Thanks to a little confusion on my part, which resulted in me wandering around the area close to Temple Meads for an extra half mile, the half way point on my second training walk for the 33 mile rogue bloggers for Woodlarks trek in May, was what I know as Lucian's breakfast joint.
When Mr Miers and I did a training walk last year along this route, the sun was shining and the cafe at Walmley Junction in the old railway station was packed. Indeed when I trained by walking the Bristol Bath railway path last summer, it was always swarming with other walkers, dogs and cyclists. With the wind blowing hard and the rain pelting down, my walk yesterday was a rather more solitary affair.
You may say that the cycle path is quite easy going but for the first few miles it is steadily uphill, albeit on a gentle slope and depressingly after about five miles you are still in Bristol. But eventually you cross over the ring road and break out into open countryside before heading into Walmley where the cafe was deserted but, to my surprise, open. A warm cup of tea, some banana bread and a chance to use the facilities was my reward as I contemplated the miles that lay ahead.
I cannot say that I was really enjoying the walk, given the weather, but train I must as the 33 miles from Horse Hill to Woodlarks are unforgiving and May 25 looms ever closer on the horizon. I think we may now have a 9th and possibly up to 11 rogue bloggers pledged to do all 33 miles. I know I was not the only one training yesterday. We are raising money for an outstanding cause so please take two minutes to read why we walk and make a donation HERE
You may remember that my coach for my Woodlarks walk was 75 year old Fleet Street legend Brian Basham who himself completed the London marathon last year. My coach was in town yesterday and we met up for lunch. Uh Oh!
Both as a journalist and a PR man, Basham was at the top of his game. His contacts are just amazing. And as such he is an entertaining chap and we talked happily in central Bristol. But being old style Fleet Street it was over wine and then brandy. This is one reason that I do not go to London as there are others, like Brian, who can lead me astray. I remember my days of old style Fleet Street excess all too well but am too old, and too diabetic, to allow myself to go back.
These days I am imbibing well under five units a week. This week’s ration and some was consumed over lunch. I made it home and after a long shower was able to walk to pick up Joshua from nursery but there was no question of trying to go to the gym. I shall make amends today because I have stuck, fairly strictly, to my new regime of working out every other day. Either it is 30 minutes on the treadmill or the same time on the exercise bike doing 10 or 11 miles.
I cannot say that I am losing much weight and I need to up my game for Brian has agreed to join me on the Woodlarks walk next year, May 25 2019. That makes five confirmed for the full 33 miles (myself, Dan Levi, Lucian Miers, Andrew Bell and coach Basham) with one other – who is even older than Brian – joining us for the last six. And others, including Andrew Monk, are considering it. Should you wish to join us just drop me an email.
As you know, young Joshua, is obsessed with Thomas the Tank Engine and friends. The highlight of his year was meeting Thomas on the Watercress Line with godfather Lucian Miers. The Bard of the Boleyn gave him a plastic Percy which makes real noises and that goes everywhere. But for some reason his favourite train is bossy Gordon. He is also very fond of my Mother-in-law.
And so Joshua’s pride and joy is a metal two inch Gordon which comes with a separate tender. Everywhere we go out comes Gordon and Joshua runs him up a surface, my arm, a sofa, whatever saying “Gordon’s Hill”. Occasionally Gordon gets stuck at which point I say loudly, in a Gordon type voice “The Indignity!”
And so as I prepared to hand the Mrs and Joshua over to her brother-in law for a few days away from the building site over at his familial home 50 miles the other side of Kalamata, out came Gordon and the tender as we met up in the lobby of my usual hotel. Joshua played happily, we chatted and it was time to go. We packed up everything but where was the tender? Disaster!
As we go swimming in the sea in the bay of Kalamata Joshua looks over to the land on the other side in the far distance and says “The Mainland!”. That is because we are all on the isle of Sodor. And so, we lied and said that the tender was on the mainland and panicked about how we would replace it.
Yesterday afternoon as I returned to the hovel, the excitement of a day dealing with bureaucrats in Kalamata got to me and I fancied a lie down in the Bat Room. The Mrs will be impressed because before clambering on the bed I did actually take off my walking boots and, praise the lord, from beneath the flap above my ankle, what tumbled out….
The sense of relief as I phone the Mrs with the good news… Gordon’s tender really is on the mainland.
On Saturday I shall try to walk 33 miles from Horse Hill to Woodlarks with Brokerman Dan and Lucian Miers, my fellow rogue bloggers. In this podcast I explain why I got involved so many years ago, what Woodlarks does and why all of you should donate to this great charity HERE. Please take 12 minutes out to listen and then make a donation.
On Saturday myself, Brokerman Dan and Lucian Miers, aka the rogue bloggers, will walk 32 miles from the infamous Horse Hill “Gatwick Gusher” oil well to Woodlarks, aiming to raise £20,000 for that amazing charity. Reminder – Woodlarks needs that cash to up its income from just £126,500 last year, to close its deficit and keep doing its amazing work providing holidays for handicapped folks who would otherwise get none. Yesterday was my last long training walk…
I set off at 5.30 AM from the start of the Bristol bath railway cycle path and in the early morning I made cracking progress. The track passes by a couple of rough looking estates and from one tower block I could hear neighbours having a rather heated exchange and threatening each other. That spurred me to walk a bit faster and I did have a few questions as to whether I should really have departed that early?
As some consolation the early hour meant that I saw both a fox on its own and a mother playing with two cubs. Growing up in the country I know that foxes are smelly , evil, murdering vermin but these urban specimens and their cubs did look rather sweet. Fear not I am not going soft, it is just that I was not “carrying” – I do know that the only good fox is a dead one.
As the light improved the foxes disappeared and were replaced by lycra clad cyclists and fat dogs being walked by even fatter owners. I made cracking progress and before 7.30 was at the converted station turned café where, when Lucian and I had walked this path, we had stopped so that he could have a bacon butty and a fag at 10 AM. Enjoying my first nutri-bar and drink I felt smug and ahead of schedule and was almost tempted to call Lucian and rose him from his slumber by telling him. Instead I pressed on and before eight thirty was at the steam railway station of Bitton for another drink and the rest of the first nutri-bar. Eight and a half miles in three hours – not too bad – with two short breaks.
Before ten I had turned off the path having done c11 miles and was on what was termed the Avon cycle-way to Chew in the Somerset hills. This was meant to be eleven miles too. But the signing was just utterly dreadful and as far as I can see the walk was entirely on roads. Within three miles I had lost the signs, if indeed they exist, and was just navigating village to village by instinct.
At three miles I saw a sign to Chewton. Rather foolishly I hope that the Chews were like Midsomer so that Chewton would be near Chew Magna or Chew lake. A chap said I was about eight miles from the lake. Great. I strode off fortified by another bit of nutri bar and more fluids, confident that I would beat the Mrs to our lunchtime booking at “Salt & Malt” by a good whack. Hmmm.
Two miles after Chewton came a village called something like Susan Dando where I asked about the lake which I was expecting to be just five and a bit miles away. “It’s a long way, at least ten miles” said a lady as she laughed. It was getting very hot and sunny and I was not laughing. The roads were up and down, rather too m any hills for my liking but I strode on, village to village.
The countryside was gorgeous. As my second and final nutri-bar disappeared I picked a few blackberries for comfort and by eleven thirty reached a roundabout which “I knew” was very close to the lake, the turning was just around the corner and in that vein I drank my last water. Natch, the lake was still miles away but I just kept walking and about 400 yards from the lake the Mrs and Joshua pulled up beside m e and gave me a lift for the final stretch.
Bar a bit of dehydration I was fine. Yes. My feet hurt but I coped with the hills fine and know I could easily have done another five or ten miles without collapsing. A few years ago when I was a twenty a day man my lungs would have been burning after just a few miles but today, even on the worst of hills, I am never breathless I might pant a bit as I hit the peak but that is it.
After that walk with Lucian a few weeks ago I was stiff as a board and headed pretty much to bed as soon as I could. Yesterday was just a normal day. Yes I hobbled a bit as my body stiffened up but I made supper, and worked a bit and just got on with it.
So I shall do two more short five mile walks on Tuesday and Thursday with Joshua and then it is the big one. I feel as ready as I will ever be.
It is now less than four weeks until myself and Brokerman Dan try to walk from Horse Hill to Woodlarks to raise money for this charity which I have backed for 16 years and which does amazing work as you can see HERE. Dan is far fitter than I am and sent late night texts on Friday saying that he had managed a 21 mile walk but was a wreck and needed a lighter rucksack. I know it is hot up in Manchester what with all those fires on the Moors but I think he is kidding me. It is all psychology. My plan was to do 26 miles on Sunday.
I set an alarm for 4.30 AM and hoped to be walking by 5.15. But the bed was jolly comfortable and when I did rouse myself I looked on my computer to approve Sunday articles for ShareProphets. I procrastinated but, looking at the donations page HERE, I was struck by how generous so many folks had been and determined not to let them down I called a cab. At 6.23 AM I started walking on the Bristol Bath Railway walk – along the old line – from its start near Temple Meads in the City Centre.
It was the route I had taken a week earlier with my friend Lucian Miers but with no-one to talk to as a distraction and almost no cyclo-nazis to dodge I made cracking time. By just after eight I had managed seven miles in record speed and despite being on a gradual climb and I was at the (not yet open) cafe where eight days earlier Lucian and I had stopped for a a 10.30 AM break and, in his case, a bacon sarnie and a fag.
My rucksack was heavier than last week, containing my laptop in case I fancied a spot of blogging, some bread and two litres of water. It was time for my first drink. Despite being double socked my left foot had started to rub and that pain grew as I headed on past Bitton where steam trains were running on the private railway, something Joshua would have loved. I crossed the Avon three times and by 11 AM had reached almost thirteen and a half miles. My foot was hurting and I fear – wrongly as it turned out – that a blister would result. It was – according to my phone 30 degrees and I was my backpack grew steadily lighter as I took on fluids.
I really did think, several times as I headed back from near bath towards Bristol, that I might call the Mrs and get a lift home but I just set myself a target of the next stop to reconsider. It was hard going and my pace slowed such that I was frequently overtaken by 70 year old joggers and three year olds on cycles. But slowly I retraced my route. The three bridges over the Avon, the start of the steam railway tracks, Bitton, the end of the railway tracks and then Lucian’s cafe.
