared to $200 million thanks to his work, jetting across the world to fight man made global warming. Or perhaps it is because the facts show clearly that his first opus magnus, An Inconvenient Truth, was just plain wrong.
You will remember Gore's warnings of how the world was getting warmer thanks to our carbon emissions. The polar bear was his icon. They would die out because of what we were doing. In fact there were 7,000 polar bears left the year Al Gore was born. Today there are only 30,000. And the number is increasing. And guess what the world is not getting warmer as Gore predicted. He explicitly stated we had to act NOW back in 2006 as the change was already afoot. Here we are 11 years on and the graph below tells its own tale.
We plebs, we ordinary deplorables have footed the bill for this mega scam via higher energy prices and taxes. And folks like Al Gore have grown rich at our expense. The media/political groupthink does not dare question this patently bogus "science". The facts are an inconvenient truth that the elites opt to ignore as we foot soldiers pick up the tab. Of course there is one politician who dares to challenge this insanity, Donald Trump. But of course the fake news media insist that, as with his condemnation of desecrating war memorials, POTUS is out of touch and causing outrage.
We, the people, the 99%, know otherwise. That is why, however many glowing write-ups it gets in the Guardian and the New York Times, however many fawning interviews Gore is offered on CNN or the BBC, the new Gore film is proving to be such a box office disaster.
Reading the Guardian letters page is not an ordeal I can bring myself to suffer even in the interests of research into the far reaches of the deranged mentality of public sector working, virtue signalling, elitist, money tree worshipping thought. Or what goes for it. But my father, a closet reactionary, is a loyal Guardian reader.
He puts himself through this daily ordeal in memory of my late step mother who had a range of cranky left wing views in the way that many folks born into wealth can afford to but also to appease my public sector working, etc, etc etc sisters. As a result at least five times a week he calls me up incensed by some utter piffle in his rag of choice.
You may remember that my father was a univesity lecturer in the days when very few folks got a Geoff, 2:1s were less common than Desmonds and it was actually not uncommon to get a Douglas. Indeed it was possible to fail in his era. Of course it is all different now and that produced this letter today:
Reading Jonathan Wolff and Andrew Adonis (One-man summer Twitter storm, 8 August), one might be misled into thinking that the senior staff of our universities are a bunch of greedy and unprincipled opportunists. Far from it. Look at their results: in the last decade the number of students achieving first-class degrees has doubled and the number achieving upper-seconds has surged. Let’s not grudge a few extra hundred thousands to the men and women who have brought about an improvement in our national brilliance that is surely unparalleled in history.
My father asks if this is irony? I point out that lefty Guardian readers have no sense of humour at all and moreover that the views expressed are mainstream Guardian reading nonsense. He is forced to agree on both points.
At my wife's university the Vice Chancellor has just quit her £350,000 a year job. Natch it is bringing in talent like that that has caused such a leap in standards. As with A levels, it is nothing whatsoever to do with grade inflation is it and anyone who dares suggest otherwise is a heretic who, if it did not cause global warming, should be burned at the stake.
If course not. Praise the great money tree. Pay rises all round.
The headline from the Guardian, below, says it all. Former chancellor Nigel Lawson's Thought Crime is not believing in mad made global warming. The BBC had the timerity to allow him on one of its numerous features on climate change in the interests of balance. Its sister paper says it should erase Lawson from history and show no balance at all when covering climate change.
The liberal left argues that man made carbon emissions is causing global warming or, as it is known when it is wet or cold, climate change. It argues this is fact. It cannot be a fact since facts, derived from the latin factum, are things that have happened. Thde suggestion that if we belch out more carbon the world gets hotter is a thesis not a fact.
The Guardian argues that the case is 100% proven so there is no need for balance. But back in 1973 scientists were universally agreed that the world faced a new ice age. Fifteen years ago scientists argued that we needed to subsidise diesel to save the planet. On both we have seen complete volte faces.
Twenty or thirty years ago the benefits of multiculturalism were just unarguable for most of the left. Anywone who questioned this was denounced as a racist and debate was shut down. Now even the racist-finder General himself Trevor Phillips admits he was wrong.
It is becuase the experts can, and often do, get it horribly wrong that debate is vital. But across the media, and on campuses across the West there is an othodoxy and challenging that is just not allowed. We are on the right may disagree with almost every opinon carried in the Guardian but we would fight for the right of Owen Jones, Polly Toynbee, George Monbiot and all the other crazies to speak out. The left, on the other hand, sees the crushing of dissent as a positive virtue.
My grandfather had a wonderful sense of history. He had been part of history working in Churchill's war rooms during WW2. As a boy I'd travel around Romney Marsh - the history of which is told in a book by Sir John Winnifrith - with him and he'd tell tales of how if the Germans had invaded he had been ordered to assemble on the playing fields of Eton. He'd point out a remnant of PLUTO ( the pipeline sending fuel to France after 1944), an old concrete guard box from the War, a "pill Box", we'd discuss the Royal Military Canal built to fend off earlier invaders. In his garden and on the other side of the road there were still concrete Dragon's Teeth - defences against enemy tanks. We discussed the Mithraic finds on the Marsh.
Grandpa thought the National Trust was there purely to save our heritage. And that is what it should be there for. Wind forward to 2017 and to Felbrigg Hall, in Norfolk, which was gifted to the Trust by Robert Wyndham Ketton-Cremer. Mr Ketton Cramer was gay but never disclosed this in his lifetime. He chose to stay in the closet. But last week the NT outed him with a new film about his sexuality and this week it demanded that all staff who met the public at the Hall wear rainbow LGBT National Trust badges. No badge and you are off the team.
Outing folks even if they are dead is wrong per se. There might just be circumstances where one can make a case. For instance of the gay in question was in public a high profile homophobe working to discriminate against LGBT folk. I can understand that such hypocrisy deserves exposing. But if your ordinary LGBT person wants to stay in the closet his or her wish must be respected even after death.
The Trust does not care about that basic right because its determination is to drive home political points. But it does so when it faces limited resources and so is failing to implement its basic remit in full. In doing so it threatens its very existence in that many of its supporters are older folk who will not share its belief in the need to preach about LGBT rights or the perils of global warming and so will withdraw financial support in life and in death, via legacy bequests.
PS. I am not sure where my grandfather stood on LGBT rights. In Brideshead revisited there is a scene where the most obviously queer chap at Christ Church was thrown into a bond in the main quad. Evelyn Waugh (who like another great writer of the 20th century was rejected by The House and ended up at Herford) based that on a real incident involving a flamboyant fellow and the Christ Church rowing team out celebrating. As an old man sitting in the Ferry pub my grandfather discussed that for he was on the team. He was deeply ashamed both of being such a hearty for he was a solid and sober man for most of his life but also, I think, for his intolerance. I doubt Grandpa would ave been cheering on Pride as a supportive straight but he was certainly a tolerant man and, of course, he was married to a Lesbia.
Much of what makes me despair about life in this country appeared just before 9 AM on BBC Radio 4's flagship fake news programme Today. It started with a segment on global warming...
In that piece a reporter looked at power stations belching our carbon and asserted that this caused climate change and that as a result on the meadows in front of him the wildlife diversity was changing. Some species were disappearing and new ones were arriving. Then he rolled back over the past few thousand years and discussed how the climate and landscape and wildlife diversity had changed many times in relatively recent history. And, though he failed to note this critical point, it had done so without any contribution from mad made carbon emissions.
None the less for the BBC this is not a logical flaw to be discussed it is just glossed over. The liberal establishment just KNOWS that THIS TIME it is different and whilst God caused all other periods of dramatic climate change, this time it just has to be man. We are now far more powerful than nature and its cycles.
Just when I thought it could get no worse John Humphries piped up with a section on the threat posed to Britain by the extreme right. His guest was Paul Stocker, a Research Associate in Fascist Studies at the prestigious academic hothouse that is the University of Teesside. I bet his students get a high quality balanced education and emerge with degrees that leave them well placed to thrive in the private sector. And to think that Mr Stocker only got a 1% pay rise this year plus grade increments fir all his valuable work.
Stocker has written a book called the English Uprising and this was linked to the threat of the extreme right via the Brexit vote. Stocker pointed out that Northern Ireland and Scotland voted to remain so Brexit was an English thing. Of course that rather ignores how our friends the cottage burners voted - Wales wanted out too but let's not spoil the plot. So what if the fellow falls into the first logical trap to point out this huge flaw in his work is an insult to all hard working, underpaid and dedicated propagandists. Oops I meant academics.
Stocker asserted that many of the concerns of we Brexiteers, such as immigration and multiculturalism were those of the far right. "ideas of the far right, a radical critique of immigration and multiculturalism" droned Stocker and Humphries did not dissent.
That chap Trevor Phillips who formerly headed the Commission for Racial Equality but now says that multiculturalism has failed - he must have been intellectually captured by the far right then: send out a rescue mission. So too must all 17 million of us who voted for Brexit even though many of us did so in support of things like a desire for greater democracy.
As it happens i support unlimited immigration (combined with a slashing of the welfare state) but as a tolerant sort of fellow I cant see why we cannot debate immigration or multiculturalism. The true fascists are those who say that anyone offering a critique of our current policies is of the far right or is accepting the ideas of the far right. Is tolerance of FGM compatible with true multiculturalism? Discuss. Or rather do not discuss in case you fall off the path of political correctness because you have accepted an idea of the far right.
This is the same sort of lunacy that used to see the bien pensants of the liberal media say "you cannot fly a Union Jack as it is the preserve of the far right." Of course that was rot but in ensuring that good ordinary patriots did not fly the flag for fear of being slated they allowed the far right to be seen as the main flag wavers.
Thankfully we have moved past that sort of nonsense but the fascist left has not given up and in its strongholds of the media (especially the BBC) and in academia its attack on free speech, on our right to challenge what the left has dictated be regarded as an unassailable othodoxy, grows ever more unpleasant.
Online virtue signalling liberal pests Avaaz claimed credit for Macron's victory but said they were robbed by the Trump triumph. That was really a win for them too. Now the virtue signallers are going for a hat-trick of wins and have turned their attemntion to the British Election where threy plan to stop the wicked Tories. Indeed they have contacted me about my vote in Bristol East. Sadly their maths makes those of Dianne Abbott look like Einstein. The snowflakes write:
Dear Avaazers in and around Bristol East,
Avaaz's UK team has a killer plan to stop Theresa May winning a landslide, ushering in hard Brexit, dismantling our NHS, and destroying our democracy -- but it's going to take all of us. The Tories are going all out to get their MP into Bristol East, and amazingly they could have a chance if votes are split across opposition parties! But if we can help encourage all Labour voters and those who could vote Green or Lib Dem to get behind Kerry McCarthy, we can beat them.
We've only got just over three weeks to make sure the candidates who are our values, and have the strongest chance of stopping the Tory landslide. Click to join an event this Wednesday evening, meet other Avaazers and find out more:
Avaaz has 1.7 million members in the UK, that's nearly twice the size of the LibDems, Labour and the Greens combined. And we've mapped out the marginal seats where we could beat the Tories if we unleash our power -- getting volunteers out, running hard hitting ads, and firmly backing the strongest opposing candidates to win.
Most people across the country don't want the Conservatives to dominate our Parliament, but because the opposition is so split, pundits say May could easily win a massive majority. This election is bigger than party politics -- we all need to work together if we're going to defend our democracy and hold the next government to account. Labour can defend Bristol East against the Tories, but they need all of our help to do it.
If we all give just a few hours of our time between now and the election, it could transform the result. Avaazers in France have just done the same to help beat Le Pen's hate -- now it's Britain's turn!
With hope and determination,
Alex W, Bert, Antonia, Fatima, Alex E, Mike and the whole Avaaz team
Labour 18,000, Tory 14,000, UKIP 7,500, Lib Dem bugger all.
This time there is no UKIP candidate and a Green is standing. But even if the Green gets no votes and all of the Lib Dems from last time vote Labour and the Labour vote holds solid, the UKIP votes will go overwhelmingly Tory and Avaaz and Labour will be defeated.
In fact all polls sugest that Labour votes will leak away three ways: Lib, Green and straight to the accursed Tories. And that means that Theo will romp home with a majority of at least 3,500. It could well be more. If hoards of snowflakes stop tweeting and do actually hit the streets of working class Bristol East to lecture my neighbours about critical Avaaz issues like Global Warming, LGBT rights, stopping Brexit and planting more money trees, the reaction will be all too predictable: more votes for drippy Theo.
More tears before bedtime for the innumerate snowflake liars at Avaaz.
As I tap out a few words on my laptop next to the bright blue sea it is about 27 degrees. It is T-shirt weather and the Mrs is forcing myself and Joshua to go for a swim in an unheated pool a bit later. It is hot here in Kardamili. But as you can see in the two photos below, in the higher points of the taygetos mountains behind us, the last remnants of the winter snow still cling on. These are not the highest points of the range but Al Gore would be mortified to see global warming still on the ground in the sourthnmost part of Europe in May. The computer models, global warming nutjobs like George Monbiot and the entire population of Canada, plus 99% of peer group approved scientists all predicted desertification not this.
It is also Islington by the Sea. Partly because it was home to Paddy Leigh Fermor and partly becuase it is just incredibly pretty, this place is swamped with middle class Brits. You might say "like you" but they are not. Next year they will be in Tuscany. Perhaps Provence thereafter. Or maybe a summer in the Hamptons. I have overheard dinner conversations here about "the Triangulation of New Labour" and comparing the olive oil to that from our place in Tuscany."
Kardamili has only a pebble beach and it is away from the heart of town. So it is not a place for families. And so my fellow visitors tend to be older then me and guardian reading tossers from Islington. Right now, most folks here are actually Norwegian as next week is the Norwegian jazz festival, but, if anything they are even older than the Guardianistas.
Having all these affluent tourists without any kids means that this town has some nice restaurants. But you pay for that through the nose. Yes we can afford it but I am happer with the simpler and much cheaper food up at the Kourounis taverna or Miranda's in Kambos. Kambos is a Greek village with no tourists. Its population is pretty much unchanged at 536 all year round. Kardamili might have three or four times that many people here in July or August but in December it has fewer folks than my home village. It lives for those Guardinista tourists.
Its beauty, the Leigh Fermor link, the food and the views make me happy enough but I'm sure that by the weekend I shall be going stir crazy. I have been given a day release tomorrow to go work up at the Greek Hovel which will be a treat. But my longing is to be back in Kambos full time. Indeed, as the Mrs plans two days with her sister's in laws, the folks who taught me goat milking, I am threatening to stay up at the hovel for a couple of nights just to see what it is like.
Back in early December when I arrived at the Greek Hovel for the olive harvest, the Taygettos mountains behind me were already covered with thick snow which you might think a bit odd. After all we are at the Southernmost edge of Europe and Al Gore and the global warming loons were telling us twenty years ago that this area would be almost a desert by now. Well guess what?
The snow still lies thick on the higher mountains above the hovel. As I drove down from Kambos towards the nearest harbour at Kitries today I looked up and there it was as you can see in the photos below. The same global warming I saw in December is still there and it is almost May. Give that man Gore another Nobel prize.
The sanctimonious husband of the late Labour MP Jo Cox, murdered by an obvious loon last June, has decreed that we should all hold street parties this June to mark her death and celebrate bringing communities together with love not dividing them with hate blah, blah, blah, we all reject UKIP as they steal our bicycles and hate immingrants yadda, yadda, yadda. The media luvvies of the liberal elite live in the same fantasy world as Mr Cox and dare not tell him the truth.
Until she was murdered 99% of us had never heard of Jo Cox. She suported a range of causes held as evident truths my the metroplitan elite, such as global warming and the benefits of mass immigration and multiculturalism, which most folks in the UK either do not care about or actively disagree with.
She was killed by a madman and Brendan reckons that as an MP - normally someone who like most folks in the top 3% of wage earners enjoys a cossetted existence - her death means more than all the other murders that happen in the UK each year. Most of those other victims are poor folk. Violent crime so rarely effects the elite that when it does they really are shocked.
I hope Mr Cox grieves with his kids on that bad anniversary. There might be the odd street party in Islington. But generally those who endeavoured to make political points or capital from Ms Cox's death, like the loathsome former drug dealer, hereditary politician and son of a war criminal, Will Straw, were viewed by we, the great unwashed, with unbridled contempt.
Im sure that Jo Cox was a caring and well meaninhg woman albeit one misguided on a wide range of issues. I am sure she was a great mother. I am also sure that Brendan was a loving and faithful husband. But sorry pal you live in cloud cuckoo land if you think that I or 99% of the folks in Britain will be holding a street party to remember her death.
I have to pay a TV license, a poll tax, irrespective of my income and that cash goes to the BBC to pay the, hugely inflated, wages of preening liberal poltroons like Sopel. If I do not pay, even if I elect NEVER to watch the BBC, I am threatened with jail. To describe the BBC's service as free is thus a lie.
As for fair and impartial, that is even more of a monstrous lie. On every great issue of the past year the BBC has a partisan stance. There is no debate on global warming or climate change or whatever it is called these days - it is a given. All the economic good news in the UK since June 23 has been reported as "Despite Brexit" and ahead og June 23 the Beeb went out of its way to report as fact the laughable claims made by Remainers such as Carney and Osborbe warning of economic doom if we voted to quit the EU.
As for its coverage of the Trump campaign there were so many low points of bias and fale news that it is hard to pick out one crowning moment where the BBC showed it was neither fair or impartial. But my favourite remains a Newsnight with Emily Maitlis where she seized on two polls in tiny states which showed that Trump was not only going to lose rock solid GOP states (Alaska and Utah) but that mean he was such a liability that he'd ensure the Dems swept the House and Senate too. Emily thus suggested that the GOP had to think about dumping Trump. That was the BBC line in October as the liberal media tried to derail the Trump campaign. If course it was utter bollocks at the time as I demonstrated HERE
This was one of many times that the BBC showed itself to be neither impartial or fair. It is an organisation staffed by very well paid members of the liberal elite pushing a clear agenda. The tosser Sopel is part of that elite.
His statement yesterday is patently untrue and as the BBC aired it surely it classified as 100% fake news.
Yesterday I served up a picture of the snow capped mountains of the Northern Peloponnese to show that it is not just in the far North of Greece that global warming falls each year. I am now in the Southern Peloponnese, in fact the Mani, where the Greek Hovel is located, is the most southerly part of mainland Greece. And guess what?
Firstly the grass is a gorgeous green. Our house is half way between the village of Kambos and the mountains and it is almost alpine. Sadly it is not only the grass that has grown but also the accursed frigana, the thorn bush that is my sworn enemy. I will have to tackle it once again this summer with my strimmer.
But above the hovel lie the Taygetos mountains and as in December when I was here for the olive harvest they too are covered in snow on the higher peaks. Greece and snow are not the images most folks in Britain have in their minds. But from North to South this country sees global warming falling every year.
Above the main field at Butterwell Farm in Byfield was a smaller field. On one side was a continuation of the dry stone wall that separated our land from that of Mr Peter Thompson, on the other the extensive gardens that my mother worked to create. At the bottom ,separating this land from the main field, was a giant old barn which contained a wooden three-seater lavatory seat among other gems. At the top there was another barn which in turn formed one half of one side of the yard behind our house. We we worked hard to turn the barn into a fox proof hen-house. and then started to build up a flock of chickens with the odd bantam picked up along the way, for fun.
This was part of the self sufficiency drive led by my mother. I think we offered the chickens a good home. The barn was secure. Our cat, to whom I will turn later but who had various names including Jesus Christ, ensured there were few rodents. The field was large enough and had a good patch of nettles by the dry stone wall allowing hens to lay enough eggs which were undetectable, to frustrate a boy sent out to collect breakfast. Why would a hen lay eggs in the nettles and not in the nice straw we laid down in the hen house?
Most of the chickens had no name. They were all the same red colour and so would it be racist to say that they all looked the same to me? I think that in the 1970s such an observation was not a hate crime. Such birds had a good life until one day they were unlucky enough to be picked up by father for a quick neck wring, plucking and a move to the pot.
At this point, any snowflake or Islington urbanite readers who had hitherto assumed that chickens were made by Waitrose and was unaware of how they are killed, may feel horrified and nauseated, I apologise not. Our chickens had a good, open air sort of life and their end was very quick. Perhaps not giving them names depersonalised the killing experience for my father who was the sole executioner.
There were one or two birds that had names. There was a bantam cockerel with black feathers and a fine red and orange plumage whose job was to "look after" the two bantam hens. He was, for some reason, named Mr Peter Thompson after the neighbouring farmer. Please note that in any conversation it was always Mr Peter Thompson not Peter Thompson. Again, there is no rationale or reason for this. Neither of the bantam ladies ever produced bantam chicks. Was Mr Peter Thompson (the bantam) something of a confirmed bachelor? He lived his pointless existence of laying no eggs and siring no heirs but just eating the food he was given, until a ripe old age and a natural death. Bantams are too small for the pot.
The chickens did now and then produce young, having hidden eggs in places which we could not find. In one brood there was a runt who was both small and stupid, somehow in the end contriving to drown himself in the stream which at the height of summer was so shallow that meeting such a death must have required real effort. My father named this poor runt Bill Whitehead after a colleague of his at the University of Warwick.
This was unfair. Bill was my father's closest friend and a real novelty in liberal arts academia, that is to say a staunch conservative. He and my father used to make a great show of crossing picket lines whenever their lazy colleagues in the English department, such as Germaine Greer, actually bothered to pitch up on campus on the basis that there was a strike to support.
Born in America, Bill was so right wing that he did not wait for the draft, he volunteered for the army saying he wanted to go to Korea. His wish was denied and so, much to his disgust having wanted to kill as many commies as possible, he dodged front line action and ended up at Warwick. But he was pretty short and it was his size that meant that a dimwitted runt chicken, which was a real contender for a Darwin Award, was named after him.
There was also the cockerel who was called Andrew Bowden after the vicar of Byfield who was a celebrated collector of rare breeds of hen. I am fairly sure that he is credited with rediscovering one species that was thought to be extinct and he had a large collection up at the vicarage. These days CofE vicars have their minds on higher things such as gender equality, fighting global warming or Donald Trump and worrying what to buy their husband's for Valentine's Day. Andrew was a rather more old fashioned sort of vicar, married to a woman, believing in God and that sort of thing.
