Friday May 24, 2019
Photo Article - a Woodlarks training walk up the River Dee
Photo Article from the Welsh Hovel - this is what I do when not writing or walking
Photo Article update from the Welsh Hovel - a sight to delight daughter Olaf

PERSONAL, UNDILUTED VIEWS FROM TOM WINNIFRITH

The FBI to investigate Brett Kavanaugh – now his accuser Christine Blasey Ford shows her true colours

237 days ago

And so the Senate Judiciary Committee voted that the full Senate should appoint Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court despite the hit job on him from the Democrats. But then at the last minute a leading Democrat activist funded by George Soros corned a Republican Senator in a lift, blubbed about her #MeToo moment, and persuaded Country Club loser Jeff Flake to ask for a one week delay to allow the FBI to investigate the less than complete claims made by Christine Blasey Ford. Good news, bring it on.

You will remember that Ford had pushed back her own testimony by saying that she was scared of flying and had to drive to DC.  Then, as folks wondered at how she made it to Hawaii by car so many times for vacations, she flew to DC.

Her evidence to date, as I noted here, has more holes than Swiss Cheese and were she to take it to the cops it would not even get past the front desk. So let the FBI throw all it has at finding out of there is more. Let the FBI start by accessing the Ford counsellor files from 2012 which she shared with the, sympathetic, liberal press which printed highlights  but refused to let the Senate see as her, complete, story then was rather different from the 2018 version.

There is no crime scene as Ford can’t remember where or when this happened.  But there were four folks in the house who Ford has identified and all four (including a female lifelong friend of Ford’s) are happy to testify that they cannot back her up. The alleged co-groper, Mark Judge, is also happy to testify to the Feds. So this should be wrapped up soon. We are all happy right?

Either there is new evidence showing Kavanaugh is a perv in which case he is toast and Trump can nominate a new candidate.  This will be bad news for liberals as while Kavanaugh is unlikely to overturn Roe vs Wade a replacement is almost certain to be a female conservative who will not only strike out the current rules on murdering babies but also take a hard line position against gun control and on many other social issues.  I have no problem with this outcome.

Or the FBI , having done 6 investigations into Kavanaugh already, finds no new evidence in which case Ford has proved nothing other than that she was played by the Dems in a political hit job to stand up and tell a story that just did not hold water. That would destroy Dr Ford and we should pray for her as she would then be seen as the real victim of Dems who will face a real backlash at the mid-terms. Kavanaugh would then be approved to SCOTUS.

So what is to object to? It seems the only one objecting is Dr Ford herself who was formerly demanding an investigation., She now says she wants the scope widened and far more time allocated to it.  That is odd. When the Ford issue was raised very late in the approval process after the Dems sat on the dossier for weeks and weeks, we conservatives said that the aim was to delay approval till after the mid terms. Dr Ford said it was just a personal matter for her to get justice. How laudable. 

Well now it is no longer personal she wants the scope widened to allow checks on any old fruitcake with Trump Derangement syndrome who wants to make up a spurious claim about Kavanaugh to be checked out.  And that would clearly delay the final vote until after the mid-terms when, as a staunch Democrat, she hopes the Senate will have changed hands. If Ford thought her own claims were water tight she’d see no need to widen the scope and she knows that the FBI with all its resources can interview the few folks who need inter viewing in just a couple of days.

Ford’s reaction to the FBI enquiry is not going to impress any neutrals. But let’s not pre-judge anything. I am happy to leave that to those with Trump Derangement Syndrome who have already found Kavanaugh guilty, ignoring all presumptions of innocence and the lack of any verifiable evidence. Those acting in that way will themselves be judged harshly come the mid-terms.

Tom Winnifrith

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I cannot bear to watch the BBC any more, its bias & fake news on Brexit, Trump and Israel is just nauseating

248 days ago

For some reason we found ourselves watching both the 10 O’Clock News and Newsnight last night. In the end I had to switch off and vowed not to allow myself to suffer in this way again.  It started with the warnings from the convicted fraudster Christine Lagarde and the IMF on Brexit.

