Friday May 24, 2019
Photo Article - a Woodlarks training walk up the River Dee
Photo Article from the Welsh Hovel - this is what I do when not writing or walking
Photo Article update from the Welsh Hovel - a sight to delight daughter Olaf

PERSONAL, UNDILUTED VIEWS FROM TOM WINNIFRITH

Anglo Asian Mining – stellar 2018 results and remains “on track”, BUT…

5 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/42680/anglo-asian-mining-stellar-2018-results-and-remains-on-track-but

Tom Winnifrith

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Precious Metals Video Update: Gold Stocks Oversold but its too Soon to Buy

10 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/42573/precious-metals-video-update-gold-stocks-oversold-but-its-too-soon-to-buy

Tom Winnifrith

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Altyn – results from a disappointing 2018, but reasons for encouragement…

15 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/42428/altyn-results-from-a-disappointing-2018-but-reasons-for-encouragement

Tom Winnifrith

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Podcast: Dominic Frisby: Bullish on Gold When It Breaks 1360

52 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/41832/podcast-dominic-frisby-bullish-on-gold-when-it-breaks-1360

Tom Winnifrith

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Podcast: a much higher gold price is coming

55 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/41766/podcast-a-much-higher-gold-price-is-coming

Tom Winnifrith

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Podcast: Now is a Pivotal Time for Gold Investors

56 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/41704/podcast-now-is-a-pivotal-time-for-gold-investors

Tom Winnifrith

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Gold shares are set to fly

59 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/41663/gold-shares-are-set-to-fly

Tom Winnifrith

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Podcast: Junior Mining Stocks have bottomed out

62 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/41649/podcast-junior-mining-stocks-have-bottomed-out

Tom Winnifrith

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Podcast: gold and silver WILL head to new highs

62 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/41630/podcast-gold-and-silver-will-head-to-new-highs

Tom Winnifrith

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Podcast: We are Back in a Bull Market for Gold

76 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/41417/podcast-we-are-back-in-a-bull-market-for-gold

Tom Winnifrith

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Podcast: Commodities and gold Set to Move Much Higher

77 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/41365/podcast-commodities-and-gold-set-to-move-much-higher

Tom Winnifrith

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Podcast: big moves (up) are coming for gold and silver

83 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/41288/podcast-big-moves-up-are-coming-for-gold-and-silver

Tom Winnifrith

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Podcast: Everybody Needs Some Exposure to Gold

84 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/41277/podcast-everybody-needs-some-exposure-to-gold

Tom Winnifrith

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Podcast: Whereas everything is in a bubble, Gold is arguably the cheapest asset relative to history

90 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/41158/podcast-whereas-everything-is-in-a-bubble-gold-is-arguably-the-cheapest-asset-relative-to-history

Tom Winnifrith

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Patagonia Gold – in short it’s fecked

92 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/41076/patagonia-gold-in-short-it-s-fecked

Tom Winnifrith

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Podcast: Ronald-Peter Stöeferle - The Perfect Storm for Gold & Mining Stocks - $2,300 here we come

95 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/41041/podcast-ronald-peter-stoeeferle-the-perfect-storm-for-gold-mining-stocks-2300-here-we-come

Tom Winnifrith

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Podcast: The Long Term Gold Chart is Really Exciting

97 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/41034/podcast-the-long-term-gold-chart-is-really-exciting

Tom Winnifrith

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Podcast: Gold is Going to Have an Incredible Run - $1900 within three years

118 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/40665/podcast-gold-is-going-to-have-an-incredible-run-1900-within-three-years

Tom Winnifrith

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Petropavlovsk – production update, boosted by successful commissioning of cornerstone project

118 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/40657/petropavlovsk-production-update-boosted-by-successful-commissioning-of-cornerstone-project

Tom Winnifrith

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Podcast: Explosion in Gold Price on the Horizon

126 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/40536/podcast-explosion-in-gold-price-on-the-horizon

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: gold and silver not in a bull market yet

127 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/40509/video-gold-and-silver-not-in-a-bull-market-yet

Tom Winnifrith

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Podcast: Explosive upside for gold and silver

131 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/40431/podcast-explosive-upside-for-gold-and-silver

Tom Winnifrith

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Podcast: Gold to roof it, Deutsche Bank to fail, it's back to 2008 says Jaime Carrasco

142 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/40244/podcast-gold-to-roof-it-deutsche-bank-to-fail-it-s-back-to-2008-says-jaime-carrasco

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: Gold & Gold Stocks are moving closer to a bull market

148 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/40130/video-gold-gold-stocks-are-moving-closer-to-a-bull-market

Tom Winnifrith

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Video - gold stocks could crash

190 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/39421/video-gold-stocks-could-crash

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: Post mid-terms increased risk of more deficit funding will push gold & gold stocks higher

195 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/39327/video-post-mid-terms-increased-risk-of-more-deficit-funding-will-push-gold-gold-stocks-higher

Tom Winnifrith

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Galantas shares to treble - this could be a conservative target

196 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/39315/galantas-shares-to-treble-this-could-be-a-conservative-target

Tom Winnifrith

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Photo Article: One final walk in the hills above the Greek Hovel with Joshua & new wildlife diversity

206 days ago

And so on the final afternoon at the Greek Hovel we invited over the elderly lefties from the village up in the mountains. They were rather scared of the track so I had to go fetch them from Kambos and drive them up.

Almost immediately on arriving they stared into the sky and started shouting "Chrissy, there is Chrissy". I stared up and saw a very large bird of prey.  I like the numerous birds of prey that circle the hills above the hovel as they eat snakes and rats. Good job. The more birds the better. But why Chrissy?  And the size: this bird was very large indeed, why was that?.

Chrissy was their nickname for a bird based on the Greek word Chrysos (gold). For this magnificent creature was a golden eagle. These birds have large territories so though they may all look the same the odds are this was indeed Chrissy. He or she was truly magnificent.

Later that day as the Mrs said that she had important work to do, preparing a lesson plan to fill the heads of impressionable young folk with left wing nonsense, Joshua and I went for a walk.

Or rather, as you can see below, I walked with my son and heir on my back and we headed up the hill behind the hovel towards the house of my neighbour Charon. It is a jolly steep climb and the track soon turns to grass. The view down to the hovel was a wonderful one as the sun started to set.  

Walks with Joshua soon turn into nature lessons. And so we saw a large grasshopper sitting on a wire fence and, real excitement, the skin shed by a snake. I tried to explain that to Joshua but I am not sure he got it, saying "goodbye snake" as we wandered onwards and upwards.

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Video: We Are Starting Another Leg Up In Gold

207 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/39108/video-we-are-starting-another-leg-up-in-gold

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: We Are Feeling Tremors of the Impending Earthquake in the Bond Market - could gold hit $5,000 as a result?

211 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/39040/video-we-are-feeling-tremors-of-the-impending-earthquake-in-the-bond-market-could-gold-hit-5000-as-a-result

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: Gold and gold shares rally but there is more to come

213 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/38995/video-gold-and-gold-shares-rally-but-there-is-more-to-come

Tom Winnifrith

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As Stocks and Bonds Crash (A Rare Sign), Gold Rallies - What's Going On?

225 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/38755/as-stocks-and-bonds-crash-a-rare-sign-gold-rallies-what-s-going-on

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: Gold often has a false move before THE big move

230 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/38656/video-gold-often-has-a-false-move-before-the-big-move

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: I anticipate a slow and steady increase in gold prices

232 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/38635/video-i-anticipate-a-slow-and-steady-increase-in-gold-prices

Tom Winnifrith

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Sprott Gold Report: Buying Opportunity as Gold and Silver Shorts Reach Record Levels

272 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/37918/sprott-gold-report-buying-opportunity-as-gold-and-silver-shorts-reach-record-levels

Tom Winnifrith

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Podcast: Precious Metals Capitulation, Sentiment Has Changed Drastically in the Last Month

277 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/37830/podcast-precious-metals-capitulation-sentiment-has-changed-drastically-in-the-last-month

Tom Winnifrith

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Podcast: Crash day in silver and gold

280 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/37775/podcast-crash-day-in-silver-and-gold

Tom Winnifrith

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Sprott Gold Report: Gold Slumps on Trade War Fears

288 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/37640/sprott-gold-report-gold-slumps-on-trade-war-fears

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: Gold due a relief rally but bigger move is on hold

311 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/37204/video-gold-due-a-relief-rally-but-bigger-move-is-on-hold

Tom Winnifrith

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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: from (Audio) Boom to Bust by Q1 next year? And the mystery Optibiotix bull unmasked

321 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/37021/tom-winnifrith-bearcast-from-audio-boom-to-bust-by-q1-next-year-and-the-mystery-optibiotix-bull-unmasked

Tom Winnifrith

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Podcast: Eric Sprott - This is when gold will begin its climb

345 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/36596/podcast-eric-sprott-this-is-when-gold-will-begin-its-climb

Tom Winnifrith

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Altyn – 2017 gold production growth constrained, but transformational financing “very close”

379 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/35856/altyn-2017-production-growth-constrained-but-transformational-financing-very-close

Tom Winnifrith

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UK Investor Show 2018 Video Gold & Mining session - Frisby, Van Dyke, Atherley et al

384 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/35865/uk-investor-show-2018-video-gold-mining-session-frisby-van-dyke-atherley-et-al

Tom Winnifrith

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UK Investor Show 2018 Video: Kerim Sener of Ariana Resources

391 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/35621/uk-investor-show-2018-video-kerim-sener-of-ariana-resources

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: Rick Rule sees Resource Opportunities in Uranium, Cobalt, and Gold

403 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/35445/video-rick-rule-sees-resource-opportunities-in-uranium-cobalt-and-gold

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: Setup for a Breakout in precious metals but When?

405 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/35420/video-setup-for-a-breakout-in-precious-metals-but-when

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: I Took My Advice & Sold My Cryptos to Buy Gold

408 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/35367/video-i-took-my-advice-sold-my-cryptos-to-buy-gold

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: Gold Breakout Above $1400 Coming in Next Two Months

415 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/35213/video-gold-breakout-above-1400-coming-in-next-two-months

Tom Winnifrith

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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: the investment case for gold and two shares I am likely to buy next week

416 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/35197/tom-winnifrith-bearcast-the-investment-case-for-gold-and-two-shares-i-am-likely-to-buy-next-week

Tom Winnifrith

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The Big Reset Is Coming with Gold Going to $5,000

425 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/35068/the-big-reset-is-coming-with-gold-going-to-5000

Tom Winnifrith

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2018 is Likely to Set Off Large Gold Rally

426 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/35062/2018-likely-to-set-off-large-gold-rally

Tom Winnifrith

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A Monetary Shift is Underway that will Kill the Dollar.. so buy Gold?

440 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/34804/a-monetary-shift-is-underway-that-will-kill-the-dollar-so-buy-gold

Tom Winnifrith

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Altyn – bonds agreement sparks shares, more to come

449 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/34612/altyn-bonds-agreement-sparks-shares-more-to-come

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: Inflation Is Beginning To Rear Its Ugly Head

454 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/34539/video-inflation-is-beginning-to-rear-its-ugly-head

Tom Winnifrith

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Is Gold About to Breakout?

454 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/34530/is-gold-about-to-breakout

Tom Winnifrith

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I’m Attracted to Sectors that other People Hate says, a bullish, gold guru Rick Rule

461 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/34409/i-m-attracted-to-sectors-that-other-people-hate-says-a-bullish-gold-guru-rick-rule

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: Gold & Gold Stocks Set for Major Breakout in 2018

489 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/33879/video-gold-gold-stocks-set-for-major-breakout-in-2018

Tom Winnifrith

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Sharps Pixley: Precious Metals Forecasts 2018

493 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/33804/sharps-pixley-precious-metals-forecasts-2018

Tom Winnifrith

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GOLD – If You’re Not Long, You Will Be Wrong - bitcoin & Metcalfe's Law

496 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/33755/gold-if-you-re-not-long-you-will-be-wrong-bitcoin-metcalfe-s-law

Tom Winnifrith

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Tom Winnifrith New Year's Day Bearcast - 6 themes for the year ahead

508 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/33541/tom-winnifrith-new-year-s-day-bearcast-6-themes-for-the-year-ahead

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: Gold Stocks look very cheap but there are so many reasons why they have been total dogs

517 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/33438/video-gold-stocks-look-very-cheap-but-there-are-so-many-reasons-why-they-have-been-total-dogs

Tom Winnifrith

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Gold Shares, Nobody Cares!