At that point, still seven miles out I did feel a bit feint. As a diabetic I should have hat my testing kit but did not but just to be sure I bought a sugary snack and a coke and refiled one of my two empty water bottles. Like an idiot I then left that full bottle at the cafe; something I realised only as I finished the coke, five miles away from the line. But the snack gave me a whole new lease of life, the pace picked up and the last few miles were, very gently, downhill. I raced ahead and despite missing water in the last stretch finished the course in nine hours and thirty one minutes. If I add in 400 yards at the start from where V cars dropped me off at the wrong place, two detours to answer a call of nature and a wander around Bitton station looking at the trains, I managed, near as damn it, 27 miles.
I could have gone on. I am in no doubt that, given another two hours, I could have made it to 32 miles. But there was no need, doing a marathon in this heat was good enough. By the time the taxi dropped me off at home I was stiff as a board and last night I slept like a log. But today? I am fully recovered. I could walk again but shall not as 75 year old coach Brian Basham says I must rest my muscles. None the less my recovery times are improving as e very week goes by. So my next session is a short mid week walk, six miles on Tuesday, most of it gradient work at the gym.
I cannot help but feel a bit smug. Two weeks ago I struggled badly to do 15 miles. Last week I struggled to do 24. This week 27 was less of a struggle. Slowly but surely I am getting there. But gosh it is painful. The determination is partly one of pride but also not to let down all those folks who have sponsored myself and Dan. We have now raised £9,849.16 ( or £11,740.21 with gift aid) which will make a massive difference to a charity which had an income last year of just £126,000 and does truly amazing work.
If you have sponsored us already we both thank you. If not please would you donate now. Just a tenner from everyone who reads this piece would get us well over our £20,000 target so please take a few minutes and donate now HERE.
PS. Completing this trek and managing type 2 diabetes shows that it can be done and makes me all the more angry when folks like Diane Abbott use the condition as an excuse for their manifest failings.
In the build up to my 32 mile charity walk for Woodlarks on July 28, I planned to build on last week’s 15 miler stroll with 19 miles and it all started so well. My pal Lucian Miers drove over from Winchester first thing and at 8 AM we started walking from just near Bristol Temple Meads. According to my calculations the Bath Bristol Railway path was 13 miles and Bath to the Hop Pole Inn on the other side was 6 miles largely along the Kennet & Avon Canal.
Things started well. We talked about a wide range of things including the retirement of Lucian from squash aged 56. He had drawn a woman called Beverley aged 76 in the local ladder and felt that surely he could get a much needed confidence boosting win. Beverley pitched up and was, in fact, a chap. But still Lucian reckoned that the 20 year age gap would be enough. The match lasted less than 30 minutes with a predictable result. Lucian has retired. We laughed and chatted.
We made good time and allowed ourselves a stop after about eight miles for a cup of tea. Lucian had a bacon bun and I removed some insoles I had bought to avoid blisters but which were causing me real pain. I don’t think I really recovered from that pain. But we cracked on reaching Bath after about five hours. 13 miles had somehow become fifteen according to the signposts and Lucian’s GPS tracker.
We headed through the back streets of Bath and by the time we were on the Canal we were somehow at seventeen. My water was running out, my feet were hurting, Lucian says his back was hurting and his GPS said we had another seven miles to go.
The Mrs and Lucian’s god son Joshua waited patiently for us. We finally arrived two hours behind schedule. 19 miles had become 24 and for the last few miles we were struggling, myself more than Lucian. There was some amazing Victorian architecture along the way, notably a wonderful aqueduct and as or nature we caught full sight of what was, I think, a carp. As we peered at it we caught our breath.
At the Hop Tree Inn I collapsed on the grass. Joshua helped me remove my boots and socks, I could hardly move. I feel eve r more stiff. But I made it. If I can do 24 miles and struggle this week, next weekend I target 26 and struggling less. That 32 miles is in reach.
Though he is an on-off smoker and a man not averse to a bottle or three of wine at lunchtime, my friend the bear raider Lucian Miers, the Bard of the Boleyn, is becoming a bit of a health freak these days. “I can’t file Friday as I am on a three day walk across the downs”. That is his catchphrase these days. And to think that it used to be “get another bottle in, I’m just nipping outside for a fag.”
I now feel more confident about my own fitness, brushing off seven and a half miles yesterday as if it was a stroll to the corner store, the thought of keeping pace with a serious born again health Nazi is a bit daunting. But Lucian said he fancied joining me this weekend for my planned 20 mile stroll.
I tried to put him off with an estimated start time of 8 AM in Central Bristol which meant being at my house for 7.30 AM. Given he lives in Winchester surely that would put him off. Not a bit of it so this weekend we walk together. Rather comfortingly, Lucian says he aims to do ten miles in four hours allowing for brief rests. I would look to do ten miles in just over three hours. That is the pace if I am to make my 32 miles for Woodlarks on July 28 before it gets too dark.
But I assured Lucian that our route is fairly flat and it is, I think. I plan to do the Bristol Bath railway walk, much of it close to the Avon along which I walked on Sunday, which is 13 miles. Then heading to the Kennet & Avon towpath until we get to Limpley Stoke and the Hop Pole Inn which I reckon is another five or six miles. I plan to own a fitbit by then so I can report back on the exact damage but I hope that we will arrive for a late lunch with the Mrs and Lucian’s godson Joshua at around 2.30 PM. We shall see.
Already I am starting to plan my next walk for the weekend after. Seventy four year old Coach Basham when not reminding me about post walk stretching exercises says that before I do the real walk I should have built up to 26 miles with comfort the week before. In that vein and aware that travel plans will slightly disrupt July distance training I am starting to think about a 23 mile walk for a week Sunday.
If you are in the vicinity of the Hop Pole Inn on Saturday feel free to pop along and buy Lucian and myself a celebratory drink mid afternoon. Meanwhile the fund raising continues. With gift aid we are now up to £9308.96. We want to raise £20,000 before gift aid. So we are now 39% of the way to target.
Put that in context. Last year Woodlarks survived on an income of £126,650. That is less than the CEO of Oxfam earned. And Woodlarks changed so many lives with that cash. So if we raise £20,000 then with gift aid we will boost what Woodlarks can do by 20% with this one walk.
It is five years since the death of Margaret Thatcher, our greatest ever Prime Minister. A couple of weeks later, with my friend Lucian Miers and tens of thousands of others, I stood in silence on Ludgate Hill as her coffin passed by on its way to St Pauls. As we celebrate her life, here's a short video for the snowflakes, Maggie explains that there is no such thing as public money. Don't rush off to find a safe space in which to cry, you pathetic bedwetters but the money tree really does not exist. Take a lesson on that from a woman who grew up in a room above a corner store enjoying almost none of the luxuries, handouts and "rights" that you take for granted.
I was just looking at a memory stick the Mrs was playing with and up came numerous glorious photos of the Christening of my son Joshua this summer. I know many of you sent us best wishes for that day so I share just three of them
First the group photo. In case you are wondering about the location, it is a Victorian cemetery near us which is a wonderfully relaxing and peaceful spot both for its permanent residents and those, like us, visiting for the day. And yes that is my Dad at the very back on his one excursion from Warwickshire this year.
Below that is Joshua himself with his one of his godparentgs, my good friend the bear raider Lucian Miers. Should I shuffle off this mortal coil before Joshua makes one of his great decisions in life it is Lucian's job to take him to see
West Ham and make sure that he has no funny ideas about supporting Bristol City. Finally the Mrs and I giving a speech. Naturally she had the last word. And the first. And most of the rest. Rightly so.
There will be a couple more photos later in the week but for now just one from what has been a great day. I have been hard at work all weekend cooking for folks last night, baking a birthday cake (more on that later in the week) and preparing for what was a lovely and special day for myself, the Mrs and Joshua - his Christening. Hence there has been little in the way of writing.
The vicar was well behaved, managing to avoid mentioning how the poor Palestinians are oppressed by the wicked Israelis for a whole service. There was even a prayer for we long suffering and oppressed business people, For a brief second I thought we were no longer pariahs in this land.
Afterwards folks wandered down to the local Victorian cemetery for a buffet lunch and a few drinks a speech by the Mrs and a few humourous words from myself. Pictured below is Joshua with his four godparents and the Mrs. From Left to Right, my old friend the bear raider Lucian Miers, Little step sister Flea, the Mrs, her cousin Johnny (a junior doctor!) and her friend Jo, another one on the state payroll.
last night I met an amazing woman here in Kambos. More on that later but I am in awe. Then it was watching the Brexit results on the BBC on the internet as the smug biased lefties had to come to terms with how the great unwashed had given them and the rest of the elite a total kicking. I tried to get two hours sleep but a drunk comrade from the Eurosceptic trenches, Lucian Miers, woke me up. So I worked a bit and then slept. By 2.30 PM it was ouzo o'clock. So I headed to Miranda's as you can see below and raised a class to Boris, Priti, Nigel, Michael et al but also to my late grandfather Sir John Winnifrith and my Uncle, Chris Booker, who was in a fine mood today. Cheers to you all.
News of new speakers at the UK Investor Show including legendary fund manager Mark Slater has seen a surge in demand for seats for the show of the year on April 18. There are now fewer than 100 of the 2000 seats left for grabs so if you want to attend book your seat now at www.UKInvestorShow.com
I will be doing three or four talks on the day. One with the bears (Evil Knievil, Matt Earl, Kevin Ashton) and one with the value investors (Nigel Wray, Paul Jourdan and Paul Scott) both on the main stage. I have a side room presentation on Sefton where I name some names who need investigation and then a main stage Sheriff slot with Amanda Van Dyke and Malcolm Stacey.
There are also main stage presentations by:
*Luke Johnson of Pizza Express, C4 and The Sunday Times on why City research is so useless and who are the new regulators
*Saved Javid MP on taking the City and business forward
*Ben Edelman with more bad news for blinks and other shocks from the Web Sheriff
*Ed Croft of Stockopedia on stock picking to make money with Thierry Laduguie and Chris Bailey
*Tech stars Stephen Streater, Lorne Daniel, Jason Drummond and Paul Kavanagh on making money in tech
*Amanda van Dyke and David Lenigas lead a session on making Money from resource stocks
There are also 14 special 1 hour analysts sessions on topics ranging from shells (Adam Reynolds) to mining ( Amanda again), to biotech (Steve Moore) and tech (Lorne Daniel again).