We were told on both programmes that the IMF is highly respected and Ms Lagarde warned that any Brexit would damage the UK and a No deal Brexit would be a disaster, causing a recession, etc.  No -one on either programme mentioned the fact that during the referendum, the fraudster and the IMF warned that simply voting to leave would cause a recession in 2017! It would also trigger a stockmarket and house price crash at once.

Of course there has been no recession, the economy has grown, the stockmarket has headed higher and house prices now are ahead of where they were in 2016 though are now falling.  The IMF has, to its credit, ‘fessed that its 2016 forecasts were all wrong.  I should cocoa.  Yet there was no mention of this as the BBC treated Lagarde’s words as gospel. Natch Channel 4 Fake News also lead with these siren warnings without any comment on the “form” of the IMF when it comes to predictions in this area.

On Newsnight we were treated to a panel debate on Brexit with Kirsty Wark not hiding her remoaning views in the chair. Warning that Britain was in a bind and Brexit would end badly was an Irish politician and, for balance, er.. a  former Civil servant who adamantly opposed Brexit. Impartial, fair and balanced? There was no-one present to argue in favour of Brexit.

Newsnight also covered the hearings for the Supreme Court vacancy where Trump nominee Brett Kavanaugh has been accused of sexual harassment 35 years ago when at High School. There was no mention of the witnesses who flatly contradict the allegation, only a grudging admission that the accuser is a rabid Trump hating democrat, that she has been accused by her own students of being flaky or that Kavanaugh’s mum (also a Judge) found the accuser’s parents guilty in a Court case many moons ago. Instead Wark sneered that Kavanaugh is a “known conservative”.

WTF. A conservative President nominates a conservative judge – well what a surprise that is. Knock me down with a feather. Whatever next? The Pope nominating a catholic to be a bishop?

The Wark sneer was in the same way you might talk of a “known felon” or a “known pervert”.  The use of words was a shocking admission of partiality.

Back to the BBC News at ten where Middle East correspondent Jeremy Bowen reported on the evil Israelis trying to tear down a village, constructed illegally, in the West Bank. The details are for another day but what struck me was Bowen’s use of words. He talked of how Israel had “seized” the West Bank. Hmmm. I guess viewers might have thought Israel “seized it” from the Poor Palestinians.

The truth is that in 1967 Israel was attacked on all sides by the Arab nations. The West Bank was part of Jordan and the Palestinians were given no autonomy whatsoever by the Hashemite Kingdom. Jordanian troops went into Jerusalem’s Jewish areas to kill Jews. Israel fought back and eventually pushed the Jew murdering Jordanian army back past the Dead Sea and back into Jordan proper. That is how Israel gained control of the West Bank.  That is not quite the story  Bowen’s use of the word “seize” might suggest. It is part of the drip drip drip feed of fake news designed to blacken the name of Israel which the BBC serves up almost daily.

Why, I ask, should I be forced under threat of jail to pay a license fee for this tosh?

Tom Winnifrith

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Photo article from the Greek Hovel - wildlife diversity edition: the Mrs and Olaf both screamed

267 days ago

Right now I am in a luxury hotel organised by the Mrs for daughter Olaf's last night in Greece and for me to recover in after a ten hour road trip to drop Miss W off at Athens airport."Baywatch" has a great view, a lovely pool, ouzo is on tap, the internet works allowing Joshua to sit like a moron watching Thomas the Tank Engine without interruption and the Mrs is lolling happily. And there is no wildlife diversity to report. Not so back at the Greek Hovel. Let us start with the scorpion.

It seems to have got into the house before the windows were installed but the noise of workmen roused it and led it to its death as it tried to crawl on a rapidly drying polished concrete surface. It got stuck and mist have died an unpleasant death. George the Architect whose foot also appears in the picture has only fessed up to this incident a few dates later having removed the corpse when it was found.