524 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/33308/gold-shares-nobody-cares

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: Rick Rule on bitcoin, gold stocks, the uranium opportunity and on the time to speculate

532 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/33167/video-rick-rule-on-bitcoin-gold-stocks-the-uranium-opportunity-and-on-the-time-to-speculate

Tom Winnifrith

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Pass the Welsh Gold mine parcel of shit - next up it's Alba

536 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/33061/pass-the-welsh-gold-mine-parcel-of-shit-next-up-it-s-alba

Tom Winnifrith

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2018 Likely to Set Off Large Gold Rally

537 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/33043/2018-likely-to-set-off-large-gold-rally

Tom Winnifrith

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A gold bug writes about the biggest event since 1971 - the end of dollar dominance

539 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/32912/a-gold-bug-writes-about-the-biggest-event-since-1971-the-end-of-dollar-dominance

Tom Winnifrith

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It’s Time to Rotate Crypto Gains Into Forgotten Gold Stocks

545 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/32906/it-s-time-to-rotate-crypto-gains-into-forgotten-gold-stocks

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: Keith Neumeyer: The Numbers Sound Crazy, but I Predict $8,000 Gold & $130 Silver

551 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/32777/video-keith-neumeyer-the-numbers-sound-crazy-but-i-predict-8000-gold-130-silver

Tom Winnifrith

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It Is Time for Gold to Shine

559 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/32642/it-is-time-for-gold-to-shine

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: Rick Rule: Gold Investor Fatigue Is Going to Lead to a Rally of Epic Proportion for Gold Stocks

563 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/32565/video-rick-rule-gold-investor-fatigue-is-going-to-lead-to-a-rally-of-epic-proportion-for-gold-stocks

Tom Winnifrith

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Why I Hate Gold, But Still Like Gold Equities

567 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/32513/why-i-hate-gold-but-still-like-gold-equities

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: Eric Sprott:Make no mistake… We are in a Resource Bull Market

568 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/32493/video-eric-sprottmake-no-mistake-we-are-in-a-resource-bull-market

Tom Winnifrith

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Gold Stocks – Biggest Opportunity In Thirty Years

569 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/32438/gold-stocks-biggest-opportunity-in-thirty-years

Tom Winnifrith

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Broader Market is Constraining Gold

573 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/32391/broader-market-is-constraining-gold

Tom Winnifrith

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Gold Is A Good Hedge and Investment

579 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/32278/gold-is-a-good-hedge-and-investment

Tom Winnifrith

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This is the Biggest Test for Gold Yet, if the Fed plays ball in December $1400 on the cards

580 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/32269/this-is-the-biggest-test-for-gold-yet-if-the-fed-plays-ball-in-december-1400-on-the-cards

Tom Winnifrith

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Precious Metals Video Update: Gold & Gold Stocks Bounce

584 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/32157/precious-metals-video-update-gold-gold-stocks-bounce

Tom Winnifrith

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James Rickards: War With Korea Inevitable A Black Swan Looms, sell shares buy gold

586 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/32140/james-rickards-war-with-korea-inevitable-a-black-swan-looms-sell-shares-buy-gold

Tom Winnifrith

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Bitcoin is Going to Drive Gold & Silver to All Time Highs

615 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/31590/bitcoin-is-going-to-drive-gold-silver-to-all-time-highs

Tom Winnifrith

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Silver to $100 and Gold to $5000 by 2018 or 2019

616 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/31537/silver-to-100-and-gold-to-5000-by-2018-or-2019

Tom Winnifrith

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Gold To Test 2011 Highs, Look for Autumn Breakout

618 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/31524/gold-to-test-2011-highs-look-for-autumn-breakout

Tom Winnifrith

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Gold and Gold Stocks Remain Under-Owned and Under-Appreciated

622 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/31438/gold-and-gold-stocks-remain-under-owned-and-under-appreciated

Tom Winnifrith

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Simple Charts Showing Why Gold Stocks Are Poised To Blast Off

625 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/31370/simple-charts-showing-why-gold-stocks-are-poised-to-blast-off

Tom Winnifrith

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Silver to Outshine Gold In A Major Way

628 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/31324/silver-to-outshine-gold-in-a-major-way

Tom Winnifrith

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Political Uncertainty Will Drive Precious Metals to New Heights

641 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/31094/political-uncertainty-will-drive-metals-to-new-heights

Tom Winnifrith

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Goldman Sachs Portfolio Manager Says All Time Highs for Gold Coming Fast

642 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/31066/goldman-sachs-portfolio-manager-says-all-time-highs-for-gold-coming-fast

Tom Winnifrith

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Gold Just Reached Major Inflection Point - Big Move Coming

658 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/30753/gold-just-reached-major-inflection-point-big-move-coming

Tom Winnifrith

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Bitcoin or gold - which is the real safe haven or store of value?

671 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/30475/bitcoin-or-gold-which-is-the-real-safe-haven-or-store-of-value

Tom Winnifrith

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Major Autumn Rally Coming in Gold & Gold Stocks

672 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/30452/major-autumn-rally-coming-in-gold-gold-stocks

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: Gold, silver and precious metals - the primary trend is down

677 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/30358/video-gold-silver-and-precious-metals-the-primary-trend-is-down

Tom Winnifrith

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Spectacular H2 2017 rally in gold is on the cards

682 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/30272/spectacular-h2-2017-rally-in-gold-is-on-the-cards

Tom Winnifrith

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July Is Going to be Very Ugly for Gold & Gold Stocks

692 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/30031/july-is-going-to-be-very-ugly-for-gold-gold-stocks

Tom Winnifrith

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In Gold We Trust 2017

694 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/30007/in-gold-we-trust-2017

Tom Winnifrith

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A Tsunami of Selling in Gold Miners Is About to End

706 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/29750/a-tsunami-of-selling-in-gold-miners-is-about-to-end

Tom Winnifrith

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Data shows the US Economy is very weak indeed but rates will rise - Peter Schiff

723 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/29355/data-shows-the-us-economy-is-very-weak-indeed-but-rates-will-rise-peter-schiff

Tom Winnifrith

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How to Profit in a Sideways Market for gold

789 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/28052/how-to-profit-in-a-sideways-market-for-gold

Tom Winnifrith

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Ali Zamani: Former Goldman Sachs Manager Says Gold And Gold Stocks Are Best Investment

789 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/28041/ali-zamani-former-goldman-sachs-manager-says-gold-and-gold-stocks-are-best-investment

Tom Winnifrith

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Precious Metals Video Update: Short-Term Upside But How Much?

796 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/27898/precious-metals-video-update-short-term-upside-but-how-much

Tom Winnifrith

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Peter Schiff Rate Hike Odds Surge As GDP Forecasts Collapse

808 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/27592/peter-schiff-rate-hike-odds-surge-as-gdp-forecasts-collapse

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Opportunities Abound in Mining shares, How To Find Them? Gold, Uranium, and Phosphates

809 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/27590/opportunities-abound-in-mining-shares-how-to-find-them-gold-uranium-and-phosphates

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

The inflation genie is out of the bottle and that is great news for gold - Peter Schiff

824 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/27270/the-inflation-genie-is-out-of-the-bottle-and-that-is-great-news-for-gold-peter-schiff

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Political and Market Uncertainty Is Driving The Rush For Gold

826 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/27248/political-and-market-uncertainty-is-driving-the-rush-for-gold

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

The bull case for gold from the team at Sprott

832 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/27046/the-bull-case-for-gold-from-the-team-at-sprott

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Precious Metals Video Update: Bearish Reversal in Gold but Miners Show Relative Strength

837 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/26978/precious-metals-video-update-bearish-reversal-in-gold-but-miners-show-relative-strength

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Time To Grab the Commodity Bull Market By the Horns

843 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/26836/time-to-grab-the-commodity-bull-market-by-the-horns

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Video: Rick Rule - I Am Optimistic About Gold and I Am Cautiously Bullish on Gold Stocks

849 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/26733/video-rick-rule-i-am-optimistic-about-gold-and-i-am-cautiously-bullish-on-gold-stocks

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Stay Down-to-Earth with Gold, While Going to the Moon with Bitcoin

871 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/26284/stay-down-to-earth-with-gold-while-going-to-the-moon-with-bitcoin

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Gold, the Oversold Bounce Begins

871 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/26272/gold-the-oversold-bounce-begins

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Assisted by my father, 8 predictions for 2017

871 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/26188/tom-winnifrith-bearcast-assisted-by-my-father-8-predictions-for-2017

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Precious Metals Video Update: Rally Coming Now or at Lower Price?

872 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/26172/precious-metals-video-update-rally-coming-now-or-at-lower-price

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Rick Rule: Gold- “Don’t Try To Catch A Falling Safe!”

886 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/26000/rick-rule-gold-don-t-try-to-catch-a-falling-safe

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Precious Metals Market Commentary - why has gold tanked since Trump?

887 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25934/precious-metals-market-commentary-why-has-gold-tanked-since-trump

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Gold Producers Have Underperformed And Will Continue to Lag – How To Take Advantage Of The Recent Gold Correction

887 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25908/gold-producers-have-underperformed-and-will-continue-to-lag-how-to-take-advantage-of-the-recent-gold-correction

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Peter Schiff: QE4 is going to be huge

899 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25712/peter-schiff-qe4-is-going-to-be-huge

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Donald Trump to lead America off a fiscal cliff - Peter Schiff

912 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25366/donald-trump-to-lead-america-off-a-fiscal-cliff-peter-schiff

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Gold. Always believe in your soul. You've got the power to know. You're indestructible

912 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25357/tom-winnifrith-bearcast-gold-always-believe-in-your-soul-you-ve-got-the-power-to-know-you-re-indestructible

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Conroy Gold, BMR & Mkango Resources Present at Mining Maven: What happened next?

912 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25347/conroy-gold-bmr-mkango-resources-present-at-mining-maven-what-happened-next

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Gold to hit $1.050 then bounce strongly

912 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25329/gold-to-hit-1050-then-bounce-strongly

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Life in Trump-land: Why gold is set to bounce from here

912 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25325/life-in-trump-land-why-gold-is-set-to-bounce-from-here

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Today 2 PM ...TWO share tips from the "Maverick Tipster" - this is not about Donald Trump!

917 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25335/friday-2-pm-two-share-tips-from-the-maverick-tipster-this-is-not-about-donald-trump

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Where next for the markets and for gold after Donald Trump wins

921 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25214/where-next-for-the-markets-and-for-gold-after-donald-trump-wins

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Do gold & silver care that Donald Trump won?

921 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25162/do-gold-silver-care-that-donald-trump-won

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Frank Trotter: US Dollar will fall Against Other Currencies & Gold

924 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25137/frank-trotter-us-dollar-will-fall-against-other-currencies-gold

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

James Rickards: The Fed is Tapped Out & End Result is Ice-Nine for Gold

927 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25109/james-rickards-the-fed-is-tapped-out-end-result-is-ice-nine-for-gold

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - Will gold zoom if/when Trump wins

928 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25075/tom-winnifrith-bearcast-will-gold-zoom-if-when-trump-wins

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

This Pullback In Gold Is Over – Or Is It?

928 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25056/this-pullback-in-gold-is-over-or-is-it

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Petropavlovsk: Debt refinancing (good) news - Buy

931 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/24961/petropavlovsk-debt-refinancing-good-news-buy

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Sprott explains why the gold bull case is intact

935 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/24869/sprott-explains-why-the-gold-bull-case-is-intact

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Sprott: Corrections, Patterns, and Positioning, what next for gold?

935 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/24861/sprott-corrections-patterns-and-positioning-what-next-for-gold

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Podcast with Rick Rule: Chaos in the EU - Trauma on the Peripheries

935 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/24848/podcast-with-rick-rule-chaos-in-the-eu-trauma-on-the-peripheries

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Ex Workers at Avocet Mining seize 1,400 oz of gold - Avocet gives capitalism a bad name

939 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/24749/ex-workers-at-avocet-mining-seize-1400-oz-of-gold-avocet-gives-capitalism-a-bad-name

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Precious Metals Video Update: A Low in Gold & Gold Stocks…?