And there are 110 PLC stands with 70 of the PLCs also doing 20 minute presentations on the day.
And 25 of the UK’s top share bloggers will be taking it in turn to man the Bloggers café where you can chat informally to any of them
This will be my best and most controversial show ever and that is why there are now fewer than 100 of the 2000 tickets still going. All 2000 tickets will be sent out next week so to book yours go now to www.UKinvestorshow
I am afraid that the two free tickets for the AIM Cesspit dinner offered thirty minutes ago have both been snapped up. But you can still buy tickets for the dinner on June 30th in Clerkenwell for just £40. The evening includes a three course meal, half a litre of wine per person and talks by Evil Knievil, Lucian Miers and a few words from me. We will also be handing out the nine AIM Cesspit Trophies.
It was something about being untidy. Oh and loud conversations with Lucian Miers about the same “boring stuff.” Anyhow the Mrs has issued a diktat. My office is now in the garage rather than the kitchen or living room.
It is not so bad out here. The garage is effectively a storage room as it backs onto a grassy path which no-one uses. It is light and spacious although a good part of it is taken up housing possessions deemed surplus when combining the households of two folks who only hooked up twenty years into adult life. I think it might get a little cold in the winter and I might beg for a Yuletide transfer back into the house as the snow starts to fall.
But pro tem I am now banished to the garage. Oakley, my three legged cat may be next. He has again disgraced himself in the matter of his lavatorial habits and is currently suffering an ASBO, allowed only in the kitchen. I sense that any more transgressions could see him joining me in the garage.
On Monday 30 June we will be handing out nine trophies in the 2014 AIM Cesspit awards. All those who have made the Aim Casino the crony capitalist den of iniquity that it is will be honoured.
There will be guest speakers present: Evil Knievil and Lucian Miers and everyone should have fun. No lawyers will be allowed to attend so you can say what you want.
The meal offered is a three course (pizza and pasta) offering featuring such delights as the Range Resources (RRL) pizza, a bit fishy and with very little oil.
Tickets for the event, which starts at 6 PM, cost £40 and that includes the three course meal, coffees and ½ litre of very drinkable French wine. Attendance is restricted by the size of The Real Man restaurant at 91-95 Clerkenwell Road, London EC1R 2BX and so book early to ensure you get a seat.
Steve Moore who started working with me when he left University and has been in comrade in arms ever since has – after one false start – finally got the hang of this twitter thingy. I do wonder if he is a 90 year old disguised as a young person some times.
It is still just over a year until the 2015 UK Investor Show but following the smash success of the sell-out 2014 show, the UK's leading investor show is already able to announce the first 21 speakers who have agreed to appear in 2015!
They are: Nigel Wray, Evil Knievil, myself (Tom Winnifrith), Clem Chambers, Vin Murria, Ben Edelman, Paul Scott, Lucian Miers, Steve Moore, Robert Sutherland Smith, Cathal Friel, Andrew Bell, Marcus Hanke, Amanda Van Dyke, Matt Earl, Thierry Laduguie and..
NEW For 2015: Charlotte Argyle, Ben Turney, Jason Drummond, Dominic Picarda and BrokerMan Daniel
Some failing shows manage only a handful of speakers but UK Investor Show delivers both changes each year AND the big names. Over the coming weeks we will announce more big name speakers as we plan an increased number of sessions as we take on more floor space. Brace yourself for a 50 speaker show!
And there will also be 110 stands for PLCs to exhibit and present from. Already we are almost 20% booked out and we will start announcing those exhibiting very soon.
There are two classes of tickets:
A Golden Ticket guarantees you a front three row seat in any of the days 110 sessions plus a pass to the after show party with CEOs, speakers and journalists. It costs £60 (inc VAT)
An Investor class ticket gains access to any session at the show and costs £12 including VAT.
You can book one of the last twenty or so seats at UK Investor either online HERE or by calling 07761030374 until 4.30 PM TODAY (WEDNESDAY) and we guarantee to get your ticket in the last post first class today. If you want to see real fireworks BOOK NOW. What fireworks you ask?
Ben Edelman the Blinkx destroyer is making a rare UK visit and will publicly rebut the Blinkx statement of Monday. Already Ben has halved this company’s market cap – what damage will he do live on Saturday?
Nigel Wray, Britain’s Buffett, gets grilled by Ed Croft about his portfolio and whether a machine could do better
Evil Knievil, Lucian Miers, Matt Earl and myself will launch full frontal assaults with new material on Globo, Quindell, Gulf Keystone and Avanti and a couple of new targets…
Richard Poulden and I will debate the UK House Price crash. Is it inevitable? Of course it is!
Dominic Frisby & Amanda Van Dyke will be joined by four gold company CEOs. Is gold just a useless yellow metal and are gold stocks even more useless?
David Lenigas and 3 other oil CEOs will be put on the spot in the oilers lunch
The 90 Growth PLCs with stands will be presenting at CEO level in special breakout rooms
At the bloggers café those share tipsters you love and hate will be there writing, tweeting and taking your questions
Book one of the last few seats by 4.30 PM Wednesday (TODAY) either calling me direct on 07761030374 or online HERE. I shall be able to take calls and get tickets posted guaranteed first class delivery in tonight's post at Mount Pleasant if you meet that deadline.
Bring your ticket along and there is a 20% discount on your bill and myself, Steve Moore, my wife and others would be delighted to have a relaxing pre-show chat.
I look forward to seeing you this Saturday (perhaps Friday as well) at the UK Investor Show.
Book one of the last few seats by 4.30 PM Wednesday (TODAY) either calling me direct on 07761030374 or online HERE. I shall be able to take calls and get tickets posted guaranteed first class delivery in tonight's post at Mount Pleasant if you meet that deadline.
Praise the Lord that I am in Bristol not London today as various other folks are right now stuffing envelopes with letters, tickets, full speaker line up details as we start to post out tickets to the UK Investor Show on April 5 in Westminster. All tickets ordered as of today will be sent by last post Friday with most going out TODAY.
With 44 big name speakers lead by Nigel Wray, Ben Edelman, Vin Murria, Terry Smith, Evil Knievil and Lucian Miers the show is known as the UK’s Number One Investor Show. The full list of presentations can be found HERE.
There are also 90 growth companies attending not only manning booths but also in most cases doing 20 minute presentations for those really interested. Ranging from Advanced Computer Software, to Minoan, to Leni Gas & Oil, to Amara Mining the full list can be found HERE
We still have 10% of the seats available so if you wish to join 1,500 other active investors in London on April 5 please book your seats NOW HERE
I hope to see many readers of this blog in Westminster on April 5
Surely 12 sessions and 44 speakers is enough for the UK Investor Show on April 5 in Westminster? Well it is but we had forgotten something: UK residential property. Problem fixed – we have squeezed in an additional debate with a bull and a bear.
You can read full details of the 44 speaker line-up headlined by Ben Edelman, Nigel Wray, Vin Murria, David Lenigas, Terry Smith, Mark Slater, Evil Knievil & Lucian Miers HERE
The debate is between two libertarian thinkers trained in economics. Richard Poulden will argue that there will be no crash. I shall argue that there will be one.
This is our sixth annual debate and the score is currently 3-2 to Richard.
Our debates are informal if information packed. Hence we kick off this one at 9.20 AM as a sort of warm up for the main talks which start at 9.50 AM. Doors open at 9 AM.
The big news today is that a true mega star has agreed to fly to Britain for one day only to headline at The UK Investor Show in London on April 5. Meet Ben Edelman. If you are a Blinkx (BLNX) shareholder you will already have done so – you have lost more than 50% of your money since he produced a detailed report on the company.
Professor Edelman will make a rare London appearance as the headline speaker at The UK Investor Show on April 5 in Westminster
Edelman shot to prominence in the UK with his recent analysis of Blinkx. Edelman argued that Blinkx adware sneaks onto users’ computers, violates regulatory requirements, and overcharges advertisers. Blinkx denies the allegations. Its share price continues to slide.
Much of Edelman’s recent work examines the activities of Google. In 2010, he uncovered the Google Toolbar continuing to track users’ web browsing even after users asked that the toolbar be disabled and even after the toolbar disappeared from view. His most recent article examines Google’s Mobile Application Distribution Agreement terms – previously-secret documents that he says impede competition by alternatives apps and services, and drive up prices to consumers.
Recently labelled the “web sheriff” by Bloomberg, Edelman will be speaking on the questionable business practices of a variety of Internet companies, ranging from giants like Google to smaller firms including Blinkx.
Edelman joins a 42 strong main stage line up on April 5th including Nigel Wray, Terry Smith, Vin Murria, Evil Knievil, Mark Slater, Dominic Frisby, bear raiders Lucian Miers and Matt Earl and blogging supremo Paul Scott.
Edelman is quoted as saying: “My visits to London are all too rare, but the British market has led the world in many kinds of advertising integrity - I look forward to showing an informed audience a variety of controversial behaviours, including some material not previously seen elsewhere.”
We have now sold more than 60% of the ordinary tickets for the event and all bar a handful of the golden tickets which come with bonus features such as an invitation to the after show champagne party at Maribelle’s. You can get your tickets at www.ukinvestorshow.com/tickets
And there are still a few surprises left for the show, notably on the shareholder activism front. Watch this space.
This year I shall not be compering the event – that baton passes to my old friend co-presenter on Show Me The Money, Louise Noel. Okay Louise was the main presenter I was just there for my (then) looks. Okay to talk about the market knowledgably. I digress. The fact that I am not on stage so much means that I plan to be able to join friends such as Malcolm Stacey, Brokerman Dan, Doc Holiday, Steve Moore, Malcolm Palle of Mining Maven and others in the bloggers café, chatting to anyone who is interested about shares that may interest them. As well as tweeting away #ukinvestorshow – I hope to meet many of you there.
But the star attractions are others: Wray, Lucian Miers, Matt Earl, Evil, Slater, Vin Murria, Amanda Van Dyke, Dom Frisby, Brian Basham and now of course Ben Edelman.