Of course I knew there were loads of scorpions up in the area around the Greek Hovel. A bite would not be fatal but would be painful until treated, especially for Joshua. However, in the five years that I have been up here I have not seen a single scorpion. Until now. I guess I shall be “seeing them” everywhere now as I already “see” snakes everywhere. It is not that there are snakes everywhere but as I see shapes dancing in the shadows or in the gleam of a car headlight my imagination races away.

Next up was what caused the Mrs and Olaf to scream. we were driving back late at night from Kambos to the hovel. we had just come down Monastery Hill, the steep slope thick with wood on one side and with the abandoned convent on the other and must have been doing 20 kilometres an hour. just as we reached the bottom out it shot from the field on my left, bursting through a fence, and cantering up the back track into Kambos... a wild boar.

The Mrs screamed as it rocketed across our headlights, not more than a yard or so from the car. Olaf screamed. Joshua was just burbling on about steep hill, Gordon's Hill and carried on burbling. I braked and then drive hurriedly on. I think I was rather brave for not screaming, my father says I was a chicken for not putting my foot to the floor and bagging a week's worth of supper. Yeah dad, like you would have done that? Really?

The boar was not fully grown but it was large enough. a fully grown boar charging at your car as opposed to across it, would cause real damage. I muttered about this was why I should be allowed a gun. Olaf made some elitist comment about Trump supporters and morons. Anyhow that was also the first boar I have seen although I am sure I heard one crashing through the undergrowth around the hovel three years ago but it was at night and I declined to investigate.

Admin

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The England hating misery of being a Guardian writer - Dawn Foster backs Sweden

323 days ago

Maybe if you write for the Guardian you don't despise England in a fashionable North London sort of way you just hate folks being happy. After all this is the newspaper that, year in year out, laments the arrival of Christmas. But now it is the World Cup and the progress of England which as seen a nation party and show joy in a way we have not seen for years. 

Natch the Guardian, like the equally despicable Independent, started the tournament fretting about folks flying the English flag which was obviously racist, imperialist and typical of wicked post Brexit Britain under the evil Tories. As we saw Britons of all religions and colours painting their faces with the national flag and celebrating, this line looked all the more pathetic.

But some folk did not celebrate when England beat a woeful and dirty Colombian team on Tuesday. Meet Dawn Foster, a tedious virtue signalling Guardian hack. Ahead of the match against the filthiest team in the tournament, Newport born Dawn was cheering on Colombia. Now she is backing Sweden. Who will she back if England play Russia given how her paper devotes about a quarter of its coverage to fake news about Russia and its "collaboration" with Trump, Vote Leave, Assad and other folks?

That will be a tough call for Dawn. Like Dawn, I am British, not English, but like nearly all Brits I back the only home nation at the World Cup or am indifferent. To fly the flag of "not England" in the face of a period of national joy, is just so miserable. So predictably Guardian.

Tom Winnifrith

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Bombing Syria: Tony Blair is delighted but what have you achieved Trump and May?

405 days ago

Perhaps you remember that Tony Blair lied to the House of Commons about Saddam Hussein having WMD which could hurt Britain within 45 minutes and so got us involved in an illegal war. 179 British servicemen are dead as a result, hundreds are maimed for life, thousands of innocent Iraqis are dead, ISIS got its big break. There is so much blood on Blair's hands that any decent society would, at the least, shun him and should really send him to the Hague for trial.

But last week the media gave him full air time to explain, inter alia, why Britain should not wait for hard evidence that President Assad had used chemical weapons in Douma, or bother with a Parliamentary debate. Instead Blair reckoned a minority Government lead by the hapless Theresa May should go ahead and bomb Syria anyway. And that happened overnight. The war criminal Blair must be delighted.

Once again we have bombed some arabs without waiting for independent inspectors to assess whether our "enemies" have actually committed a crime to justify our acts in the first place. Inspectors will only arrive in Douma today. Just suppose they find Assad dropped no chemical bombs. Does that make Trump, May and Macron war criminals like Blair himself?

It seems our bombing killed no-one although some civilians are injured. More blood on your hands Mr Blair.