942 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/24726/precious-metals-video-update-a-low-in-gold-gold-stocks

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Gold back below Brexit levels but for how long?

951 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/24522/gold-back-below-brexit-levels-but-for-how-long

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Donald Trump Or Hillary Clinton? Which is better for gold

951 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/24495/donald-trump-or-hillary-clinton-which-is-better-for-gold

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Becoming A Metalionaire – Go On the Offensive with Gold and Gold Stocks!

951 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/24465/becoming-a-metalionaire-go-on-the-offensive-with-gold-and-gold-stocks

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Video: This Will Be The Catalyst For Higher Gold Prices & Rare Earths a joke - Rick Rule

952 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/24436/video-this-will-be-the-catalyst-for-higher-gold-prices-rare-earths-a-joke-rick-rule

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Sprott: The Bull case for gold is intact

958 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/24333/sprott-the-bull-case-for-gold-is-intact

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Gold could be ready to bounce soon, silver less so

959 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/24285/gold-could-be-ready-to-bounce-soon-silver-less-so

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

The case for gold & gold shares - look to base rates

962 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/24172/the-case-for-gold-gold-shares-look-to-base-rates

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

The fundamental attraction of gold - look at US Government debt

962 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/24154/the-fundamental-attraction-of-gold-look-at-us-government-debt

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Gold, silver, & platinum a 3-5 year bull market lies ahead

977 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/23811/gold-silver-platinum-a-3-5-year-bull-market-lies-ahead

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Wishbone - why I am certainly not selling now : the maths are compelling

984 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/23640/wishbone-why-i-am-certainly-not-selling-now-the-maths-are-compelling

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

This Chart Predicts At Least Up to $164 Silver! – What Happens If The Current Silver Bull Market Performs Like Previous Ones

986 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/23630/this-chart-predicts-at-least-up-to-164-silver-what-happens-if-the-current-silver-bull-market-performs-like-previous-ones

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

The Gold Bull Run Is On!

991 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/23500/the-gold-bull-run-is-on

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Gold Equity Market Cycles what history tells us about where we are now

992 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/23470/gold-equity-market-cycles-what-history-tells-us-about-where-we-are-now

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Comparing This Gold Bull Market to Those of the Past Is Invalid

993 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/23441/comparing-this-gold-bull-market-to-those-of-the-past-is-invalid

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

This Chart Predicts $4,000 to $8,500 Gold! – What Happens If The Current Gold Bull Market Performs Like Previous Ones

993 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/23387/this-chart-predicts-4000-to-8500-gold-what-happens-if-the-current-gold-bull-market-performs-like-previous-ones

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Charge Into the First Half of This Gold Bull Market

998 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/23320/charge-into-the-first-half-of-this-gold-bull-market

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

There will be a war on Gold

998 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/23315/there-will-be-a-war-on-gold

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Too Much Money, Not Enough Gold - gold should be at $3,770 oz!

1000 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/23244/too-much-money-not-enough-gold-gold-should-be-at-3770-oz

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Billionaire Elites Piling Into Gold - follow the smart money

1003 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/23240/billionaire-elites-piling-into-gold-follow-the-smart-money

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Shall I fire Graham Neary and is it too late to buy gold shares?

1007 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/23136/tom-winnifrith-bearcast-shall-i-fire-graham-neary-and-is-it-too-late-to-buy-gold-shares

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Video: Peter Schiff - The Fed is about to put the final nail in the coffin of the US economy, dollar to collapse

1007 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/23113/video-peter-schiff-the-fed-is-about-to-put-the-final-nail-in-the-coffin-of-the-us-economy-dollar-to-collapse

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Visiting a listener in Warwick Hospital, it's all part of the service

1009 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/23090/tom-winnifrith-bearcast-visiting-a-listener-in-warwick-hospital-it-s-all-part-of-the-service

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Sprott: Does the Current Gold Price Justify the Big Gains in Gold Stocks?

1010 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/23035/sprott-does-the-current-gold-price-justify-the-big-gains-in-gold-stocks

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Get ready for an Autumn surge in Gold Stocks

1012 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/22963/get-read-for-an-autumn-surge-in-gold-stocks

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Gold might go Ballistic says Peter Schiff

1019 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/22810/gold-might-go-ballistic-says-peter-schiff

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Negative Rates to Take Gold to Heights Never Before Seen in History of Mankind

1023 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/22658/negative-rates-to-take-gold-to-heights-never-before-seen-in-history-of-mankind

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Gold to head to $10,000 an oz?

1029 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/22602/gold-to-head-to-10000-an-oz

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Truly ashamed of West Ham today as it fires Tony Carr with a peanuts payoff

1031 days ago

Tony Carr is the man who has enabled West Ham to retain its claim to be "The academy". For 43 years he has brought all sorts of youth talent through the ranks: Terry, Ferdinand (A&R), Cole (J), Carrick, Noble, Defoe, Oxford, Fat Frank Lampard etc, etc, etc. And yesterday he was made redundant with a payoff of just £14,000 which is the statutory amount. It is also less than one day's pay for some of our first team squad. It is a truly disgraceful way to treat a loyal club servant and it is a moment of shame for the club I support.

I can't see why West Ham is letting him go at all but maybe there is a reason. But after 43 years surely the man deserved more? Supporters are all over the internet, outraged and angry with the pricks who run the club. Perhaps West Ham might consider a testimonial game for Carr featuring two sides comprised of some of the superstars he has brought through over the years. I am aware he had one in 2010 but I guess he did not know then that he'd be shown the door with just £14,000 six years later.

That Messrs Gold and Sullivan and "Lady" Brady thought this acceptable shows again the chasm that exists between those who own football clubs and those who keep them afloat with their loyal support.

Tom Winnifrith

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Hang Your Hat on Small Cap Private Placements In Gold Stocks

1032 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/22434/hang-your-hat-on-small-cap-private-placements-in-gold-stocks

Tom Winnifrith

,

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Eric Sprott: As the Fed Loses Control Gold Prices Will Soar

1032 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/22432/eric-sprott-as-the-fed-loses-control-gold-prices-will-soar

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Petropavlovsk: Trading statement and company chat

1036 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/22391/petropavlovsk-trading-statement-and-company-chat

Tom Winnifrith

,

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All In On Precious Metals – Most Obvious Trade On the Planet! Shares to fall by 80%

1043 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/22231/all-in-on-precious-metals-most-obvious-trade-on-the-planet-shares-to-fall-by-80

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Gold Is Good; Uranium Is Great - Rick Rule

1045 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/22085/gold-is-good-uranium-is-great-rick-rule

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Fireworks Erupting in the Junior Gold stocks

1050 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/21969/fireworks-erupting-in-the-junior-gold-stocks

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Currency Debasement as the Real Driver Behind Gold & Brexit good news

1060 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/21753/currency-debasement-as-the-real-driver-behind-gold-brexit-good-news

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Tom Winnifrith Independence day Bearcast 3 - housebuilders vs gold miners

1062 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/21697/tom-winnifrith-independence-day-bearcast-3-housebuilders-vs-gold-miners

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

No Major Pullbacks In Sight for Gold Stocks Until 2017

1068 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/21572/no-major-pullbacks-in-sight-for-gold-stocks-until-2017

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

A Vote for Brexit a vote to end Western civilisation or just for mass sexism - today's tough choice from Project Fear

1075 days ago

You rather know that those in Project Fear are panicking when they switch their lead spokesman from Dodgy Dave Cameron to ex PM Gordon Brown at this late stage in the polls. That would be the same Gordon Brown who sold all our gold at the lowest possible price, who trainwrecked the economy as PM and who, in his disastrous only election campaign as leader, went around calling nice little old ladies bigots. Yes it is that Gordon Brown.

In footballing terms It is like swapping an injured Wayne Rooney for Venessa Feltz as England try to win Euro 2016. Remain was doing badly enough already , now it is hexed by the curse of Jonah.

But still Project Fear strides on. Today Harriet Harman tells us, with no evidence whatsoever to validate her claim, that leaving the EU will cause a surge in sexism. Top Eurocrat Donald Tusk goes far further, predicting that Brexit will cause the collapse of Western Civilization.

Can anyone trump that with a prediction of something really crazy like Brexit making World War Three more likely...oh, sorry Dodgy Dave has tried that one already. With what threat can Gordon Brown now up the ante? I can hardly wait.

Tom Winnifrith

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In Gold We Trust 2016 – Gold Headed for $2,300

1083 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/21241/in-gold-we-trust-2016-gold-headed-for-2300

Tom Winnifrith

,

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6 Reasons to be Bullish & long of gold from Sprott

1087 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/21092/6-reasons-to-be-bullish-long-of-gold-from-sprott

Tom Winnifrith

,

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This Gold Bull Market Could Be the Longest and Strongest in History

1097 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/20937/this-gold-bull-market-could-be-the-longest-and-strongest-in-history

Tom Winnifrith

,

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Rick Rule warns gold equities might see a pull back

1098 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/20923/rick-rule-warns-gold-equities-might-see-a-pull-back

Tom Winnifrith

,

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Video: Amanda Van Dyke, Peter Hambro et al - the Mining Session at UK Investor

1102 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/20800/video-amanda-van-dyke-peter-hambro-et-al-the-mining-session-at-uk-investor

Tom Winnifrith

,

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Video: The Balloon Debate from UK Investor Show - now this was fun

1103 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/20767/video-the-balloon-debate-from-uk-investor-show-now-this-was-fun

Tom Winnifrith

,

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Video: Norman Ling of Kefi Minerals at UK Investor Show

1106 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/20580/video-norman-ling-of-kefi-minerals-at-uk-investor-show

Tom Winnifrith

,

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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 8 May -Don't fall into the trap Malcolm (Stacey) admit that facts have changed

1109 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/20582/tom-winnifrith-bearcast-8-may-don-t-fall-into-the-trap-malcolm-stacey-admit-that-facts-have-changed

Tom Winnifrith

,

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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast 2nd May - why I like gold & why we own what we own

1117 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/20438/tom-winnifrith-bearcast-2nd-may-why-i-like-gold-why-we-own-what-we-own

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

You want one gold stock to buy but what? Ten experts say it should be...

1121 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/20298/you-want-one-gold-stock-to-buy-but-what-eight-experts-say-it-should-be

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Biggest Risk For Gold Investors Is To Not Be Invested

1124 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/20270/biggest-risk-for-gold-investors-is-to-not-be-invested

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Gold & Gold Stocks Bullish Consolidation

1130 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/20096/gold-gold-stocks-bullish-consolidation

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Going for Gold, Sprott is bullish

1130 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/20094/going-for-gold-sprott-is-bullish

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Kefi valued at just 10% of its NPV - Broker Brandon Hill

1172 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/19278/kefi-valued-at-just-10-of-its-npv-broker-brandon-hill

Tom Winnifrith

,

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Amara Mining - merger with Perseus, hold at worst....

1178 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/19116/amara-mining-merger-with-perseus

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Amara - really bullish claims on Yaoure: buy

1182 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/19046/amara-really-bullish-claims-on-yaoure-buy

Tom Winnifrith

,

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Ariana Resources at 0.95p worth 2.79p?