On that note I hope that if you have not done so already you book a ticket for the show and look forward to seeing you on April 5 in Westminster: www.ukinvestorshow.com/tickets
The UKInvestor Show already has 42 big name speakers but this weekend it will announce its biggest and hottest name speaker yet. Flying in from the US just for the show this man will set the cat amongst the pigeons. Watch this space!
Meanwhile we are pleased to announce that there are just 15 Golden tickets for the show left. These tickets give attendees guaranteed seating at any talk plus an invite and transport to the after show champagne reception with key speakers and attending CEOs.
More than half of the ordinary tickets which give access to all events at the show have also been reserved.
The speaker line up already boasts names like Nigel Wray, Terry Smith, Vin Murria, Lucian Miers, Mark Slater, Ed Croft, Lucian Miers, the dark Destroyer Matt Earl, Cassandra Harris, Dan Levi, Paul Scott and Evil Knievil - for a full line-up go HERE
And with 90 growth companies exhibiting, the show will also provide a fantastic opportunity for investors to find out more about stocks they may be invested in or size up potential new investments. The stand line-up can be found HERE
More details of the speakers and of how to book both classes of tickets can be found at www.UKInvestorshow.com
37 big name speakers, experts in everything from tech stocks to gold to value investing to emerging markets to shareholder activism. The variety and expertise is there for all to see. That is the line-up for UK Investor Show on April 5 in London – no wonder that most of the tickets have already been booked. So who is speaking?
Well what are you interested in? On the main stage…hosted by Louise Noel:
Value Investing? There is a session with Ed Croft of Stockopedia, Nigel Wray and Paul Kavanagh of Killick.
Shareholder Activism? There is a session with Roger Lawson of Share Soc, blogger and activist Paul Scott, music teacher and activist Nigel Somerville and Richard Hemans of the Vialogy action group
Emerging markets? The Legendary Terry Smith is on stage
Growth Investing? There is a Mark Slater Presentation
Tech Stocks? A panel session featuring angel investor Cassandra Harris, Vin Murria of Advanced Computer Software ( the Queen of tech), John Wisbey of Lombard Risk, Marcus Hanke of 1Spatial and Stephen Streater of Forbidden Technology
Gold & Mining? The queen of mining research Amanda Van Dyke, comedian and gold author Dominic Frisby plus CEOS Matt Suttclife ( Alexander), John McGloin (Amara), Andrew Bell ( Red Rock) and Richard Poulden (Wishbone)
Trading/TA? This session features Clem Chambers of ADVFN, Chris Bailey, Alpesh Patel and Thierry Laduguie.
Oil? There is a CEO only session featuring David Lenigas (Leno Gas & Oil), Matt Lofgran (Nostra Terra) and Cathal Friel of Fastnet
Share blogging? This session features Dan Levi (Brokerman Dan), Malcolm Stacey, Chris Bailey, Doc Holiday, Paul Martin of Stockpinger and Tom Winnifrith
Short Selling? Leading bear raiders Evil Knievil, Lucian Miers and the Dark Destroyer Matt Earl are on stage?
And there are 90 Growth companies attending most of whom will be doing 20 minute company presentations in our breakout rooms. You can find that list here.
Just a quick drink said Lucian, who was already well refreshed aster launch with Evil. I am bringing Matt Earl ( the dark destroyer) and A.N. Other who has asked to have his identity protected and not be be quoted on anything. Just a quick drink, Lucian promised.
I don't feel very well this morning and am watching hangover Despina Vandi music videos as I ponder the day ahead. I do not think that it will be a terribly productive one. But hey, it is Christmas.
Tickets for the UK’s premier investor show, UK Investor worth £12 each are on offer at no cost at all in a special Christmas offer. But while we did have 500 to give away we now have only 120 left – after that the price goes back to £12. So grab your free ticket now.
The show is on April 5 2014 in Westminster and stars men like Nigel Wray, Terry Smith, Lucian Miers, Zak Mir, Matt Earl, Tom Winnifrith, David Lenigas, Steve Moore, Matt Sutcliffe, Alpesh Patel, Thierry Laduguie, Malcolm Stacey, Dominic Frisby, Richard Poulden plus the Queen of Mining Amanda van Dyke. In all, there are more than 30 big name speakers and 90 growth companies presenting.
Yup, that will be 90 growth companies there at CEO level for you to meet and quiz.
Thanks to Accendo markets we have five hundred £12 tickets to the UK’s top investor show, UK Investor Show to give away for free. Well we had 500. There are now just over 300. The event takes place on April 5 in Westminster London and the free tickets will be allocated strictly on a first come first served basis.
We already have 60 growth companies booked in to attend and present at the show and another 30 will be signed up by April 5th. And we also have more than 30 main stage speakers confirmed including Terry Smith, Nigel Wray, Lucian Miers, Clem Chambers, Amanda Van Dyke, Dominic Frisby, David Lenigas, Roger Lawson, Matt Earl, Tom Winnifrith, Steve Moore and many more.
This is without doubt the UK’s top investor show. Full details can be found at www.UKInvestorShow.com and you can buy tickets on that site.
Or you can, thanks to Accendo get a ticket for free but hurry as this offer is limited to just 500 tickets.
I had never done a spread bet in my life until eight days ago. But I have just completed my fifth trade – selling Cupid (CUP) at £4 a penny at 54p. My stop is set at 64p.
Steve Moore & I have both opened accounts with ETX and been given £50 to trade small cap shares. If we were to trade Forex or indices we could get another £450 free. This is not a special deal for us you too can get your free trades with ETX starting right now.
THIS OFFER HAS BEEN EXTENDED TO DECEMBER 13 SO TO GET YOUR FREE DOSH OPEN YOUR ACCOUNT NOW!
Any profits that I make on my Christmas trading challenge will go to the Woodlarks charity. So far I am afraid to say I am ahead on my Range short but behind on my @UK ( now called Cloudbuy – CBUY) long. So there is no Christmas windfall for Woodlarks. Yet.
Why short Cupid? We have zero earnings visibility here and the recent departure of founder and CEO Bull Dobbie is very odd as Lucian Miers explained here
Anyhow, for me Cupid shares will slump. It is not a matter of if but when.
Most spreadbetters won’t allow you to bet on stocks as small as Cupid. ETX will which is why we teamed up with them.
You can start spreadbetting small caps with ETX right now HERE but to get up £500 free to trade with you need to open an account TODAY
There are now just 15 golden tickets left for the UK Investor Show on April 5th while normal tickets are selling fast - why?
The speaker line-up gets stronger by the week. This week FT & IC Columnist Dominic Picarda became our latest big name recruit. Dominic will chair one of the main stage sessions and will do a 100 person breakout room session on how to use ETFs to create a growth portfolio.
There are a maximum of 100 seats for any breakout session. Gold ticket holders get to reserve a seat at whatever main stage or breakout session they wish in advance.
We are also delighted to announce that spreadbetting form ETX has become a main sponsor of the show while three more PLCs - Amara Mining, Falanx and Viscount Minerals (a new silver play from legendary Kaare Foy) have come on board to man a stand and give 20 minute breakout presentations on the day.
There is only one investor show worth attending if you want to hear an array of big name speakers in sparky debate and meet dozens of growth companies. And this year the UK Investor Show has a new venue, the Queen Elizabeth centre in central London.
The date for your diary is 5 April 2014
More than 25 big name speakers are already signed up to appear including Britain’s Buffett Nigel Wray, legendary Terry Smith bear raiders Matt Earl and Lucian Miers, gold gurus Amanda Van Dyke and Dominic Frisby, Ed Croft of Stockopedia, Dominic Picarda, John Walsh, Alpesh Patel, Richard Poulden, David Lenigas, controversial mining analyst turned entrepreneur Matt Sutcliffe, infamous bloggers Brokerman Daniel and Doc Holiday, Clem Chambers, Tom Winnifrith and Roger Lawson.
As ever Britain’s most interesting small cap companies will also not only be manning stands but also each giving a 20 minute presentation. Six months ahead of the show more than FIFTY companies are already booked into attend at CEO level including Alliance Pharma, Stanley Gibbons, EMED, Leyshon Resources, 1Spatial, Amara Mining, Falanx, Leni Gas & Oil, Nostra Terra and many more.
An entrance pass costs £10 + VAT and gives entrance to the show and to all speaker sessions (subject to seating availability).
A Golden ticket costs £50 + VAT. There were just 75 available. A golden ticket gives you the right to reserve a front seat at any one of the 80 sessions running throughout the day. It also entitles you to come along to a champagne reception with a number of the keynote speakers and presenting CEOs afterwards with transport to the venue arranged.
As each day goes by we will add more speakers and companies to those attending. We do not just claim to have companies attending unlike some also ran events, we name them. To keep updated on out growing roster of star speakers and growth companies presenting follow us on Twitter @ukinvestorshow
On behalf of ADVFN and myself, the joint organisers of this show we look forward to seeing you on 5 April 2014 in Westminster.
PS Remember there are now just 15 golden tickets left and that standard tickets are also selling fast. Some show give away tickets because they offer no value. UKInvestor is different. To book your ticket now go HERE
It’s the last day to get a 50% discounted early bird ticket to the investment show of the year – UK Investor 2014 on April 5.
We know that other investor shows are free. They have weak speakers and the sort of companies that pitch up to present are of little interest to me or you. On April 5 in the UK’s top location, the QE2 Centre Westminster the UK Investor Show will boast an all start line up of speakers and already 39 of the 80 companies set to man a booth but also present are booked in.
This is a show for serious investors and we do not want time wasters attending and clogging up the aisles: so we make a small charge to attend.
You can buy an ordinary ticket (normally £12 inc VAT) or a golden ticket (£60 – and which brings a range of perks including a place at a champagne reception afterwards with key speakers and CEOs) at half price until Monday midnight (TONIGHT) ONLY at the www.UKInvestorshow.com website.
So who is speaking? We have a value investor panel led by Ed Croft of Stockopedia, Nick Leslau and Nigel Wray plus Paul Kavanagh of Killick with 1 more tbc. There is a gold panel led by Dominic Frisby and Amanda Van Dyke with Richard Poulden and analyst turned CEO Matt Suttcliffe with 2 tbc. There is a bears panel lead by Evil and Lucian Miers with 2 tbc.