What has this achieved? Tensions with Russia have increased -the world is a more dangerous place. That is not good.
The outcome of the war will not be changed. The antics of Trump, may and little Macron may have delayed Government advances by a few days so allowing the Al-Qaeda linked forces and ISIS who they are attacking a few more days to chuck gays off rooftops, behead 12 year old boys and murder Christians, Kurds or Shia Muslims. Yes the FSA, who we back, are guilty of all those crimes and were also using gas just a few weeks ago to kill Kurds in Afrin. But what do we care when it is "our side" using gas?

So there will be a few extra days of Islamofascist butchering but in the end the jihadis - whether ISIS or FSA - will be wiped out, in some cases coming back to Britain and a free council house as part of Mrs May's reintegration plans. Syria will be ruled by the Kurds in the East (good guys) and Assad in the West and centre ( not as bad a guy as the Islamofascists we support).

Will it deter Assad from using gas? We still do not know that he DID use gas in Douma but if he did then it shows that our last bombings to punish (unproven) Assad gas attacks in April 2017 did not deter him at all. So why should this raid? Moreover, we know that the Islamofascists we back have used gas in Syria - why do we not try to deter them?

In other words this bombing will have achieved nothing good, only bad things. Not that this will stop Tony Blair calling for more intervention in the region and a jingoistic media and political class baying for blood alongside the old war criminal.

This bombing has achieved nothing positive and is #Notinmyname


Tom Winnifrith

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Video: Crooked Hillary Clinton slams half of her fellow Americans (again) as racist and sexist

437 days ago

"You don't like black people getting rights, you don;t like women getting jobs" That is how on her recent foreign tour as you can see in the video below, crooked Hillary Clinton has now described those folks in all those red flyover states who voted for Donald Trump in 2016. During the election she slammed folks backing Trump as "the Deplorables". For many decent Americans that became a badge of honour.

Slamming almost half of your fellow citizens as ignorant racists and sexists is just not very smart. Sure, some Trump voters are racist and sexist. But the polls show that some Dems are, in terms of social attitudes, also racist and sexist and also that white women, for instance, overwhelmingly voted Trump not for a woman who enabled her husband to be a serial rapist. Does Hillary really believe that all those tens of millions of women who voted Trump "don't like women getting jobs?"

Really Hillary? You cannot be serious. Either the Democrats play along with this lunacy in which case #Trump2020 becomes even more of a racing cert or the Dems cut this woman loose as she really has now lost the plot.

Tom Winnifrith

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The Liberal media says #Trump2020 is a busted flush - have they read the latest polls? Put your money on POTUS

454 days ago

The narrative of folks like the BBC, The Guardian, CNN in fact the whole of the liberal media elite is that Donald Trump should not have defeated crooked Hillary in 2016. Without admitting that their gal was useless they agree that next time around the Donald just cannot win, in fact many argue that he will not stand at all. But have they actually looked at the polls in detail? If they have, they ignore them as they churn out yet more fake news.

One "impartial commentator" interviewed fawningly by the BBC the other day said that there was a 1/3 chance that Trump would be impeached and so not stand, a 1/3 chance that he'd be so sure of losing that he would not stand and a 1/3 chance of him standing and being beaten soundly. In other words the chances of him winning were zero. But then again the BBC has form in getting these matters horribly wrong, in deliberately mis-reading polls.

On the impeachment level, after almost a year of Mueller nonsense a few folks associated with Trump have been charged with either financial crime pre-dating and unrelated to the campaign or of lying to the FBI. 13 Russians have been charged with interfering with the election, staring in 2014, a year before Trump decided to run. Facebook says most of the Russian money spent with it was spent after the General Election. No link has been shown between the 13 and the Trump campaign. In other words not a shred of evidence of Trump Russia collusion has emerged which is not surprising as there was none.

On the other hand the FBI, crooked Hillary and the Obama administration have been shown to have real links to Russia via the dirty dossier funded by Clinton, via Uranium One and have been shown lying to judges and destroying evidence of Clinton wrongdoing. Russiagate is a Democrat problem and Trump will just not get impeached. But can he win the vote?