I am not sure why the cockerel was named after the vicar but my parents soon realised that cockerels were a waste of space. It was far cheaper to buy laying hens than to try to breed and anyhow Andrew Bowden did not seem terribly keen on the ladies either. Perhaps that was a sign of things to come for CofE vicars across the land. And thus one day, in the name of efficiency, my father had to wring the vicar's neck as the pot beckoned.
Since 1947 The Bulletin of Atomic Scientists have once a year recalibrated an imaginary Doomsday Clock tracking how close we are to midnight, the point at which man destroys the planet. To mark the election of Donald Trump the clock was pushed forward 30 seconds to two and a half minutes to midnight. How the Guardian, Channel 4 and the BBC loved it "He's going to kill us all". Did any of these screaming hysterical liberals watch the last episode of the current series of Endeavour?
It started in 1962 and the radio is playing coverage of the Cuban missile crisis. The Russian foreign minister has just announced that if Soviet ships sailing to Cuba are intercepted by the Americans - as JFK had pledged to do - this will start a global thermonuclear war. Folks who were alive in 1962 tell me that they felt terrified.
As a boy when Russia invaded Afghanistan and Reagan and Thatcher stood up to the original Evil Empire I felt scared. The Government distributed leaflets to every British household "Protect & Survive" showing how in a manner of which Blue Peter would have been proud we could all make our own bomb shelters if the sirens went off. Demand for proper bomb shelters went through the roof. That was scary.
Donald Trump says he wants to work with Russia and get along with President Putin. The Ideological divide ended with the fall of the Berlin wall. These days Russia and America have far more in common and, unlike Obama, Trump recognises that and wants Jaw Jaw not (cold) War War? So why is he a threat?
The Bulletin states that: "the United States and Russia, are currently at odds in a variety of theaters, from Syria to Ukraine to the borders of NATO". On Syria it seems that Obama was at odds, backing Al Qaeda supporting rebels, with Russia which did not back terrorists. It seems as if Mr Trump wants to join Russia in clearing terrorists from Syria. It was the former US regime that racked up tensions in the Ukraine encouraging a revolution to oust a democratically elected President and replace him with a regime which within 24 hours had made ethnic Russians feel like second class citizens, by ceasing to recognise Russia as a language. Go back to WW2 and what happened in the Ukraine for a history lesson. Did President Obama know on whose side the grandfathers of many of those he is backing fought? And what atrocities they committed. Trump wants to talk to Putin to find a solution.
The logic of the Atomic scientists is flawed, the clock should be nowhere near midnight and under Trump it should be moving backwards not forwards. Aha, but these "peer group selected scientists" have another agenda. Back in 1947 this clock was about nukes. Today the report also cites "the lack of immediate progress in fighting climate change". Aha Trump is a denier. So what if the arctic icecaps are getting bigger and global land temperatures are falling at a record pace this winter, Trump does not believe in global warming and so the world is going to burn up soon. There is no room to debate those who believe in this false religion for they act in a post fact era.
Meanwhile for the liberal media establishment it was a day to celebrate. Report the headline but do not ask is the world really so close to wipeout and so much closer than in 1962 or 1983? Of course it is not but when you pedal fake news every day what do you care about facts?
In the high Pindus mountains of Northern Greece is a small village called Anelion, a place where we spent a number of childhood holidays. It was home to a man who was a friend of my father's, Mike the Vlach. It may still be, I have no idea if he is dead or alive. I was dreaming of Anelion last night and feel a very strong urge to go.
Mike and his friend George came to stay with my family in the 1970s. We lived in an old farmhouse which he must have thought enormous. We had fields and the village sprawled over many square miles - through its heart ran the busy road from Banbury to Daventry. But Byfield in Northamptonshire had just one pub and it was pretty horrible. Anyhow George wanted to buy a tractor and Mike said my father could help. I cannot remember how that panned out but the two fellows from Anelion must have thought we lived in a very strange world.
When I first visited Anelion it was a real trek. We started in the air. A plane to Athens and another smaller plane to Ioannina. That was a bumpy ride and my sister T was almost certainly sick on that second flight. It was then a bus to the town of Metsovo. In those days before EU cash built nice roads that was a 4-5 hour slog in an old bus along windy mountainsides. T was sick many more times before we arrived. The road continued on but not to Anelion.
From Metsovo, carrying suitcases, my little sister N, her stuffed panda and God knows what else my father, a female student who would look after us, my sister T and I would walk down from Metsovo to the bottom of a valley where a river flowed all year, and then climb the other side of the valley to Anelion.
The village was a vlach village - that is to say the folks there spoke not Greek but the language my father has written about extensively. Formerly nomadic, vlachs live in Northern Greece, Albania, Southern Yugoslavia (now Macedonia) and into Bulgaria and Romania. The one vlach word I remember clearly is for man and is barba - that of course has the same derivation as our word barbour - it is from the Latin for beard. Equally the Vlach numerals are derived from Roman not Greek hence tzachs (not sure on spelling) is ten - it sounds a hell of a lot more like dix (French) than the Greek. Uno, dow, tris ( one two three). That is my vlach almost exhausted.
The houses of Anelion were perched on the hillside and a path ran through the village. In numerous tavernas men sat drinking 1 drachma glasses of local wine and playing backgammon.
I remember going to church on a Sunday. I stood with my father and the men downstairs. My sisters were with the women upstairs. I remember playing backgammon a lot. I remember that the toilet at Mike's house was a hole above which one had to squat. We did not like that! My father spoke to Mike in a mixture of Greek, vlach and German for Mike had - like so many Greek men in the 1960s and 1970s - made some money when Greece was so horribly poor, by heading off to Germany to become a Gastarbeiten. When I speak to Mike it is in my very broken German.
I visited Anelion some fifteen years ago with my father. You can now get there by road and the little old houses have - in many cases - been replaced by modern constructs. Far fewer people speak vlach, Greek dominates. Most of the tavernas have disappeared and the great god of TV is in every house. My father exchanged cards at Christmas for many years but a while ago that practice stopped. We do not know how his old friend is faring. Is he alive? We know not.
I dreamt of Anelion last night. Mike has been greatly on my mind and I have repeatedly said to my father that I am going to visit. In my dreams I decided not to drive to Anelion. Metsovo is, these days, a minor ski resort and the snow will be deep at this time of year in the Pindus so I really do not fancy driving on mountain roads with several feet of global warming on the ground. My father recounts one bus journey near Metsovo where the global warming was so deep that the snow poles on either side of the road just disappeared.
And so in my dream I walked from Metsovo. I do not know if anyone uses that old donkey path these days. But in my dreams I did. Anyhow a lot more happened but as I work out my schedule for the next couple of months I really must head back to Anelion.
If you are preparing for a five hour journey to work along snow covered roads or your pipes have just burst you may think that I am talking utter rubbish. But the lack of snow here in Bristol is really starting to annoy me.
Over in Greece there is lots of the white stuff on the mountains above the Greek Hovel and in fact far lower down as well. The Express tells us on a daily basis that Britain is braced for a deluge of global warming. Channel 4 News last night reported - with a straight face - about the threat of global warming ( as in the world getting hotter) but 24 hours earlier was reporting about how unseasonally cold weather ( and snow) across South East Europe and Turkey was hitting poor refugees. That, of course, was climate change.
But while the North is blanketed, here in Bristol we see almost nothing. I realise that I am a bit old to be building a snowman but as I talk to my daughter I share the excitement of what that might entail and exchanging a few snowballs with the Mrs is always fun. Above all I'd love Joshua to see snow for the first time.
So, reverting to childhood: where is the snow? It is so unfair!!!!
My business partner Darren Atwater is a godless liberal believer in the bogus religion that is global warming. While the rest of us celebrated Christmas he went back to Canada for Winterval but found his own faith in the book of Gore sorely shaken. At his father's house in Vancouver in the last days of 2016 the global warming was far heavier than normal and the poor hipster had to dig his way out.
Wind forward to yesterday and I got a panicked text explaining why the ShareProphets newsletter had not been sent. By now Darren was with his in-laws near Toronto who, to their credit are good conservative types and view me as a good influence on their ideologically wayward son-in-law.
The text was worrying and once again it concerned the global warming which was falling so heavily, even for Toronto, that the internet was down. The www in that part of the world operates via giant masts and so thick was the global warming that the signal had been lost.
Heavy snow in winter has come as a real shock to those worshipping the false religion which they are now once again describing not as global warming but as climate change, for rather obvious reasons. Those of us who might follow the gospel of Luke rather than that of Al Gore would be familiar with the idea of Shepherds in cold fields at this time of year and are thus rather less startled when we see the white stuff starting to fall.
On Christmas Day I chatted to Uncle Chris Booker. A wide ranging chat but we cannot help but conclude that at a geo-political level the world is going ever more badly wrong. Price Charles this populism is a real danger and must be fought. Quite right you unelected hereditary multi millionaire, lets pursue policies that favour the 1% and screw the masses. Let's stick with policies that, for a reason that a patrician fool might not grasp, are not popular in any way. As a life long republican I really do hope that the Queen lives forever.
I tried to say that there were reasons to be joyful. And there are. We have welcomed Joshua into our family. There are events in Syria where the right side is winning and the folly of our leaders is being exposed - a matter I reflect on HERE. Article 50 will be triggered. The EU may well implode. President Trump may stop the global warming bandwagon, a false religion if there ever was one. It is not all bad. But Uncle Chris seemed unconvinced.
Some eighteen hours later I was filled with, almost joy, as the Mrs and I walked with a sleeping Joshua back from Midnight Mass. Of course - as is always the way of the CofE the priest made a couple of political points straight out of the Guardian - but there was no anger in me. The Mrs and I are both from actively Christian families but we are both fairly lapsed, she less so than I am.
But over the past year I have thought more and more about faith, belief and other matters. I do find myself reading the bible now and again and I marvel at those who have genuine faith like the amazing lady in Kambos. At the communion, this year for the first time both the Mrs and I went up to the altar leaving Joshua snoozing and watched over by friend Mu. we did not take communion as that would have been a fraud, neither of us could say we believe. But we asked for a blessing and I felt really like something did happen.
The final carol came with that last verse we only sing on Christmas day.
All Hail! Lord, we greet Thee, Born this happy morning, O Jesus! for evermore be Thy name adored. Word of the Father, now in flesh appearing O Come let us adore Him, etc
That last verse always tells me that it is Christmas day and this year with Joshua it is a very special celebration of the nativity for this family.
Before we braved the chill night air we headed to the crypt for tea, coffee and mince pies. There was another younger couple there with a tiny baby. It had been due to be born - as was I almost 49 years ago on January 12 but instead joined this world on November 24. This Christmas will be truly special for that family too. The other worshipper were almost all elderly. I suppose our grouping of the unfashionable, the elderly and those of faith will be the sort of folks that the metropolitan elites, the EU loving Godless millennials and almost the entire media will sneer about either covertly in "locker room talk) or, increasingly these days, in the open.
For Christianity is the a barbarous relic that, unlike other faiths, it is now acceptable to mock without fear that you will have your head chopped off or even face mild rebuke. My fifteen year old daughter from Islington has again enjoyed a Christmas without making one appearance at a religious ceremony. For her Christmas has nothing to do with faith, it is one almighty consumerist binge. Santa gave her, inter alia, a book about "Everyday sexism" which she delighted in telling me about. We of the old world are all sexists and lost of other ists and we might go to church.
I felt joyous as I walked home from church from spending an hour with some really good and loving people. My joy - which the Mrs shared - was not born out of knowing that presents and fine cooking awaits. That was just a bonus.
Next year, I hope, we shall celebrate Christmas in a packed church in a place where most people still cling to a faith. A place where consumerism is yet to dominate all. Maybe, just maybe it will be our first Christmas at the Greek Hovel.
I noted yesterday that the rain clouds were so thick that from the Kalamata sea front I could not see the start of the taygetus mountain range which winds its way down the Mani peninsula. Later in the day as I drove east towards the mountains the cloud had lifted and I could see clearly that there was already a good covering of global warming directly ahead of me in the higher reaches. It got better.
The Greek hovel lies in the lower reaches of the mountains up from the village of Kambos which is itself pretty high up. As you can see the view from the hovel is of snow clad mountains. I sense that it has fallen earlier this year and in greater quantities which is, of course, all down to global warming.
Up in Kambos there was a definite chill in the air and everyone was wrapped up warm.
I should say that today in Kalamata the sun shines, I have seen a few brave souls swimming in the sea and I am wearing a T-shirt and feel quite warm. But up in the mountains the snow is not melting - the dry river in between Kambos and the Hovel is still dry. The snow in the mountains merely waits for more to fall.
The BBC started its One O'Clock News with the assertion that scientists had thought that the polar ice had been shrinking since the 1950s although there was no hard data to back this up. Hell who cares about data, let's just trust the global warming nutters anyway. But now it seems that detailed analysis of the logs of the great explorers show that sea ice today is just where it was 100 years ago despite all those man made carbon emissions.
The BBC says this may be because fewer folks live in the Southern Hemisphere than in the North meaning there is less climate change. But hang on wasn't global warming meant to be er....global?
And all the time our Government in the UK prepares to commit economic hari-kiri with carbon emissuion reduction targets to stop global warming on the basis of no hard evidence at all that climate change is man made. It was not in the medieval warm period, or in the dark ages, or the 1600s and it is not now. Nor in fact at the Antarctic is the climate changing at all.
It is bad enough that Donald Trump is considering the treacherous Country Club arse Mitt Romney for a cabinet position, given all he did to betray the GOP at the Election and to get crooked Hillary into the White House. But now Trump has betrayed conservative America and his supporters overseas with his statement that he is not going to appoint a special prosecutor to look into Hillary Clinton. This is a sell out pure and simple.
Trump argues that the crooked one needs to heal after the election. Tosh. The Clinton family have earned a fortune from 40 years pf graft and pork barrel politics. The Wikileaks emails showed that she abused her position as Secretary of State in a wholesale "pay to play" scandal. They show her passing confidential Government documents to her hedge fund manager son in law to give him a trading edge. They show Clinton Foundation, charity, cash being used to pay for the $3 million wedding of the brat Chelsea. They show how Hillary and the DNC rigged elections. This is crime. This is the swamp that needs draining and which most Americans demand be drained.
We were told Trump would drain that swamp and many Americans backed the GOP more because they loathed Hillary and everything she stood for than because they liked Trump. But she will get off scot free. If an ordinary American steals a loaf of bread from a store, dodges a bit of tax or even dares to say boo to a millennial goose on a liberal arts campus they get the book thrown at them. But once again it appears to be a different Justice playbook for the political classes, for the liberal elite, the 1%.
The 99% voted in droves for Trump because he said he'd change the system and challenge a complacent, out of touch and corrupt establishment. Hillary Clinton embodied that establishment in every way.
The fact that the liberal media are praising Trumps statesmanship in letting Hillary off the hook shows just how wrong he is and how much he has betrayed his most ardent supporters.
All we need now is for Trump to say that he too believes in global warming and the sell-out will be complete. In four years time the liberals who praise Trump today, for letting crooked Hillary off the hook, will again be attacking Trump and the GOP. But some of those who voted for change and for Trump this time will be asking what change? Why bother?
In this week's postcard I look at how the liberal elite of the 1% behave like fascists at a performance of the crap uber-PC musical Hamilton in New York while in Ohio Trump voters get snowed on heavily. Oh the global warming irony. But those without jobs will not be laughing at the folly of the liberal elite on this matter.
The eco-loon climate change fanatics at the BBC are on a roll with the statement that the world's temperature in 2016 will be "the warmest since records began." In fact they are on such a roll they are again talking about global warming rather than climate change. But as they, again, warn that the arctic ice is disappearing there are a few inconvenient truths.
Of course "since records began" is not very long on a global scale and it is clear that the world in 2016 will be a lot cooler than it was during the medieval warm period which was before coal fired power stations. On that basis can anyone still demonstrate beyond doubt that we are seeing "man made climate change".
But there are other problems. Here are two charts. The first shows that so far this winter ice growth has been well above the 1990-2015 average. As it happens so too was last year but this year is really looking like being a record year with 3.5 tonnes of ice being added every day.
And here is another chart showing that with El Nino complete ands having spooked temperature patters for most of 2016 showing that it is God not carbon emissions driving the warmer weather, global land temperatures are now cooling at a rate not seen since the seventies.
The fraudsters who are making a killing from the climate change scam and their propagandists in the liberal media insist that we must all act to stop the world heating up and the ice melting. But the facts, the hard facts, show this is just a con.
Over to Donald Trump to send packing these liberal establishment scammers make themselves rich while lumbering the 99% with job destroying taxes.
Now when do you think the BBC will start to report what is actually happening in Greenland?
Naturally the surname is Winnifrith. None of this double barrelled nonsense in this household. But we have now decided on three Christian names...
The first is Joshua. We always liked Josh in the West Wing. that was the problem with that show. The lead players are all mad tax and spend, deceitful imbeciles who worship the Money tree and follow a range of false religions such as global warming but you still end up liking them. Naturally I was lobbying for Arnie (Vinick) but Joshua it is.
The second name is Patrick. That had been my first choice but the Mrs insists that she links it with Irishmen and drinking. When I get the time I shall report her to the fuzz for that since I take grave offence at this racial slur and this it is a hate crime. So Patrick is the second name.
The third Christian name is Devadason which is the surname of the Mrs. But in the part of India from where her ancestors lived one generation's Christian name can become the next's surname and vice versa. And so that tradition continues.
Joshua Patrick Devadason Winnifrith. With that decided we can now register the birth and start to claim child benefit as suckle at the nipples of the welfare state.
I simply offer up two quotes. One is an opinion of what will happen based on fiction, one is a statement of fact, hard data. The subject is global warming.
One of the world's leading ice experts has predicted the final collapse of Arctic sea ice in summer months within four years. In what he calls a "global disaster" now unfolding in northern latitudes as the sea area that freezes and melts each year shrinks to its lowest extent ever recorded, Prof Peter Wadhams of Cambridge University calls for "urgent" consideration of new ideas to reduce global temperatures. --John Vidal, The Guardian, 17 September 2012
Note the year! What is interesting is that other experts were wheeled out by the BBC just last week to make the same sort of claims. It is just that the four years has been...er delayed.
Since hitting its earliest minimum extent since 1997, Arctic sea ice has been expanding at a phenomenal rate. Already it is greater than at the same date in 2007, 2008, 2010, 2011, 2012 and 2015. Put another way, it is the fourth highest extent in the last ten years. Even more remarkably, ice growth since the start of the month is actually the greatest on record, since daily figures started to be kept in 1987.
And here is the chart from the blog Not A Lot of People Know That.
I would say "discuss" but if you are in a University "Safe Space" I would not since you will almost certainly be accused of offending some precious millennial and promptly face an exclusion order.
When you see that a conference which claims to be business focussed, as is the PRI In Person jamboree in Singapore, but is in fact "supported by the United Nations" you know that it will be a nest of vipers seeking to enrich the 1% at the expense of the 99%. At this point I quote Ayn Rand
"You may know society is doomed when you see that in order to produce, you need to obtain permission from men who produce nothing; when you see that money is flowing to those who deal, not in goods, but in favors; when you see that men get richer by graft and by pull than by work, and your laws don’t protect you against them, but protect them against you; [and] when you see corruption being rewarded and honesty becoming a self-sacrifice."
That nails the Principles of Responsible Investment conference pretty fairly. I see that a paper is being given on how income inequality makes everyone worse off. In the way that nutty Jew Haters trot out the Protocols of the Elders of Zion and then rehash it in a quasi academic manner to "prove" a global Jewish conspiracy, nutty socialists rehash The Spirit Level to show that folks in places like Cambodia under Pol Pot, Albania and North Korea which have the lowest income inequality on this planet are happy places with dynamic economies. Sure, whatever you say folks. What: do I see hundreds of thousands of Americans seeking refuge in Albania? Whatever, you keep spouting this palpable crap and some folks will believe you.
Naturally investing in a way that fights global warming is high on the agenda. A lot of rich liberals from NGOs, fake - that is to say State subsidised - charities - leafy academia and minor pension funds with less than Buffettesque returns, have burned shed loads of carbon to fly to this junket. There they will press for more legislation which will screw small businesses and for big businesses to adopt measures which either screw shareholders - those who risk capital to create jobs and wealth - via reduced profits or customers via higher prices, or both. They will push Governments to enact legislation and push for subsidies for certain (big) businesses and taxes for we the little people. Thus the folks in the 1% bubble of big business, the ,media and political elite and those in cushy secure academia with their grants from businesses they support and craven Governments will be happy. The 99% will be screwed and all in the name of the bogus religion that is global warming.
I see that PRI is keen to stop the exploitation of poor workers in the third world by evil multinationals. Quite right. Close the factories out East and so make the folks go back to working in snake filled paddy fields earning far less than in those nasty sweat shops and with a far shorter life expectancy. If wages out east shoot up, production will come back to highly automated production lines in the west. Sure that will create a few jobs for white folks in the First World but it will mean that all consumers pay more so once again it is those Westerners with the lowest disposable incomes, poor people, who get screwed. But the 1% won't notice the difference and they will just feel smug and conceited at how they made the world a better place while poor folks in the first and the third world suffer.
Time for another conference chaps - how about we fly to the Gold Coast next time we want to screw poor people across planet earth and make us feel like we are doing such good work?
If God really wanted to make this a better world he'd be ordering a meteorite strike on SRI in Person right now.
We are told that the awful floods in Louisiana of August 2016 are caused by climate change or global warming. Whatever. Here is a report and a photo of the flooding in Louisiana. Guess the year - hint it is not 2016.
Rainfall peaked at 37.5 in (953 mm) in Miller Island off Louisiana, making it the wettest tropical cyclone in state history. Nineteen official weather stations in both Texas and Louisiana recorded 24-hour rainfall totals for the month of August as a result of the slow-moving hurricane. Property, livestock, and crops–especially cotton, corn, and pecan crops–were heavily damaged. Entire ecosystems were also altered by the rainfall.