Terry Smith ( a real hero of mine) will do a stand alone talk on how to make money from Emerging Markets.
There is a bloggers panel led by myself with Brokerman Dan, Doc Holiday and 2 tbc. There is an oil lunch panel (with free sandwich) with David Lenigas, Matt Lofgren, Paul Atherley and 2 tbc. Mark Slater will be flying solo. There is a traders panel led by Clem Chambers and Alpesh Patel with 2 tbc. And there is one more solo speaker of whom more next week.
And then there are the companies each of whom will man a stand but also do a 20 minute presentation in a smaller side room. The list of those attending grows by the day and can be found at www.UKInvestorshow.com but already includes: EMED, EnablesIT, Stanley Gibbons, Inspirit, Nostra Terra, ECR Minerals, Conroy Gold, 1Spatial, Leni Gas & Oil, Alexander Mining, Red Rock Resources, AfriAg, Regency Mines, @UK, ADVFN, Alliance Pharma, Ariana Resources, GLI Finance, Asher Resources, Fastnet Oil & Gas, Kibo Mining, Eurasia Mining, Leyshon Resources, Noricum Gold, Ortac Resources, Symphony Environmental, Killick & Co, Mechan Controls, Minoan, Sound Oil and of course Woodlarks. More companies will be announced every week…
Hundreds of serious investors have booked already. I hope that you will join them and to see you on April 5th in Westminster but remember to get a 50% discount on your ticket you need to book now on a secure online form HERE.
A year ago tomorrow t1ps.com, the website I set up in my bedroom published a defamatory and malicious piece about me in the name of Steve Moore, James Faulkner and Richard Gill. Our connection was utterly severed and I found myself working alone in the world running just this, my personal blog. Boy has the world changed.
As you may know Steve Moore was on holiday when that piece appeared and when he discovered what had gone out in his name and without his consent or knowledge, he resigned on principle. Then there were two of us. Soon after Darren Atwater took a pay cut, quit and moved to join us. Then Lucian Miers followed suit. Then Robert Sutherland Smith. Paul Nicholson, from the Isle of Man has hooked up with us since. And tomorrow, a year to a day since that infamous episode Malcolm Stacey – the founder of ShareCrazy.com joins our merry band with his debut piece on www.shareprophets.com
In the space of one year we have turned a small personal blog and a loss making restaurant into a profitable restaurant plus 4 websites (this one – now with more than 7,000 registered users, The Nifty Fifty, www.shareprophets.com and Onefreesharetip.com ). Two more websites will go live this Autumn.
In just one year www.UKInvestorShow has established itself as a profitable, credible must attend event. Already just under 50% of the stands at our April 5 2014 show are booked. Unlike some (mentioning no names) we do not just claim that as a statistic to impress we name those who have booked. We have real bookings AND NAME THEM TO PROVE IT!.
The Sefton episode has shown the bravery, integrity and judgement of those I choose to work with these days. Not just the established names mentioned above or well-known folks like Alpesh Patel and Clem Chambers but rising stars like Doc Holiday and Dan Levi who I have hooked up with over the past year and who I enjoy working with and vice versa. We are all having fun together and that is why shareprophets and the other websites we run are growing so fast.
Back at the old place one more website closed this month (UK350) and Sharecrazy – once a vibrant, active profitable operation has not seen articles filed for months. Its users have nearly all gone. That is why Malcolm Stacey, the founder of sharecrazy has today abandoned his “baby” and will now be writing a daily column for shareprophets.com and also joining our all-star 2014 line up at www.ukinvestorshow.com
I did not need to offer Malcolm a pay rise to move. He wants to work with folks with experience whom he respects and on a site that is vibrant and growing fast.
In 12 months the list of ex t1ps folks who have moved over to the editorial team that, with Sefton has shown its flair, mettle judgement and integrity, has grown fast. Just to add to the pain round at the old place I will not name the others who are talking to me about switching but I should let you know that talks are ongoing.
I am delighted to be working with a legend like Malcolm once more. Over to Malcolm who today stated:
“Over 13 years at Sharecrazy, the objectives of jargon-busting, not taking shares too seriously and still making oodles of cash for small investors were never diluted.
Now it’s time for me to move on to an exciting new website, Shareprophets.com, which promises to continue and grow the amazing ‘Sharecrazy spirit’ and whose growth in user numbers since its April launch has been explosive. That demonstrates the quality of its editorial content.
It’s a thrilling prospect for me because I’ll be writing alongside big names in Shareland –Steve Moore, Lucian Miers and Robert Sutherland Smith. Plus, the main writer is courageously out-spoken Tom Winnifrith, the walking encyclopaedia of share-issuing companies and possibly the most respected share-picker in the Square Mile.
That’s some incentive to move, as we say in the Punter’s Return.”
I am almost blushing. Cheers Malcolm. I am in your fan club too. It is time to rock and roll together once more. And you are right, it is an exciting time at Shareprophets
There is only one investor show worth attending if you want to hear an array of big name speakers in sparky debate and meet dozens of growth companies. And this year the UK Investor Show has a new format and a new venue, the Queen Elizabeth centre in central London. The date for your diary is April 5th 2014
More than 20 big name speakers are already signed up to appear including Britain’s Buffett Nigel Wray, legendary bear raiders Evil Knievil and Lucian Miers, gold gurus Amanda Van Dyke and Dominic Frisby, Ed Croft of Stockopedia, controversial mining analyst turned entrepreneur Matt Sutcliffe, infamous bloggers Brokerman Daniel and Doc Holiday, Clem Chambers, Tom Winnifrith and Roger Lawson.
As ever Britain’s most interesting small cap companies will also not only be manning stands but also each giving a 20 minute presentation. More than seven months ahead of the show almost 30 companies are already booked into attend at CEO level including Alliance Pharma, Stanley Gibbons, EMED, Leyshon Resources, 1Spatial and many more. You can find the list of those companies already booked in to attend here.
This year there are two classes of tickets.
An entrance pass costs £10 + VAT and gives entrance to the show and to all speaker sessions (subject to seating availability).
A Golden ticket costs £60 + VAT. There are just 75 available. A golden ticket gives you the right to reserve a front seat at any one of the 80 sessions running throughout the day. It also entitles you to come along to a champagne reception with a number of the keynote speakers and presenting CEOs afterwards with transport to the venue arranged.
Book your tickets before September 30tth 2013 and you can do so at a 50% discount rate (i.e. just £5 and £30 plus VAT respectively). You can book HERE.
As each day goes by we will add more speakers and companies to those attending. We do not just claim to have companies attending unlike some also ran events, we name them. To keep updated on out growing roster of star speakers and growth companies presenting follow us on twitter @ukinvestorshow
While thousands ( sometimes tens of thousands ) of folks read my scribblings here and on shareprophets.com a far more select audience read what is on my premium site, the Nifty Fifty, which I produce with Steve Moore and Lucian Miers. My best ideas go there first. It is expensive but you pay for getting the best ideas first.
In our heyday at t1ps Steve Moore and I had a great track record. Over 11 years and c 240 tips our average gain was c 42.5%. Of course t1ps is now written by a couple of fellows who were still at primary school when the sire was launched. They claim the record of Steve, myself (and Robert Sutherland Smith) as their own in marketing material but it is OUR record. I can assure you that we never outsourced to primary schools.
Robert Sutherland Smith has been writing with me here and at www.shareprophets.com for a couple of months now and the news this week is that he will also be leaving t1ps for good at the end of September. The last of the four staff who I really rated at t1ps is now 100% over the line and working with me again on a full time basis now: Steve, Robert, Darren and Lucian. It has taken less than a year.
Looking back on that year I reflect that it took me 6 years at t1ps.com to create a media organisation with 15,000 readers. It took another four years to get that number up to 50,000 (which is where it is today, albeit falling slowly). Tom Winnifrith.com was launched as a serious blog about a year ago on my return to England. Since then Nifty Fifty was launched on October 28th 2012, OneFreesharetip.com on January 2nd 2013 and Shareprophets.com on April 13th 2013. In less than one year the number of registered readers across the four sites is in excess of 25,000 and the rate of growth is accelerating.
It is easier second time around and when you work only with folks you rate.
Anyhow in the spirit of RSS Steve and I shall be serving up our next tip on the Nifty Fifty this weekend. Robert would approve as it is 100% tangible assets and cash backed. And a growth story.
THE CEO of an AIM listed company offered at the weekend to pay for 6 private investors to attend the AIM Cesspit awards dinner/Sefton legal case fundraiser with Evil Knievil and Lucian Miers on Monday 24th June in Clerkenwell London. Those 6 seats were allocated on a first come first served basis but two of the winners have now pulled out.
As such I have two free tickets on offer.
They will go to the first Shareprophets.com or TomWinnifrith.com readers to email a request for the seat to [email protected]
I truly dithered about this one but already I find myself looking forward to a new season at Upton Park. I guess it is like dating. You break up with your bird (not that I have, as far as I know) after 8 months of pain and anguish. You were not having fun for a lot of the time and frankly sometimes she was just taking the piss with the sheer misery she inflicted on you. And she was pretty expensive too. Having a season ticket at West Ham can be like being forced to spend most Saturday afternoons heading round a shopping centre being forced to buy new clothes for the bird or worse still for you and then afterwards having to go to some overpriced vegetarian, alcohol free restaurant. The sheer misery of it all is interrupted only briefly when you find a new Ramones T-shirt to buy to add to the collection. But it is a rare moment of joy.
I stress that my partner inflicts none of this on me but I know that some birds regard that sort of thing as fun. And watching West Ham, knowing that you have forked out £650 for a season ticket can be like that. Jeepers. Losing at home to Wigan in the Carling Mickey Mouse Cup. That was torture. The game at Reading on 29th December will long stay in my mind as a masterclass in making a ninth rate team look like Brazil. But: You are my West Ham, my only West Ham you make me happy when skies are grey you’ll never know how much I love you until you take my West Ham away.
And so after you split up with one bird and enjoy a short break of freedom, of being allowed to wear clothes with holes in them and of being able to wash up dishes before you eat rather than afterwards, what do you do? You hook up with another one who will inflict the same pain on you. You know it will be that way, it always is. But you can dream can’t you. Whatever… you cannot resist.