As I noted repeatedly during the General Election there is always a "shy Trump" factor in all polls - something the liberal media ignores since it is their non stop vilification of Trump and his supporters that has created it. I am happy to admit to being a "deplorable" as Hillary Clinton branded 50% of her fellow Americans. And so are many others. But given the non stop attacks we Trumpsters have suffered in the press it is no surprise that some folks will pull the right lever on election day but don't dare admit it to anyone.

At this stage of his first Administration Obama was on 45% approving of his (dismal) performance. The most recent poll (Rasmussen) had Trump on an amazing 50% approving 49% not and he has been on the up in all recent polls. That Rasmussen poll is meant to have a margin of error of 2.5%. Now I concede that other polls (claiming a similar margin of error) taken a few days earlier have him on as low as 37% approval. One thing we can say for sure is that at least one of those polls is wildly wrong!

The overall tracking poll currently has Trump at c43% ( and rising). Throw in the shy Trumpsters and he is basically where Obama was at this point. But Trump's ratings are improving rapidly.

But there is another factor at play here. Trump lost the popular vote but stormed the electoral college. That is because millions of useless Dem votes piled up in safe and big Dem states like New York, California and Illinois. Whereas in smaller flyover states Trump won by a narrower margin. His landslides in the South and Mid West were also largely in smaller states - the only big red states being Texas and Florida.

There was a state by state poll on approval ratings undertaken some weeks ago when the overall picture was that Trump was nationally in the mid to high thirties. What was clear from that was that in places such as New York, New England and California, i.e safe Dem states, POTUS was even less liked than he was back in November 2016. There has been a large swing against him. But this makes no difference at all to the electoral college.

In the States that were safe Trump in 2016 he was still safe and in the swing states, back then he was in the 40s already. In other words, at what should be a low point for Trump (mid term year) he is still very much in contention in all the states that matter. Throw in the recent revival and the shy Trump factor and he could well be ahead or only marginally behind in all the swing states. At this point in the cycle that is a remarkably good showing.

The great unknown is how the economy fares between now and 2020. If it is stimulated by the Trump tax cuts and jobs continue to be created in those swing rust belt states the #Trump2020 victory party is s slam dunk cert. If it falters then the race is more of a toss up with a lot depending on which of the umpteen dwarfs the Dems are considering is selected as their candidate. Natch I am praying that Chelsea Clinton decides that it is her familial turn to steal the Dem nomination but the reality is that there is no strong and obvious choice bar Bernie Sanders who is a) very old, b) tainted by his wife's financial scandals and c) a total fruitcake.

When push comes to shove will folks in Ohio or Michigan want to back a man who thinks we should #takeaknee in solidarity with transgender campaigners in a programme funded by tax hikes? Okay I parody his position slightly, but on the big social and economic issues Trump stands with folks in Ohio, Bernie kneels with snowflakes in Brooklyn. It is the story I have commented on many times before, one of the two Americas.

The Bottom line is that any media outlet telling you that Trump has a 0% chance of residing in the White House after 2020 is just ignoring the facts to pedal fake news.

Tom Winnifrith

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I’m Attracted to Sectors that other People Hate says, a bullish, gold guru Rick Rule

461 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/34409/i-m-attracted-to-sectors-that-other-people-hate-says-a-bullish-gold-guru-rick-rule

Tom Winnifrith

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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Stockmarket crash - buy, sell or hold (PS I was right when I warned you - no?)

472 days ago

https://www.shareprophets.com/views/34194/tom-winnifrith-bearcast-stockmarket-crash-buy-sell-or-hold

Tom Winnifrith

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Trump Russia scandal - Manafort charged: pathetic and unrelated, not a glove laid on POTUS

571 days ago

Throughout last week direct evidence of Russian Collusion by Hillary Clinton designed to sway the 2016 election emerged. So useless Special Prosecutor Mueller - a man linked directly to the Clinton/Russia Uranium One scandal - had to do something on the Trump enquiry. Today two men have been arrested. If this is the best that the opponents of Donald Trump can come up with he is in the clear.