1184 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/18991/ariana-resources-at-095p-worth-279p

Tom Winnifrith

,

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(Good) Yaoure News from Amara - buy

1207 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/18385/good-yaoure-news-from-amara-buy

Tom Winnifrith

,

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Condor Gold - Lack of Offer Period over - it's screwed

1222 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/18044/condor-gold-lack-of-offer-period-over-it-s-screwed

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Get free gold at the Tom Winnifrith mine - open now

1223 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/18001/get-free-gold-at-the-tom-winnifrith-mine-open-now

Tom Winnifrith

,

---

Video: Peter Schiff - next move in US base rates DOWN - buy gold

1226 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/17957/video-peter-schiff-next-move-in-us-base-rates-down-buy-gold

Tom Winnifrith

,

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Video: Amanda van Dyke's Gold Panel at Gold & Bears

1247 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/17485/video-amanda-van-dyke-s-gold-panel-at-gold-bears

Tom Winnifrith

,

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Video: Armadale Capital presents at Gold & Bears November 2015

1253 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/17328/video-armadale-capital-presents-at-gold-bears-november-2015

Tom Winnifrith

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Tom Winnifrith BearCast 4 October - Jim Slater, Zak Mir, Daniel Stewart and closed shops

1328 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/15498/tom-winnifrith-bearcast-4-october-jim-slater-zak-mir-daniel-stewart-and-closed-shops

Tom Winnifrith

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Buy Berkeley Energy at a 21p offer

1341 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/15122/buy-berkeley-energy-at-a-21p-offer

Tom Winnifrith

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Amara Mining Interims - still a buy

1377 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/14302/amara-mining-interims-still-a-buy

Tom Winnifrith

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Why Rob Terry should & will go to prison, 7 share tips & 6 shares to bet the ranch on

1392 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/13967/why-rob-terry-should-will-go-to-prison-7-share-tips-6-shares-to-bet-the-ranch-on

Tom Winnifrith

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Video of the Mining guru Amanda van Dyke with Sith Lord Zak Mir

1410 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/13534/video-of-the-mining-guru-amanda-van-dyke-with-sith-lord-zak-mir

Tom Winnifrith

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David Lenigas Saint or Serial Sinner, Quindell worth 0p? and is now Gold’s moment?

1419 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/13318/david-lenigas-saint-or-serial-sinner-quindell-worth-0p-and-is-now-gold-s-moment

Tom Winnifrith

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Tom Winnifrith BearCast 9th June: Biotech vs Mining Juniors

1445 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/12721/tom-winnifrith-bearcast-9th-june-biotech-vs-mining-juniors

Tom Winnifrith

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Amara Mining - Yaoure PFS News

1468 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/12218/amara-mining-yaoure-pfs-news

Tom Winnifrith

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Beauties and beasts, picking small cap winners - Barry Gibb of Beaufort at UK Investor Show

1475 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/12074/beauties-and-beasts-picking-small-cap-winners-barry-gibb-of-beaufort-at-uk-investor-show

Tom Winnifrith

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Video of Presentation by Greg Kuenzel of Noricum Gold at UK Investor Show 2015

1481 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/11968/video-of-presentation-by-greg-kuenzel-of-noricum-gold-at-uk-investor-show-2015

Tom Winnifrith

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Amara 2014 results comment

1506 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/11483/amara-2014-results-comment

Tom Winnifrith

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London’s leading gold forecaster: gold to average $1321 in 2015

1588 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/10105/london-s-leading-gold-forecaster-gold-to-average-1321-in-2015

Tom Winnifrith

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Amara Mining - truly cracking news from Yaoure

1597 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/9947/amara-mining-truly-cracking-news-from-yaoure

Tom Winnifrith

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Amanda van Dyke: The Mining Goddess explains Mining stocks - new video

1624 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/9497/amanda-van-dyke-the-mining-goddess-explains-mining-stocks-new-video

Tom Winnifrith

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Tom Winnifrith's BearCast 31st October

1663 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/8698/tom-winnifrith-s-bearcast-31st-october

Tom Winnifrith

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Amara Mining, drill results and thoughts on the share price of the ONLY gold stock we are tipping

1675 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.advfn.com/views/8409/amara-mining-drill-results-and-thoughts-on-the-share-price-of-the-only-gold-stock-we-are-tipping

Tom Winnifrith

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Amara Mining – New Estimate at Yaoure: clear value in the shares

1692 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.advfn.com/views/8167/amara-mining-new-estimate-at-yaoure-clear-value-in-the-shares

Tom Winnifrith

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Amara Mining – A real rarity a Quality gold stock on AIM

1703 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.advfn.com/views/7975/amara-mining-a-real-rarity-a-quality-gold-stock-on-aim

Tom Winnifrith

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Amara Mining – we are well ahead on share tip but there’s more to come – Yaoure news

1740 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.advfn.com/views/7207/amara-mining-we-are-well-ahead-on-share-tip-but-there-s-more-to-come-yaoure-news

Tom Winnifrith

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Exclusive: Evil Knievil piles into Oxus Gold – reckons an arbitration win soon

1826 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.advfn.com/views/5637/exclusive-evil-knievil-piles-into-oxus-gold-reckons-an-arbitration-win-soon

Tom Winnifrith

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Amara Mining: Follow the Board & Buy

1827 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.advfn.com/views/5594/amara-mining-follow-the-board-buy

Tom Winnifrith

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Vatukoula – Sell

1843 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.advfn.com/views/5326/vatukoula-sell

Tom Winnifrith

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Amara Mining - ahead on our share tip despite placing - still cheap?

1887 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.advfn.com/views/4603/amara-mining-ahead-on-our-share-tip-despite-placing-still-cheap

Tom Winnifrith

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Ortac Resources Buys into Andiamo - every cloud has a copper lining

1957 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.advfn.com/views/3452/ortac-resources-buys-into-andiamo-every-cloud-has-a-copper-lining

Tom Winnifrith

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Happy Birthday to Me – Closer to 50 than 40 as of today

1958 days ago

An early birthday present from Carlton Cole and Mark Noble sees West Ham out of the relegation zone but that will not change the fact that I am today 46, closer to 50 than 40. 

I did not expect to be spending this Birthday living in Bristol, married to a Guardian reading Sociology Senior Lecturer or less than 18 months into running a new business. Life is full of surprises.

I have now been working for 25 years and in the old days would now be just 19 years from retirement. For the Mrs – who did a Post Grad - the figures are 16 and 26. So Maybe I shall call it a day at 58 and live off the State (via the Mrs).  I suspect not, work is too much fun. 

My father’s generation expected to retire at 65. My generation? It might be 58 it might be never. The one thing we do know is that it is not an automatic gold watch at 65.

For me a picnic at Chew lake looms followed by a walk with the Mrs and Uncle Chris Booker.. and then back to subbing Zak Mir’s new book. Happy Birthday indeed.

Tom Winnifrith

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Amara Mining - Cute deal

2023 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.advfn.com/views/2395/amara-mining-cute-deal

Tom Winnifrith

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Q&A with Greg Kuenzel of Noricum Gold


2052 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.advfn.com/views/1920/qa-with-greg-kuenzel-of-noricum-gold-by-tom-winnifrith

Tom Winnifrith

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Is the gold price being manipulated? The Sprott view

2082 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/1543/is-the-gold-price-being-manipulated-the-sprott-view

Tom Winnifrith

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Have precious metals bottomed? The Sprott View

2105 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/1348/have-precious-metals-bottomed-the-sprott-view

Tom Winnifrith

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Exclusive: Q&A Session with Dave Paxton of Vatukoula

2109 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/1312/qa-with-dave-paxton-of-vatukoula-gold

Tom Winnifrith

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Weekly Video postcard - The Poisonous legacy of Blair edition

2119 days ago

In this week's video postcard Tom discusses just one subject - the greed and truly poisonous legacy of the war criminal Tony Blair, probably the most loathsome man ever to have been Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.



Tom's financial video postcard this week covers gold and the disconnect between physical and paper markets as well as a suggestion that investors in a raft of AIM stocks should sue the LSE. You can watch that video here.

Tom Winnifrith

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Exclusive: Evil Knievil buys Orosur Mining in size and predicts "market and Gulf Keystone Collapso"

2130 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/1118/exclusive-evil-knievil-buys-orosur-mining-in-size-predicts-market-gulf-keystone-collapso

Tom Winnifrith

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Sprott on Gold - the Shanghai Surprise

2134 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/1080/gold-the-shanghai-surprise

Tom Winnifrith

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Patagonia Gold: Tell the fat Cat/Greedy Pig Directors to bugger off - vote no to option repricing

2142 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/1035/patagonia-gold-tell-the-fat-cat-greedy-pig-directors-to-bugger-off-vote-no-to-option-repricing

Tom Winnifrith

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Rick Rule classic gold & silver Q&A

2143 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/1010/rick-rule-classic-gold-silver-qa

Tom Winnifrith

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Bullabulling - VSA Note: This company is worthless even at a $1400 gold price

2144 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/1003/bullabulling-vsa-note-this-company-is-worthless-even-at-a-1400-gold-price

Tom Winnifrith

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Ariana at 1p worth 5.51p says Edison - you sure fellows?

2145 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/984/ariana-at-1p-worth-551p-says-edison-you-sure-fellows

Tom Winnifrith

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Sprott: Silver...light at the end of the tunnel

2145 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/985/sprott-silver-light-at-the-end-of-the-tunnel

Tom Winnifrith

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Centamin Q2 numbers good but the bulls remain in dreamland

2145 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/982/centamin-q2-numbers-buy-the-bulls-remain-in-dreamland

Tom Winnifrith

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Which Gold stocks to own & when will they recover? The Sprott view

2147 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/944/which-gold-stocks-to-own-when-will-they-recover-the-sprott-view

Tom Winnifrith

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Why Gold is heading higher: Eric Sprott

2147 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/943/why-gold-is-heading-higher-eric-sprott

Tom Winnifrith

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Goldstone drilling results - can it really say this?

2149 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/937/goldstone-drilling-results-can-it-really-say-this

Tom Winnifrith

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Amara Mining - Baomahun Feasibility Study is a joke

2152 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/886/amara-mining-baomahun-feasibility-study-is-a-joke

Tom Winnifrith

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Bullabulling - More bullshit as new mineplan announced - the maths DO NOT stack up

2153 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/866/bullabulling-more-bullshit-new-mineplan-announced-the-maths-do-not-stack-up

Tom Winnifrith

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Centamin - where is the RNS fellows?

2164 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/753/centamin-where-is-the-rns-fellows

Tom Winnifrith

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Goldplat - Profits Warning: Buy for Income

2176 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/analysis/599/goldplat-profits-warning-buy

Tom Winnifrith

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More bullabullabullshit at the Bullabulling AGM

2183 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/analysis/526/more-bullabullabullshit-at-the-bullabulling-agm

Tom Winnifrith

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AIM Cesspit critical ward - Scotgold update

2186 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/analysis/485/aim-cesspit-critical-ward-scotgold-update

Tom Winnifrith

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Norseman Gold - Not Over Yet

2187 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/analysis/477/norseman-gold-not-over-yet

Tom Winnifrith

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May Spreadbet Magazine live featuring Tom Winnifrith, Zak Mir, Lucian Miers and Gold

2189 days ago

The June Edition of Spreadbet Magazine is now live and features Tom Winnifrith on the failed AIM system, Zak Mir, an interview with Lucian Miers and a cover feature on gold. You can download it for free by clicking here. 

 
Admin

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In the AIM Cesspit - The African Eagle Saga

2194 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/analysis/418/in-the-aim-cesspit-the-african-eagle-saga

Tom Winnifrith

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Scoop: Vatakoula to announce 15p placing as Chinese prepare to take 29.9 per cent stake

2196 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/analysis/394/scoop-vatakoula-to-announce-15p-placing-as-chinese-prepare-to-take-299-per-cent-stake

Admin

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Centamin Excellent Results but....

2199 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/analysis/369/centamin-excellent-results-but

Tom Winnifrith

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Centamin Egypt: In De Nile without a paddle

2205 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/analysis/297/centamin-egypt-in-de-nile-without-a-paddle

Tom Winnifrith

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AIM Cesspit - is Scotgold toast?

2214 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/analysis/189/aim-cesspit-australian-dual-lists-is-scotgold-toast-yet

Tom Winnifrith

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No rush to buy resource stocks

2217 days ago

http://www.spreadbetmagazine.com/blog/tom-winnifrith-no-rush-to-buy-resource-stocks.html

Tom Winnifrith

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Pour a beer and watch Evil Knievil, Nigel Farage and real master investors on your PC this weekend

2219 days ago

In case you missed the UK Investor Show and fancy watching real master investors this weekend we have it all on video and those videos are now starting to go live. 

If you want to hear what infamous bear raider Evil Knievil is buying and selling or what top chartists Zak Mir, John Piper and Clem Chambers are long or short of there is no need to leave your own living room this weekend – it is all here on video for you.