As such the old season finished less than four weeks ago but already I find myself wondering when the fixture list is out? Will Andy Carroll sign up for five years (on a hundred grand a week)? Who else will Fat Sam bring in as he claims he aims to deliver a better than tenth finish? I can of course dream of the next season ahead. Surely the next girlfriend will make you happy? Maybe this is the year when we finish in the top seven, win a cup and secure home wins against Chelski and Spurs?
And so like a fool I have done it. RMPC has renewed its season tickets. Lucian Miers and the Goddess have been alerted. My daughter will be greatly relieved and all she needs to know is that Andy Carroll is staying and all her Christmases will have arrived at once as she worships old horseface. My tardiness means we move three rows back so a slightly worse view but we are now in the midst of the Trevor Brooking lower…not the sort of place to be seen sporting a Defoe Spurs top.
I should at this point state that my partner never inflicts shopping misery on me and would not be spotted dead in a vegetarian restaurant. Above all, having never been interested in sport and hailing from the Grim North she is now an adopted cockney and finds herself checking how West Ham do every week, is more than happy to come to games and says that her favourite player is Joe Cole. I think she even understands the magic of the John Lyall moment in the FA Cup Semi Final against Middlesborough which I was at and even now sends a shiver down my spine. Yup, I think she gets it. I was there.
And so having dithered I could do nothing else. Having broken the curse of causing West ham to lose every time I attended with two non-defeats on the trot I think my renewal will not cause relegation.
If only for a daughter whose loyalty to West Ham is unmatched (and for the home game against Paulo’s Sunderland) – we will be back.
The AIM Cesspit awards 2013 will be handed out to those companies that have disgraced themselves most gloriously on the junior market on 24th June. The occasion will be a special dinner which will also aim to raise money to assist Tom Winnifrith in fighting the libel case brought against him by Sefton for pointing out how it has mislead investors on a serial basis.
The guest speakers are infamous short sellers Lucian Miers and Evil Knievil.
How do you fancy hearing talks and jokes from Evil Knievil and Lucian Miers?
How do you fancy seeing the 2013 AIM Cesspit awards handed out to the companies and CEOs who have made the bottom end of AIM the joke that it is?
Would you be inclined to make a donation to the costs incurred by myself in battling Sefton Resources and other AIM companies, exposing the way that they have misled investors on a serial basis? Interested?
The awards will be handed out at a dinner at the Real Man Restaurant in Clerkenwell. Our guests of honour who will both give talks on the night are bear raiders Evil Knievil and Lucian Miers who will discuss fraud and investor deception on AIM.
We will announce the 2013 AIM Cesspit awards to those CEOs or companies who have done most to discredit the market over the previous 12 months.
This was meant to be a relaxing half term family week. Hence fewer articles, no midweek Tomograph and general jollity. It turned out to be a total horror show. But progress has none the less been made with my good friend Darren the hero of the hour.
That will all be discussed in the Weekend Tomograph which will also have information on how to vote in the 2013 AIM Cesspit awards, of an awards dinner with Evil Knievil and Lucian Miers and much more.
To ensure that you receive your edition of the Tomograph on Sunday evening please REGISTER HERE
The June Edition of Spreadbet Magazine is now live and features Tom Winnifrith on the failed AIM system, Zak Mir, an interview with Lucian Miers and a cover feature on gold. You can download it for free by clicking here.
I have not dared look at the Gulf Keystone (GKP) Bulletin Board threads since myself and Zak Mir went openly bearish. The more I look at this the more I am bearish. Bear raider Lucien Miers outed himself as a bear over the weekend and he has dared look at the thread on ADVFN.
None of the points he raised is answered in any way. Instead there is a torrent of abuse for him (and also again myself, Zak and Shareprophets). Lucian thinks we should all now enter the witness protection programme. You can read all of our thoughts at www.ShareProphets.com – we are not deterred and will not be deterred from writing again.
Okay you have missed the only show worth attending for this year. Shucks. But following the amazing success of UK Investor Show 2013 we have now set a date for UK Investor Show 2014. So put it in your diary now: April 5th2014.
And in response to the success of the first show we have secured a larger venue in Central London for the 2014 event. More details to follow.
If you did miss the 2013 event videos of the main speakers and of 12 PLC presentations were recorded and are now starting to go live. You can watch gold guru Dominic Frisby & access his slides HERE
You can watch small cap legend Mark Slater and access his slides HERE
I have not had a holiday since last summer and I am absolutely shattered – mentally and physically. And so my partner (whom some of you met at UKInvestor Show) and I are off to Greece for a week or two – as a liberated woman employed by the State it is only fair that she pays. Naturally I shall write for a few hours a day but mostly this is swimming, walking & winding down. It’s time to think.
You have to learn your lessons and I know that I can have a tendency to take on too much and to just put in too many hours. In the end that destroys you physically and emotionally. That is a lesson learned. You cannot keep too many plates spinning forever. And so what is my thinking agenda? At a personal level? I shall keep that to myself.
At a work level it is working out how to do less. The UKInvestor Show went very well and I would hope to announce a venue and date for 2014 within the next week or so. But I have taken on a bird to drive that forward so that (especially with a 12 month run in not 4 months) it is less draining for me.
Real Man Pizza is now in the hands of the lovely Dominique and so I can now be very much a chef of last resort. We are hiring two cracking new waitresses who start next week and so I can just sit back, create the odd new recipe (last night it was the St George’s Day Pizza for next Tuesday) and enjoy the odd day in the kitchen when I fancy it.
And so to writing. A few gigs take no time at all and can be fun and make a few bob and so I am happy to carry on spending an hour a day on Spreadbet Magazine, 24n.biz and www.onefreesharetip.com – but what of the rest of my time? Historically my answer would have been “there are still another 23 hours to allocate” but that is not what I really want to do. There are a number of non work things that I want to do and so it is down to writing what I really enjoy. And that means:
I like working with Steve Moore and Lucian Miers on my Nifty Fifty premium product. Lucian and I recorded our first video the other day and it will go live in the next 96 hours. It was like the old days of EvilCast but on video and funnier. Meanwhile Steve and I had a long chat about a company the other day and so he is right now putting the finishing touches to our latest hot share tip which will go out early this afternoon. And so that is project one.
Project two is www.shareprophets.com – I am finding it very exciting. And frankly it is where I shall make the money need to pay the bills. Again it is good to be working with a great bunch of folks who do not need managing and who deliver a quality product. I can write what I want and so my next piece is a chance to have a pop at a board of a BB fave who seem to me to have behaved appallingly. So it is fun and it will pay the bills. And more and more writers contact me every day wanting to write for it. That is the really exciting thing about www.shareprophets.com – quality writers are flocking to the standard.
And finally there is this blog. I have not written that much this week as I am just drained. But this is where I can really let rip. This blog was my sanity check last summer and although it makes sod all for me it is fun. And so as long as shareprophets pays the bills this is one of my fun distractions.
That leaves enough time for one other project at a time. The odd e-book, the odd Sefton type campaign. But also other non-work things.
Anyhow, enough from me. I fly Sunday. Before that the Tomograph will return as will the caption contest and there is a hot tip to polish off for the Nifty Fifty and a zillion other things to complete.
I report back merely on my experiences standing about 100 yards from St Paul’s. The doors closed after the coffin entered the Cathedral and I wandered back to Real Man Pizza to drink English Champagne with Lucian Miers, to record a joint video and to toast our greatest ever Prime Minister.
I was standing by St Pauls for around five hours to ensure that I had an almost front row perch. By 6.45 there was already a good enough crowd. But it was clear that it was going to be much larger. But still the reporters persisted in asking anyone they could find if they were disappointed with the turnout or how they felt about those who had celebrated Lady Thatcher’s death. That was the narrative of, at least some of the fourth estate.
Among the early birds were a group from the Falklands showing their flag proudly, there was a Canadian flag, union flags and even a Scottish Saltire. Behind me were a group of Americans come to pay their respects.
But by ten thirty when the Coffin left St Clement Danes the entire route was packed as you can see from the photo below.
The narrative of the reporters then changed. They carried on interviewing folks in the crowd but swarmed like bees around honey when they managed to find the odd individual protester such as the gentleman below.
I asked this fellow what he did. He was a retired teacher. So after a lifetime of poisoning impressionable minds with lefty filth he has now living on the sort of final salary pension scheme we in the private sector can only dream of. His sort of pension scheme costs a multiple of the cost of a funeral which was approved and costed by the last Labour Government. But facts do not matter to hate filled bigots like him.
He was a minority. The crowd was just a mixture of folk. I was next to a couple of scousers (very right wing chaps from the Freedom Association), but there people of all ages, all colours, all classes there. Thatcher gave them opportunity to progress in a way that stuffy paternalist old school Tories like Howe and Heseltine (who stabbed her in the back in the end) or David Cameron will never do or understand. They were just there to say thank you.
As the coffin approached your feelings were mixed. Some people cried. Others clapped. Others stood in silence. I did not really know what to do. I sort of half clapped but could not really work out how it was best to show total respect and to say thank you.
And then the coffin passed into the church. Five and a half hours waiting, standing on my feet for just a few minutes. Was it worth it? Of course. I had to show my respect. I would not have forgiven myself had I not done so.
I had planned to leave London on Sunday but that all changed. I will be heading down to the Strand to mark my respects to Britain’s greatest ever Prime Minister – a woman who saved this country. A woman of principle. I am not sure how many folks will line the route nor if it will be disrupted by unkempt lefties, ignorant young people or worse but I shall be there anyway.
Lucian Miers is trekking up from the boonies to join me. I guess the crowds will build early so I shall work late at Real Man and then head off well before the crack of dawn to bag a place for Lucian and myself.
Uncle Chris (Booker) says that his wife queued to pay her respects at Churchill’s coffin and so this time I am there for the Booker’s who cannot make it. My own family of deluded lefties have rather different feelings but I guess I am also there for little step sister Flea who, to her credit, is a true child of Thatcher.
Afterwards I shall return to Real Man, feeling – I suspect – rather tired so it may be a light blogging day ahead.
It is time for the workers to take control. Well at least in the world of financial writing. We have had enough of writing about stocks that do not interest for folks who mess us around and do not treat us with respect. For the avoidance of doubt I am not referring to ADVFN who are top bananas. But the workers co-operative has today launched www.shareprophets.com – our own project x.