Paul Manafort was briefly in charge of the Trump campaign in 2016. Rick Gates works for Manafort. The 12 charges against them are nothing at all to do with that campaign and predate it by up to ten years. They stand accused of massive money laundering and tax fraud involving Ukranian crooks from 2006 onwards. This should have been dealt with by normal Department of Justice officers but so desperate is Mueller to spring some prosecutions on the Trump team that he has gone for this.

Does this justify the hundreds of millions of dollars spent by Federal Authorities investigating the "Trump Dossier" which - as we now know was funded by and leaked by crooked Hillary Clinton? No. But will the liberal media wolfpacks which have been dining on crooked Hillary's dodgy dossier for almost a year admit that? No.

Most Americans can see through that and can see that nothing at all has emerged from the fake dossier to lay a glove on POTUS or his family. On the other hand, if only to show that it is impartial, the FBI and others will not be able to resist mounting pressure to open a formal investigation into Uranium One, the Clinton pork barrel Foundation and the $12 million the crooked one spent on working with senior Russians to create the fake Trump Dossier.

The tide is turning. But do not expect the BBC, Channel 4 and the rest of the establishment media to report that.

Tom Winnifrith

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The "Brexit driven" Murder of Arkadiusz Jozwik exposes the loathsome fake news BBC & its sister paper The Guardian as true liars

615 days ago

You may not remember the name but surely you remember the wall to wall coverage in late August 2016 when a Polish man was "murdered" in Harlow, Essex. On the state Broadcaster Pravda Daniel Sandford led the main news bulletins claiming this was a ‘frenzied’ race-hate murder by feral youths, triggered by Brexit. Ramming home this core message we had comments supporting that agenda from the local MP and a Polish diplomat. There was no question of "waiting for the facts" as we are all urged to to after each terror attack - though we all know that it was not Colonel Mustard wth the bucket bomb in the library. The liberal media had an agenda and Mr Jozwik's corpse would support that agenda.

The BBC's sister paper the Guardian was worse. Its lead opinion piece on September 5 was headlined "The killing of a Polish man exposes the reality of post-referendum racism". It continued "Arkadiusz Jóźwik died after an attack in Harlow. The government must not allow xenophobes to set  the tone since the Brexit vote"

Again the Guardian was not urging folks not to jump to conclusions. Brexit = racism. Shimples. As with Yasmin Sewied in New York who the BBC, The Guardian, CNN, Channel 4 and the rest of the liberal media fake news pack were quick to hail as a martyr abused by racist Trump supporters without verifying her (fake) story the truth has now emerged but have you seen little Daniel Sandford and the BBC issue a full correction? No.

Over on the BBC's flagship fake news programme John Sweeney carried an interview in which a friend of the dead man suggested that Nigel Farage ‘now has blood on his hands’. There was no challenge to that then as the rest of Sweeney's piece followed the same theme.

The liberal press reported gushingly on protest marches against Brexit racism spurred on by the dead pole.
Mr Jozwik's killer has now been tried and convicted of manslaughter. Here is what actually happened. There was no feral gang of racist youths in Harlow last August 31. One 15 year old lad, said to be a ‘shrimp’ little more than five feet tall was convicted of manslaughter. He floored Jozwik with one ‘superman’ punch from behind but it was not the punch that killed but Jozwik hitting the street. The CPS admitted that the punch was not intended to kill but was a reaction.

To what you ask? It seems that Mr Joswik (a large man) and a pal had been out drinking and Mr Joswik was - according to numerous witness statements - hammered. He was not quite the sober, gentle quiet giant we had been told he was by the liberal media last year.

It gets better. The Poles made a stream of racist remarks to "the shrimp" and his pals inviting the smaller Brits to have a go. So it was drunk Poles who made racist remarks and incited violence. What followed was bad and sad but the whole truth exposes the complete tissue of reported lies and agenda driven fake news of the Guardian, the BBC and the rest of the liberal MSM as sheer fantasy. Again. And again, when caught with their pants down there is no apology or retraction let alone an enquiry into how such shoddy journalism could have been allowed.