The highest of these was in Crowley, where 19.76 in (501.9 mm) of precipitation fell on August 9; the station would record 33.71 in (856.2 mm) of rain over the course of the storm. The torrential rainfall submerged the city under 2 ft (0.6 m) of floodwater. In Cameron, the storm dropped 21 in (533 mm) of rain was reported. In St. Landry Parish, bayous flowed over their banks, causing refugees to evacuate to Opelousas. In the Acadiana region of southern Louisiana, the resulting floods were considered worse than the floods that resulted from the Sauvé's Crevasse in 1927. There, whooping crane populations were severely impacted by the rainfall, and only one was known to be alive by 1947. The floods inundated roughly 2,000,000 acres (800,000 hectares) of land in Louisiana. Much of the lowland areas remained underwater until October.
Yes that was 1940. By contrast in the worst affected areas this time over the course of three days we are told by the local press that
All in all, between last Tuesday and this morning, neighborhoods around Livingston and Baton Rouge saw more than two feet of precipitation.
And as it happens the flooding in 1940 was the worst since the disaster of 1849 which coverred a far greater area than the "global warming" floods of 2005. So on that basis can the global warming nutters explain how come the rainfall and flooding was worse 76 years ago and 167 years ago than it was this year. Where were the 4 by 4s and the coal fired power stations then?
Like the medieval warm period these facts are just inconvenient truths for the climate change nutters of the liberal media and political elite. They can be ignored as they stiff the poor and middle classes with more taxes to "save the frigging planet." Anyone who can read a history book knows that climate and weather are just God's little joke. They change. Get over it.
PS. Oddly 1939/40 also saw the coldest winter in Britain for decades. That was just eight months ahead of the very warm and very wet days in Louisiana as a tropical storm moved in. The events in Britain were, presumably, down to global warming too
This morning the BBC's flagship Today programme on radio 4 came up with a report flagging up the lack of sea ice at the North Pole as more evidence of climate change or, as it likes to say when the sun is out but not when other weather types are on show, global warming. Sadly the facts about Arctic Sea ice do not bear up what the BBC says but so what? It is only YOUR cash via the regressive poll tax that is the license fee that pays for Pravda.
The Beeb states: "Every summer the ice in the Arctic retreats as the sea warms but in recent years the extent of the summer melt has been alarming scientists. Dr Ed Blockley is head of Met Arctic monitoring programme."
Aha the widely discredited, global warming nutter infested, taxpayer funded Met Office whose predictions on climate change in the UK have been all wrong. Yes that Met Office.
Anyhow Ed is still worried and the BBC was happy to put on an expert in support of its religion. Sadly it could not get a second expert from the Bristol based ship of fools who, as reported here last week, had headed up North worried about the lack of sea ice. It was then trapped by sea ice up North.
Well the facts are here. The record low for sea ice was 2012 - well record low since satellite imaging started so probably not lower than during the medieval warm period or several other lows but that is an inconvenient truth. If the global warming nutters thesis about rapid short term loss of sea ice was factually correct then 2013, 2014,, 2015 & 2016 would have seen further sea ice declines. In fact they have not.
This year is almost as bad as 2012 but then it is an El Nino year making the Northern hemisphere seas warmer so it bloody well ought to be. Ceteris paribus, if the nutters were correct about ice declines being an established trend if one also throws in El Nino then 2016 would be far worse than 2012.
But in fact 2016 still sees more sea ice than 2012. All the facts tend to show that there is NO long term trend towards sea ice retreating. But why let facts ( that is historic data on things that have happened) spoil the fun of a bogus religion? Indeed, the BBC and its overpaid presenters have got to spend OUR money somehow.
My lefty sister N is the one who gave her husband, the kraut, membership of the Labour Party as a Christmas present. Jesting with her about the current woes of the People's Party is therefore not something that boosts family unity. But there is a new tease from my father.
The old man has for the past 28 years humoured my late step mother by reading the Guardian every day. Global warming, LGBT oppression, the beloved EU, those poor polar bears, he knows it is all rubbish but devotedly he read it anyway. As the Grauniad argued that poor oppressed and overworked university lecturers needed to be even more overpaid he thought back to his bone idle colleagues at the University of Warwick, and his anger boiled up but he suppressed that in front of my step mother by toddling off to the White Bear to read the Daily Telegraph whose world view was far more acceptable.
During the past three days my father has been in Bristol and sometimes he listened to my podcasts being recorded, at the end of which he pretends to be a lefty by muttering "fascist filth". Most of the time has been spent reading Niall Ferguson (Empire), Melanie Phillips (All Must have Prizes) and that Peter Hitchens book about the decline of Britain. He nodded with approval throughout all three tomes concluding that he could find little to fault in any of them. And then, he joined the Conservative Club too, noting its cheap cider. Heck: Dad that is the joy of capitalism, market forces and all that.
And so, on our return, sister N phoned to ask how Dad had enjoyed Bristol. For N, Ferguson, Phillips and Hitchens are devils of the right, wicked awful folks who support everything that she opposes. And of course they all do so with a cracking sense of humour. It is N who expresses the view that "if Uncle Chris (Booker) supports something it must be wrong". You and I know that on all issues bar one ( Israel) C Booker is bang on the money. For N the horseman of the conservative apocalypse are Hitchens, Phillips, Ferguson, Booker (who Dad reads every week) and perhaps these days Rod Liddle. Maybe I shall give her a book by Mark Steyn or perhaps Demonic ( how the Liberal mob is endangering America) by the wonderful Ann Coulter, to broaden her sense of outrage.
Anyhow last night Dad fessed up to his reading matter and how much he had agreed with Mel in particular. I guess that was his "coming out" moment.
Oh joy of joys. In what is becoming something of an annual treat, global warming nutters travelling to the poles to show a lack of ice are being trapped by...ice. And I am delighted that the latest ship of fools set sail from my home City of Bristol which prides itself on being the "Green Capital" of Britain. So there maybe a few red faces in green City today. Let's hope no-one suggests using lots of fossil fuels sending in a rescue plane? Maybe they could borrow St Bono's private jet?
The Polar Ocean Challenge was on a two month trip starting here in the Green Capital heading to Alaska, to Norway, then to Russia through the North East passage, back to Alaska through the North West passage, to Greenland and then finally back to Bristol. The stated goal of the eco-loons was to show “that the Arctic sea ice coverage shrinks back so far now in the summer months that sea that was permanently locked up now can allow passage through.”
Sadly the boat is now trapped in Muirmansk Russia because there is too much ice blocking the North East passage. This was the ice that the eco-loons said did not exist because of global warming. Perhaps that is because current Arctic temperatures are actually below normal. Oh dear, that would be another inconvenient truth then.
It is not as if these global warming nutters are the first to face this problem. In 2013, the Antarctic research ship Akademik Shokalskiy became so trapped by ice that the 52 crew members had to be rescued by plane. Two years later the Canadian ice breaking ship, the CCGS Amundsen, was forced to reroute and help a number of supply ships that had become trapped by ice.
So the computer models were all wrong, Michael Mann fudged his data and the real data shows the arctic getting colder. But after two very hot days in one small group of islands offshore Europe yesterday the BBC was reporting about the global warming crisis all over again. Oddly it has failed to get its pals from Bristol to phone in with their comments. Indeed it appears not to be covering the story at all, I cannot think why.
The computer models from the UEA were all wrong, the data was manipulated and the world has not got hotter since 1997 as the global warming nutters predicted. Michael Mann can stick his made up hockey stick where the sun don't shine, however much carbon he emits. It was all a scam so global warming became climate change.
As I enjoyed 40 degree heat in Greece in May and June I thought to myself, gosh it is summer and I am in Greece and it is hot, well there's a surprise. Back in Britain it was apprently very wet and cold and the global warming nutters stayed silent for a while.
But then for the past two days it has been very hot indeed, by British standards, at 32 degrees in some places.
It will be cooler today but after the two day scorcher of a summer in one small group of islands offshore Europe the nutters are out in force. Clearly the whole world is getting hotter. We are all going to die. Shut down all coal fired power stations and shoot anyone driving a car. Send saint fucking Bono on a private plane to speak to the UN about it. We must act fast. Chicken Little just said so on the BBC.
Maybe it is just a feature of getting older but whenever I read about more or less anything to do with students and politics I find myself thinking that we should bring back National Service is a prerequisite for those wishing to study for a degree. Of course National Service was something I dodged by about thirty years, but when I was a student only 10% of folks went to university. We were - with a few exceptions - an elite. These days almost half of young folks go to what are, in many cases, laughably called Universities and it seems that large numbers of students are pathetic, idle or stupid or all three.
The leader of Britian's students, Malia Bouattia is a 28 year old perma-student fanatic who has featured here before as a supporter oif ISIS and fanatical Jew hater. The other day she told the world that Tory cuts to higher education (regrettably there have been none) were driving students to join ISIS. She is a barking mad fanatic but the fact that she was elected as head of the National Union of Students shows just how many students live in a parallel universe based on discredited ideas and a sense of entitlement.
Post the Brexit vote, in which only 30% of those between 18 and 25 could be bothered to get of their arse and put a cross in a box, the outpourings of grief from the young people who are "working" their way through the University system have been a hoot.
A thread on the student chat room ( stop chatting and get back to your studies you lazy fuckers) "The Student Room" entitled "Does anyone else feel genuinely depressed about Brexit?' is, it seems, humming. Comments include:
'I've felt so down all day because of this, and just have this constant sick feeling in my stomach.
'I genuinely feel like I'm grieving. I feel like I'm grieving for our growing economy (slow but steady). I'm grieving for our loss of cultural enrichment.'
'Took about an hour for my hands to stop shaking, and for my knees to return to some semblance of working order after I saw the result.'
"I have felt sick all day, and ashamed. And angry, with special little peaks of rage dedicated to the claptrap by degrees either ignorant, racist or both, that leavers have peddled as their "reasons".'
"Can I class Brexit as a traumatic event when fail my exams next week? Because honestly I'm so distracted now because of it."
"II wonder if I can get special consideration for my Further Maths and Physics exams today because I was stressed about Brexit?'
Hmmmm, so we leavers were all ignorant racists while the intelligentsia preparing to get a 2:1 in a joint course in media studies and basket weaving are now traumatised by the whole event. Whatever. Perhaps they should all be given counselling?
But who from? A lefty academic well known to me, who actually voted to leave, reports back that her facebook stream is unremittingly gloomy. Natch nearly all her facebook pals are also lefty academics and all are gloomy and also lashing out with the narrative that leave voters were ignorant and racist and that the world is going to end. Such is the violence of the "groupthink" on this that this individual has not dared to fess up to a single friend in academia that she voted to leave, lest she be branded a racist too. Or just thick. Or both. She just sits and listens as they rant on for they cannot consider the idea that the she voted to leave. They assume because of her job that she is part of the group think.
At the "victory" party the same person attended on the night of the 2015 General Election as the results started to filter in there was a similar shock among these lefty academics. They could not believe what was happening because, as one put it, "I don't know anyone who voted Tory."
British academia has been expanded massively in the past three decades on the basis that this expansion was self funding via student fees and loans. Of course many of those taking out such loans will either emigrate ( some folks always do) or in many more cases just not earn enough to have to repay and so, in the end, it is the taxpayer who will pick up the tab for this massive default.
We have thus created a system which lefty academics will fight tooth and nail to defend whereby not very bright folks go to bogus new Universities to learn not a lot and to have their tiny brains polluted with lefty groupthink by an academic establishment will will not tolerate any dissent from what it deems to be the truth.
You would have more chance of a fair debate on cultural diversity with a team from the Spanish Inquisition than you would have on discussing in a balanced matter: global warming, changes to immigration policy, the benefits of capitalism, the right of Israel to exist or the merits or otherwse of the EU on a campus in Britain in 2016. If you are a student or indeed lecturer reading this, you can go to Google to discover what the Spanish Inquisition was.
And as a bonus the expansion of all this nonsense is anything but self funding. At some point that will become clear. You the taxpayer are paying for this totalitarianism and excercise in futility. Are you sure that it is worth it?
I see from numerous congratulations messages from folks who I do not know, sent via LinkedIn, that I am celebrating another anniversary. Having checked it out it appears that www.TomWinnifrith.com is four years old. It was a very strange birth indeed.
For it was back in June 2012 that I formally left Rivington Street. The board wished me well and made me sign a compromise agreement which I honoured but they did not. Jim Mellon and the asset strippers still owe me £15,000 and even had the audacity, after not paying the money they were obliged to pay, to send lawyers letters not only threatening me if I did not abide by my side of the deal but also if I did not agree to a full one year extension of a non-compete clause. That lawyers letter still brings a smile to my face, surely Jim Mellon must feels some shame about it now? You can tell me Jim, blame it on a minion surely that is a source of extreme shame?
Faced with fascist lawyers letters from a Sunday Times rich list fellow and worth minus £250,000 I was obviously in a pretty low place and so I turned to writing as therapy. In the beginning there was more or less no-one reading this website other than Mellon's bully boy lawyers at Kerman & Co. It could not be called a commercial enterprise. But gradually word spread and the legal eagles from Kerman & Co were joined by many thousands of other readers. It has been gratifying.
In my last few years at Rivington, when team Mellon ran the show, I was barred from writing on numerous topics. Israel, global warming, welfare reform so many things were deemed verboten in an atmosphere of tyranny, the release I enjoyed of saying exactly what I thought was a delight.
I am not sure what has given me more pleasure during the past four year. Is it competing against t1ps - the company I founded - which was asset stripped from Rivington? Because that company has fired nearly all its workers and - albeit with a new name - continues to lose hundreds of thousands of pounds a year for Mr Mellon, while my start up competitor hires talent and makes profits. That gives me some pleasure but is it more than being able to write exactly what I want?
I think it is the latter. Would I rather get that £15,000 back and not reveal how rich men send the most amazing fascist bully boy letters to try to crush those who are already down or woulde I take the money? You know what Mr Mellon, you can stick that £15,000 where the sun don't shine. Here's to the next four years of free speech for me and of me making money from the media world as you lose ever more.
Four years ago I fled to Greece on a one way ticket. Since then many things have brought me back. Retracing the last footsteps of my great Uncle David Cochrane, holidays with the Mrs, the Oxi vote and - of course - the Greek Hovel. And so:
Here are the twenty most read stories on this blog from the past four years...
It has been widely reported that the pompous US actor Matt Damon has opined on Brexit, branding it "insane". Mr Damon's qualifications as a political scientist or an economist are unclear. He did go to Harvard but dropped out before graduating and studied English. To suggest that he has any expertise on the finer points of Brexit would therefore be somewhat pushing the limits of plausibility.
And, as an American, no-one should really care what Matt Damon thinks about a British issue. Perhaps with his enormous intellect Mr Damon might discuss when was the last time that American citizens took heed of overseas counsel in terms of making domestic policy decisions? After 1776 we Brits stopped deciding how Americans live and what is sauce for the goose is surely sauce for the gander. Or does Matt Damon think that America and Americans have a right to tell the rest of the world what is good for us? Go on eat up your greens little child, think about the starving children in Africa.
Of course Mr Damon is an actor, a fecking celebrity. That means we are obliged to imbibe an airbrushed view of his life as we buy his products making him ever wealthier and then listen to his predictably liberal and dreary views on global warming (big threat, get the Government to take more money from poor people to fight it), Donald Trump (bad man) and now Brexit (bad).
Is anyone out there actually swayed ahead of the referendum by what this self-obsessed little prick says?
From the comfort of his £17.5 million North London home, actor Tom Conti has complained that the word luvvie, as used to describe him and certain, but not all, other actors, is as offensive as the word nigger, used by either certain black folk or white racists to describe all black people. Conti is talking out of his arse.
If one is a white racist or a black person attempting to reclaim the word in the way that certain gay folk have attempted to "reclaim" queer, then all black folks are niggers. It is an offensive term and should not be used, it is a term from the era of slavery, a term that suggests that those with a different coloured skin are inferior to we white folk.
On the other hand not all actors would be described as luvvies. Can anyone remember the word being used in association with John Wayne? Or Ronald Reagan? Or closer to home would anyone describe wife beating thuggish Dennis Waterman or boring Ken Barlow (William Roache) as luvvies? Of course not.
Luvvies are certain sorts of actors. The sort who think that the rest of us, who don't live in £17.5 million houses, give a fuck about their - almost inevitably liberal - views on global warming, Brexit or whatever is the great issue of the day. The sort who fail to understand that being an actor is a job just like being an accountant or a lorry driver, it does not make you a special sort of human being or worthy of special treatment. You are not a better person simply because you are an actor not an accountant. You may well, however, get a more pampered life as a result.
And it is a hallmark of a luvvie that they say the silliest things like comparing the term luvvie to the word nigger and saying that they are both in the same genre of abuse and that they are equally offensive.
Today's luvvie in the woodpile is certainly Mr Tom Conti. Truly he is a LWA, a luvvie with attitude.
I kid you not, this is a lecture from the highly respected US college, the Massachusetts Institute for Technology (MIT). The lecturer was from the University of Melbourne and, before you laugh, your kids in the UK will be taught this sort of crap by their Guardian reading liberal left lecturers too. The full gory details:
The Ecology and Justice Forum In Global Studies And Languages Presents Ghassan Hage is Future Generation Professor in the School of Philosophy, Anthropology and Social Inquiry, University of Melbourne. Introduced By Bettina Stoetzer, Global Studies And Languages
This talk examines the relation between Islamophobia as the dominant form of racism today and the ecological crisis. It looks at the three common ways in which the two phenomena are seen to be linked: as an entanglement of two crises, metaphorically related with one being a source of imagery for the other and both originating in colonial forms of capitalist accumulation. The talk proposes a fourth way of linking the two: an argument that they are both emanating from a similar mode of being, or enmeshment, in the world, what is referred to as ‘generalised domestication.’
Ghassan Hage has held many visting positions across the world including in Harvard, University of Copenhagen, Ecoles des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales and American University of Beirut. He works in the comparative anthropology of nationalism, multiculturalism, diaspora and racism and on the relation between anthropology, philosophy and social and political theory. His most well-known work is White Nation: Fantasies of white supremacy in a multicultural society (Routledge 2000). His is also the author of Alter-Politics: Critical Anthropology and the Radical Imaginary (Melbourne University Press 2015). He is currently working on a book titled Is Islamophobia Accelerating Global Warming? and has most recently published a piece in American Ethnologist, titled: “Etat de Siege. A Dying Domesticating Colonialism?” (2016) that engages with the contemporary “refugee crisis” in Europe and beyond.
No further comment is needed on the decline of the West
Around 40,000 kids are not going to school today because their stupid left wing parents have instructed them to go on strike. The overpaid and lazy teachers, no doubt delighted that they have even less work to do as they look forward to their ten week summer hols, support the strike. Who suffers from #Kidsstrike3rdMay and why?
Of course it is the kids who suffer since they have one day less of being taught all about global warming killing all the polar bears and why we must stay in the European Union because its racist not to do so, as well as a few minutes of learning the three Rs.
If its not bad enough that your parents read the Guardian and fill your impressionable young minds with crap at home, now these poor souls are also being deprived of what passes for a State education as well.
Apparently the strike is in protest at the imposition of new SAT tests by the wicked Tories which, it is claimed, are stressing out the youth of today. The evil Tories have spent too much time listening to evil capitalist employers complaining about how younger folk cant read and write and not enough time noticing how everyone gets 27 A*s at GCSE. And so they want more tests for the kids which is stressing out the poor lambs as well as the over-stressed and underpaid teachers.
Of course it is all the fault of Thatcher. Or perhaps these days lefties just blame it all on the Jews. Whatever.... as a rule of thumb if a Guardian reading teacher tells you something is good you just know that it is very bad indeed.
My two sisters are a politically correct duo with a tendency to be rather earnest. Both work in the public sector and are married to half Germans - the Krauts. It is fair to say that we take a rather different view on more or less everything. Of course we are all united in having one father who turns 78 today. Happy Birthday Dad.
My younger sister in particular has "form" when it comes to uber-PC presents. I think it was two years ago that for Christmas she gave her husband membership of the Labour Party. One can only imagine his delight as he unwrapped a party membership card and a personal letter from Ed Miliband. A year later she gave my father a certificate saying she had bought a tree outside Coventry Hospital in his name to make the world more carbon neutral/combat global warming. Hmmmm.
I am reminded of the fairy tale of the King who asks his three daughters for a present. Two gie him gold and daimonds, the youngest gives him salt. And so I am not sure what PC gold my father has received this morning from my sisters. From me there is a promise that when I see him on Saturday I shall bring alcohol and nicotine - he has always loved the odd cigar and right now, why the hell not have a few more?
I did try to fit into the family by telling him that I was sending him a certificate saying that a tree in the Peruvian forests now bore his name for his birthday and we were thus doing our bit to preserve global bio-diversity and combat global warming. He said thank you in a almost genuine way but seemed mightily relieved when I said that this was a late April's fool and that the Mrs and I would, as per normal, be gifting him vice rather than virtue.
My daughter's American godmother happily told me in New York just before New Year that there is no snow in the City any more as a result of global warming. That night it snowed outside our door in Brooklyn. Tomorrow the godmother is set to fly back to JFK from a three week trip to Venice. Sadly for her....
One of the worst snowstorms in living memory continues to see the global warming pile up several feet thick across the East Coast. Hundreds of flights due to land from Europe are being delayed or cancelled. So how does a believer in the bogus religion of global warming spin this little problem with her travel plans?
It's climate change stupid! Natch. The climate has changed so that it now snows in winter. Time for another lecture from Saint Bono and Al Gore...why am I so dumb?
It has been a warm December here in New York and the global warming nutters are having a field day. As you may be aware, New Yorkers think that the Big Apple is the centre of the Universe and that the flyover states, being populated by God fearing, gun owning, law abiding , hard working Republicans, can be ignored completely. So we can all ignore the deep snows and floods in Texas, the planet is heating up becuase New York is warmer than normal.
The local weather reprt on CBS News just told me that we have enjoyed the warmest ever December in New York. Hmmm..warmer than the Medieval warm period? warmer than, say, 1500 BC? How does CBS know? Of course what CBS means is "since records began". There were some readings taken here from 1836 but modern records really only begin an a scientific fashion in 1869. So the "warmest ever" claim is just a little bit spurious. But dont let facts get in the way of the global warming nutters.