Or fancy Mark Slater’s top share picks and thoughts on the market – he is here too with a full slide presentation and video. As is gold guru Dominic Frisby, the UK’s most cerebral short seller Lucian Miers and also Nigel Farage MEP in full flow.

The videos are from the UK Investor Show two weeks ago so if you want to hear what these folks are thinking, buying or selling just relax, pour yourself a beer and spend the weekend at your PC.

There will be more videos appearing over the weekend featuring Britain’s Buffett Nigel Wray, Secret Millionaire and property guru Nick Leslau, mining guru-ess Amanda Van Dyke as well as the CEOs of Leyshon Resources, Fastnet Oil & Gas and a dozen other companies. For alerts on when they appear register now at www.shareprophets.com

Meanwhile, sit back, relax and watch the explosive action.

To see Evil Knievil, Zak Mir, John Piper and ADVFN CEO Clem Chambers in action – click HERE

You can watch UKIP leader Nigel Farage here

You can watch gold guru Dominic Frisby & access his slides HERE

You can watch small cap legend Mark Slater and access his slides HERE

And you can watch infamous bear raider Lucian Miers HERE

Over the next 48 hours we will also be publishing videos featuring Leyshon Resources, Fastnet Oil & Gas, Nigel Wray and Nick Leslau and mining guru Amanda Van Dyke. For all their thoughts and hot tips and much more stay tuned to your PC this weekend.

Following the amazing success of the UK’s only serious investor show we have just announced that the 2014 event will be held at a larger venue in Central London on April 5th  . More details soon.

We will upload more videos from UKInvestor very soon to give you something entertaining to watch from home all weekend

Now, for me, back to the beach.

 

Tom Winnifrith

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Make a diary date for the UK's only serious investor show - April 5

2220 days ago

Okay you have missed the only show worth attending for this year. Shucks. But following the amazing success of UK Investor Show 2013 we have now set a date for UK Investor Show 2014. So put it in your diary now: April 5th2014.

And in response to the success of the first show we have secured a larger venue in Central London for the 2014 event. More details to follow.

If you did miss the 2013 event videos of the main speakers and of 12 PLC presentations were recorded and are now starting to go live.
You can watch gold guru Dominic Frisby & access his slides HERE

You can watch small cap legend Mark Slater and access his slides HERE

And you can watch infamous bear raider Lucian Miers HERE

Later today UKIP leader Nigel Farage MEP goes live on ADVFN with short seller Evil Knievil to follow shortly afterwards

Tom Winnifrith

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Galantas Gold is Toast Investment Grade

2221 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/analysis/116/galantas-gold-is-toast-investment-grade

Tom Winnifrith

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Bullabulling Share Offer Flops – Good: this company is a joke & is toast by August

2227 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/analysis/73/bullabulling-share-offer-flops-good-this-company-is-a-joke-is-toast-by-august

Tom Winnifrith

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Centamin – And now there are two reasons to sell at 39p: target price 25p

2228 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/analysis/56/centamin-and-now-there-are-two-reasons-to-sell-at-39p-target-price-25p

Admin

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What Cyprus actually means – the New post Euro Order

2244 days ago

Cyprus is a small island and it was easy to ignore or play down events at first but the situation is now out of control. We live in a new world order, the post Cyprus order and you need to wake up to the reality of that fast.

The Euro was never an economic project. It was a political one. And as such the “believers” brushed aside any economic objections and sought to ensure that everyone joined the club. Some countries were not fit to join (Portugal, Eire Spain, Italy, France, Greece, and Cyprus) but that mattered little. The leaders of those countries and the ECB agreed to lie in order to gain entry. 

This was a concerted lie by the political elites across Europe – a class distinct from the folks they nominally represent. And so today as the Euro collapses the political elites of Poland, Rumania and elsewhere are still applying to sign up. Hey, I know the Titanic is going down but is there any chance of me jumping off a floating currency lifeboat and getting on board your fine vessel? Madness.

And one reason that it is madness is that we have no idea how Cyprus will play out. The initial plans for state bank robbery have been shelved and so if you have less than 100,000 Euros in your bank account that money is, pro tem, safe. But it is impossible to withdraw it in more than small tranches. If you have more you will lose some of it. Perhaps 40% or 60% or potentially all of it.  The idea that bondholders should lose everything if a bank fails seems fair to me. The idea that depositors should lose cash is just obscene.

What will be the effects?

For one you will see a growing scandal of how the political elite looked after its own and its friends. The family of the Cypriot President took its cash out of the banks a few days before the robbery was announced. The list of those that took out large sums is HERE

The chasm of mistrust that exists between the political elite across Europe and those they are meant to govern grows wider by the day. At some stage somewhere folks will say that enough is enough.

Secondly, the economy of Cyprus will seize up. 100,000 Euro is not actually that much. There are pensioners (many of them British), small businesses and others who have lost everything. They simply will not be able to pay staff, bills and debts. They will go bust. The knock on effects on the Cypriot economy will be disastrous.

Some within the Evil Empire claim that it is only dodgy Russians or largely dodgy Russians who are effected. My guess is that your average dodgy Russian stashed his ill-gotten gains in various islands. So he will be hit but not wiped out. Once again it will be the Cyprus based middle classes and small businesses that are really whacked and the negative multiplier effect of them not being able to pay bills will smash the local economy.

Once again EU austerity measures will simply make a situation worse.

But this will also spread beyond Cyprus. Already there are hints that Slovenia is in a similar position. Once again its banks passed EU stress tests a couple of months ago but we now know that such tests are meaningless.

And the precedent has now been set. The EU itself says that going forward if a country’s banks need bailing out it will not just be a new international loan that is offered – citizens of the country affected must also pay. State sponsored bank robbery is now deemed legitimate. Work hard, save and it can all be stolen from you.

This is of course a vicious circle. You now have to be quite certifiably mad if you live in a European country where the economy is a mess (i.e. France downwards) to keep your cash in a bank. There have not been large scale bank runs yet but you can bet there is a drip drip of withdrawals and the next time there is a Cyprus type incident that will turn into a flood. And you might as well get capital out of such a country before the EU (illegally) extends Cyprus type capital controls elsewhere.

What rather worries me is that Call Me Dave and other Western leaders refuse to stand up to this theft. It is as if they agree that the State has a right to seize whatever it wants whenever it wants.

And so what is the solution? There is only one. Cyprus would be better off leaving the Euro, devaluing its currency, taking the hit of bank failure now and restarting. The two fastest growing European economies (Iceland and Albania) have both faced a similar storm in the past 15 years. Their response was to take the hit and then rebuild with a floating currency. It is the only way.

Of course if Cyprus left the Euro and started its recovery other countries which should never have joined the Euro in the first place will start to realise that such an option is better for them than more German imposed austerity. Spain, Greece, Slovenia, Italy, Portugal, Eire will all be on the way out.  Right now their leaders (part of the pan European political Elite) cannot face such a solution although their people must increasingly yearn for it. But at some stage someone has to break ranks. And then the floodgates are open.

Until that moment happens the EU will continue down a path which can only be described as sheer madness. Folks across Southern Europe will trust banks, paper currencies and their political leaders ever less and gold, cash under the mattress and anti-politics ever more.

Now who can find me the best quote from Huhne, Mandelson, Pantsdown, Blair, Heseltine, Howe or one of the other “guilty men” describing the dire consequences for the UK if we did NOT join the Euro? A bonus prize if you can find one of them apologising for getting it so dreadfully wrong.

Tom Winnifrith

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Centamin Calendar 2012 results good but broker downgrades anyway

2248 days ago

http://www.investorsintelligence.co.uk/2013/03/28/centamin-calendar-2012-results-good-but-broker-downgrades-anyway/

Tom Winnifrith

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April Spreadbet Magazine is live - TW on Highland Gold in a gold special

2250 days ago

The April edition of Spreadbet Magazine is now live and is a gold special. My own contribution is a feature on Highland Gold (HGM)

You can download the magazine for free by hitting the image below

Tom Winnifrith

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Shanta – time to call it quits?

2251 days ago

http://uk.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/17518/shanta-time-to-call-it-quits

Tom Winnifrith

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Chaarat Gold – On balance positive update but read the small print

2252 days ago

http://uk.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/17516/chaarat-gold-on-balance-positive-update-but-read-the-small-print

Tom Winnifrith

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Aureus Mining – Not Out but Certainly down

2255 days ago

http://uk.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/17453/aureus-mining-not-out-but-certainly-down

Tom Winnifrith

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Ariana could be worth 6.31p says Edison - shares now 1.425p

2256 days ago

http://uk.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/17373/ariana-could-be-worth-6-31p-says-edison-shares-now-1-425p

Tom Winnifrith

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Guest Post Sam Bottell on Petropavlosk: Jam Tomorrow does not pay the bills

2256 days ago

http://www.investorsintelligence.co.uk/2013/03/14/petropavlovsk-pog-jam-tomorrow-does-not-pay-the-bills/

Tom Winnifrith

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Why UK house prices must crash

2260 days ago

This went out on onefreesharetip.com a few weeks ago but perhaps meriots a wider audience I stand by my view expressed here:

It is part of the British DNA that we believe that house prices must always go up.  That is not the case. Be warned. Falls of 30% or more are inevitable within the next few years.

Of course inflation (the erosion of the purchasing power of the pound) has made house prices a one way bet since the early 1970s. I will not bother serving up a chart just imagine climbing a ski slope. But this is an inflation given gain. It simply reflects, to misquote Harold Wilson that the pound in your pocket is worth far less than it was.  You might note that in 1971 you could buy an ounce of gold for £14. Today that will cost you more than £1000.  The destruction in the purchasing power of Sterling during the past 42 years has meant that all physical assets look, in headline terms, like smart bets, housing included. You cannot live in a bar of gold but it has actually been a better bet than UK house prices. So as it happens has been am 1870 Wisden cricket annual, but again you cannot live in it.

House prices have not, as anyone who bought in 1987 will remember, moved in a straight line. There are periods when they fall sharply.  That happens because a) they get overheated and b) because there is one of two external shocks: either a sharp rise in unemployment or a sharp rise in interest rates and either of those two triggers mean that large numbers of people with mortgages cannot pay, default and become forced sellers.

For the feature of housing as an investment as opposed to, say shares or gold, is that the market is very illiquid. If Kylie Minogue moves into your street and there is a sudden demand from dirty old men to buy housing there too, prices will rise very sharply as there will be far more demand than supply and each transaction will set a new benchmark price for the whole street. But Kylie can live in only one place at a time.

If you suddenly face a few forced sellers in your street and there is no rush of buyers each will compete to shift their property as quickly as possible and each time one sale goes through that sets  a new benchmark – a lower one.  And that is what will happen at some stage soon. At this point I bring to your attention a chart which shows average UK house price to average income ratios over time.

You will see that the long run average is c4. Of course the ratio is very rarely exactly 4 it tends to get ahead of itself and then correct below mean and then bounce above mean. Right now we are at a level ( above mean) seen only twice before in living memory. The first time was in 1987 when Chancellor Lawson engineered a housing bubble with the announcement that in 1988 he would abolish  double MIRAS. Folks rushed to buy in 1987 and the ratio headed just above 5. Look what happened next? Er..oh – the value of your house just halved.

The second time was in 2007 when Gordon Brown pumped money into the UK system with his vast ( unsustainable deficits) and when credit was easy and base rates low. Then came the 2008 global crisis and the ratio crashed again. But not back to 4. And over the past couple of years that ratio has pushed higher and we are once again at 5+ and the amber warning lights are flashing.

You might ask why has the ratio climbed once again? It is not that average incomes are falling but the reason – as ever – is political. The Coalition reckons that rising house prices wins votes. It is probably correct. And so taxpayers cash is being blown in a myriad of ways to push prices up – we are being bribed with our own dosh. Banks have been given cheap money to lend which is passed on via cheap mortgages. There are numerous schemes to help first time buyers onto the property ladder. That they need assistance at all is down to a benefits system which underwrites sometimes exorbitant rent bills for those who have never worked ( see today's latest installment of the  increasingly vomit inducing tale of Heather Frost here). Landlords know that housing benefit picks up the tab and can thus afford to charge more so pushing up both rental and purchase prices for those who do actually work.