Comrades Zak Mir, Steve Moore, Lucian Miers, Aubrey Brocklebank, Adnan Siddique, Sam Bottell, Dru Edmonstone, Brokerman Dan, Doc Holiday, myself and others to be revealed will all be writing there. There is data on the stocks you follow, alerts on when comment appears on stocks that interest you, and a lot more to come. And it is totally free, just go register at www.shareprophets.com and answer the confirmatory email sent to the address you give and you are in.
The writers will write about what THEY want. There is no Big Brother dictating what they should cover or say. Free speech, free comment, no holds barred. Game on.
I look forward to your feedback on the site, we will tweak it as we go alive but it is now live and almost 100% bug free.
We are lucky to have a speaker already lined up at the UK’s top investor show which takes place this Saturday April 13th who knew Margaret Thatcher well. In fact we have several but in light of the sad demise of Britain’s greatest Prime Minister we have moved Christopher Booker, the founder of Private Eye and celebrated Sunday Telegraph columnist to the main stage during the afternoon to talk about “The Margaret Thatcher I knew – nearly always right in the end.”
I chatted to Booker – who is my uncle and godfather - this morning and our reflections on the Iron Lady covered her Euro scepticism, the treachery of her colleagues, the lie that she supported apartheid, her conversion from a supporter of global warming theory to becoming an ardent global warming sceptic and many other issues. Booker will cover how and why her views changed on these and other topics and how our leaders today might perhaps reflect on this.
The revised speaker line-up on our main stage is now:
10 AM Opening Remarks 10.10-11 AM Nigel Wray & Nick Leslau 11.00 – 11.45 AM – Tom Winnifrith with bear raider Lucian Miers 11.45-11.55 – the short debate: Is AIM doomed Tom Winnifrith vs Richard Poulden 11.55-12.40 – Comedian and gold guru Dominic Frisbey on gold 1.40-2.35 PM – The Traders session: Clem Chambers, Alpesh Patel, Zak Mir, Evil Knievil and John Piper 2.35-3.15 – Christopher Booker 3.45 – 4.30 Mark Slater 4.30-5.15 Nigel Farage MEP ( who will I am sure also mention the Iron Lady)
We still have a handful of tickets going for the show due to late cancellations. If you wish to attend email your postal address with postcode and how many tickets you require to [email protected] and the tickets will be despatched first class at once.
I look forward to seeing you on Saturday 13th April at Excel.
I may have become a bit of a chinless wonder on this video. Normally I cut off the top of my head. This time I did the reverse. But the light looks good and the sound works and the content...I think I am on form and this is one of the most interesting video postcards for ages. You may disagree. Whatever. It is 15 minutes long.
On the Agenda
1. How companies react to short sell advice or negative comment, lessons learned: Minmet, Cupid, 3DM, Sefton, Caradon
a) The FSA, Evil Knievil, Lucian Miers, market abuse b) Spin re bids c) The sordid PR person/established media axis of corruption d) Play the man not the ball
2. Internet companies, commodity goods, no room for many players
The Bard of the Boleyn, infamous short seller Lucian Miers has quit his writing gig at ShareCrazy and will today make his debut as a columnnist on the Nifty Fifty website run by myself and Steve Moore. Lucian is perhaps the sharpest brain in UK short selling. He may not have the profile of some shorters but he is the numbers man.
Lucian will as of today be the man charged with delivering the Nifty Fifty weekly short letter, ideas on the bear tack. And we are also planning on doing the odd video together exclusively for the Nifty Fifty. Lucian is, of course, also one of the 25 big name speakers at www.UKinvestorshow.com
Steve and I can now focus 100% on share to buy. So far 24 stocks have joined the five model portfolios we run with one of those positions closed as of today. It was Steve and myself who ran t1ps for 12 years delivering an average gain per share tip of 42.7% over 241 tips. We aim to do better with Nifty Fifty where we are stocking to a maximum of 50 live recommendations at any one time.
Nifty Fifty also provides detailed updates on all the stocks we follow – so far today there have been updates on three stocks with two more set to go live shortly.
That is the news as of tonight. On a day when two more PLCs signed up to present (Ariana Resources and The Innovation Group) we did our sums and there are now just 50 seats out of 2,500 left unallocated for what is clearly the UK’s leading investment show.
It is hardly surprising that two months before the event, nearly all the seats are allocated given the all star speaker line up:
Nigel Wray, Nigel Farage, Mark Slater, Evil Knievil, Lucian Miers, Nick Leslau, Richard Poulden, myself, Dominic Frisbey, Clem Chambers, Amanda Van Dyke, Christopher Booker, Mike Hall, Roger Lawson, Simon Denham, John Piper, David Buik, Steve Moore, Robert Sutherland Smith, Paul Atherley, Jan Nelson, Ronald Duncan, Craig Brown and the list goes on and on…
And with companies booking in at a rate of one a day almost 50 of the 80 PLC stands are now reserved and you can check out a list of some of the big name exhibitors HERE.
And so what are you doing on April 13th? At some stage tomorrow we will close the lists and start running a “reserve” ticket list for folks who MIGHT get a seat if we have a cancellation. That is a MIGHT.
We have just 50 seats left to allocate. You can still grab one of them if you book now HERE.
f you want to hear quality speakers there is only one UK Investor show to attend next year and that is The UKInvestor Show held on April 13th at Excel in London. The speaker lineup is now almost complete with news that Mark Slater, the most successful fund manager of his generation is on board.
Mark joins as the other main stage speakers: Nigel Wray (Britain’s Buffett), Nick Leslau (property legend and secret millionaire), bear raiders Lucian Miers and Evil Knievil, gold guru Dominic Frisby and UKIP leader Nigel Farage.
And that is not all: The trader’s session (also a main stage event) is chaired by Steve Moore and stars Clem Chambers, Alpesh Patel, Simon Denham, John Piper and Zak Mir (plus one name to reveal shortly)
And in the breakout rooms we have the Goddess, Amanda VanDyke on making money from mining stocks, Stanley Gibbons boss Mike Hall on alternative investments, Roger Lawson on shareholder activism and Christopher Booker on how global warming costs you so much.
There is the Poulden v Winnifrith debate (10 minutes of main stage comedy) and 80 companies presenting at CEO level.
No other show comes even close to assembling such an all star lineup.
There are just 2,500 tickets on offer. They go strictly on a first come first served basis. Already more than a fifth are gone ahead of the official launch of the show campaign in the New Year. Treat yourself to a free gift this Christmas. To book your free seat and to get more details click HERE.
UKInvestor Show is an event about making money but I have always thought such a show needs one non investment speaker and I am delighted to say that Nigel Farage MEP emailed this morning and he is up for it. The leader of UKIP will talk about how staying in the EU costs all of us so much and why we should leave now.
And so on April 13th at Excel we now have a main stage line up of Nigel Wray (Britain’s Buffett), Nick Leslau (property legend and secret millionaire), bear raiders Evil Knievil and Lucian Miers and Dominic Frisbey, Mr Gold and Nigel Farage. And there is one other surprise for you on the main stage.
The traders session ( also a main stage event) is chaired by Steve Moore and stars Clem Chambers, Alpesh Patel, Simon Denham, John Piper and Zak Mir ( plus one name to reveal shortly)
In the breakout rooms we have the Goddess, Amanda VanDyke on making money from mining stocks, Stanley Gibbons boss Mike Hall on alternative investments, Roger Lawson on shareholder activism and Christopher Booker on how global warming costs you so much.
There is the Poulden v Winnifrith debate (10 minutes of main stage comedy) and 80 companies presenting at CEO level.
You have to admit that is a cracking line-up. No other show even comes close. If you want to hear a master investor speak this is the only show worth attending. To register for your free ticket on a first come first served basis go HERE.
I admit that one reason for light blogging is that I was led astray by Lucian, the Goddess and a few others at the Real Man Christmas drinks. I feel a bit fragile today. I am too old for all of this. But there is another reason for light blogging – Oakley (my cat) is back on the Vet’s operating table as we speak.
Greedy vet one clearly feels a bit guilty about the fact that he has stiffed me with an £846 bill and the operation has failed. Oakley’s leg was so weakened by the tumour that the skin cannot heal. And as such Oakley is off to a charity vet today. I shall leave without £140. Oakley will leave without one of his legs.
I know that he is just a cat. And I am all too aware that there are humans in much worse shape. But it is still not a day that I expected to come. It has all happened rather quickly.
I was trying to think of some convoluted and clever sentence involving the flag of where Oakley was born (the Isle of Man) – the triskelion , three legs. But I am a bit too hungover and worried to string words together. I am told that the Old Boy can have a good quality of life with three legs but somehow that seems a little hard to believe. To misquote animal farm “three legs good, four legs better.” It will all be over soon and then back home for a restful Christmas. Extra duck for Oakley.
There is good news. Since West Ham almost never win when I go to Upton Park you will be glad to hear that I am not attending today’s game (Kick Off 12.45). My tickets (Trevor Brooking lower) are with the Bard of the Boleyn, my disreputable pal Lucian Miers and an even more disreputable friend of his dragged from a gutter somewhere plus the (ultra posh) Goddess
who makes the second visit of her life East of Canary Wharf. She seems to think that she might support Chelski (not knowing anything about football) but perhaps her second visit to The Academy might dissuade her. I do hope she does not scream an inappropriate comment at an inappropriate time.
The bad news is that despite my absence anything other than a Chelski win is very unlikely. Yes the team with no history and who really win fuck all this year, have chopped their manager and have had a dodgy streak for about six weeks. But though it pains me to say this about any team containing Fat Frank Lampard and the brainless offspring of a coke dealer and a shoplifter that is John Terry, but Chelsea are basically a high quality side. Ok the great race relations campaigner himself is injured but Chelski have a quality squad.
Worse still there are reports that Andy Carroll may miss the game with injury. With Vaz Te sidelined, I cannot see Maiga and Carlton Cole striking fear into the hearts of the Chelski defence. In the case of Carlton I wonder if, these days, he would strike fear into the hearts of the Chelski ladies team ( on the football field at least). Perhaps that is just a confidence thing. He has been a loyal servant and nothing would please me more than to see him score a hat-trick. I just do not think I shall ever see that happen with him in a West Ham shirt again.