It was two days ago that I was discussing the UK floods with my daughter's god-mother who is, as a deluded lefty, a global warming nutter. Not letting the facts stop her, she put it all down to one thing: global warming, I mean climate change. I showed her photos of British cities flooded in 1912 and recounted how we were almost flooded out in Northants in 1970 something but to no avail. She pointed out that it always used to snow in New York City in December but had not this year.
Of course there was no snow in December 1877 and the records show many other years with almost no or zero snow at the Central Park weather station. But again why let the facts get in the way as you pay homage to the bogus religion.
And as ever, the Good Lord, showed his sense of humour. For that very night I was able to peer out of the window with my daughter and enjoy the first snows she has seen this year. Okay, just a light dusting of global warming but unmistakaenly global warming none the less.
There are floods in the UK and there have been big floods in India. The evil combine of Big Government, big business, the useful idiots of the liberal press, academics on the payroll and the usual global warming nutters clutch at this straw as proof of their bogus religion. The facts, as ever, do not support their cause.
Step brother Tom is like all of my family (bar enlightened little step sister Felicity) a Guardian reading lefty and so sends me an article by lunatic global warming evangelist George Monbiot from the rag of choice of public sector workers arguing that Britain is very corrupt. Moonbat makes a couple of points which I agree with but on others he is either wrong or selective. I think Britain is incredibly corrupt but my analysis is rather different to that of Moonbat. And more honest to boot.
I was chatting to a chap in the grim North today. Snow was falling and he said that at 7 AM this morning with less than an inch of global warming on the ground the kids had been texted: School is closed. We reflected how life had changed.
Even during the winter of 1979, I cannot remember Warwick School for Boys shutting down. When we are at the junior school snow meant that Headmaster Jack Marshall would allow us to wear long trousers rather than our normal shorts. It could have been minus 5 but if there was no snow, it was shorts as normal for the younger boys.
If the rugby pitches were covered in snow we played anyway. Snow is soft. When snow turned to ice it was a freezing cross country run instead. Boy did I hate that.
The point is that the school never closed. And snow meant snowballs which is not quite the harmless game it sounds. The sixth form would amass on the centre of a rugby pitch and the rest of the school would advance from a car park to throw snow balls. And then in snatch parties, as in the army, the brutes would rush out and try to catch an advancing “nipper” who would promptly find himself having snow shoved up his shirt and down his trousers, returning to his comrades a bedraggled mess.
It was a brutal game a bit like a winter version of British Bulldog a game which is I am sure now banned for being both racist and also a clear breach of Health and Safety rules. But it was a game everyone always looked forward to.
Just occasionally snow would mean that some of us got a day off. We lived in a little village called Harbury and to get down to Warwick (15 minutes full pelt downhill in the summer on a bicycle) could be dangerous at the height of winter. So just occasionally those boys living in Harbury (myself, Bunting M, Ellis D, Millington S, Smith G and Garman J – how on earth do I remember this nonsense) would not be able to get to go to school. That meant a day sledging down Ufton Hill.
I compare these vague memories of childhood with today. If there is a couple of millimetres of snow The Mrs gets a text from her University saying that she has the day off, the Schools are all closed and education stops. I might sound like a grumpy old man but surely are we not just a bunch of Jessies these days?
Up and at it quite early I switched the kettle on and… boom… all power on the house was lost. Normally I am pretty good at dealing with the fuse box under the stairs but today I was defeated. Leaving the Mrs (still in bed with Oakley the three legged cat) to call an electrician I sped off in the car in desperate search of a place to work.
The Arnos Manor hotel in Brislington is a building I pass most days but have never visited. It offers an excellent Wedding service and the staff here have been delightful. I have sat happily in its bar mainlining lattes and tapping away since just before eight. Situated next to the stunning Arnos Vale Victorian cemetery – one of the major attractions of Brislington – I cannot thank the staff too much here for their courtesy and friendliness.
The Mrs has just wandered in. A little man from the electricians talked her through it and she has fixed the power. She is now Mrs Sparksy. She is reading an earnest paper for her work on how capitalists cause global warming, cancer and misery all round and rather glowing having interacted with a member of the working classes. That is going to impress her deluded lefty friends no end.
It is time for me to head back home. But if you are ever in the neighbourhood remember to visit the most excellent Arnos Manor Hotel
Back in Bristol and the cats are in disgrace for weeing on the doormat and the temperature is minus something. The Mrs is not sympathetic and I am back in the garage at my desk wearing a thick coat, hugging my heater and still freezing. I suggested to the Mrs that the cats be forced to join me as punishment but she said that would be cruel. And so I suffer alone.
At the tobacconists the Daily Express warns of snowfall across the country and of freezing conditions. I point this out to the Mrs on my return but she thinks this is just right wing propaganda and I must continue to work in the garage.
The Daily Telegraph warns its readers who are elderly (i.e. nearly all of them) to wrap up warm. Up in Shipston in Warwickshire my deluded lefty step mother does not allow the Telegraph in the house and so my father must enjoy it only as a secret pleasure at the White Bear. The paper of choice for my step mother is, needless to say, the Guardian and so she is still preparing for global warming.
In case my father has not made it to the pub yet I have called him urging him to switch the heating on. The normal pattern is that it is not switched on – in order to fight global warming – with my parents trousering the non means tested winter fuel allowance to pay for another luxury cruise which of course does not cause global warming as a dose of warm air in Sheep Street Shipston would.
Not being utterly convinced about this global warming business and noting that there is already snow on the hills, the old man agrees that it might be prudent to turn up the heating a bit. As I tap away in the garage, while the urinating cats are rewarded for bad behaviour by being allowed to lie on the bed with the Mrs in a nice warm house, I think that I am somehow getting a bit of a raw deal.
A year ago today at a house owned by the family of the great Hellenophile Lord Byron the woman formerly known as The Deluded Lefty became The Mrs. Right now she is outside tapping away at a paper for her sociology work on why capitalism causes cancer, global warming and is a construct for patriarchal hegemony for white men. Okay I think I might have got the subject a bit wrong but I am probably not far off.
I’m off to chop down some more frigana at The Greek Hovel where we are staying and then it’s switch off time. Unless there is a Quinnovation Group emergency this is a day off. Thank you to the Mrs for 365 wonderful days, it is time to down tools.
The Mrs and I were wondering back from lunch by the Avon and came upon a car park at the edge of the woods where three boys cried out “help there is an escaped parrot, can you help us?” To misquote my father (a Greats Man) “A PPE man can turn his hand to anything” although catching rather confused and slightly injured escaped parrots in Bristol car parks is not my normal line of expertise.
As I got down on my front and peered under whichever car the parrot opted to hide under the Mrs called the Royal Society for Protection of Birds (RSPB). “Sorry madam that is not the sort of thing we deal with.” Hmmm, I guess the RSPB is too busy campaigning against global warning to do anything like actually protect a bird in need.
So what about the RSPCA I suggested? Again no luck. They said that we should try the Old Bill. FS we know that the Filth will be far too busy arresting folk for calling a Police Horse gay or for tweeting out comments t folks in Liverpool about how all scousers are sympathy milking, workshy, welfare addicts ( which they are) to assist.
And so as I scrabbled underneath another car and the parrot eluded me again, the Mrs tried another RSPCA number. Eventually she was told “it will probably find its way home but if you do catch it we will come and collect but we are massively under-resourced”
The first comment is a lie. The parrot appeared slightly injured and so will scrabbled around for food before almost certainly going from being a sick parrot to a dead one as one of the creatures of the wood (probably foxy woxy) enjoys an unusual breakfast. The Mrs is a townie and might have bought the RSPCA line, I grew up in the boonies and so did not know how to break t to her that it was untrue.
As for under-resourced? You are pulling my plonker. The RSPCA spends tens of millions on administrative bollocks and on campaigning to have anyone vaguely associated with fox hunting sent to the salt mines of Islington for political re-education.
As I have noted even before I met the sick parrot now preparing for an inevitable grisly death neither the RSPB nor RSPCA are any longer fit for purpose.
Naturally I rather hope that events in the Ukraine do not spiral into World War Three as I rather sense that this really would be the war to end all wars. And everything else. But always seeking solace of a silver lining in every nuclear cloud here are my ten looking on the bright side reasons for cheer.
I do not have to worry about being on the hook for alimony for the next thirty years and any more sniping letters from lawyers.
We can stop panicking about where to house the cats when we go on holiday this summer
I will die vindicated in the belief that all that money the Government spends telling me that smoking will kill me was utterly wasted.
As the planet goes into nuclear winter even the BBC and its sister paper, The Guardian, will stop banging on about global warming caused by man-made carbon emissions.
My debate with the tax man over my 2013 tax return will draw to a close
I will never again have to worry about West Ham getting relegated.
Never again will I have to listen to arsehole England supporters singing “Swing Low” after the old enemy has defeated Ireland.
Roy Hodgson will at last have a credible excuse for England not winning the World Cup.
Nigel Farage will not be appearing on TV every five minutes to warn about how we are being swamped with welfare scrounging immigrants from Eastern Europe.
As we wait for the final close I can scoff the last box of Christmas chocolates and drink a great bottle of Valpolicello that I have been saving without worrying about my blood sugar levels and the long term risks to my health.
It’s easy, I could think of another ten reasons to look on the Bright Side pretty quickly. Naturally I would rather that I did not have to.
I look out of my window and next to my newly built herb garden there is a frog or is it a toad? How on earth did it get there? The garden has five foot high walls and we are a good 100 yards above and half a mile away from the nearest wetlands. And what to do?
I have locked the cats away so they cannot get into the garden. I know that Tara would enjoy “playing” with the poor creature. I am worried that my garden is now drying out at a rate of knots as the sun is shining. And I’d rather that the poor little thing did not perish. So call the RSPCA in Bristol?
That I do and am sent on a maze of key #1 or key #2 options none of which seem to complete and leave me none the wiser. I really do not have all day for this and the useless not fit for purpose RSPCA is probably too busy prosecuting a fox hunter or campaigning against global warming to actually care about a poor animal.
Reluctantly I think I must try to scoop the poor fellow up and put him on the grassy lane at the back of the garage and let him take his chances. If he perishes, I blame the RSPCA. But that he has managed to make it this far shows he is a bit of a fighter.
First up was the UKIP Fuhrer who demanded that the UK stop spending £11 billion a year on foreign aid and divert the cash to fighting the floods. One thing you may notice about UKIP is that whenever there is a problem that foreign aid cash is the answer. Want more hospitals? Axe foreign aid. Want more money for the armed forces? Axe foreign aid. Want to cut the deficit? Axe foreign aid. And so with floods in the news naturally UKIP thinks we should stop sending our cash off to Johnny Foreigner in Bongo Bongo land and look after folks back in Somerset.
As it happens I too would scrap foreign aid too as it achieves nothing other than a transfer of wealth from poor people in rich countries to rich people in poor countries. Just as welfare does not work on Benefits Street in the UK, hand-outs do not work in Africa. What Africa needs is capitalism not welfare. I have covered this in detail many times but notably here.
So I would scrap foreign aid entirely to help reduce the UK’s unsustainable budget deficit.
But I recognise that even if I was given carte blanche to implement this, it would take some months to do so. Meanwhile back in Somerset even if we install a brand new mega-pump by every house and dredge ever single stream or river once a day the cost would be tens of millions not billions. Farage is plucking numbers from the air and for the nth time making spending pledges based on the idea that we can fund everything by being less generous to Johnny Foreigner.
It is populist stuff. But rather like the Lib Dems pledge of a few years ago to put 1p on the basic rate of tax which they then wheeled out insisting that it would pay for whatever whacko scheme they wanted to promise to win votes that day, it is just poppycock. If the UK were to scrap foreign aid tomorrow our deficit this year would still be £89 billion, there would be no money freed up for Somerset just more deficit spending.
That is the retort to UKIP. But Tory minister Eric Pickles is obviously too thick or too lazy to go down that route. Instead he suggested that foreign aid helps change behaviour so as to stop global warming which causes flooding in Somerset. Jeepers, where do you start?
1. There is no evidence whatsoever that foreign aid cash makes more than a trivial difference to man-made carbon emissions. If you want to spend £11 billion a year reducing carbon emissions you would tackle big producers i.e. the West and China.
2, There is no evidence that carbon emissions have caused global warming or even climate change. All the computer models claiming to show this have been shown to be bodged and to have predicted global climate patters of the past 15 years absolutely incorrectly. They said temperatures would go up, they have in fact gone down since 1997.
3. Massive Atlantic storms and heavy rain have occurred in England before the 20th century when global warming/climate change is claimed to have happened. It is called the weather Mr Pickles and it just happens.
Such is the level of political debate in this country that Mr Farage blows his usual wolf whistles and then talks obvious bollocks but in such a populist tone, that someone has to respond. But lardbucket Eric Pickles can only respond by talking even more bollocks.
Tim Yeo has been de-selected by his local Conservative association in the safe Tory seat of South Suffolk but of course it is not his fault is it? Yeo is a member of the political class and so he knows better than we plebs.
This odious slug says that the shrinking membership of the Tories now has views which might make the party unelectable. Because of their “extreme” views on Europe and climate change they have got rid of him, a decent, hardworking, moderate compassionate conservative. It is hard to know where to start.
Yeo is famed at Westminster for trousering vast sums from green firms where he is a chairman, an investor or non-exec whilst at the same time pushing for ever more draconian policies (and taxpayer subsidies) to fight climate change. What he fails to appreciate is that:
1. Firstly this stinks as an arrangement
2. Secondly the case that man-made carbon emissions cause global warming, ooops I meant climate change, is – at best – far from proven and – at worst – totally debunked.
There is nothing extreme in saying you do not want an MP who wishes to screw the economy in the name of a fake religion and who trousers vast sums as a by-product of that.
On Europe, polls now show that the vast majority of ALL voters and a truly vast majority of Tories are Eurosceptic. Ardent Europhiles like Yeo are a small minority and it is they who are out of touch. There is nothing extreme in saying we need to renegotiate our relationship or leave the EU. That is the mainstream view.
Meanwhile Yeo lives nowhere near his constituency. In 2007-8 he managed to claim £153,000 for expenses including £900 for a pink laptop, £135 for repairing a pen, £3,000 for new shelves at his second home (where there is no office), £3,000 for dry cleaning, etc, etc.
Yeo is a poster boy for the troughing political class. His views are totally out of touch with those of “little people”. He is the sort of politician who makes little people, plebs, ordinary folks like you and I despise the political classes with such passion. Yet he cannot see that. He is so oblivious to reality that he blames his de-selection on “extremists.”
For all I know, South Suffolk Tories are a bunch of extremists. But in dumping this sleazy old man they have done the right thing.
Thanks to the UKIP Nutter of the Week this is a pretty easy one to enter. To win a 50% discount voucher for a party of up to 4 at Maribelle's when we open our new tapas and wine bar in February simply add your caption to the picture below in our comments section.
For what it is worth my entry is
Noah gave thanks to Nigel Farage's UKIP party for his salvation as he sailed through the streets of San Francisco
It is 2000 BC and the BBC reporter on board the ship sent out to show how global warming is causing sea levels to fall, sends back his latest treport to London
It is good to see that moron liberals reside on both sides of the Atlantic and January’s moron liberal of the month is California Congresswoman Barbara Lee with a claim so ludicrous it is hard to know where to start.
This imbecile has just authored a new resolution put to Congress which seeks to demonstrate that climate change (or global warming as nutters like Lee used to call it before the Planet started getting a lot colder), is an issue that effects women more than men and so forces them to become prostitutes so they get Aids and die and thus the US Government (heading for bankruptcy, last seen) needs to do something.
To quote this total nutter, as a result of global warming, oops I meant climate change:
“Food insecure women with limited socioeconomic resources may be vulnerable to situations such as sex work, transactional sex, and early marriage that put them at risk for HIV, STIs, unplanned pregnancy, and poor reproductive health.”
It gets worse. Lee reckons that global warming, sorry I meant climate change, could add to “workload and stresses” on female farmers, who produce 60 to 80 percent of the food in developing countries.
Right so it is not just starving female consumers but also farmers who will become hookers and get STDs and die. Shite this is serious stuff.
But fear not, the US Government is broke but Lee wants it to spend more money anyway not just in discussing her ludicrous resolution but with actions. She demands that Congress needs to recognize a “balanced participation of men and women” in climate change adaptation.
What the fuck does all that gobshite mean?
Lee needs to recognise.
a) Your fat bloated sex crazed pal Al Gore started this nonsense by saying the world would get warmer and by 2014 the Antarctic ice caps would have melted. Ms Lee: Have you read about the Ship of fools over Christmas? Have you noticed the weather in the USA this winter? Ms Lee you are worshipping a false idol.
b) The USA can kick the debt ceiling can down the road every few months (and you can guess Lee’s voting record on that one) but its deficit is an unconstitutional disgrace and its debt is unsustainable and thus some fatted calves need to be sacrificed or bankruptcy looms.
c) Not EVERY issue (or non -issue in this case) HAS to be defined in terms of gender oppression.
Of course Lee can dismiss this article at once since it uses a couple of biblical terms. For the cutting edge liberal moron it may be compulsory to worship at the temple of global whining (sorry I meant climate change) or abortion on demand or sexualisation of the young. But mentioning something remotely to do with Jesus or the Old Testament just shows you up as a red-necked Conservative bigot who can be safely ignored.
I cannot run with another caption contest based on the idea that some people still believe in David Cameron or global warming or both. So instead I offer you the photos of four well known men and invite you to say without breaking any laws of libel which is the odd one out.
The most entertaining factually correct answer wins a 50% off voucher to the soon to open new Spanish wine & tapas bar in Clerkenwell, Mirabelle’s. Prop… you know who. Post your ideas in the comments box below by Friday at noon.
Last week I asked for a caption for this photo.
The winner is Donalgarth for:
Penguin one "No I don't fancy their chances at all, I've heard that FAT Sam's leading the rescue party."
He will be sent his voucher entitling him for 50% off his bill when he visits Mirabelle’s.
The last time we drove out to the reservoir at Chew Magna it was a placid little puddle nestling in the Somerset hills – barely a ripple on its surface. So it was an idea place for a bracing New Year’s Day walk we thought. Okay there is a bit of wind and rain but we are hardy folk.
I think that the rain beating down on the windshield so that you could see barely twenty yards ahead should have been a clue. As we arrived all the ducks and seagulls were huddling looking rather cold behind a wall well off the water. That should have been another hint for the Mrs and I.
The wind was so strong that this small reservoir suddenly looked like the North Sea. Swollen by the recent rains the waves were crashing on the dam and rolling well past the normal waterline. The water fir thirty yards closes to shore was a sandy brown as the waves tore away at the land and tress that had mistakenly planted themselves within reach.
We tried to go for a brief walk. I was thinking “Cannot I suggest we go home for a bit of mindless TV?” but was not prepared to blink first and concede that I was too much of a wimp for the “bracing walk” that we had carefully planned.
So I soldiered on. At one point the wind was so fierce and drove rain straight into our faces so bitterly that we simply had to stand there with our backs to the gale. At that point the Mrs blinked and suggested we go home to watch some mindless TV. I conceded that I was of a similar mind.
It was not the sound of Lady Lavender Patten’s refined and gentle snoring nor another panic attack about what happened to Chow Mein that awoke the good Lord Christopher Patten. But a loud noise from his study downstairs had the BBC chairman sprinting down the stairs, faster than BBC Middle East Correspondent Jeremy Bowen can say “the peace loving freedom martyrs of Hamas fired rockets on an Israeli school to protect themselves from the Genocidal imperialist warmongers.”
Sitting behind Patten’s leather bound desk with gold inlay, marked “A present from 400 million the grateful people of Europe for your Herculean labours as a European Commissioner” was another grey figure. Once again he was not smiling.
“Oh no not another of you consultant Johnnies” said Patten. The grey figure beckoned and gripped Patten’s hand. Through the air they flew.
After just a few minutes, Patten found himself gazing down on a Christmas day party. The figures all looked familiar and suddenly Patten realised that he had made all of them redundant as part of “Project Free Lunch” – a scheme designed to bring new creative energy to the Beeb while reducing fixed costs. His management consultants had convincingly demonstrated to him that the £50 million upfront costs would have a “creative enhancement adjusted payback of less than 24 months”
“I got £150,000 and have now been re-hired at £2000 a day as a freelance” shouted one man as he snorted a line of Highella and cracked open another bottle of champagne. “Only £150,000 – you were robbed” said another. Patten was puzzled they all seemed very happy with life.
Suddenly there was a cry of “It’s three and it’s on” and the room fell silent. “Aha they are watching the Queen on the Beeb” said Patten to himself, reassured that some things do not change. “Oh, hang on, what’s this all about?”
A bearded Asian man waving a hook and wearing an orange jumpsuit marked “Guantanamo” was on screen. It was the Channel 4 alternative Christmas Queen’s message of love, with this year’s guest presenter Abu Hamza.
“That’s the sort of programming the Beeb needs to be doing to celebrate Christmas” uttered a man with large red-rimmed glasses and a Lenin style beard. All those in the room murmured their agreement. And we will they now that we are back as consultants said a large woman with orange hair wearing rainbow coloured dungarees.
“So I got £500,000 when I was fired for covering up the Saville cover-up shouted a man in a sharp suit – can anyone beat that? “Anyone fancy more free lunch?”
Patten was feeling rather uncomfortable and was quite relieved when the grey man, gripped his wrist and soon they were flying away from London and heading North. The skies were grey and it started to snow slowly at first but then rather heavily.
The ghost of Christmas Present passed Patten an earphone so that he could hear Susan Watts explain to Newsnight viewers how snow in December was conclusive evidence of global warming.
Patten told the Ghost that he approved of the North of England. “Of course I would not want to go there myself” he explained ”But the Beeb has invested hundreds of millions in building a lavish new head office and studio there to demonstrate our commitment to regional diversity.”
The ghost smiled and the pair swooped down on suburban streets where family after family was watching Sky TV or ITV. But…spluttered Patten what don’t they like about East Enders with its new transgender vegetarian characters or our daily exposes of how capitalism and Margaret Thatcher are the causes of global warming? The ghost did not comment. “But don’t they love the Beeb as a valued and Trusted National icon which spends the license fee so very wisely” asked Patten?
The ghost took Patten along Street after Street but no-one was watching the BBC.
“We’ll show them on Christmas Day” said Patten defiantly “As we celebrate the birth of Nelson Mandela with non-stop coverage of his life”
The ghost smiled.