The whole system is not sustainable and is pretty ludicrous to boot and at some stage the realities of the UK Government deficit will force an overhaul which will inevitably lead to a total de-rating of house prices. That is probably a good way off (at least until well after the next Election). But interest rate rises are not so far off.  The UK lost its AAA credit rating last week. That should mean that the Government has to pay more to issue bonds to fund its gaping deficit which will push up interest rates generally. Moreover there are clear inflationary pressures in the system. At some stage base rates will have to increase and – assuming that the banks do not take a margin hit, a safe enough bet – that means sharply higher mortgage costs.

If you currently have a mortgage paying 2.5% - one fifth of that (0.5%) is base rate the rest is bank margin. If base rates increase by even 0.5% your monthly payments on an interest only loan jump by 20% (2.5% to 3%). An increase of 1% sees you seeing a 40% hike.  There are an awful lot of folks out there who have overborrowed and a 40% increase in monthly payments will be hard to bear. But base rates of 1.5% could be just the start. Young people may not remember this but even in my mortgage lifetime paying 10% on your mortgage over a sustained period was a reality of life. At some stage that will happen again.

And that is why house prices just have to correct. It will be interest rates that kill the market. Even if house prices simply return to “norm” that implies a fall of 27% in the average house price. But the reality will be far worse. House prices will over-react on the downside just as they did on the upside and so brace yourselves for falls of 40% or more.

It is when, not if. The Government  ( whoever is in power) will Canute like try to resist market forces by pissing away taxpayers cash for as long as it can but, like Canute with the tide, in the end it will fail. So how do you profit from this?

1. If you are thinking of buying a first house or a bigger house ...there’s no rush.

2. If you are thinking of downsizing your house in the next few years do not hang around – start the ball rolling now.

3. If you simply have a mortgage you might take advantage of low base rates while you can and pay it off even if only by a little. And you should then keep your monthly repayments the same so that you are then in effect repaying a tiny extra bit of capital each month. If you are paying 3% on your montage you are effectively getting a 3% tax free return – that is better than you get in the bank.

4. Consider going short of housebuilding stocks. They have had a phenomenal run and several now trade on growth stock ratings. That might be credibly if we were at the bottom of a cyclical slowdown and earnings were set to race ahead over the next three years. But we are not. This is a cyclical industry and while we are not at the top of the cycle we are pretty close.   I provided a detailed analysis of the bear case for three household names last week.

To see why shares in Barratt Developments are a slam dunk sell click here

To see why shares in Bovis homes are ludicrously mispriced click here

To see why shares in Redrow are a slam dunk sell click here

I am not calling the top of the housing market for tomorrow. I cannot predict X-Day. But UK house prices are now a clear bubble and it is a bubble that this Government is fuelling. Bubbles by their nature expand even when folks start to realise that they are bubbles. And then one day they go pop. This bubble will be no different.

Brace yourselves. Start to prepare now.

 

Tom

Tom Winnifrith

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Centamin output guidance published - sell

2261 days ago

http://uk.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/17224/centamin-output-guidance-published-sell

Tom Winnifrith

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Minera IRL - is it worth hanging on for the bounce?

2268 days ago

http://uk.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/16973/minera-irl-is-it-worth-hanging-on-for-the-bounce

Tom Winnifrith

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What will be the Black Swan that blows up the world economy by 2015? China, US or Europe?

2271 days ago

The answer to the 1998 financial crisis was to slash borrowing costs across the globe so that we all over-leverages and misallocated our capital. On that occasion it was junk dotcom investments and property. In 2008 another crises and the same solution. The fact is that the world has been misallocating capital for decades, led by Governments freed from prudence by the abandonment of the gold standard in 1971.

With each crisis that crops up, the solution is simply to print more money and to get folks to take on even more debt. You owe too much – heck borrow some more. And so capital is misallocated and bubbles grow ever bigger. But at some stage the party ends. It will. The current set up is simply unsustainable.

And so what will be the black swan event that causes the mother of all reality checks? If offer four runners and riders. Inevitably if one occurs it will trigger the others. And it will probably be a fifth black swan that no-one has thought much about that starts the party. But here goes.

1. The Chinese property bubble. I have written before on numerous occassions about just how mammoth this is and how it really can knock the Chinese (and thus the worlds) economy for six. The answer of the authorities to the slowdown in the PRC in 2012 was to pump more hot air into this bubble. It has to be my top black swan bet. Read this piece out yesterday on Zero Hedge if you doubt me.

My major work from September 2012 on China, the misallocation, fraud an inevitably of a crash is HERE

2. A market refusal to buy US T Bonds in an auction. The US Government is three years away from having a balance sheet like that of Greece just before the crisis. An economically illiterate President and, to show balance, a spineless Republican party in Congress just cannot get to grips with what is happening. The US today is like sick Britain at the end of WW1. But it will take the US far less time than we took to see its currency tank. At some stage folks will refuse to stump up cash for a debt that yields sod all and is clearly unrepayable and unsupportable.

3. Sovereign default across Europe accompanied by widespread Civil unrest. The only folks buying Spanish debt right now are the Spanish state pension funds. Oooh lucky Spanish state pensioners. But those funds are tapped out. Spain is bust and its economy is enjoying an EU austerity driven spanking session which Max Mosley could only dream of. It is not just Spain. Italy, Greece, Portugal are in the same mess. The Irish economy and society has been beaten to a pulp in the name of fiscal responsibility and yet could still collapse. France is heading the wrong way fast as is the UK. The collapse of the Euro as we know it has to be an odds on bet it is a matter of how it occurs.

4. The Arab spring moving to Saudi Arabia. A regime with no legitimacy is kleptocratic, autocratic and barbaric. It bribes the people with a fraction of the nation’s wealth and panders to radical Islam in a most unhealthy sort of way but it is unloved. One day it will fall. Revolution in the world’s largest oil producer could perhaps trigger unforeseen events elsewhere.

Hey, maybe we can all carry on spending beyond our means, leveraging up as individuals and as States for a good while yet. We have been kicking this can down the road for decades so maybe we can carry on for another few decades. Or maybe not. One day something will happen and we will find our noses against the wall at the end of the Cul-de-sac. That day may be sooner than we think.

For more thoughts from Tom Winnifrith follow him on twitter @tomwinnifrith

Tom Winnifrith

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Medusa Mining Buy at 300p – target 400p

2276 days ago

http://uk.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/16737/medusa-mining-buy-at-300p-target-400p

Tom Winnifrith

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Guest Post Sam Bottell: Petropavlovsk (POG) – 2013 Guidance reduced – shares at year low but still a sell?

2282 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2013/02/22/petropavlovsk-pog-2013-guidance-reduced-shares-at-year-low-but-still-a-sell/

Tom Winnifrith

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Guest Post Sam Bottell: Gold – Is the sell off the start of a bear market?

2282 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2013/02/22/gold-is-the-sell-off-the-start-of-a-bear-market/

Tom Winnifrith

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Is the great 41 year gold bull run over? No.

2282 days ago

http://www.spreadbetmagazine.com/blog/tom-winnifrith-on-gold-am-i-panicked-no-i-am-still-bullish.html

Tom Winnifrith

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Norseman Gold – Well It is not Over yet

2283 days ago

http://uk.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/16554/norseman-gold-well-it-is-not-over-yet

Tom Winnifrith

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Guest Post Sam Bottell: Kryso Resources - Project Delay – Share price overreacts – a buying opportunity

2285 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2013/02/19/kryso-resources-kys-project-delay-share-price-overreacts-a-buying-opportunity/

Tom Winnifrith

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Guest Post: Sam Bottell on African Barrick

2286 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2013/02/18/african-barrick-gold-abg-final-results-was-my-bullishness-wrong/

Tom Winnifrith

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Shanta Gold – Shares down but look at shareholder list movements: value Unchanged

2286 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2013/02/18/shanta-gold-shares-down-but-look-at-shareholder-list-movements-value-unchanged/

Tom Winnifrith

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New Guest Post by Sam Bottell: The Major Gold Producers – a sector “steeped in mediocrity”

2289 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2013/02/15/the-major-gold-producers-a-sector-steeped-in-mediocrity/

Tom Winnifrith

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Guest Post: Sam Bottell - Pan African is a buy

2290 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2013/02/14/pan-african-resources-paf-interims-a-touch-disappointing-but-the-shares-are-still-cheap/

Tom Winnifrith

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Black Swan New Year Letter 2013: China to recover, US to recover, Europe Doomed

2291 days ago

This is the annual letter sent out by my friend Richard Poulden. This year – as every year – we wil hold a 10 minute debate at the UKInvestor Show – I am not sure of the subject matter yet but it is always sparky. I am not sure that I agree 100% on China but on Europe we are at one. No debate there. Over to Richard:

“In the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation” – Alan Greenspan, 1966

“Keep a clear head and always carry a light bulb” – Bob Dylan, 1965

Yesterday morning in Dubai was foggy: thick, gooey, 12-metre visibility stuff. As I drove my daughter to school , I said: “Let’s see how many cars we can find driving without lights”.

“Come on”, she said, “no one could be THAT stupid”

“Oh yes they could”, I said, “I’m going for a starter of three”.

Well we found three cars in the space of a few blocks. As we hit Sheik Zayed Road where the traffic in the fast lane was still doing 120km, she said: “OK, this is crazy, let’s go for 8 or 12”.

“That’s fine”, I said, “but I want to go for the big one: I want to find the European Union…. I want to find a bus..or a large sewage tanker”……and we did.

The gurus at Deutsche Bank published a study1 in July of last year suggesting that the politicians guiding the world economy were behaving exactly like those sewage tankers and buses in the fog. They propose this because their hypothesis is that none of the old economic philosophies actually apply to the current world economy and thus the levers being pulled by the politicians are not actually connected to anything.

Their proposal is quite simple. For most of history, the currency that has circulated in economies has either been itself an item of intrinsic value (gold/silver) or linked to an item of intrinsic value (Bretton Woods and the post WWII exchange rate mechanism). This automatically prevented governments from simply “printing money”. Then, on August 15th 1971, Richard Nixon severed the final link of the US dollar to gold. In so doing he severed the last link of paper currencies to any item of real value. True, international gold convertibility of most major currencies had gone decades before but up until that point the US dollar could still be exchanged for gold at the rate of $35 per ounce.

In 1971 we thus entered a period when, for the first time in history ALL world currencies were “Fiat Currencies”2. The last 41 years have thus been fundamentally different from all preceding economic history, where we have lived in a period where currencies have not been linked to anything other than a government’s statement of what a currency is worth. One of the major problems with this, say Deutsche, is that the economic theories which are now being applied were all developed PRIOR to the Fiat Currency era and thus none of the actions taken in the West are actually relevant to fixing the world economy. Couple this with my hypothesis last year of a tipping point to failure for economies when the state becomes too large a percentage of GDP3 and I suspect we are getting close to an answer as to why the actions of the western politicians since 2008 have had so little effect. If the Swan and Deutsche Bank are right on this then the implications are profound. It means that the European economies (in particular) do not require a bit of stimulus, time to get debt back in line etc. they require a fundamental restructuring like turning round a failed company: I don’t see that happening.

This is a worldwide issue, but unlike Europe, the United States is going to recover. They teeter still on the fiscal cliff and they are gong to run massive deficits under Obama, $1tril plus per year for the rest of his presidency and I know they don’t deserve it, but it is all going to come right.

Never underestimate the underlying strength of the American economy. I have said it before but I’ll say it again… all they have to do is tighten a couple of bolts in the rust belt, get up half an hour earlier and that’s a couple of percentage points on GDP. But now there is something new: cheap energy. Again. Yes, the shale/hard rock oil and gas reserves under the US are going to make them a net energy exporter in a couple of years and mean they can once again ignore world energy prices: US gas is currently about 30% of the European price and may fall.

Obviously this will alter the economics of manufacturing back into America’s favour. Forget cheap labour; in modern manufacturing the cost of energy is almost always the key and this will prove to be America’s salvation. But there are a few other statistics to factor in. They are dramatically counter to what most western press comment, Mitt Romney (RIP) and the entire US Republican Party would have you believe. So…..