Tom Winnifrith

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In Gold We Trust 2017

694 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/30007/in-gold-we-trust-2017

Tom Winnifrith

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Jon Snow of Channel 4 Fake News - the tweet that shows why he is so prone to pushing lies

695 days ago

All journalists have opinions. None of us can be truly impartial as we have our own views and prejudices. If you are a columnist, that is to say you write opinion that is why you do what you do. The views of Polly Toynbee, George Monbiot and Owen Jones are well known. They are Big State money tree worshipping lefties and argue that line. On the other side Mark Steyn, Melanie Phillips or Peter Hitchens take a different tack. I do not hide my own libertarian take on life. But none of the above are reporting news and when doing that your prejudices do matter. You should bury your on news when reporting FACT.

Channel 4 News is the UK's biggest fake news reporter. It openly detests Trump, happy to make up quotes to support its thesis that he is a racist, is violently anti Brexit and massively anti Tory. And that has led to it NOT reporting or really taking to task certain issues relating to parties or issues it supports but time and again simply reporting fake news about issues or folks it opposes.

I do not think that its ageing anchorman Jon Snow or most of his colleagues actually want to report fake news. Kylie Morris, the Trump bashing correspondent is different, she is clearly happy to make things up to support her case, or rather that of her beloved Dems. But the massive prejudices of the UK based team just mean that they are prepared to take on trust sources who have "stories" that support the platform of the liberal metropolitan elites. All too often that leads to fake news reporting. It also leads to C4 running utterly unbalanced panels of "experts" to discuss a given issue and to some very dubious story selection.

So what is the tweet? It has now been deleted and the user has locked down his account but it refers to Snow's pilgrimage to hear the Messiah preaching to the faithful at "Glasto." Quite simply Snow hates those of us on the right with with a visceral passion. That spirit runs throughout the team at C4 News and that is why its news is so often fake news.

Admin

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I called it for Trump & Macron - here is my GE2017 party by party forecast - big Tory win

716 days ago

Everyone, including me, called the French election right, but I was one of very few who predicted a Trump win in the US. For my hat-trick I am now having a stab at forecasts for the UK General Election on a party by party basis. But first just a few general observations before I go onto what will be a night of triumph for the Tories.

1. We are back to the 1970s in that - outside Scotland - we now have two party politics. In England and Wales almost 90% of those voting will back he Tories or Labour. Folks know that the other parties are irrelevant.

2. London is different to the rest of Britain. Multicultural, largely very asset rich, remoaning it is keener on brand Corbyn than the rest of us. Labour may pile up votes in safe seats in the Capital but in real England the values of the Corbynistas go down like a bag of cold sick and the shift will be away from Labour.

3. The Tories ran an awful campaign but at the end of last week it hit is nadir in terms of support as minds focused on the sheer horror of the alternative. Events at London Bridge have not helped Labour. Corbyn and his close allies have been the friends of all sorts of awful terrorists for 35 years. Folks know that.

4. There are imponderables. The biggest is how many young people who can't remember the IRA and believe in Money Trees have registered to vote or will bother to cast a ballot?

So how will the parties fare? I exclude Northern Ireland because although Ulster is God's chosen land I have never understood its desire to elect folks who from all parties are as mad as a nest of snakes. So let's just leave NI as snakes 18 unchanged. The speaker, the loathsome John Bercow, will also hold his seat so make that 19 snakes.

UKIP will win no seats. In fact I'd be surprised if it keeps its deposit in more than a handful of places. The party is well and truly over and its leader Paul Nuttall can go back to playing for Tranmere Rovers or whatever he claims to be good at. In many seats it is not standing so its 4-5% in the polls is illusory. It will be lucky to get 2% of the national vote. The question is where do its 4 million votes from 2015 go to. Oddly many of those votes came FROM Labour but they will not be going back. My instinct is that most fruitcakes from 2015 will vote Tory, with a large chunk not voting and only a small number voting UKIP or Labour.