Suddenly Patten was back in his bed. Once again he said good night to the photo of his beloved dog Chow Mein and tried to get some sleep. But something was not right.
Heading home in a taxi the other night, the driver had to touch his breaks as a quite enormous foxes sprinted, in the same way that Simon Cawkwell might sprint, across the road. This fox was not the sort of beast I remember from my youth in the boonies.
Back then country fox had to live by his wits. Food was either wild game which had to be stalked or our chickens where entry to their housing required some ingenuity and cunning. And so the creatures we encountered were vicious, nervous of humans as we hated the vile killers with a passion and thin. They were lean mean killing machines.
City fox of 2013 is rather different. For a start, all the townies who think that chickens come from Tesco and that foxy woxy is a cuddly endangered species, would not think of harming this “national treasure.” Mr Fox is wily and knows that. City fox has no fear. His country cousin of old would know that if he ran out in a road a driver would swerve in order to hit him. City fox knows that drivers would swerve straight into the Avon Gorge rather than damage cuddly wuddly little Renard.
But it gets even better for City fox. Food is quite simply on tap. There is no need to chase anything at all. In Bristol, under strict diktats from the Stasi at City Hall, we obediently put all our food waste into little brown boxes while other waste goes wither into big green bins or different sorts of green boxes. I am still not quite sure what goes where and so maybe am not saving the planet/stopping global warming quite as much as my neighbours. But I do know to put all food waste into the brown container and Mr Fox knows that he can get breakfast, lunch, supper and a midnight snack every day of the week from the brown boxes we put out to save the planet.
Not surprisingly without the need to chase or flee anything or anyone and with high calorie processed junk food available everywhere in unlimited supplies, Mr City fox is now getting quite large. One might even say fat.
How long, I wonder, before our uber meddling City council and/or red trousered buffoon of a Mayor George Ferguson feel the need to piss away more cash and start a campaign to reduce the incidence of obesity and diabetes in the “Bristol fox community”? It is, one fears, only a matter of a time.
It is almost the 5th of November and as such it is apt that we think again of our lords and masters the Right Honourable Members of parliament as they slave away tirelessly working on behalf of us. And that brings us to Ed Davey, a Lib Dem MP and an Energy Minister – indeed the man who headed our45 person delegation flown out to the most recent conference on how to cut carbon emissions to stave off global warming.
It has emerged this weekend that Davey gets his own energy bills paid for by the taxpayer as do almost half of MPs. Better still he claims more in expenses to cover the cost of renting a constituency home than it would cost to buy the house on a mortgage. Heck – that is value for money. As it happens Davey represents a London seat so why the fuck should taxpayers have to pay for any home of his at all?
As a bonus the taxpayer also pays rent on a constituency office for Davey. And a director of the company from whom the office is rented is er…his wife.
This is all perfectly legal. But does it make you think that we are “all in it together?” Austerity is for little people…it does not apply to the political classes. As such I ask for your captions for the picture below in this week’s Ed Davey MP edition. Please post away in the comments section by Friday at 9 AM.
For what it is worth my entry is:
“Energy bills will go up this high thanks to my idiotic energy taxes to combat global warming but I do not give a flying fuck because the taxpayer pays my bill.”
Last week I asked you for captions for this picture of the sort of power generator on which Mr Davey is so keen. The most apposite entry came from Donalgarth and is:
“An RSPB spokesperson said of the five eagles found dead only four died from smoke inhalation, the fifth one had died of exhaustion while trying to find a route to its nest through the turbines. He added " it would seem a shame that while we will eliminate the carbon in the atmosphere, eagles were unlikely to be around to enjoy it.”
Oh dear. Oh dear. The Global warming nutters are in disarray. Their models – on the basis of which trillions of dollars have been pissed away and Al Gore has become an incredibly rich fat bastard – have been shown to be just WRONG!
I quote from Der Spiegel which cites NASA as its source:
Whenever the ice at the North and South Pole is mentioned, it is mostly in the context of melting triggered by global warming. However, the sea ice in Antarctica - in contrast to that in the Arctic - has proved to be remarkably robust. New measurements have now confirmed that. As the U.S. space agency NASA announced, the sea ice in the Antarctic has extended over an area of 19.47 million square meters at the end of September. That is the highest since measurements began in 1979. Why the white splendour is extending there while it is rapidly disappearing in the Arctic is a mystery.
A mystery eh? Perhaps it is because the world is er…not getting warmer. It has got colder since 1997. So why does that matter?
Because the computer models on which the bogus religion of global warming was based all predicted that the world would get warmer AND that – according to the Journal of Climate Change – that as a result Antarctic sea ice would decrease.
But it has not decreased. Sea ice is at modern era record levels and the world has cooled. So a rational, thinking human being (i.e. not convicted criminal turned wind farm lobbyist Chris Huhne, the morons who run the National Trust, the CofE and our beloved PM Call Me Dave) would thus conclude that if the models got it 100% wrong for the years 1997-2013 it might be imprudent to bet squillions of quid on the same models being bang on the money with its 2050 predictions.
Who will be the first global warming nutter to publically repent and admit to worshiping a false idol?
My father has done more than his fair share of work as Treasurer of the Shipston Parish. Its finances are okay – thanks in good part to my father handing over far too much of his dosh – but the finances of the wider C of E are a shambolic disaster. The reason is that it is a failing organisation – it keeps on losing customers to the grim reaper, other faiths and sects or to apathy and it is not replacing them.
One reason for this may be that the Church, like other once respected bodies such as the National Trust and the RSPCA seems intent on straying off its core patch. All three of these bodies have made themselves look ridiculous with their pronouncements on matters such as global warming and hunting of animals. But they just cannot help themselves.
And thus the Archbishop of Canterbury has today waded into the energy price debate telling companies that they should sacrifice profits by cutting prices ( prices agreed with the regulator) so folks are less badly off. Why not instead cut this Government’s ludicrous energy taxes imposed to help reduce our carbon footprint? Er…. Because the Church still thinks the planet is getting warmer (even though we are now in year 16 of cooling).
This is not a moral point the Church and the Archbishop is making but a political one. He wants wealth taken from shareholders in private companies and given to the British population. Of course lower prices might mean we use more fuel which will cause global warming won’t it? Archbishop Justin Welby is like his predecessor set to be another misguided, failing CEO of an organisation in what appears to be terminal decline.
As an aside I would note that a large number of the other contributors to Shipston Church are little old ladies living by themselves on a fixed income derived from bonds and safe high yield shares like…er….the utilities. Cut their dividend stream and a) they cut back on fuel usage and b) they give less to the Church.
As such I offer you a suggestion for the next Archbishop of Canterbury Mr Gordon Gekko. He knows as much about religion as the CofE knows about economics so what would Gordon say? Post your captions in the comments section below by Friday at 9 AM
For what it is worth my comment is:
Having been appointed as the next Archbishop of Canterbury, Gekko states:
Greed, for lack of a better word, is good. Greed is right, greed works. Greed clarifies, cuts through, and captures the essence of the evolutionary spirit. Greed, in all of its forms: greed for life, for money, for love, knowledge, has marked the upward surge of mankind. And greed, you mark my words, will not only create those with enough private wealth who will donate funds to mend the roof of Shipston Parish Church, but through the same process will save that malfunctioning corporation called the Church of England. Thank you very much.
Last week I asked you for comments on this picture in our Polly Toynbee Grim North edition
Congratulations to the winner, Revidiver for this:
Here's a shilling Polly towards your villa in Tuscany.
Having seen clips from last week’s Question Time and some of the coverage of the Red Ed vs. The Daily Mail issue, I wonder if the BBC has plumbed new depths. Mired in new scandals over payouts for failure, sex crime cover ups and much more besides the real issues are:
Firstly that the taxpayer funded broadcaster produced either the sort of rubbish (everything on radio 1 for example) which should be the domain of the private sector. If there is a demand for this sort or garbage why should the taxpayer subsidise it? If not then since it is rubbish why produce it at all?
And secondly that the news coverage is anything but impartial. How the audience cheered as the panel bashed the Mail on QT? How the BBC ignored both the facts of this non story and also the double standards in the way that Red Ed had treated those who gloated over the death of Thatcher? Why should my taxes fund propaganda? By the way is the BBC still insisting that the planet is heating up thanks to global warming?
As such I invite your captions for the picture below. Please post your captions in the comments section by Friday at 9 AM
My own feeble effort is:
The BBC insists that Alan Shearer really adds value on MOTD
I do not normally read The Independent as it is a dire newspaper pandering to deluded lefties like my entire family (bar step sister Flea and Chris Booker) by printing utter bilge. But, for your sake dear readers, I prepared the sick bag to read one stormer of an article today. It defies belief.
The headline reads: Aid groups warn of growing hunger and disease as planet warms
Fantastic, maybe those Scottish moors I bought to grow vines on will prove a stunning investment after all?
Greatly encouraged I read on as the Indescribablyboring newspaper continued:
The potentially devastating effects of climate change on future generations are revealed today by two British aid groups, before a crucial UN report due out this week. On Friday the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) is set to unveil its latest report on global warming. It is expected to show researchers’ increasing confidence that humans are the main cause of climate change, largely through use of fossil fuels.
In a report on food security published today, Oxfam claims that climate change could leave one in five people worldwide at risk of hunger by 2050. This will increase child malnutrition by 20 per cent, it says. The charity also states that global yields of maize and wheat are down 3.8 and 5.5 per cent respectively, compared with what they would be without climate change, and that crop yields could fall by between 10 and 20 per cent by 2050.
The increase in extreme weather patterns due to global warming could also cause more crop failures, Oxfam says. Research commissioned by the group shows that the average price of staple foods could double in the next two decades.
So according to Oxfam the global warming we have already seen has caused wheat and maize yields to fall and things are going to get worse, blah, blah, blah.
But before you all get your chequebooks out for Oxfam there is one small inconvenient truth: the world has not got warmer. Here I quote from one of my two family members who is not a deluded lefty, Christopher Booker, in his Torygraph column of yesterday:
The air is already thick with familiar claims and counterclaims, President Obama quotes yet another laughably silly paper trying to make out that “97 per cent of scientists” support the IPCC “consensus”. Sceptics point out yet again that the lack of global warming over the past 17 years makes a nonsense of all those computer-model projections on which the IPCC has been basing its case for 23 years.
This very weekend of September 2013, we were being told back in 2007, would be the moment when the Arctic was “ice-free”. Yet this summer’s ice-melt has been the smallest in seven years, and the global extent of polar sea ice is currently equal to its average over the past 34 years. Tuvalu and the Maldives are not vanishing beneath the waves. Far from hurricanes and tornadoes becoming more frequent and intense, their incidence is lower than it has been for decades. The Himalayan glaciers are not on course to have melted by 2035, as the IPCC’s last report predicted in 2007.
Nothing has changed except that the IPCC itself, as the main driver of the scare, has been more comprehensively discredited than ever as no more than a one-sided pressure group, essentially run by a clique of scientific activists committed to their belief that rising CO2 levels threaten the world with an overheating which is not taking place.
Spot on Uncle Chris. So if the world has not actually got warmer why have crop yields fallen? Perhaps Oxfam would look less ridiculous if it examined that rather than arriving at a conclusion which fits its biased world view but cannot be justified by the facts.
The inconvenient truth is that as the world belches out ever more carbon all the computer models used to support the bogus science of global warming have been 100% wrong – the world is not getting warmer. It is still colder than it was in the medieval warm period when vines grew in Greenland (with minimal carbon emissions). Those poor frigging polar bears are now applying for a winter fuel allowance as the ice cap has grown steadily in the past five years and will by Christmas be greater in size than the long run average size.
Oxfam is a bureaucratic nightmare which swallows up a terribly high percentage of donations on admin costs employing the sort of deluded lefty who thinks that global warming is still happening. As it (again) strays beyond its stated remit of transferring cash from poor people in rich countries to rich people in poor ones, by engaging in ridiculous political posturing the case for boycotting it altogether becomes unanswerable. Heck, even the deluded lefties of Sheep Street Shipston (well my Dad at least) might give it a miss this Christmas after this effort.
As for the Indy…it has become the sort of publication which if you bought a copy you would also buy a hard core gay porn mag to wrap it up in, to prevent folks knowing about your disgusting reading habits as you wandered back from the newsagents. What a rag.
My immediate family, bar uber-enlightened step sister Flea, are all deluded lefties and thus take the view that if Uncle Chris (Chris Booker) holds one view they should naturally take the opposite line. I tend to take an alternative view. Other than his one little blind spot (a failure to support the only democracy in the Middle East), Booker’s judgement is never wrong. On issues such as the global warming scandal, the EU and inner City development he has for decades been way ahead of the curve.
Today my mother’s brother writes in his Sunday Telegraph column about the West’s failure to appreciate the Islamofascist threat from Iran. Again he is bang on the money. Perhaps we should all have listened to the Israelis a bit more?
But he also picks up on my piece last week about the National Trust and how it is losing the plot. In that snippet he observes correctly why my father’s father, Sir John Winnifrith, would today have been disqualified from being head of the National Trust. It is a good and fair comment which my immediate family will find it hard to disagree with. But on (misguided) principle they probably will do so anyway.
My grandfather, Sir John Winnifrith, was Director General of the National Trust back in the 1970s. Back then its mission was to preserve old houses and historic rural areas. It got on with the job. And as such it was a body worth supporting. Folks felt the same way about it as they did about the RSPCA. But both bodies have quite simply lost the plot.
I have covered the RSPCA elsewhere (as you can read here) but I am these days as likely to give it my cash as I am to give cash to the NT. And I suspect that many of traditional “core” supporters fell the same way. Having visited two of its properties last week let me explain why.
The first was the 14th or 15th century farmhouse in which my grandfather was allowed to live after retiring from the NT. It is not a terribly remarkable building or very big. No tourist would visit it specifically but it is (or was) a lovely old place. When my grandparents lived there the lawn was immaculate and my grandmother (who played rugby for her – boys - prep school used to bowl at me there – it was as flat as a cricket pitch. My grandfather tended his vegetable garden with utter care and in the shed he and I used to split great big logs into smaller pieces for a roaring open fire that was at the centre of the (rather cold) old house.
I pitched up to find the place deserted. The lawn and vegetable patch were covered in weeds and two foot long grass. The trees were overgrown. Inside all I could see in the main room was that inside the great hearth that had hosted open fires for 500 years was a modern wood burning stove. But there was nothing else. The house was abandoned and slowly going to pot.
So what the fuck does the National Trust spend its millions on these days? Heading over to Bodiam Castle in Sussex via the steam railway from Tenterden I was greeted with a sign erected by the NT in c2000. “Within 50 years this area will be underwater due to climate change”. What utter bollocks.
Of course much of the area around Bodiam on Romney Marsh was underwater in 1300 and before but that was nothing to do with man-made fossil fuels and global warming. The world gets warmer and it gets colder. Land masses rise and they fall.
So far we are 13 years into those 50 and there is absolutely no evidence that I will need wellies or a rubber dinghy to visit Bodiam by 2050 or indeed ever. But the NT seems to have been captured by the sort of political establishment loons who are happy to let buildings like Hall House Farm Appledore crumble and disappear in weeds as long as they can splash the cash on fighting global warming.
I quote from the NT’s website:
“We're pledging to reduce use of fossil fuels by 50 per cent within the next 10 years. The move will aim to cut our carbon emissions from energy use for heat and electricity by 45 per cent – beating the Government’s target of a 34 per cent reduction in CO2 emissions by 2020.
In addition to the benefits to the climate, the move could also help us dramatically reduce the amount we spend on fuel - we currently spend around £6 million each year on power and heating for our buildings.
The target will be met by reducing energy use for electricity and heating by 20 per cent and introducing ‘grow your own’ micro and small scale energy schemes using wood fuel, solar, heat pumps, hydro and wind.
The initiative will involve our entire in-hand building stock, which includes 300 major historic houses, office buildings, visitor centres and 360 holiday cottages.
We anticipate that most of the schemes will break-even within the next 10 years, even allowing for the huge variability in the price of energy and uncertainty over the future of grants and subsidies. Our reduction in the use of mains electricity, gas, oil and LPG will be equivalent to removing 4,500 family cars from the road.
World leaders may not have provided a political solution to the climate change problem at Copenhagen, but that should not delay us from delivering practical solutions on the ground,' said Fiona Reynolds, Director-General of the National Trust.
'The Trust has a responsibility to look after the special places in our care for ever, requiring us to make long term decisions that will protect them for future generations to enjoy.
'Climate change is already having a major impact on our properties and is one of the reasons why we need to act now, both to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and to adapt to change,' Fiona Reynolds continued.
Okay Fiona darling – what climate change are you referring to? The UK is colder now than it was back in the late 1970s. It got warmer then it got colder. What specific climate changes are you referring to and how exactly is this harming the properties you look after? Or complexly fucking ignore like Hall House Farm Appledore?
You tell us that you will get ten year payback on most of your “green” energy schemes but that may depend on subsidies etc. Wake up and smell the coffee. All across Europe Governments are scrapping subsidies for pointless green energy projects. The game is up. How much time, money and effort are you ploughing into “saving the planet” rather than saving Hall House Farm Appledore and other buildings which is what your job is meant to be?
As a footnote my father has written to the NT about its neglect of Hall House Farm. I await its response with interest.
147 net gains for UKIP on Thursday was a political earthquake. The political class is scared. They do not like it up ‘em.
Like most folks I was first attracted to UKIP over the EU. It wants out of the Evil Empire and so do I. Does it have any other policies? Yes. Do I agree with all of them? No. But where we disagree on matters like immigration UKIP at least accepts that the current system (easy entry + free welfare) is a joke and unworkable. UKIP would make entry impossible & keep welfare, I would make it automatic but scrap the welfare.
My point is that UKIP is instinctively right in that it sees – as do – most folks in Britain – that there is a vast problem. In its DNA UKIP is on the right track. The established parties have – for years – made it clear that the immigration system needed minor adjustments. They have lied about the scale of immigration, tarred anyone who questioned the system as a racist and then occasionally made tiny changes which stop skilled workers coming here ( who we want) in order to win grubby votes and Daily Mail headlines.
And so when David Cameron or Ken Clarke or any of the other mainstream politicos of all three parties tarred UKIP as racist in the past they meant it. That is what they actually believed. When they now say they are “listening” and must “connect with the views of those who voted UKIP” it is just another big fat lie. It is a lie born out of desperation.
And that brings us to David Cameron. Instinctively Nigel Farage is what we might describe as a Tory in the Thatcher mould. He believes in a small state, is Eurosceptic, feels no need to piss billions away on aid to despots, tackling bogus global warming scares, etc. I do not always agree with his solution but the DNA of Farage and UKIP is to call it correctly or at least to boldly state that a problem exists.
Cameron on the other hand has lived a closeted existence (like most of the political elite). The same sort of schools, the same Universities, the same utter lack of real world job experience and thus the same total lack of understanding of how most folks actually live and think. So can he be instinctively right about anything? No. All he wants to do is win elections. He thought he could do that by protecting foreign aid and jumping on the global warming bandwagon to make the Tories “nice.” If he thought that winning power meant abolishing foreign aid altogether and stating that global warming was bogus he would do it. Does he actually believe in any of it? No.
And so now he says that he wants to ensure that we get a referendum on the EU in 2017 by passing legislation now. This is all Westminster Willy waving. If Thatcher were leading the Tories she would say “there will be a referendum NOW.”
And so when Cameron says that he will now “listen to the little people” you should ask “why the hell were you not listening before?” And then ask yourself will he act on what he hears? The answer is probably not a lot and if so only grudgingly. And if UKIP went up in smoke not at all.
If UKIP was in power it would attract folks from the political classes and elite and I would probably start to despise and mistrust it too. But right now it is not. And since there is no ideological difference of note between the three grubby parties of old (most of whose leading MPs had to hand back cash they stole from us via expenses) I can see no reason to abandon UKIP. The protest will go on and hopefully grow. And Cameron is a good reason (as are his fellow Oxbridge PPE, never had a proper job, pals Miliband and Clegg) for that growth to continue.
As I sit at Bristol Temple Meads preparing to head up to London it is 8.30 AM and just 7 of 34 councils have declared the local results from last night. But already it is clear that the ONLY clear winner is UKIP. There is little doubt that Nigel Farage’s party will make further big gains from the other 27 counts and that it is a triumph. But does it mean much?
The results are pretty spectacular given that four years ago UKIP stood in few of these seats. In other words they have come from nowhere. As things stand UKIP is on 42 seats (level pegging with Labour) and a net 42 ahead. The Tories are 66 down, the Lib Dems 15 down and Labour 30 ahead. Where UKIP has stood it has averaged 27% of the vote and should gain c20% overall – well ahead of the Lib Dems and not far behind Labour.
So what does it mean? The easy calls first.
Together with its abject result in the South Shields by-election (the worst by a major party since 1948) the locals are a disaster for Nick Clegg and the Lib Dems. There will be yet more angry beardy weirdies losing their seats today and calls for Clegg to go will be heard. To sacrifice your principles in pursuit of power (secret courts, gagging the press, etc.) is bad enough. To sacrifice your activist base with their cushy Councillors allowances as well is a disaster. It is hard to see the Lib Dems making anything other than big losses come the General Election.
Folks like my Dad had hoped that UKIP would take mainly Tory votes so let the Lib Dems win in all those traditional Blue on Yellow contests. But the Lib Dem vote has just evaporated going to Labour, the Tories, to UKIP in big numbers and just to nowhere. What is the point of the Lib Dems anymore? No longer a protest vote they have no principles either. Can it still be described as “one of the three main parties?”
Labour should have done marginally better. It has also lost votes to UKIP and also to “I can’t be bothered.” But in largely rural areas this was never going to be a night for big headline gains. It is probably satisfied enough given the problems facing the other “main parties.”
Call Me Dave’s Tories had prepared the ground for a disaster by saying that they expected to lose 350 seats. They will thus meet those low expectations and say “midterm blues, we are listening, blah, blah, blah.” Well maybe, but it strikes me that the results are pretty dire and UKIP is clearly eating into its vote.
It is all very well to say that this is just a protest. But I sense that the same people will protest in the same way in next year’s Euro elections. It might just become a habit for some of us.