Who holds the majority of US Government debt? Is it:

  1. ) China
  2. ) Japan
  3. ) USA

What percentage of products consumed in the US are produced there? Is it:

  1. ) 25.3%
  2. ) 58.6%
  3. ) 88.5%

What is China’s percentage of the above consumption in terms of goods sold in the USA? Is it:

  1. ) 78.6%
  2. ) 23.8%
  3. ) 2.7%

The answer is c) in every case4. China actually only holds around 7.5% of US debt but the vast majority is held by US institutions and individuals. The point here is that this shows you just how disconnected the US economy actually is from the rest of the world. Drawing on the other numbers you can see how a US recovery on the back of cheap energy, regardless of the debt, could happen. Inflation is still going to run and run but that can be good for certain investments like equities and hard assets. Accordingly watch the Dow.

Now let’s take a look at China. Goldman Sachs coined the term “BRICs” as long ago as 2001.5 But the seminal work was “Dreaming with the BRICs” which they published in 2003. In that they predicted that China would overtake the US as the world’s largest economy by 2041. They then revised that to 2027. Now they suggest 2020 and the Economist recently went for 2017. Well I have news for you: if China is not already the largest economy in the world it is certainly the most influential.

Remember the earlier statistics for the percentage of the USA accounted for by China. Remember that China is making massive investments internally. Remember that Internet penetration is still only around 35%: it is about to explode with mobile and the introduction of 4G. Fantastic growth is still there. China will be OK and the rest of the world will benefit from this.

If you look at the graph on the left you can see that China has provided the bulk of world growth since 2002. That is pretty damn influential.

We are seeing the steady introduction of the Chinese currency into world markets. Already ‘offshore’ RMB are freely traded in Hong Kong, Singapore and London. Already many trade transactions are conducted in RMB but I think during 2013 we will see more formal moves to push the RMB onto the world stage.

China is one of the largest holders (and the largest buyer) of gold in the world. Could they..would they..ever push towards gold convertibility for the RMB? I doubt it, as the value of the RMB would soar against all other currencies. But China still has a capacity for infinite surprises.

Conclusions

The same themes of the last few years are still here. Two years ago the Swan predicted that, far from the EU recovering, the rest would drag down the one proper economy in the whole group. At the close of 2012 it seems that is indeed the case as Germany shifts inexorably towards stagnation. There will be no recovery in Europe and there will be increasing social unrest.

Inflation is going to hit big time over the next few years. Look back to my section on fiat currencies. All conventional deposit based savings will thus be destroyed. All pensions managed by a “Fund Manager”, “Insurance Company” or “Independent Financial Advisor” will be useless because they will not place the bets on equities (always just a part of your portfolio) or China and will almost certainly not include enough gold and silver.

I know with both gold and silver flat for 2012 the Swan’s call for gold last year looks weak. However during 2012 money was placed where mouth is and we floated Wishbone Gold in London in July (www.wishbonegoldplc.com ). I remain strong on both gold and silver as hedges on inflation and because of continuing Asian growth, selective commodities in general.

There are also the political and economic wildcards, which can shatter all predictions. As a dweller in the UAE, I hope that the USA does not allow Israel to attack Iran. Recent hope here comes from Obama’s apparent renewed intention to talk.

Bright spots? Continuing growth in Asia and here at home in Dubai the turnaround has come faster and harder than I expected. Driven in part by the “safe haven” view of the UAE but undoubtedly the economy here has turned, new projects are coming on stream and old ones which were mothballed are being restarted.

So to finish on the cars in the fog analogy there’s that old joke that goes: I want to die in my sleep like my grandfather… not screaming in terror like the passengers on his bus. Unfortunately, for those in Europe at least, if you are not screaming already, it is time to start.

All the very best for 2013 and the up coming Year of the Water Snake on 10th
February,
RP

PS: Pictures of “the horror, the horror” as Mr Kurtz once said.

Purchasing power parity on the left scale, currency in circulation on the right. Note performance of Swiss Franc versus the other two.

Very neat pic from the Deutsche Bank study. Under Obama this will turn down again..

Footnotes
1 “Deutsche Bank Annual Long Term Asset Return Study”, Jim Reid, Nick Burns, Stephen Stakhiv

2 Paper money or coins of little or no intrinsic value in themselves and not convertible into gold or silver, but made legal tender by fiat (order) of the government. Source: Financial Times Lexicon.

3 Black Swan News Letter 2012 www.blackswanplc.com

4 Various sources: US Government data, Reserve Bank of San Francisco cited by Kevin Rafferty in South China Morning Post

5 Jim O’Neill then Chief Economist at the Vampire Squid.

Admin

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Video Postcard Number 27

2293 days ago

Greetings from deluded lefty central in Shipston-on-Stour. I think I got both sound and picture right this time! A short video as an afternoon of sporting misery beckons.

On the agenda

1. Cupid
2. S&U
3. UKInvestor Show
4. Market rotation bonds vs equities: Tom Stevenson
5. Inflation & equities
6. Gold and silver
7. The ability to price set
8. It is not a matter of life & death it is more important than that.

Tom Winnifrith

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Medusa Mining output guidance pared – a reason to sell?

2303 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2013/02/01/medusa-mining-output-guidance-pared-a-reason-to-sell/

Tom Winnifrith

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Fox Davies: Buy Highland Gold at 112p with a 181p target

2304 days ago

http://uk.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/15847/fox-davies-buy-highland-gold-at-112p-with-a-181p-target

Tom Winnifrith

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Highland Gold Full Year Trading Statement: Buy at 114.5p target 200p

2305 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2013/01/30/highland-gold-full-year-trading-statement-buy-at-114-5p-target-200p/

Tom Winnifrith

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Guest post Sam Bottell: Nordgold – 2013 the recovery year

2307 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2013/01/28/nordgold-2013-the-recovery-year/

Tom Winnifrith

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Guest Post: Sam Bottell on Hochschild Mining

2310 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2013/01/25/hochschild-mining-hoc-2012-production-numbers-buy-at-438-5p/

Tom Winnifrith

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Amara: Weak numbers but a good investment. But not good enough

2310 days ago

http://uk.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/15651/amara-weak-numbers-but-a-good-investment-but-not-good-enough

Tom Winnifrith

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Guest Post: Sam Bottell - Buy African Barrick Gold

2311 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2013/01/24/african-barrick-gold-abg-q4-results-analysis-project-financing/

Tom Winnifrith

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Edison Increases Target Price on Pan African from 20.77p to 29.83p – the shares at 21p are a buy

2313 days ago

http://www.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/15465/edison-increases-target-price-on-pan-african-from-20-77p-to-29-83p-the-shares-at-21p-are-a-buy

Tom Winnifrith

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VSA: Buy Highland Gold at 106.75p – target price 175p

2314 days ago

http://www.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/15453/vsa-buy-highland-gold-at-106-75p-target-price-175p

Tom Winnifrith

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Guest Post Sam Bottell: Pan African Resources (PAF) – Buy at 18p

2318 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2013/01/17/pan-african-resources-paf-buy-at-18p/

Tom Winnifrith

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Medusa Mining: Is it time to buy again?

2319 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2013/01/16/medusa-mining-is-it-time-to-buy-again/

Tom Winnifrith

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Shanta Gold – Getting There: Buy at 23p

2320 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2013/01/15/shanta-gold-getting-there-buy-at-23p/

Tom Winnifrith

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Goldplat – Market Over-reacts to mild profits warning – buy for bumper (safe) yield

2324 days ago

http://www.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/15017/goldplat-market-over-reacts-to-mild-profits-warning-buy-for-bumper-safe-yield

Tom Winnifrith

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Centamin Publishes Record Q4 Results but that still leaves it as a sell

2326 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2013/01/09/centamin-publishes-record-q4-results-but-that-still-leaves-it-as-a-sell/

Tom Winnifrith

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Centamin – Deafening Silence on whether it is selling gold or not

2329 days ago

http://www.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/14598/centamin-deafening-silence-on-whether-it-is-selling-gold-or-not

Tom Winnifrith

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Centamin: Is it exporting gold or not?

2332 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2013/01/03/centamin-is-it-exporting-gold-or-not/

Tom Winnifrith

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My sixth 2013 tip of the year is live: a gold play for New Year's Day & Act now to get my 7th tip tomorrow with OneFreeSharetip.com

2334 days ago

Six down one to go. I refer to my seven tips of the year for 2013. The seventh will not appear on any website but will be the first share tip on my new partnership with ADVFN, Onefreesharetip.com – sign up HERE.

It is simple – sign up for free and tomorrow you get my last share tip of the year. In the three working days that follow you get the tip of the year from each of ADVFN boss and columnist Clem Chambers, my pal Zak Mir and ex t1ps.com senior writer Steve Moore.

Thereafter every working day of the year we will send out by email a free share tip from a panel of 20 top tipsters, bloggers and analysts. Each of us serves up around one tip a month. All you need to do is sign up here
If you missed my previous six tips of the year:

On New Year’s Day my SIXTH share tip of the year ( of SEVEN) went live ( here).
On New Year’s Eve my FIFTH share tip of the year ( of SEVEN) went live ( here).
On 30th December my FOURTH share tip of the year ( of SEVEN) went live ( here).
On 29th December my 3rd share tip of the year ( of SEVEN) went live ( here).
On 28th December I published my second share tip of the year ( here).
The day before I published my first share tip of the year ( here).
On Boxing Day I published my macro-economic assumptions for 2013.

The only way to receive the FINAL TIP OF THE YEAR in your email is to register HERE at OneFreesharetip.com .
Go on, you know it makes sense.

Happy New Year

Tom Winnifrith

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Aurcana: Second Mine Now Operating Makes This A Strong Silver Play For 2013

2341 days ago

http://seekingalpha.com/article/1081011-aurcana-second-mine-now-operating-makes-this-a-strong-silver-play-for-2013

Tom Winnifrith

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Highland Gold: A 2013 Recovery Play?

2345 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2012/12/21/highland-gold-a-2013-recovery-play/

Tom Winnifrith

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Centamin – Good News but Not all Good: TW vs the Barmy Sukari army Round 3

2349 days ago

http://www.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/13978/centamin-good-news-but-not-all-good-tw-vs-the-balmy-sukari-army-round-3

Tom Winnifrith

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UKIP leader Nigel Farage MEP joins headline speakers at UKInvestorShow on April 13th

2352 days ago

UKInvestor Show is an event about making money but I have always thought such a show needs one non investment speaker and I am delighted to say that Nigel Farage MEP emailed this morning and he is up for it. The leader of UKIP will talk about how staying in the EU costs all of us so much and why we should leave now.

And so on April 13th at Excel we now have a main stage line up of Nigel Wray (Britain’s Buffett), Nick Leslau (property legend and secret millionaire), bear raiders Evil Knievil and Lucian Miers and Dominic Frisbey, Mr Gold and Nigel Farage. And there is one other surprise for you on the main stage.

The traders session ( also a main stage event) is chaired by Steve Moore and stars Clem Chambers, Alpesh Patel, Simon Denham, John Piper and Zak Mir ( plus one name to reveal shortly)

In the breakout rooms we have the Goddess, Amanda VanDyke on making money from mining stocks, Stanley Gibbons boss Mike Hall on alternative investments, Roger Lawson on shareholder activism and Christopher Booker on how global warming costs you so much.

There is the Poulden v Winnifrith debate (10 minutes of main stage comedy) and 80 companies presenting at CEO level.

You have to admit that is a cracking line-up. No other show even comes close. If you want to hear a master investor speak this is the only show worth attending. To register for your free ticket on a first come first served basis go HERE.