If Carroll plays then he could throw up a surprise or two. At some stage I reckon that he will find a way of working with Jarvis on the wing which causes real problems.
Although we come of a two game losing streak we were unlucky not to get a point at Old Trafford and we have a talented midfield which is working well. The defence (these days) looks solid enough. And so there is no reason to be awed by Chelski. Any result is possible. I have this down as a 0 pointer but that is not a total given. If Carroll plays and we get an early goal and the crowd gets right behind the team and really irks some of the thicker and fatter Chelski players anything can happen.
Perhaps the ref might pretend that we are Man United for a game and just start sending Chelksi players off in a random fashion? If so, can he send Fat Frank off first? Okay, now I am dreaming. I expect 0 points. The next two games ( Liverpool and West Brom) are the critical ones. Anything today would be a bonus.
My good friend Mr Rowley from Stoke has fled to Nepal to miss this game. I have handed my tickets to Lucian Miers as my presence at the Academy does not tend to bring West Ham good fortune. So that is a reason for optimism. But, as Lucian points out, our record against sides from grim Northern shit-holes is a poor one and so he fears for the worst. I am afraid that despite our recent form so do I.
Is Matty Etherington playing for Stoke today? I know he had a few issues but I always liked Matty, Matty, Matty Etherington and could never understand why we sold him. Having said that I imagine that we will start up front with Yossi, Jarvis and Andy Carroll and that should be good enough to prize open even a well organised defence and Stoke is well organised. In 11 league games this season they have conceded 10 goals. We have conceded 11. Only Man City have conceded fewer ( 10) and we all know that for a daft offside call that would be 11.
Having said that Stoke have conceded 9 of those goals away from home where their record is 0-3-3.
My big concern is the return to the West Ham line-up of “ginge” well ex-ginge in James Collins who has been the weakest link at the back for us this campaign. Without him we’d have a better defensive record than Man City.
If we win we go fifth. Who would have contemplated that three months ago? Moreover we would be on 21 points or half way to safety after just 13 games.
Lucian, like me, is a man who looks at the table from the bottom up. Fingers crossed that with a packed ground, under the lights, the Irons are spurred onto victory. I do have this down as a game where we should get three points. As such I suggest you all put a fiver on a Stoke win right now.
As regular blog readers know I have a boxed set of every episode of The Sweeney – the original 1970s series starring John Thaw and Dennis Waterman. It is one of those DVDs that I can always pull down and watch to cheer me up in bad times. And so I approach the release of the new movie, the Sweeney, starring Ray Winstone in Thaw’s role ( Inspector Regan) with some trepidation.
Part of the appeal of the original series ( other than the violence, the wit and the nostalgia for a past era) is the repartee between Regan, Sergeant Carter (Waterman) and their boss ( the solid and straight Haskins, played by Garfield Morgan). They all come from different backgrounds. Haskins is a nice middle class chap who went to University and lives in the burbs. Carter is a Londoner – a devoted fan of Fulham who grew up and lived there when folks who came from Fulham did not all speak Arabic or live on Trust funds. Regan is a northerner ( like Thaw himself from Manchester), albeit one who has lived in London for many years. The programme is a West London programme – only occasionally do the Squad venture out East. In fact while they made it to Bermondsey once, there was never any footage shot in what you might term the East End.
And so we come to the new Sweeney. I rarely go out to watch films but I shall make an exception in this case. Regan is played by the archetypal East Ender Ray Winstone who is East End through and through ( right down to the fact that he now lives in Essex).
To plug the movie, he has taken Time Out around his “manor” this week, starting naturally at Upton Park. It is a good, if rather sentimental and superficial read and can be found HERE.
I called up Lucian Miers, the bard of the Boleyn and East London’s most feared short seller to see if his youthful memories were similar. Sadly he appears to be off on the cheap lager and wittered on incoherently about Note 7 for a few minutes before appearing to drop his phone down a lavatory. If I get a sensible response from him later I shall post it here.
Winstone says that Regan 2012 version will still be pulling young birds, as did Regan 1976. Not young in the Savile sense or even of a John Peel vintage, but more than a 55 year old with a paunch deserves to pull. Apparently the Sweeney of 2012 will also be free to use their fists which seems highly implausible as it would be a clear breach of the Met’s policy on respecting the human rights of the criminal class, let alone not breaking any elf n’ safey rules.
In 1976 the Met was corrupt, did break the rules to nail known villains, did drink and smoke heavily and was violent to the n’th degree. The Sweeney was plausible and that was its appeal. Everyone knew that Dixon of Dock Green was past his sell by date. I will need some convincing that Sweeney 2012 can both capture the appeal of the original and be plausible at the same time.
And will Winstone have the same chemistry – driven by some common interests (sex, drink, tobacco and football – Carter) and some clear culture clashes ( almost everything – Haskins) – with his colleagues as Thaw displayed? Again, I will need some convincing.
Adventis (ATG) shares are up 81% today at 0.5p in decent volumes. I am sure that Lucian Miers et al are adding to their shorts. But whoever is buying is a total loon. Just a reminder of the facts.
On 13th June the company said it was formally trying to sell its one asset – its technology unit. If it is sold the company admits it will not get enough to clear its bank debt, let alone its other liabilities.
Today the company said that its bank (Lloyds) had sold the debt owed to it on to RCapital Partners – a private equity turnaround specialist. We do not know the price. R Capital may have two motives.
a) it paid a pittance for the debt & reckons the technology unit will be sold for more than a pittance.
b) It will now call the debt and seize the technology division ( plus any other asset in the PLC) as it values the tech division at more than what it paid for the debt.
My money is on b. Either way at some stage soon Adventis will be left with no assets and still having a stack of liabilities. As such it remains worthless. Whoever is buying the shares is bonkers. Do they think that RCapital is a white night out to rescue equity holders? If so think again. Fair value for this stock remains 0p.
I have just had it explained to me what attending the Olympic swimming involves. I am trying to work out how much I would pay NOT to attend.
Apparently you have to start with a train journey through the parts of London Lucian Miers knows well. The tubes will be jam packed, sweaty and horrible. You then emerge and form an orderly queue before entering an arena you cannot leave until lunchtime and even then only for a brief interlude before the swimming resumes.
There is no smoking in the arena. And no movement lest you disturb the swimmers. You cannot bring in your own food and drink but must pay hugely over the odds for refreshments provided by sponsoring companies. Unlike at Lords, I fear that attempts to smuggle in decent quantities of decent wine will be unsuccessful. Watching swimming is mind-numbingly dull at the best of times but under such conditions it sounds like sheer torture – surely there is something in the Geneva convention about this?
Forget Guantanamo Bay – send any captured Taliban off to London this summer with a threat that they must watch every single swimming event in both the Olympics and Paralympics. They will all be squealing within minutes as the realise what awaits them, willingly handing over the identities of every sleeper terrors currently working as a social worker in Wolverhampton in order to avoid the water torture.
Lucian Miers reckons he’d pay £1000 not to go to a day at the swimming. I tend to think the same way.
Well not exactly. Lucian started with a pint of “Village Idiot” – which Evil might think appropriate but is some sort of real ale. I had a pint of cider and then we enjoyed a bottle or two of Rioja. No lager. No kebabs. Just a pleasant night out in Oxford. The Village Idiot is served in the Turf – a pub my paternal grandfather frequented in days when students were not meant to go into pubs – the Turf has 4 potential exits so allowing for rapid escape. One day I shall write a bit more about his student days in the 1920s.
The Turf is situated behind Hertford College which accepted both me and Evelyn Waugh after both of us were rejected by Christ Church – a far grander institution. Hence, in Brideshead Revisited the aristocratic Sebastian is a “The House” as Ch Ch is known while the middle class Charles is at dingy, poor and unfashionable Hertford. Lucian applied to Hertford but the admirably named Professor Cockshut saw through him and he headed back to the East End.
Lucian says his nightmares when under strain are about that rejection. I do not believe a word of it. My recurring nightmare when I am under pressure is that for some insane reason I have gone back to Oxford to re-take my degree feeling that second time around I can achieve better than a Desmond (2:2 – geddit?). But horror of horrors I am even more useless than I was first time around and find myself sitting my finals and I know absolutely nothing and cannot write a word. Nightmares are a way of not facing up to very real fears by supplanting them with imaginary fears.
Away from our Oxford nightmares the talk was largely of how grim Lucian sees the future. For him AIM is almost a non market now. The days of CEOs completing endless rounds of financings to support their lifestyles rather than to grow shareholder value are over. Folks have seen how AIM transfers wealth from those with capital to risk to parasitic advisors and useless CEOs. And as times get tougher, and more and more folks capitulate and throw in the towel on AIM this just cannot go on. Lucian continues to make money by shorting companies which appear to him to be obviously bust or which have publically stated that their shares are more or less worthless. They may have already fallen by 90% but shorting them in the final weeks guarantees a 100% return if, indeed, they do go bust.
The big short right now is AIM listed Adventis (ATG) but he is also looking at Mouchel (MCHL).
On the long tack Lucian continues to believe that prime central London property is the safe bet. There is an acceptance that quite a large amount of this is empty (held as an asset with 0% yield like gold) and also that the rental yield on such places is truly trivial. It is just that every Russian crook, bent Chinese official/entrepreneur, Iranian crazy etc wants to own a place there. If you are a Russian crook and feel the cold chill of a fixed Putin investigation on its way you have a bolt hole which is far more attractive than seven years in Siberia. Ditto all the other crooks and kleptocrats. Assuming that the Euro goes belly up and the socialists who run Euroland start levying uber-taxes on the super rich the flow of non Brits into Central London will accelerate. I can see the rationale behind this thesis.
Of course Lucian is also so gloomy about the rest of the UK (principally because if you add personal, corporate and Government debt together the UK is more bust than almost anywhere else) that he foresees that outside this enclave of prosperity there will be rioting, a breakdown of civil order, martial law, shootings etc. How quickly will we get to that stage? At this point the Bard of the Boleyn admits he does not know. That is honest enough. The truth is that with momentous events unfolding in Europe and elsewhere (Lucian is very sceptical about the reliability of Chinese economic data and so uber-bearish on China) we just do not know what will happen next or at what pace.
— Tom Winnifrith
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