And so to UKIP. It has done spectacularly well in terms of seat gains and its percent of the vote. It will gain more than 100 seats so confounding the polls. It is winning in Counties up and down the land although the results from Lincolnshire (where migrant workers are an issue) are a real stand out. Its activists are the only activists of any party to be en thu9sed and will be out recruiting and building up the party all summer. It is perfectly conceivable that by the end of 2014 UKIP will have more party members than the Lib Dems.
Will this ever translate into MPs? That is a harder call. But for a postal voting set up by the political elite to protect incumbent parties UKIP would have won Eastleigh and come close in South Shields. At this rate it will win a by-election at some stage.
The old parties dismiss UKIP as a protest vote, a party without policies and a home for fruitcakes, racists and assorted loons. They do so at their peril. On Question Time last night, David Starkey ( more on this later) was bang on the money when he described the anger at the failure of the established and quasi hereditary political and media elite to address the real concerns of we mere plebs while, ostentatiously living the high life at our expense.
I disagree with UKIP on immigration. But there is a debate that should be heard. However the main parties have closed down that debate by branding anyone who raises the issue a racist. That fat old career politician scumbag Ken Clarke was at it again last weekend.
On a day when Russian scientists warned that we now face a period of global cooling, I saw Alan Johnson dismiss UKIP as loons because they did not believe in global warming. Bloody hell the next thing you know UKIP will dare to suggest that the Earth is not flat. Bloody loons. Actually Alan, the loons are the political elite who have spent squillions and raised taxes for we mere plebs to fight Global warming on the back of bogus science. The elite just knew better. It always does. And that is why so many of we plebs hold you all in contempt.
Did I mention MPs expenses? Westminster is still packed with proven fiddlers – men and women who stole from the taxpayer. And I am told that UKIP are clowns or lectured that I am racist if I do not vote for parties lead by thieves?
And there is Europe. The UK clearly wants a vote now. Not in 2017. And we want to vote No. Yet the mainstream parties force on the mere plebs silly votes on voting systems or whether we want elected Mayors or on which nonentity will waste our cash as a Police Commissioner but deny us a say on this matter. It is too important and complicated for it to be left to the plebs.
And we are told that the TV debates in 2015 will feature the leaders of the three main parties only. This is a win win for UKIP. If it is allowed into the debate Farage will tear the three lightweight main party leaders to shreds. If he is excluded (given that it will win the Euro elections next year) that will clearly be a scandal and will ram home the point that the political elite want not open debate but simply to protect the status quo.
So yes, UKIP did well on protest. But if the main parties continue to support expense fiddling MPs and to ignore the wishes of the electorate on a wide range of issues and to clearly gang up on UKIP to protect the status quo, that protest vote will harden. The choice in the 2015 General Election will be between three parties offering candidates from the “beltway classes” and a basically pro-European social democrat platform and a refusal to address or discuss awkward issues. I cannot see why anyone would be enthused to vote for this and UKIP is now a credible fourth way.
Just for the avoidance of doubt I am not a UKIP party member and will not be voting at all on May 2nd. However I cannot say that I am put off UKIP by Tory Grandee Kenneth Clarke labelling its leaders as clowns and anyone voting for it as a racist. In fact such a pathetic attack merely makes me think even less of Call Me Dave’s Tories and of the fat old fool that is Ken Clarke.
Clarke states that UKIP is largely a protest by folks against the established parties. He may be correct. The established parties have produced a political class which has engaged in systematic expenses fiddling and extraction of ever more cash from the public purse. And on issues such as the EU they are almost united in ignoring the wishes of most voters. They are an out of touch elite. And with his cushy non-executive directorships as a sideline and having supported every doomed Euro project from the ERM to Britain’s membership of the Euro, the fat complacent Clarke is a typical member of that class.
Rightly many of us view the lot of them with contempt. If the political class get a bloody nose from UKIP in largely irrelevant local elections on May 2nd they deserve it.
As it happens I disagree with UKIP on immigration. Listening to Nigel Farage’s speech at UKInvestor Show I winced as he touched on the issue and also on that of gay marriage which I support. My partner (female and British Asian) has real problems with UKIP on these sort of matters and I can understand why.
But the EU is an important matter for me as is the way that the mainstream parties are all committed to pissing away billions on tackling the non-issue of global warming and are failing to tackle the appalling finances of Bankrupt Britain. And I do hold the entire political class in contempt for their corruption. And so I would not mind UKIP doing well on May 2nd. Being told that I am a racist for feeling that way just makes me despise Clarke and his ilk all the more. What the fat old fool is effectively saying is “to prove that you are not a racist you must support the established clique of corrupt politicians who ignore your views on a range of matters.” What a horrible man Clarke is.
As to UKIP being led by clowns? Well maybe. But look who makes the charge. Farage strikes me as rather more credible than a lifetime career politician who has feathered his own nest with big business directorships on the side and who has on almost every great issue since he took part in stabbing Margaret Thatcher in the back got it 100% wrong.
Across Europe, from Greece to Ireland electorates are revolting against established political classes who are corrupt and out of touch. The fat old men who have run Greece or France or Spain have far more in common with each other and with Ken Clarke than any of them have with their own electorates.
In some places this revulsion leads to support for truly loathsome and unpleasant anti-establishment parties (Golden Dawn in Greece, the Front Nationale in France or Sinn Fein in Eire). In others it is UKIP style parties who are surging. There are clearly a few nutters in UKIP who hold rather vile views but a few nutters does not represent the whole party. As an outlet for justifiable anger I’d rather the outlet was UKIP than some of the darker forces at play elsewhere in the Evil Empire.
Instead of insulting the vast numbers of folk who has had enough of the mainstream parties people like Ken Clarke might consider why they have had enough. UKIP is not the problem. It is men like Ken Clarke who are the problem.
Staffed entirely by global warming nutters the Met Office finally admitted in the Autumn that the world was not getting hotter and thus that its long term forecasts were …wrong. But at least we can rely on its short term forecasts then? Er…no.
The Met Office three-monthly outlook at the end of March 2012 stated: "The forecast for average UK rainfall slightly favours drier than average conditions for April-May-June, and slightly favours April being the driest of the three months." The Met Office has now ‘fessed up and states: "Given that April was the wettest since detailed records began in 1910 and the April-May-June quarter was also the wettest, this advice was not helpful."
But maybe that was a fluke? Er. Try this one: 20 December 2012: "For February and March the range of possible outcomes is also very broad, although above-average UK-mean temperatures become more likely". This week: The Met Office confirms that it could have been the coldest March in the UK for 51 years.
I could go on and on. The fact is that The Met’s long term forecasts have all be wrong and its short to medium term forecasts are sometimes wrong and sometimes right. Now if my three legged cat Oakley was making forecasts he would be right sometimes and wrong other times. But Oakley would cost the taxpayer far, far less. Is the Met Office a) fit for purpose or b) good value for money or c) neither?
I often feel like I am in 1984. “We are at war with Eastasia. We've always been at war with Eastasia.” And so I am asked to believe that the loons have always told us that man-made emissions cause climate change. They have always said that they caused climate change.
I do not recollect it being that way. I am sure that in the early years of this scare we were told that man-made carbon emissions caused global warming. And that there was a proven link and Big Brother reminded us that 99% of scientists told us that the world was going to get much warmer unless we changed our ways, handing over more of our money and liberties to the State.
But the world has, as we know, not got warmer since 1997. In fact it appears to be a tad cooler. Certainly it is frigging cold where I am here in Airstrip One. And so this, we are now told, is clear evidence of climate change.
Except that, again in my dim and distant memory, I remember it snowing in March and indeed on my sister’s birthday in April back in the era before Big Brother told us all that we were suffering from global warming. Ooops. “We are suffering from climate change, we have always been suffering from climate change, we were never suffering global warming.” Silly me. Off to room 101 for TW.
So a serious question from me, answers in the comments section below: “When did the loons stop officially referring to global warming and start referring to climate change?”
And so I found my way to Oxford on Saturday to a party at the house of my sister Naomi to celebrate the 25th Wedding Anniversary of my father and step mother and also my father’s 75th birthday next week. My father and step mother are actually second cousins and eons ago when she was an undergraduate at Oxford and he a post graduate he took her to the Opera as a cousin-friendly gesture. 26 years ago they met for the first time in 20 years at the wedding of another mutual cousin. He took her to the opera again and within nine months they were getting married in Malmesbury, Wiltshire.
It was a lovely sunny and warm March day. Ireland won a six nations match that day and I mentioned that in my best man’s speech. After 25 years of global warming we gathered to celebrate that day as the snow fell heavily in Oxford. It was my father and Helen’s oldest friends (a group he refers to as the Coffin Dodgers) plus my sisters (and husbands) and my step sisters and brother, young Tom. I am middle Tom. My father is big Tom.
I was banned from mentioning certain subjects in a gathering where I suspect myself and step sister Flea (pictured below) were the only non-Guardian readers.
It was a deluded lefty hothouse. And so I bit my lip and did not say to everyone how many inches of global warming was falling in the garden or raise any other controversial issues like, er… everything I believe in. And so conversation was largely about non-controversial matters such as the new slide-rule that brother in law Nils had bought himself as a present and which seemed to fascinate him and young Tom. Given that it was poor Nils who received for Christmas a year’s membership of the Labour party from his wife (my sister Naomi) I guess a slide rule is a notch up on the excitement scale.
I am too young to have used such a device but apparently you can get instruction manuals very easily…on the internet and it is odd to think of folks using such a device in the pre-calculator age but also that the only way a new generation can understand how such a device works is by using the same technology that killed it off in the first place.
So no fights and a lovely day. Happy anniversary to my father and his uber deluded leftie but otherwise utterly commendable wife Helen.
I feel it is almost poetic. It is less than 24 hours since the king of the Global Warming Nutters ‘fessed up and admitted that the world had not got any colder for 17 years ( see here ). I am still celebrating that capitulation from the old crook Rajenda Pachauri and as I gaze out of the window at Real Man Pizza Company, the snow is falling gently on Clerkenwell. It is almost poetic. I am so glad thatI did not throw away all my winter woolies when Al Gore.Chris Huhne/Call Me Dave and the other nutters told me that winters were a thing of the past.
The UN’s climate change chief, Rajendra Pachauri, who has made a personal fortune peddling this bogus science of the back of bogus data has today ‘fessed up to the inconvenient truth. Dr P has admitted that there has now been a 17-year pause in global temperature rises, confirmed recently by Britain’s Met Office.
But Dr P is undeterred and insists that this pause needs to last “30 to 40 years at least” to break the long-term global warming trend. That is prize crap on two grounds.
1. The world got colder 1939 to 1976. It then got hotter 1976 to 1995 ( a spell of 19 years). In other words on the basis of 19 years warming you can demand wholesale changes in the behaviour of humankind but to prove a reversal of a trend you need 40 years? Put another way, in the past 73 years we have has just one 19 year spell of warming as opposed to cooling. What is the trend and what is the blip?
2. The changes and vast expenses we all face as a results of demands made by the global warming nutters were based on computer programmes that predicted clear and linear warming from 1995 onwards directly linked to carbon emissions. Carbon emissions have carried on increasing. The world has not got hotter. The programmes have been wrong 17 years out of 17 so far. So why would anyone sane place any bets on their 50 and 100 year predictions being correct?
At least we see one sinner starting to repent. Who next? Al Gore? The BBC? The EU, Polly Toynbee? Chris Huhne? Call Me Dave? Line up, line up.
Every time I come here it seems to snow. My deluded lefty step mother, who ticked me off earlier today for referring to global warming as opposed to climate change, is now safely in bed. The cat & I have thus switched the heating on full blast as an inch of global warming, oops, sorry 2.54 centimetres of climate change has now fallen. Needless to say I am travelling back to London tomorrow and so expect wholesale travel chaos. I feel cursed.
More details emerge about liar, criminal and ex MP Chris Huhne every day which are guaranteed to nauseate. The windfarm and global warming nutter made his ex wife have an abortion for the sake of his career (she says) and there was a mistress prior to the lesbian he hooked up with before ditching the ex Mrs Huhne. This is all pretty unpleasant but is a private matter. What matters is the money.
Multi millionaire Huhne always played the expenses game aggressively – claiming for the cost of a Trouser Press amongst other things. And days before quitting as an MP – when he knew that the game was almost up – he happily claimed for an Ipad (at £700) and stiffed the taxpayer with an expenses claim. Various of his smug colleagues demand he repay that sum to deflect from the real question: why the hell does an MP need an Ipad anyway and why the hell should the taxpayer pay for it?
How many other sleazy MPs have bought an Ipad and put it on expenses?
The real kick in the groin for the taxpayer is that Huhne will get a £70,000 payoff for standing down as an MP. Just imagine that you were suddenly exposed as a liar and a criminal and were days away from going to prison. What would your employer say? I somehow doubt that it would be “okay resign and here is one year’s salary as compensation.” Now Nick Clegg and other MPs are starting to get huffy puffy about this payoff too, pointing out that Huhne is loaded anyway.
His wealth is a side issue. That is just playing to the rabble with envy politics. There is no point in Huhne simply not taking the £70,000 as a one off gesture (well it would be good of him) – if MPs were serious and not just showing faux outrage hey would change the system (and should have done it ages ago) so that any MP (or Lord) who is found guilty or pleads guilty to a criminal case gets not a cent of compensation. And our esteemed leaders should not be able to quit (and get compensation) if they are under investigation just to jump the payoff gun.
Rush that rule change through and the moral pressure on Huhne to not claim his £70,000 increases. So why are MPs not happy to agree to that simple change in the rules for all MPs?
To celebrate the news that Lib Dem MP and windfarm and all round global warming nutter Chris Huhne is now officially a liar and a criminal we offer you the chance to treasure this moment with a new line of T-Shirts, mugs and hoodies available for immediate delivery in a range of colours.
All are available exclusively from our online store allowing you to celebrate the demise of this EU loving, global warming freak and liar and criminal.
Windfarm and general all round global warming nutter and Lib Dem MP Chris Huhne has for months protested his innocence on the charge of perverting the course of justice – that is to say getting his ex wife to take speeding points for him. Today he has pleaded guilty in Court. So Huhne is not only a liar but will very shortly be a convicted criminal too and, fingers crossed, heading off to gaol. Given that during his period of procrastination and lies he has continued to claim MP’s expenses might this multi millionaire now be required to pay them back? I doubt it. Does he get an MP’s normal payoff? I expect so.
And now we face a by-election in Eastleigh, formerly a Tory/Lib Dem marginal. It is hard not to see the Lib Dem vote collapsing given that they are nationally hated and the circumstances of the contest. In that part of the world Labour is about as popular as the late Jimmy Saville and so UKIP will be licking its lips. There is no threat of “letting Labour in” by voting UKIP in this one-off contest. One imagines that the traditional Tories of Eastleigh are not exactly enthused by the tone of Call Me Dave’s conservatism. And so this may be the day. The odds have to be on a result of Conservative, UKIP, Lib Dem, Labour and then the assorted loons, but you never know. I would imagine that round at UKIP headquarters the excitement is tangible.
It was meant to be the 8 PM. But it was late. I am on my way to Warwickshire on family business. The main line up to Didcot seems problem free. After that it gets worse as it is snowing again. I think I can make it though by train to Moreton-in-Marsh but that is where my problems begin. My father is the world’s worst driver in perfect conditions. After dark? In the snow? Forget it. And so how to get to Shipston-on-Stour? This is an Agatha Christie murder in the Cotswolds vicarage in the bleak midwinter – sort of Roger Ackroyd but in Warwickshire.
Perhaps I might already have hidden my cross country skis behind the railings at Moreton and just speed over the hills to Shipston? There is more chance of that than of getting a taxi. Nine firms tried, four answered and that was only to say that “it is snowing, good night.” Maybe I might hitch a lift if there is anyone else mad enough to travel on a train into rural white-out tonight?
Let’s be realistic. I have booked into the Bell Inn for the night. A roaring fire. A stiff whiskey from the landlord who keeps looking out over the wintry fields with a worried eye. The mystery blonde woman of a certain age in the corner with her plain, but attractive, hen pecked daughter. And there is a report that David Mills has escaped from Tessa Jowell’s farmouse retreat near Shipston and is on the loose. Who is that Italian gentleman in the corner who keeps on mumbling about Rubies?
All credit to the Bell Inn, had I arrived a bit earlier its owner (Chris) said he would have dropped me at Shipston free of charge. Chris dares to do what the professional tax drivers fear: i.e. drive a car. If you are ever tempted to spend a weekend in Moreton (a lovely small town) I heartily recommend a stay at the Bell Inn on the high street (for just £45).
The Met Office was one of those bodies that, like the BBC, one used to trust. Back in the old days when weathermen were hired for having some sort of brain power ( Giles, Fish, etc) rather than for having big tits, you accepted that they might miss the odd hurricane but accepted that they were doing their best to keep you informed. How that changed. Like the Biased BBC the Met Office has been in the grip of global warming nutters for some years and this has produced ever more bizarre behaviour. Let us discuss rain.
I start with a quote from 23 March 2012 from the Met: “The forecast for average UK rainfall slightly favours drier-than-average conditions for April-May-June as a whole, and also slightly favours April being the driest of the 3 months. With this forecast, the water resources situation in southern, eastern and central England is likely to deteriorate further during the April-May-June period… This forecast is based on information from observations, several numerical models and expert judgement.
By 16th April we were warned that 32 million Britons faced drought until after Christmas: “Seventeen counties in South West England and the Midlands have moved into official drought status, after two dry winters have left rivers and ground waters depleted. The news comes as the Environment Agency warned that the drought could last beyond Christmas. While rain over the spring and summer will help to water crops and gardens, it is unlikely to improve the underlying drought situation”
This was directly attributed by the Met ( and by other global warming nutters) to manmade climate change. More CO2 emissions = a hotter planet = droughts.
And now I bring you a quote from the BBC from January 3rd 2013:
“The frequency of extreme rainfall in the UK may be increasing, according to analysis by the Met Office. Statistics show that days of particularly heavy rainfall have become more common since 1960. The analysis is still preliminary, but the apparent trend mirrors increases in extreme rain seen in other parts of the world.”
This begs three questions:
a) The BBC used this as clear proof that carbon emissions were causing climate change, i.e. more extreme rain. So if there is a drought it is down to man made climate change. Or if there is no drought but flooding it is down to …er, man made climate change. Go figure. As it happens the data is far from linear which is what you would expect if there was a correlation between C02 emissions and any form of man made climate change. As we now know, with the world having got cooler 1940-76, hotter 1976 to 1996, cooler 1997-2012 while all the time CO2 emissions rose at the fastest rate in history, there is clearly NO proven causal connection between climate change and C02 emissions, indeed the data suggests that there is no link at all.
b) If the Met cannot forecast weather three months out why the hell should we spend billions combating changes to the climate which it forecasts 30 year out? All the models produced by global warming nutters like the UEA for the period 2000-2012 have been just plain wrong so far. So why should we bet the bank on them being right in future?
c) The data for rainfall 1960 to April 2012 was available in April 2012. So why did the Met not refer to that data? It appears to have ignored it completely instead basing its 100% inaccurate drought forecasts on “observations, several numerical models and expert judgement.” What are those numerical models? Who are the experts whose judgement was just plain wrong?
It is taxpayer’s cash that funds the Met. As such who is going to submit a FOI request to establish the names of those experts and the details of the numerical models used? And also to establish why the Met chose to ignore the long term data until now? I sense that the answers might be rather revealing.
I do not expect the Met to change its tune. Its website still blathers on about man made climate change as does the BBC. It is just that as a taxpayer I resent paying for this tripe. Both venerable institutions have lost my trust completely.
The shock revelation that my deluded lefty sister Naomi is to give her poor husband Labour Party membership for Christmas naturally begs the question what do I get the rest of my family ( all deluded lefties) for Christmas, or Winterval as they would have it. And so my Saturday musical medley starts with a classic from the Right Brothers “
That is a pretty American list. Maybe for the UK my family and other deluded lefties might start with “Letters from the Chestnut Tree cafe” available at just £5 HERE. or perhaps with a selection of “It’s Time to Leave” T-shirts, sweatshirts and coffee mugs? Perhaps for folks who talk about the Malvinas (Naomi) a “Piss off Argentina T-shirt? The mugs and T-shirts are all available HERE.
Back to the music. A couple of other offerings from the Right Brothers who seem like a sensible bunch of chaps. I shall skip over “Bush was Right” and start with “Stop Global Whining” which is pretty self explanatory but does highlight the inconvenient truth of the medieval warm period pretty brilliantly.
Next up is one for the teaching profession: “Shut up and teach.”
And finally, last but not least, the all time classic: “The List…liberals we can’t stand”
I am again engaged on family matters and so sitting in Shipston with my father. He is aware that i am about to report back on today’s deluded lefty activities from my family. They are (with the glorious exception of little step sister Flea) utterly deluded.
We will shortly light the fire here. It is freezing. My Dad trousers his pensioner’s winter fuel allowance but amid a heated debate about global warming the actual heating is never switched on. I have tweaked the dial without telling him. It is still freezing. And so yesterday’s Guardian will once again start its useful life in a few minutes with Toynbee’s gibberish and the rest going up in smoke.
But there is, I am proud to reveal, another useful purpose for the BBC’s sister publication. My step mother posts a few sheets of it on her windscreen at night and so has frost free vision in the morning. I knew that the Guardian could do some good. Sadly a frost bitten rag is no good on the fire so those sheets are placed carefully in whichever bin is the organic non food recycling depository.
Sister Naomi popped over to see my father and me today – step mother Helen being elsewhere. Whilst I slaved away at my PC and carried their organic live Christmas tree outside (apparently, and unbelievably, the tree finds it too hot here and so is being given a breather outside until next week) Dad and Naomi went off to the pub where they read the Sun and the Daily Telegraph respectively. This is clearly a guilty pleasure for such folk. Returning home my sister revealed the romantic Christmas present she has lined up for her husband this Christmas…..
A year’s membership of the Labour Party. Saints preserve me. Can I really be from the same gene pool?