Tom Winnifrith

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Centamin Shares Collapse - Time for Bulletin Board Morons to apologise to me. Still a sell

2353 days ago

http://www.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/13761/centamin-shares-collapse-time-for-bulletin-board-morons-to-apologise-to-me-still-a-sell

Tom Winnifrith

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Sterling - No Grounds for Optimism

2354 days ago

http://www.littlefishfx.com/sterling-no-grounds-for-optimism/

Tom Winnifrith

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Orosur Mining - a gold winner so far for me and set to glisten

2358 days ago

http://www.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/13563/orosur-mining-a-gold-winner-so-far-for-me-and-set-to-glisten

Tom Winnifrith

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Buy Amara Mining at 65p – worth 99p to 124p says top broker Ocean Equities

2359 days ago

http://www.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/13519/buy-amara-mining-at-65p-worth-99p-to-124p-says-top-broker-ocean-equities

Tom Winnifrith

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Pan African Resources Evander purchase update

2363 days ago

http://www.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/13413/pan-african-resources-evander-purchase-update

Tom Winnifrith

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Minera Drilling News – A Golden Prospect?

2363 days ago

http://www.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/13391/minera-drilling-news-a-golden-prospect

Tom Winnifrith

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Minera: Good news from Peru – cheap but are there cheaper gold plays?

2366 days ago

http://www.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/13344/minera-good-news-from-peru-cheap-but-are-there-cheaper-gold-plays

Tom Winnifrith

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Centamin – Market Update Does Not sound Good say two brokers and me

2370 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2012/11/26/centamin-market-update-does-not-sound-good-say-two-brokers-and-me/

Tom Winnifrith

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Pan African: Rights Issue News - can we build on a 644% gain?

2373 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/pan-african-rights-issue-news-can-we-build-on-a-644-gain/

Tom Winnifrith

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EMED: Broker Fox-Davies thinks shares will treble & Slovak approval

2373 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/emed-broker-fox-davies-thinks-shares-will-treble-slovak-approval/

Tom Winnifrith

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Ortac – Gold Site Visit in Slovak Republic: Value Play?

2374 days ago

http://tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/ortac-gold-site-visit-in-slovak-republic-value-play/

Tom Winnifrith

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Centamin: Broker Fox Davies Warns shares worth 44p if fuel subsidy discussions fail

2374 days ago

http://www.tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2012/11/22/centamin-broker-fox-davies-warns-shares-worth-44p-if-fuel-subsidy-discussions-fail/

Tom Winnifrith

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Centamin – Quarterlies Good Enough But...

2380 days ago

http://www.tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2012/11/16/centamin-quarterlies-good-enough-but/

Tom Winnifrith

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Aureus Mining Q3 Results: Still a sell?

2381 days ago

http://www.tradingresearchpoint.co.uk/2012/11/15/aureus-mining-q3-results-still-a-sell/

Tom Winnifrith

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Video Postcard Number 12

2399 days ago

Once again both the sound and picture are all okay. A pity about the window occasionally banging in the background but almost there for the latest video postcard which is fairly wide ranging.

Back in London on the first train Tuesday I plan to record my first CEO Videocast this week. Hopefully no banging windows there. And I cannot say where it will appear. But it will.

The video lasts 12 minutes

On the Agenda

1. The Wit and wisdom of Viagra Man – now with the publishers

2. UK GDP Data – I am far from convinced

3. The UK’s own structural problems are not resolved – bankrupt Britain

4. The threat to UK growth from the Eurozone, the US (The Fiscal Cliff) and China

5. China – the crash is inevitable and a case study – LDK Solar ( here )

6. Seeing Ariana Resources and Leyshon Resources next week – more on Leyshon here

7. My feeling on the markets – divergence between real value and utter hype. In the latter camp Zoltav Resources (more on this here )

8. Gold and the US election – I still think Obama will win

9. I hope you like my T-shirt. You can of course buy your own Piss off Argentina T-Shirt or Mug only HERE

Tom Winnifrith

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Time to Help Dominic Frisby over the line?

2408 days ago

Dominic Frisby needs your help. The author and comedian needs a set number of pre-orders for his book for his publisher to publish it. And he is 82% of the way there.

Just for producing the classic debt bomb video (below) Dominic deserves support

Now watch Dominic discuss the book he wishes to publish and please consider a pre-order.

Tom

PS Dominic you owe me one. I shall have here books for you to plug in a month’s time.

Tom Winnifrith

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1 or 2 Fundraising windows for Junior Resource stocks before Oblivion and another 1 million overtaken on twitter!

2455 days ago

http://sharecrazy.com/beta/daily/7446/1-or-2-fundraising-windows-for-junior-resource-stocks-before-oblivion-and-another-1-million-overtaken-on-twitter

Tom Winnifrith

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The Economic Debt Driven Crisis started 41 years ago yesterday

2472 days ago

It was 41 years ago yesterday that President Nixon scrapped the Bretton Woods system. Until then you could exchange 35 US dollars for an ounce of gold. The US could only print as many dollars as it had gold reserves and all other currencies were linked to the US dollar, so they too were restricted in what they could print by how much gold they sat on. As a result we enjoyed fiscally responsible Governments that did not spend more than they could afford.

Nixon scrapped the link because the US Government needed to print dollars to finance the folly that was the Vietnam War. Since he did that the purchasing power of the US dollar has fallen by 82%. The purchasing power of other currencies where the Governments have been even more profligate (er…the UK) has fallen by more.

The current system allows Government to spend more than it can afford on welfare systems/wars which are unsustainable. It funds this with debt and that in turn is paid for by issuing more debt. And this laxity of monetary policy feeds through to the private sector. Since we know that the real value of a paper currency (any paper currency) will erode massively over time we all take on debt and more debt. It is, of course, unsustainable. Eventually ( as incidentally happened with the Roman empire as it used less and less silver in its coinage so that it could mint more and more of them to pay for “panes, circenses at bella” ) folks lose faith in paper currencies.

I see that Bristol City Council has just launched a Bristol pound. Its staff can get partly paid in these new pounds and certain (daft) local businesses will accept them. This is seen by some as a sign of how people are losing faith in traditional fiat currencies. It is nothing of the sort. The Bristol pound is just another fiat currency, backed by no gold, silver or even a share of the Clifton suspension bridge. It is only worth anything if folks believe it is worth anything which, of course, it is not. It is just a glorified and costly luncheon voucher scheme. If anything it is a sign of the profligacy of the modern state that a City Council can waste so much cash (which I thought it did not have thanks to those wicked Tory spending cuts?) on implementing and promoting such folly.

At some stage the Modern state – across the West will have to accept reality. You cannot live on the never never forever because at some stage folks will not believe that you are good for your money and your fiat currency will collapse ( as if 82% in 41 years is not already a collapse) in value. Ron Paul understands this. I am sure you understand this. That is why he and you have invested in gold or gold related assets. One day our leaders will have to understand it too.

Tom Winnifrith

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Video Postcard Number 4

2477 days ago

For me the dual highlights of the week were Madonna taking on Putin on civil liberties and the hilarious reaction of Russian church and state and my visit to the best bakery in Greece, indeed my whole time in Zitsa.

This is the penultimate video of this series. There will be one next week and then a two week break as I head slowly back to England. The book will, by then, be almost finished. And I have almost decided on my next move. So it is time to go back to the UK and sort that out.


Video Postcard from Tom #004 by dm_500db406b2995

On the Agenda

1. Greece
2. My plans
3. Next video
4. Central banks, QE and gold
5. Gold stocks
6. Man United IPO
7. Push pull and the markets

Tom Winnifrith

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A Second Video Postcard from Greece

2492 days ago

I think I am getting the hang of this video technology. I am writing to you from the Connections Bar where there is a high speed wi-fi service and my latest video is whirring its way online. Last time it took 14 hours to get back to the UK. This time it looks set to complete in 150 minutes.

The play list here could have been created by me. Oasis, Nena, Dexy’s, all I need is some Undertones and I shall feel like I am back at Real Man Pizza. Anyhow, I hope that you enjoy the video

On the Agenda

  1. Greece
  2. The Euro
  3. Gold
  4. Oil
  5. Inflation and how that affects your portfolio

A new share tip on the way on TomWinnifrith.com – maker sure you follow me on twitter (@tomwinnifrith) for the alert. It will go out during market hours.

Admin

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Video Postcard from Tom Winnifrith & Book News

2496 days ago

It is all happening. Or rather it will happen. One minute, from the comfort of a sun bed by the swimming pool, diet coke in hand I am sitting here trying to think how I can advance a long article on the Bombay property market. The next minute it appears that there is another book to be written with a contract winging its way to me from France. Meanwhile I amuse myself with a video recording using a neat little gadget some Welsh bloke gave me before I left London. Recording is a piece of cake. Transmitting is a horror. But at last the video now plays smoothly for all to enjoy.

On the agenda:

Greece
Spain
The Euro Crisis
The Impending Dollar Crisis
Gold
The Middle East and the Oil Price
Avanti Communications, Northern Petroleum, 1Spatial
Cash shells, investment companies
Speculative oil stocks
Risk & reward
The equity markets generally
Lots of cheap jokes

Admin

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The Great China Bubble and the crash of 2012: Fraudulent statistics unravel

2526 days ago

http://www.advfn.com/newspaper/tom-winnifrith/1027/the-great-china-bubble-and-the-crash-of-2012-fraudulent-statistics-unravel

Tom Winnifrith

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New Gold Book for the Autumn – Contract signed

2535 days ago

I was wondering how to spend the summer as I take it slightly easier ahead of the next big challenge. And now I know. I have today signed a contract to produce a 30,000 word e-book for a well known financial website (er… not t1ps) on the subject of Gold.

At the speed I write, when I know something about a subject, this is a leisurely canter for me. Something to do on rainy days in England or during a family break in France. The thesis of the book is that gold is heading sharply higher and how to profit from that. The title … work in progress. How about “Gold at $3000 – how to maximise your profits.” I am not sure, the title is the last thing to worry about and I have a couple of months to figure that one out. Somehow I suspect that will not be my main job within a few weeks. But writing will certainly be at the heart of what I do.

Tom Winnifrith

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Gold - $2,000 oz or $3,000 oz?

2547 days ago

Gold raced ahead on Friday by almost $100 to $1625 oz. I have long predicted $2,000 gold for 2012 – I actually think we are heading rather higher. For weeks gold has been slipping (to a low of $1525). This has not been the fault of gold but of the morons who run (I use the word loosely) the EU. As the Euro has tanked there has been a flight to the US dollar and gold has slipped in dollar terms as a result. But now there are worries about the US.

Let us start with the US. It fiddles its job stats to hide the grim truth. The reality is that those without work are at levels not seen since the 1930s. What recovery the US has seen so far this year has been a largely jobless one. It is not for want of trying. President Obama has chucked gazillions at daft job creation programmes which create a few posts for overpaid paper-shufflers and diversity co-ordinators inside the Beltway but do not actually create any real jobs. All these programmes do is serve to swell the deficit and US Government debt but that is an issue most Americans are happy to park until after November’s election.

However on Friday quite dire jobs and other economic data came out of the US. The problems affecting Europe are now causing contagion Stateside. It is now only a matter of when – not if – Ben Bernanke starts the printing presses again for QE3. And thus America finds itself with a greater Government debt/GDP ratio than Italy, with stagnating economic growth, with chronic unemployment and thus inevitably resorting to the printing press on a scale as yet unseen. So why on earth hold dollars as a safe haven?

Well dollars are not Euros. Greece is bust. So is Spain. We have runs on the banks in both countries. Sovereign default is somewhere between inevitable and incredibly likely. And if one Domino topples others have to follow. What is the non PIIG EU banking exposure to the PIIIGS? How much of non PIIG EU trade is with the PIIGS? How many non PIIG EU residents hold PIIG assets? I have no idea and doubt anyone does really. But while I would argue that brave Hellas should default and go back to the drachma to “share its pain” – that pain will be felt across Europe and as such the single currency are just holed. And before the Jubilee celebrating Brits get too chippy: the UK is also up to its eyeballs in debt, our banks have loaned gazillions to the PIIGS and enough of our trade is with the EU to mean that EU meltdown will seriously hurt here too. Sterling is not a safe currency.

And so we come back to gold. I have argued for yonks that fiat currencies only hold their value because the population believes in them. Right now there is no reason to believe in any of them. Gold, on the other hand, is a very scarce resource and is a currency. As such as BOTH the EU and US face troubles not seen for decades gold could well shoot well past $2,000 oz. Indeed $3,000 is now far from fanciful.

Tom Winnifrith

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