Hooray, the UK is once again to allow fraccing. This is a process that allows gas to be released from shale rocks. And we are sitting on vast reserves. We could quite plausibly have discovered a new resource equivalent to 25% of our North Sea gas reserves. Perhaps there is even more as exploration to date has been limited. So I guess that means that gas bills ( $10 mmBTu) will fall to US levels ($3mmBtu) – in the US fraccing means that the country has massive supplies of gas. Er…no. If we exploit this gas fully gas prices will go up. Such insanity can only come from global warming nutters and the EU. Of course it does.
David Kennedy of the “Climate Change Committee” a Quango which spouts hot air on climate change to validate the coalitions’ crackpot wind farm policies explained it all on radio 4 this morning. If we exploit no gas then fuel bills will increase by £100 by 2010 because we are being forced to pay to subsidise wind and solar power projects. These projects are far less efficient producers of power than natural gas power stations.
If however we use that gas then bills go up by £600 per family as not only do we have to pay for the useless wind turbines and solar panels but we get stuffed with a vast fine for producing more carbon. This fine will be passed on to the consumer.
Kennedy first tried to say that fraccing would not release much gas as it might only ever count for 10% of “European gas production.”Er…smell the rat? I do not give a monkey’s arse about how the Froggies or Spaniards or Greeks or Poles or Latvians generate power. Sitting in freezing minus 2 Shipston I care only about UK demand and supply and our fracced gas can give the UK a very healthy gas supply for many years. Easily enough to scrap our solar and wind programmes which, at a great cost, generate very little power.
So we could just tell the Evil Empire to stick its carbon taxes where the sun don’t shine ( that is normally above solar panels in an increasingly cold Britain) and scrap our solar and wind programmes and use gas instead. Fuel bills would actually fall.
The only argument against such a policy is that gas emits carbon. Yup. With global carbon emissions increasing steadily for 200 years we have had cold runs and warm runs. Right now we have had 16 years of a cold run. There is no link between ever higher carbon emissions and the planet getting hotter or colder. Data shows that. Global warming is a religion and an increasingly costly one for all of us whether we are believers or not as the fraccing farce shows in spades.
I tweeted out a link to an article the other day with #Doha in its title. That is where al sorts of self important NGO and political scumbags are meeting to discuss how after 16 years of global cooling they are going to spend gazillions of pounds of taxpayers cash to stop global warming. Hey presto something called #Doha immediately retweeted me to its 111 followers.
You have to be a prize global warming nutter to sign up to receive some of the 6,600 tweets emitted by this beastie. But if you want to the 111 eco-loons who do indeed follower #Doha might I suggest tweeting out #Doha global warming is a con or #Doha you can stick Michael Mann’s fraudulent hockey stick where the sun don’t shine, etc, etc.
So who are these eco-loons who want to receive these great pearls of #Doha wisdom? One grabbed my eye: @Petercoville “Philosophy teacher, climate activist, London occupier.” His twitter feed is a scream – a triumph of deluded lefty garbage. One assumes that he would not teach in a fee paying school (that would be delightful hypocrisy worthy of Comrade Margaret Hodge) and so his existence is funded by the grateful taxpayer. I wonder if he actually does teach anymore since he is clearly very busy being an “activist” as well as tweeting and reading all the #Doha tweets. Perhaps he is on welfare? Either way you and I fund his lifestyle.
And he is happy to take more from us. On 7th December he tweets out to a comrade “are you properly insulated? Just got mine redone for free.” So the taxpayer pays for an improvement to his place. Is that council housing (i.e. subsidised by the taxpayer) or is he a member of the property owning classes, like all the best deluded lefties.
Presumably, given that his existence is so heavily funded by the taxpayer (that is to say companies that invest and so pay taxes and employ people who then pay taxes) he is grateful. Er..no.
Yesterday he retweets @RadicalEcologist “Corporations destroy the environment. They will never reform themselves. They will always put profit ahead of everything else.”
I give up. I wonder whether it is better for this country if this prize loon stays on welfare forever or actually gets a non job polluting the minds of the next generation: But before I depart, to leave you to send off a few #Doha tweets I bring you a few other gems from Comrade Colville:
4th December: M.Lowy: “decisions on #investment…must be taken away from the banks & capitalist enterprises in order to serve society’s common good“.
1st December: personally I’d just ignore pillocks who post insults on social media
6th December: @suzanne_moore ok we got the message Friedrich von Moore.
But the piece de resistance from Comrade Colville arrives on 24th November: I wouldn’t just take foster kids from #UKIP foster parents, I’d take ‘em off #Tory foster parents too.
I was tempted to try to find a caption to reflect today’s news from David Cameron of his new flagship policy to reach out to address the key concerns of hard pressed middle England in these austere times. That is to say, allowing gay marriages in Church.
Having won such praise for our last caption contest featuring the Butcher of Londonderry I considered that in this season of goodwill we revisit Ulster which is still part of the United Kingdom but where, in an act of pure sectarian malice designed to provoke, the Union Flag will not now be flown over City hall in Belfast except on special occasions. If there is a problem what do you do? Send for an O’Clinton of course. The family that has brought peace, love and happiness to folks in Iraq, Syria, Egypt, Libya and the Lewinsky family, can do anything and so the vile Clinton woman met up with Martin McGuinness ( who must have been gutted that the EU rather than he won the Nobel Peace Prize) to sort it all out.
But I cannot think of anything funny to say about McGuinness any more. And so I fall back on the Doha Climate Change conference where Dave Cameron came up with another big vote winner: give two billion quid to African dictators to build wind farms to tackle global warming.
In light of this I ask you for your captions for this photo taken today. To win one of our “It’s Time to Leave” (the EU) T-shirts (which you can buy here.) please post your entries in the comments section below to this picture:
My entry is:
Sheep One: I really do think that £2 billion David Cameron has handed over to Africa will make a difference and won’t be stolen by corrupt leaders and officials
Sheep Two: But more importantly we might stop global warming before it is all too late.
Sheep Three: And Call Me Dave says that Dolly and I can get married in a church next year!
Sheep Four: So, it’s decided, no more dithering we are all voting Tory in 2015.
Last week I asked you for your captions to this picture:
All entries followed a similar Divine Line. And so the independent judge has awarded the prize to a Mr T Winnifrith (not my Dad before Christian Aid complains) for:
“Thank God for Leveson. Next time I get a hooker to give me a kerbside blow job it will ONLY appear on the internet.”
Good luck with your entries for this week’s contest, Post away.
My Guardian reading father is an incredibly generous contributor to Christian Aid. But still they want more. It is after all better to give than to receive and they are just helping to save his soul. And so once a week he gets a call asking him to up his contribution. Bad luck Christian aid. My father is at a funeral and so when you called today and asked for Mr T Winnifrith I replied truthfully that they were speaking to Mr T Winnifrith and…
As you may have noticed, Bankrupt Britain has today pledged yet more cash (£2 billion in total) to help poor countries tackle climate change. Sure the UK will have a balance sheet like that of Greece two years ago by 2020 but who cares? Just piss it all away. Well Christian Aid cares. It is not their cash anyway, just like it is not the Government’s cash. It is the taxpayer’s cash but no-one asked us.
Christian Aid’s senior climate change adviser Mohamed Adow said: ‘We welcome this new pledge by the UK to provide mid-term climate finance. It is an encouraging move and forces the hand of other developed countries. The UK must push them to make their own commitments.
‘If other developed countries continue to offer vague assurances rather than solid commitments, their claims about showing leadership in tackling climate change are like a mirage in the Qatari desert.
‘The UK has promised that half of the £1.8 billion will go towards helping countries adapt to climate change, which is also welcome. Previously, most climate finance has gone on mitigation efforts to reduce emissions. Given the terrifying impact of climate change already making itself felt, this is a step in the right direction.
Bollocks to you Mohamed and bollocks to Christian Aid.
a) The world has got colder for the past 16 years and so there is absolutely zero evidence linking carbon emissions to global warming
b) Britain is going bankrupt and cannot afford this.
c) Money is going to places like Uganda where £12 million of Irish money has recently just “gone missing” (i.e. gone to Swiss bank accounts) and where the President when not pushing through laws to make homosexuality punishable by death spent £25 million last year on his private Jet. Uganda spends a far greater percent of Government spending on defence & security than does, say, the UK.
And so I told Christian Aid that for welcoming plans to accelerate the bankruptcy of Britain by funding African crooks and spurious projects with taxpayer’s cash it was a disgrace. Mr T Winnifrith is freezing his contributions and if he is plagued with one more call will consider cancelling them altogether.
And it is all true. I did not lie. My personal contributions are frozen (at nil) and now it looks as if My Dad will not be plagued anymore and his efforts to win deluded left brownie points by handing over cash for despots will be frustrated.
Yup I know it is December so not really a shock (unless you are a total global warming nutter). And I know that it is a bit childish but there is always an excitement in seeing the first snow of the winter. It only becomes a pain later. And so at 3.30 AM as I work on a new book idea I look out of the window and there are huge snowflakes falling on Shipston-on-Stour.
I am again at my father’s house sorting out a few things. It is only about half an hour from the village in which I grew up. Snow lay thick on the ground and roads when I had my first driving lessons 27 years and eleven month ago with Mr Ceney. That was fun. A few years earlier snow meant a day off school if you lived in our village. Harbury was at the top of a steep hill and so it was sometimes too dangerous to try to drive down that hill towards Warwick. Yippeee off to Ufton Hill to sleigh down on a plastic bag.
And now the snowflakes are falling harder. The child in me wants them to settle. Step sister Flea’s very young daughters are staying the night and I know they’d love to throw a few snowballs at Grandpa tomorrow morning. Heck, so would I. The adult in me knows that I have to drive the Old Man into Warwick tomorrow and I am not sure I really fancy doing it on snow covered roads. I am torn.
We have just massively expnaded our range of incredibly offensive “It’s Time to Leave” ( the EU ) merchandise.
We were inspired to launch the original range by those deluded lefties who were setting up an operation to sell organic, ethical eco-friendly T-shirts with messages about what a jolly good thing the Evil Empire the is.
following readedr feedback we have now expanded the range with more colours on offer (true diversity awareness) and also to produce Hoodies and sweatshirts just in case global warming does not happen.
Any orders will be produced by good capitalists (and they are German owned capitalists). The T-shirts are cotton but there is no claim of eco-nonsense- the shipping of them uses lots of carbon. And the message for the Evil Empire is clear. It is an oppressive, authoritarian, anti-democratic organisation and it is time we left.
My problem of what to get my deluded lefty family for Christmas is solved at a stroke.
Bloody hell these inconvenient truths keep on coming. Having spent gazillions tackling the threat of global warming based on computer models which used false data, it just keeps on getting worse for the global warming nutters.
Firstly we learned from the Met Office that the world had, in fact, cooled marginally during the past 16 years.
Then, having been warned a few years ago that the droughts that swept the UK were a presage of global warming we suffer our wettest year in decades.
And now, snow is falling in the Pennines and temperatures are set to fall to minus 3 in some parts until the end of the week. According to forecasters, during December and January we might see minus 20 in some places as the UK faces “one of the coldest winters for a Century.”
Hmmmm my plan to buy cheap land in Scotland to grow olives and vines in a global warming driven Mediterranean climate seems to be coming a cropper. How jolly inconvenient.
As I have noted before, on the political/media scene there is a strong correlation between those deluded lefties who warned that it would be disastrous if Britain did not join the Euro and those who warned that it would be disastrous if we did not spend gazillions tackling global warming.
I await the apology of the guilty men but not with baited breath.
Remember a few years ago when the BBC and the newspapers were full of pictures of dry riverbeds across England? It was all down to global warming and was a foretaste of what was to come. Yup. Having come up to Warwickshire on unexpected family business I was this morning keen to make my escape to Bristol by train. But arriving at Moreton in the Marsh station I was told that flooding meant there were no trains from Worcester to Bristol or Swindon to Bristol.
As I waited for a lift back home, having missed the 10.45 to Worcester, a little man ran out and said that actually there were some trains. His computer was wrong and he had made phone calls. I could “chance my arm” and head off to Worcester but he could not guarantee that I would in fact get past Gloucester. More rain is on the way.
No offence to Gloucester which is, I am sure, a very nice place but the idea of spending 24 hours at its railway station while the waters subside does not float my boat. Or my ark.
And so I am back with my family of deluded lefties in Shipston. Of course they know the problem. The rain is all down to man made climate change. I am sure Thatcher has something to do with it as well. Another 24 hours in Guardian reading la la land beckons.
I am staying with my father for a few days looking after him as my step mother is off in London to see wicked Uncle George. As I have noted before my family (little step sister Flea excluded) are a bunch of deluded lefties and so the paper delivered here every day is The Guardian. Imagine my horror at seeing Polly Toynbee’s face staring at me across the breakfast table in the morning.
I have already had a lengthy discussion about Israel/Hamas (Dad and Step Mother support Hamas ‘natch) and various welfare issues (do not ask). My step mother’s return is delayed by intense flooding here in South Warwickshire which will no doubt be blamed by one and all on Global Warming and/or Thatcher!
But I have found that the Guardian can be useful in one way. My Dad has a great big fireplace and although the logs are damp the Guardian is very burnable. My father was worried that I might be using today’s edition before he had fully digested it. I suggested that he might have a clearer world view if he did indeed burn the Guardian every day BEFORE reading it. But in the end we managed to find some old Toynbee for the fire. He takes delight in the continuing roaring flames. I take delight in what started the roaring flames.
I have thought about this long and hard. As you may have read on this blog here, Google for me to pay it to advertise this blog elsewhere on the world wide web (it wants my cash) but being a bunch hypocritical frigging puritans it will not allow advertisers who use its adsense network to advertise here because it reckons that this website promotes gambling and contains adult content.
You can read my take on its spurious objections to my site HERE.
and about its rank hypocrisy HERE.
And so I have a choice. I can take down pictures of the UK’s top chanteuse Ms Cheryl Cole in a partial state of undress and remove any elements of swear blogging on my site and take Google’s easy advertising money. Or I can leave the blog unaltered and rely on those who advertise outside the Google network to generate a few pennies.
If this was part of a PLC it would be no contest. You cow tow to the great Google. Frankly I cannot see any PLC I have worked for allowing me to say what I think about a whole range of issues in the first place. But TomWinnifrith.com is not part of a public company. This is my call.
I wonder where the boundaries of Google lie now or will lie in the future. If I cave now would I get an edict in a few months saying that my views on Islamofascism or Global Warming or how you cut the defict or on the Evil Empire are somehow unacceptable. So bollocks to Google. I think that Ms Cole deserves celebrating and I have no intention of holding back on saying what I think in the way that I wish to write. If folks want to read my stuff ( which is patently not encouraging gambling or an adult site) – and the evidence is that they do – then great. My hope is that those advertisers who operate outside the Google dictatorship do well from this site and the Google sheep advertisers lose out.
As such, if you are in the habit of spread betting please consider clicking on the London Capital button on my homepage and transferring some trade to a new account there. Use that link and this site generates a few pence every time you trade. London capital is financially solid ( it has stacks of cash) and offers the same sort of service as all big spreadbetting firms. But for NOT using Google they merit support.
I have had a couple of other folks approach me about advertising ex-Google and that is much appreciated. Life is not always about revenue maximisation and the easy route. It should be, if you have a choice, about having some fun while you work. And I continue to hope that the frigging hypocrites and Puritans at Google burn in Hell.
You and I know that hurricanes just happen. No-one is to blame and mankind just carries on. But out there in the twittersphere the left is already working out whom or what is to blame for Hurricane Sandy which is now battering New York. Just to help these simple folk along so that they can cut and paste away for the comments board on the Guardian, BBC, etc here are the top ten candidates for who or what is to blame.
1. George Bush Junior – he caused all that is evil on this planet.
2. Global Warming. I know Sandy is rather cold but it is all to do with Global Warming which was partly caused by George Bush ( see above)
3. The Bankers – they are greedy and had they not stolen so much money Big Government could have used it to stop hurricanes/stop global warming etc.
4. Margaret Thatcher. The fumes from all those babies she personally burned in Liverpool and the mining communities caused Global Warming. See point 2. Besides which she is also evil.
5. The Daily Mail and any newspaper owned by Rupert Murdoch for running lies about 1-4, personally killing all those Liverpool fans at Hillsborough, etc.
6. Dick Cheney. Firms he is involved with will inevitably get clean up contracts so he must have started the hurricane personally. Just like he started the Iraq war personally for the same reason.
7. The State of Israel. Surely you do not believe that Mossad is not involved in starting this hurricane somehow?
8. Ann Coulter, Mark Steyn and also everyone at Fox News for organising lies and dissemination in order to cover up the direct involvement of the entire Republican establishment and the State of Israel in starting this hurricane.
9. Ronald Reagan. Yes he is dead but while still President he engaged Ollie North in a vast conspiracy to trade guns with someone in return for organising a hurricane to wipe out loads of Democrat voters on the East Coast a week before polling day in 2012.
10. George Bush Junior again. You just cannot underestimate how evil this man is.
I hope that helps. Now what is important is that Big Government writes an enormous cheque and takes responsibility for everything so that individuals do not have to lift a finger and everything will be rectified as soon as possible. And that just has to be a big Government led by President Obama who really can change everything including the weather.
Hell’s teeth. By accident I find myself listening to the BBC for 30 minutes and I already deeply regret it. It was a mistake that I shall not repeat. My encounter is with the Today programme and first up was the Reverend John Bell from the Iona community who is just absolutely ghastly. He makes me dream once again of Scottish independence in the hope that this dreadful man would not then pollute the airwaves of a free Britain. Scottish independence or shutting down the BBC. Bell needs to come off air.
The whingeing Scot started with a preamble about how he opposed bipartisan politics. Yeah right. Within a few minutes he was off with a grandiose claim that Jesus came into this world to help the poor, sick, vulnerable and weak. Jesus tried to change their lot on this planet but was blocked by reactionary forces who were engaging in “partisan politics.” Shit. I guess they had wicked Tories back in 20 AD as well.
Bell had within 45 seconds of starting claimed (without evidence) Jesus as one of his own – a sandal wearing, Guardian reading, big State friend of the welfare classes. He was right about the sandals, I suspect, but there is no clear unequivocal case for the rest of it. For Bell, a partisan politician (bad thing) is not one who has any agenda just one who has an agenda that does not fit with his own deluded, typically Scottish, view of the world.
Chatting to Uncle Chris (Booker) afterwards on another matter I shall cover shortly I gather that Bell has form. It seems that Bell/Jesus are also keen supporters of the EU. And, rather like my deluded sister Tabby writing in her Parish magazine, Bell also believes that Jesus wants us to actively combat man made global warming. Tabby cannot help it. My entire family ( bar superstar step sister Flea) are deluded lefties. But at least she is not given a regular slot on taxpayer funded national radio to spout this tripe.
It has been a long but enjoyable week. This week’s video looks back on some of the highlights, notably the Evil Empire winning the Nobel Peace Prize and my battle with AIM listed penny dreadful Sefton Resources (SER) on Tuesday. But I look forward too.
On the Agenda
1. Sefton Resources. I have decided that I am not, after all, finished with chairman Jim Ellerton yet and ask a couple more questions
2. The Evil Empire picking up the Nobel peace prize. Why this is a good thing.
3. Reach4Entertainment (R4E) and the idea of risk reward
4. Global Warming ( en passant)
5. The oil and gold price – I am more bullish than ever and recommend a high sector exposure. But…
6. A long discussion on why a large number of oil and gold stocks should go bust in the next 12 months
7. Plans for next week and the future of this blog – thanking you all again
Everyone knows that I think that global warming is, as a theory, pure bunkum unbacked by evidence or science. And so it is not a surprise that Met Office data admitting that global warming stopped 16 years ago was greeted with a ‘Gotcha’ from me on Sunday. The response from one tweeter was “Yey! Keep driving 4×4’s, don’t recycle burn it, destroy forests, pollute rivers, Go man go. Must feel good knowing all a scam.” Au contraire you have got it all wrong. Being a global warming sceptic is in fact the green thing to do.
You will note that one of my blog roll heroes is a man called John Seymour. He was the guru of self sufficiency and a great influence on my late mother. As a boy (do not laugh) I spent quite a bit of time on hippy communes with my mum and other “believers.”
I do not think communes work as a unit. The idle laze about and the hard working become demotivated. Certainly that was what I seem to remember. I believe in a smaller individual unit which gives liberty and opportunity to that individual. But I am also a devotee of Seymour. He argued that 99% of what comes into our houses today goes out as waste: packaging, energy consumed, sewerage, etc. So much of this could be avoided. And it makes sense to do so in ensuring that our planet is cleaner and uses up less scare resource and is also more efficient. In a Seymour perfect house there is effectively no waste, everything is recycled. I shall write about eco-loos another day. It is my goal to live in such a house one day soon.
But what about global warming? Well the hard data now shows that it is bogus science. As such the gazillions invested in reducing the carbon footprint and the (normally regressive) taxies levied to drive changes in our behaviour were all wasted. That is the sad truth. And of course the waste and taxes continue. I would rather that the Government reduced the deficit so that the UK did not go bust. If there is spare cash then please use it on things that matter such as river-clean projects.
Do I want the Government subsidising me to install a solar panel or wind turbine on my house? No. A Government going bust should not be subsidising any private scheme. But equally I would personally wish to move to a position where I was self-funding in power both by using less electricity and by generating some myself. But I should self-fund that. I should not have to fund the whims of others by a penal tax on my 4×4 (not that I have one) which is levied simply on the basis of bogus science.
To me the Global Warming nutters are the un-Green brigade since they have ensured that gazillions are spent on projects which do not assist the natural world at all. Meanwhile in levying draconian taxes to ensure policy change they have somehow made folks think that preserving the planet is down to the clunking fist of the State. It is not. It is something which, in many ways, we can do best as individuals. Again it is a matter of individual responsibility versus the crushing power of the state.
There is nothing to stop one being both a pretty dark green in many ways but also a global warming sceptic.
My uncle Chris (Booker) is in India where my cousin Nick lives and so has missed the story of the year – the death of the global warming scam. As one of the bravest and fiercest critics of this costly farce he will be mortified. I am sure that when he arrives back in the UK on Wednesday he will be straight into battle. But data which has emerged from the Met Office ends this debate. Al Gore, Call Me Dave, Chris Huhne, the BBC, the Guardian etc – GOTCHA. It is all over for you now. How about you personally start paying back the gazillions taxpayers have pissed away on your fantasies at once.
The Met Office has always been a key supporter of Global Warming. Just check out this section of its website and you will realise that it sides with the BBC/Gore etc on the debate and not with we sceptics. If it has data which shows the world is warming it releases it with great fanfare – note all the hullaballoo about 2010 data (a very warm year) which was released amid a media blitz.
But there is other data which the Met collected and was snuck out the other day with no media fanfare. I wonder why?
Firstly just to recap the case made by the global warming nutters. It is simple. Man made carbon emissions have caused and will continue to cause a steady increase in the global climate so screwing up planet earth.
We sceptics have always argued that the earth gets warmer and cooler (note the medieval warm period) and does so by itself and did so in eras when there were no meaningful carbon emissions. We pointed out that the UAE emails showed that computer models were “tweaked” to show that the world was bound to get warmer.
And today we are vindicated. The Met office data shows that for the past 16 years the worlds has not in fact got hotter – it has stayed at the same temperature. In the prior 16 years it got hotter. In the preceding 40 years it got colder. Throughout this 72 year period carbon emissions have been steadily increasing. And so that causes, first cooling, then warming, then nothing. Well no it does not cause. There has been no causal link established at all. As David Hume (1711-1776) discusses in depth (I knew studying philosophy would help one day!) events can be conjoined but not connected. Hume was of course writing during one of the earth’s cold periods (nothing to do with carbon emissions).
This data from the Met Office comes from 3,000 data sampling points across the globe. Unlike the UAS computer models this is hard data. It is kosher. And it shows that a) those computer models are just plain wrong and b) that the world simply is not getting warmer. The global warming nutters will insist (they are today) that this is just a plateau before uplift in temperatures but:
a) since their models are now shown to be wrong there is just no evidence for this. It is no more than an assertion. It is as scientifically credible and watertight as my assertion that I am the greatest intellect on this planet. There is no evidence at all for either claim.
b) The world has now seen 70 years of straight line increases in carbon emissions on a scale never seen before. Yet temperatures have clearly not shown a straight line increase or decrease. There is now demonstrably no correlation at all between the two.
So what now? Apologies all round? The Nobel committee taking back Al Gore’s prize in order to preserve its own credibility? Oh, maybe not, a bit late for that after Friday. An immediate end to disastrous energy policies that will cost taxpayers gazillions and cause real power shortages? That is what should happen.
But can an entire political class bring itself to admit that it spent so recklessly on so little evidence and was just plain wrong? I doubt it.
The Weekly Tomograph Newsletter has just been emailed to those who are registered. It contains the usual stuff, notably the Caption contest and a link to the most popular articles on this site during the past week. It also contains an exclusive article explaining why the BBC should be more or less scrapped, what would replace it and with news that another big name paedophile scandal from 1970s Kids TV is about to emerge.
You really should register to receive the Tomograph every week here.
You can download this edition of the Tomograph here.
You can downline previous editions of the Tomograph here.
I read in today’s Metro that we have only got four years to save earth. Well I guess I can stop fretting about my pension plan then. This dire warning comes from a collection of “charities and individuals” who say that failure to address climate change is “reckless and short sighted.”
Er, um okay. If we do not act then it is claimed that we are set to breach EU agreed temperature rises of 2 degrees centigrade. But hang on? The world has actually cooled in the past decade so what evidence is there for this claim? None at all. It is sheer bollocks.
If I say that global warming is a load of hogwash I am attacked for “not being a scientist.” So in order to justify the headline “Earth four years from disaster” which scientist does the Metro wheel out? None other than fashion designer and general “good causes” scary loon Vivienne Westwood. Westwood is about as scientifically qualified as I am (actually , I got A grade O-levels in chemistry and physics and geography for that matter – what are her qualifications?) but she is a celeb.
And so, although she is obviously a mad old bag her word counts on matters like global warming eve when she has got her facts patently wrong. Got it.
A few twitter followers of mine say that I should not feel sick that Jeremy Clarkson is trousering a £5 million windfall from the BBC. After all he is a 10 out of 10 politically incorrect fellow so why should he not screw the Beeb? Well up to a point.
Yes Clarkson sounds off in an entertaining manner. I do not always agree with what he says but since he infuriates the sort of folks with whom I always disagree I guess he has to go down as one of life’s good guys. On matters such as global warming he is bang on the money.
Top Gear is pretty watchable and so I cannot object to his £500,000 salary. It is market forces. He can command that so fair game to him. I believe in market forces.
But this deal is different. Five years ago Clarkson and his producer set up Bedder 6 to exploit the global merchandising value of Top Gear. The BBC has a 50% stake in Bedder 6. Now in return for signing another 3 year deal Clarkson is selling his stake for £5 million. Bedder made a pre-tax profit of £15.2 million last year but going forward it is going to have to give a slug of that to Clarkson and his fellow presenters in return for them promoting the brand.
So maybe it makes a few million quid less this year – it will be interesting to see if details are released – shall we say £12 million or (after tax £9 million). In which case Clarkson’s 25% stake should generate a post tax profit of £2.25 million. Given that Clarkson is on the hook for another three years the BBC will make a good return. Of course after three years Clarkson might leave or renegotiate in which case the BBC would be screwed. Top Gear without Clarkson and his team is probably worth not a lot.
But on balance the BBC has got a good deal. Clarkson will make a fortune but that is how capitalism works – all power to his elbow. Except that the BBC gets an enormous state subsidy and is thus able to speculate on projects such as Bedder 6 in a way that the private sector cannot. It crowds out innovation and competes on an uneven playing field. If it makes a killing from activities such as this how about it becomes a real venture capitalist and the license fee is scrapped? I am not sure why the poll tax we all pay should be used for seed capital for its commercial activities. To me that is as wrong as using it for funding the bloated BBC bureaucracy, its Pravda like news service or all those tedious BBC27 channels that nobody watches.
I hope that the anger of the left in seeing a demon like Clarkson trousering such a huge sum might make those who defend the BBC to the hilt start to look again at how this monster is funded.
Man has been tracking solar activity for a long time – the ancient Chinese were bang on the case. And so we have 5,000 years of fairly accurate records of solar sunspots.
Using samples drawn from ice cores we can assemble 5,000 years of records for C02 levels in the atmosphere. And trees etc allow us to do the same for temperature.
Now look at this chart below. It tracks solar sunspots versus global temperature. As you can see there is a fairly good correlation.
The temperatures measures cover the US land mass so that is a big enough sample to be credible.
There is no chart that shows any correlation between C02 levels and global climate. Hence the inconvenient truth of the medieval warm period (1100 to 1400) and the mini ice age of 1700 (which was a global phenomenon, not just a European one).
On the basis of the one chart that does show a correlation and the other which does not, can anyone please explain why it is deemed so illogical to doubt the assertion that man made carbon emissions cause climate change? Over to you global warming nutters…
As ever, it contains an article unique to the Tomograph. In fact this week there are two. A general piece on life and the events of the last week and what is planned for next week and a few thoughts on civil liberties in the peadophile infested old folks home that is Belgium. There is also a run down on the most popular pieces on the blog over the past three weeks in case you missed them.
Okay Mars Inc is not sponsoring the caption contest before is pompous lawyers get onto the case. That is what is termed a little joke in Britain. But Mars provided the highlight of the week. Not you understand that I would eat any of their loathsome 260 calorie, 34.6 grammes of sugar and 9.9 grammes of fat bars even though I understand that doing so will help Mars which is committed to promoting healthy and active lifestyles. Instead it was the way that the pompous lawyers acting for the dickheads who run the US giant have tried to stop some Scottish shop from selling its branded “deep fried Mars Bars.” Mars would not wish to be associated with such a product because of its commitment to healthy and active lifestyles. Yup right. You can read the full story here.
Of course the issue of Scottish health problems is not to be ignored. Life expectancy in some parts of urban Scotland is now, at 57, lower than in the Ukraine. The left blames this on poverty, evil capitalists and wicked Tory cuts. Yup right. Folks do not have to spend their welfare cheques on cigarettes, alcohol and deep fried Mars Bars. It is a lifestyle choice. Living off welfare does not force you to eat crap and drink and smoke. This is a matter of personal freedom, choice and responsibility. Giving these folks far bigger welfare cheques would not turn them into non-smoking, tee-total, tofu munchers.
The issue of accepting responsibility for your own destiny (something the Left cannot abide because the State always knows best and working class folk cannot exist without middle class lefties telling them how to improve themselves) is a matter I have discussed before and shall do again. For now here is this week’s caption contest.
My entry: “Mars honours the winners of its Scottish healthy eating completion with an open air awards ceremony”
If you can do better there is a new prize. We will be expanding out range of T-Shirts and mugs next week with the launch of three new lines. The winner will get his choice of a mug from one of the lines. You can see the ever expanding range, led by our “Piss off Argentina” mugs and shirts here.
To enter the competition either tweet me @tomwinnifrith or post your entry in the comments section below.
Advocates of green energy insist that the price of carbon fuels keeps on going up as the world runs out of them and so we must spend gazillions investing in windmills and solar panels etc. Just for the record, as new oil and coal discoveries continue to be made the facts are rather different.
Here is a chart of the inflation adjusted oil price. It uses an American crude (Illinois)
which is about the same as West Texas Intermediate (WTI) which is the standard US measure and trades today at $95 a barrel.
You will note that in real terms oil is cheaper today than it was in 1979. The data for coal is not that dissimilar (in real terms in it is marginally cheaper). As for natural gas?
Well that is a hoot. I MMBtu in the US costs $3.56 today. I will not even bother with inflation but in 2006 it was $16. The fact is that at such a price production is now being shut in. It will have to increase to unlock reserves which, according to a report just out by Natural Gas Intelligence, will last 100 years. That, without any new discoveries at all, is enough to last the US around 100 years.
And so we need to piss away gazillions because the oil and gas is running out? Er no. Or because it is getting ever more expensive? Er no. Or because it causes global warming? Er… see my article published yesterday here.
I am used to getting hostile comment when I post an internet article which says anything other than buy. If you pour slavish praise on a stock ( however crap it is) you will have praise heaped upon you. Until it goes belly up at which point you are a total loser. But if you dare to suggest that a stock is overvalued you just get abuse. I feel I must bring you some abuse I got today from America.
The article is the one I published earlier on Trina Solar. I am delighted to see that this $320 million capitalised stock has lost 6% today on the back of the piece – there is a link to it lower down on this page. The piece points out that the company’s balance sheet is a train wreck and that it is losing money hand over fist and as such the stock is not worth very much given that industry fundamentals get worse by the day. But I appear to have made two errors.
Firstly I expressed my personal view that global warming was bogus. That attracted the usual stream of abuse from those who adopted an almost religious fervour in suggesting that I was mad. “how dare you suggest that the earth is not flat? Peer group reviews by 99% of cardinals prove that the earth is flat!” I fear that I am about to be summoned to visit the Inquisition in person as I am ordered to repent.
My second error was to suggest that some Chinese companies might go bust. How can they when the 5 year plan has committed to 550 billion of investment asks DSDong76771.
Er… because Chinese politicians are likely to be just as useless as Western ones in “picking winners” to piss away other folks money on.
DSDong76771 is a hoot. I want him or her to comment on my articles more often. I reprint his/her comment in full as I feel that for pure comedy value in merits a wider audience. Over to you DS…
This arthor and a lots of bashers from wall st predict the ldk, tsl, jaso etc will go to dust?
It is ridiculous because they are no clue for China.
China put solar on the first priority for renewable energy. 550 bil for
the 5 years plan. 50 GW by 2020, that means 2500% exploded than
2011. In such a big picture, how solar could be dead.
US Federal Banks can print the billions money for QE1 and QE2. What about China? China has 2 tril dollars for reservation. China will let its major solars go under?
The origin of the phrase Lies, Damned Lies and Statistics is usually attributed to Disraeli although it appears in none of his works and was first reported several years after his death. But it could be made for those who have convinced our leaders to spend gazillions tackling the threat of global warming. When I was a boy, the scientific consensus was that we were heading for a new ice age. Heretics who objected to spending vast sums tackling that “slam dunk cert” were pilloried. You cannot really win. But back to the graph below.
If you look at this it appears alarming. Frankly I can only conclude that we will all fry up by some time in April 2013. Okay, I exaggerate but there appears a clear trend. But of course this is a special from the global warming brigade so all is not as it seems. At this stage I bring in the assistance of Christopher Booker (Uncle Chris) who understands how these things are manipulated.
For starters, Booker points out that is “not particularly helpful” to look at graphs of modern temperatures in isolation, without seeing how they fit into a much longer historical perspective. This is his polite way of saying that looking at a short term trend is utterly misleading since there is no long term context. Booker continues:
“The Modern Warming has been carrying us out of the Little Ice Age for 200 years and temperature rises of the past 30 years are part of a much longer pattern of temperature rise which long predates the modern rise in CO2. As part of that general rise it is useful to look at the rises between 1860-1880 and 1910-1940, which were not dissimilar to the rise between 1980 and 2010, When the global warming scare first got going in the 1980s, it did so on the basis of a ten—year rise no greater or faster than that recorded in the decades after 1910 less than 0.2 degrees.”
You see his point? We have always had short periods when temperatures rise sharply. That is the way of the world. We have not always had CO2 emissions on anything like the scale of today. Thus how can one claim that the most recent temperature rises MUST be caused by CO2 emissions?
Booker continues… “also tending to fog people’s understanding is the tendency to present these temperature fluctuations by exaggerating the vertical axis, so that comparatively minor fluctuations in global temps of a few tenths of a degree look like wild upward swings, If you put the base line much lower, to show the average global temperature rather than just anomalies from an artificial mean, the actual temperature graph looks much more like a straightish line, with a few very modest little wiggles up and down.
By exaggerating the vertical axis the warmists have been able to convey the impression that temperatures have been virtually doubling in recent decades, whereas they have only risen (and indeed fallen) by tiny fractions, Twice in the past 14 years, since the freak El Nino effect of 1998, we have seen temperatures fall by around 0.7 degrees, equivalent to the entire net rise of the whole of the 10th century, They may then have risen again, though never so high as they rose in 1998, but the one thing that is incontrovertible is that the rise in average temperatures has not been anything like so great as that projected by the computer models on which the IPCC and the warmists rely (0.2 degrees-plus per decade), because the models are programmed to assume that a rise in CO2 will produce a commensurate rise in temperatures, This is simply not happening, which reflects the fact that the models are wrongly programmed to rely much too heavily on that assumed correlation between CO2 and temperatures, and also on the assumption that the effect of water vapour, by the far the most significant of the greenhouse gases, is to reinforce the CO2 effect (‘positive feedback’) whereas experts such as Richard Lindzen argue that water vapour produces a negative feedback effect.”
Well there you have it. A friend of mine in Bristol occasionally picks me up for not citing enough primary sources. Well here is a secondary and a primary source. Good enough to convince you Dr D?
The truth is that temperatures have always gone up and down over short and medium term cycles. The 11th century when vines grew in Greenland was a rather hot one as were those that followed. A few hundred years earlier we had the “dark ages” in Northern Europe which was a rather cold period. And temperatures have moved in this way before and after CO2 emissions started shooting up. There is no proven causal effect at all.
Booker: “Nobody actually knows how any of these things work or what really shapes the climate, let alone what the world’s weather is going to be like in 100 years time (or even next week). But the one thing we do know beyond any doubt is that those officially approved computer models are wrong. “
Back to me. Look at the projections made for the past five years back at the turn of the Century. They are already wrong. Yet we are meant to spend gazillions of quid and pass laws on emissions which will send Britain back to the stone ages on the basis of projections made by the same computer models for 50 or 100 years time? For how many more years do the models have to keep getting it wrong before our leaders and betters admit that they got it wrong?
As an aside, there is a graph that I really wish to see which plos on one axis the fervency of a belief that we must spend gazillions tackling global warming and on another the fervency of the public cliams made by the same individual between 2000 and 2005 on how vital it is that join the Euro to prevent our economy collapsing.
You could put in a third axis just for Chris Huhne plotting the speed at which your wife drives.
Christopher Booker (Uncle Chris) and I would agree that climate change is fantasy, a total con. The facts increasingly bear us out. But the gits (sorry Honourable Members of Parliament) who claim to represent us at Westminster have put into force legislation forcing the UK to cut carbon emissions by 80% to tackle this “threat.” In his column today Booker shows just how deluded these fools are.
Booker asked 50 MPs how we were going to meet this target. Not one of the 47 who replied had a Scooby. Of course they do not. 75% of our electricity is carbon emitting. Almost all of our transport system is carbon emitting. To hit these targets which the expense fiddling morons have put into law, Britain must return to the Stone Age.
There are a few who think this is achievable. Before he got into a spot of bother for activities allegedly relating to carbon emissions on the M11, Chris Huhne seemed to want to put wind turbines and solar panels across the land, ignoring a) the huge cost, b) the huge carbon footprint entailed in construction and c) (most importantly) the fact that “renewable” even on a Huhne like scale could not hope to generate enough power to make up that 80% shortfall.
At some stage even the expense fiddlers will realise that these targets are not achievable. If, at that point, they are still jetting off to summits to discuss how to tackle climate change they will reduce the targets and then reduce them again. If we are lucky they will admit that the whole global warming concept was a half-baked con and a scam and will drop the whole plan altogether. If not…bring on another stone age.
Another Master Investor 2012 DVD on offer in this week’s competition. Simply tweet me the answers and first correct answers wins. You may have noticed that it is raining a lot. I gather that during the next three days we will see rainfall equivalent to all of what is normally expected in June.
This heavy rainfall is – like the drought that proceeded it – all part of global warming. Not.
On June 6th in the not so distant past a country cricket match had to be called off. The reason (and this is a Trivial Pursuit question) was why? The answer is “snow stopped play.” Presumably the year was one before global warming was such an issue. Well what year was it and which two teams were playing?
Cairn Energy (CNE) has today announced an agreed 450p a share cash bid for Nautical Petroleum (NPE). This is a 51% premium to the share price pre-talks but a discount to where some folks value Nautical (Westhouse reckons it is worth 550p and that a higher offer may emerge). What does this tell us about AIM listed oil stocks and also where to hunt for value.
Well firstly, even at $86 oil the bigger producers are chucking off a lot of cash. Exploration is high risk (even with modern technology) and so with AIM small-mid caps pretty bombed out it is probably safer to bulk up reserves by “drilling in the City.” Hence the recent Shell bid for Cove and Dragon’s move on Bowleven and Premier’s bid for Encore. Remember also the Total bid for Wessex which its board ( for reasons I simply cannot fathom) rejected. There will be more bids.
Will a higher offer come in for Nautical? It might. A 462p share price suggests that it is possible – effectively folk are buying an option at 12p on a higher bid. I am not sure that I’d fill my boots on that trade but there are worse ideas. But there are also better ideas. See below.
Secondly, even at $86 oil the smaller producers are also making money but valuations are bombed out. I write the other day about how Northern Petroleum (NOP) was arguably valued at less than the value of its cash/Guyane assets and had vast (profitable) Dutch assets, small UK producing assets and huge Italian exploration upside in for less than nothing. It is profitable.
Ernst & Young recently wrote that the whole mid cap sector is “in play.” Who is next? I have no idea whatsoever. Lansdowne, Sterling, Petroceltic, Northern Petroleum, Aurelian – take your pick. I am sure that there are others. I would add a caveat that a company short of cash will be more desperate to find a suitor (Lansdowne) but its bargaining hand if an offer arrives is weaker. And if there is no suitor a cash strapped entity will struggle to refinance in a market where E&P stocks are so unloved. Those with shed loads of cash & a bolshie management (Northern) may try to fight off any approach. Having said that if a cash bid for Northern came in at 120p (or even 105p) I think the management might find it hard to defend.
So I offer up 4 suggestions as potential targets: Sterling, Petroceltic, Aurelian and Northern. If you have a nibble at all 4 you only need one to come good at a 51% premium and you will be feeling pretty chirpy. The others will probably be re-rated after the next bid.
Now some may say – what if the oil price keeps falling? Well I suspect that it will not. Yes, demand growth in Asia and the West is slipping and so there may be short term weakness but demand is still growing and will continue to grow inextricably year on year unless some loon like Chris Huhne or the idiots who run the EU implement global policies to return us to the stone age in order to combat global warming. Supply will not increase to match growing demand and so in the long run we should expect a crude price of $80-140.
The market is valuing mid cap E&Ps incorrectly. After a spate of bids it is clear that the industry is aware of that. This is your opportunity.
The “drought” of Spring 2012 is just one of those things that happen. So was the drought of 1976. So were the ultra cold winters of 1947 and 1963. This is nothing whatsoever to do with global climate change let alone global warming. In fact the earth has actually been cooling for the past decade just as our leaders plan to trash our economy with new carbon taxes to tackle global warming. But any evidence of hotter weather is always trotted out by certain parties as evidence of global warming. Hence we turn to the drought of 2012 (remember that?)
Picking through the Guardian’s outpourings on the subject I found a Guardian Teacher guide for 7-11 year olds. Teachers who read the vile rag are encouraged to discuss drought with their pupils thus:
Create a mashed-up and cross cultural dance routine that reveals how water is important to different people across the world. Flash perform your dance somewhere they would least expect it!
Oh please. Heaven help me. My teachers when I was 7-11 may have been a mixed up bunch of closet homosexuals with a keen interest in ensuring we all took cold showers after rugby and ageing WW2 veterans who beat us senseless (as well as some lovely ladies like Mrs Fawcett, Mrs Fogg and Mrs Hobday) but at least we did not have our minds filled with this mumbo jumbo. I just do not know where to start with this piffle.
Perhaps I digress. My point is that we have now had a vast amount of rain. The rivers and reservoits are full to bursting. My garden is green and the plants are loving it. I see nothing unusual in stacks of rain. It happens now and again. This may well be the wettest summer since records began in Britain. That will in itself be wheeled out as evidence of climate change. But the third wettest was in 1789 – not a lot of carbon emitting jumbos and power stations around then. In other words there is no trend – you just sometimes have wet period and sometimes have dry periods.
At some stage this might just sink in, even among global warming fanatics. As the rain pours down again presumably they are amending their claims made just 3 months ago about drought/global warming. Of course they are not. Global warming is a religion not a science and so facts do not matter.
— Tom Winnifrith
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