The SNP is now on 56 seats but will, I predict lose 12. The Scottish Nazis have not run the Greece of the North well and their obsession with independence post the referendum defeat is not helping - most polls now show a clear and increasing majority against independence. There will be some tactical voting by Unionist/ SNP haters and the extent of that is the great imponderable thus I would expect The Tories to gain 9 to go to 10, Labour to gain 1 to go to 2 and the Lib Dems to gain 2 to go to three.

That is almost the end of the good news for the Lib Dems. They should pick up two seats in South West London on the remoaning riviera and that will see the fraudsters friend Vince Cable back at Halitosis Hall. But they may not hold the Richmond by-election gain ( where the fuzz are now investigating their god-awful MP) and they will lose a couple of other seats (Southport and North Norfolk) so net net they will end up on 10 (up from 9). Do not expect Cable, the man who has predicted 17 of the last 4 recessions to hang around for long. He will stab hapless Tim Farron in the back and be crowned as the Lib Dem's new leader by the Autumn.

Plaid Cymru have not had a good election but folks in parts of Wales are strange so they cottage burners may hold their three MPs.

The Greens will hold their one seat in Brighton. The only possible gain is Bristol West which has in living memory been Con, Lab and Lib Dem. The seat is prosperous and remoaning. But the Labour MP is a very likeable woman and I think she will hold as the opposition fragments.

Labour is on 229 seats right now. There will be the odd rogue result which sees a Labour gain. But outside London the UKIP votes going to the Tories and traditional lower middle and working class votes going Blue (as well as Indian and Jewish voters) will see Labour do very badly indeed. It is perfectly possible that the overall Labour vote may - thanks to Scotland and London - actually go up but seats like where I live where Labour has a 4,000 majority may well go blue. The Bookies have the Tories odds on with Labour evens in Bristol East. On that basis my prediction is Labour 201

And that leaves the Tories winning 372 seats and thus having a majority of 92. They do not deserve to win so handsomely but they will certainly have a comfortable majority so it is full steam ahead on Brexit.

Please note the imponderables at the top of this article. The polls suggest that it will be closer than I forecasts. But the fact that both Mrs May and Comrade Corbyn have spent the past few days campaigning in what should be safe Labour territory tells you what the internal polling of the major parties is telling them.

Tom Winnifrith

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Online virtue signallers at Avaaz tell me to vote Labour tactically in Bristol East but they can't add up

737 days ago

Online virtue signalling liberal pests Avaaz claimed credit for Macron's victory but said they were robbed by the Trump triumph. That was really a win for them too. Now the virtue signallers are going for a hat-trick of wins and have turned their attemntion to the British Election where threy plan to stop the wicked Tories. Indeed they have contacted me about my vote in Bristol East. Sadly their maths makes those of Dianne Abbott look like Einstein. The snowflakes write:

Dear Avaazers in and around Bristol East,

Avaaz's UK team has a killer plan to stop Theresa May winning a landslide, ushering in hard Brexit, dismantling our NHS, and destroying our democracy -- but it's going to take all of us.  The Tories are going all out to get their MP into Bristol East, and amazingly they could have a chance if votes are split across opposition parties! But if we can help encourage all Labour voters and those who could vote Green or Lib Dem to get behind Kerry McCarthy, we can beat them.

We've only got just over three weeks to make sure the candidates who are our values, and have the strongest chance of stopping the Tory landslide. Click to join an event this Wednesday evening, meet other Avaazers and find out more:

Avaaz has 1.7 million members in the UK, that's nearly twice the size of the LibDems, Labour and the Greens combined. And we've mapped out the marginal seats where we could beat the Tories if we unleash our power -- getting volunteers out, running hard hitting ads, and firmly backing the strongest opposing candidates to win.

Most people across the country don't want the Conservatives to dominate our Parliament, but because the opposition is so split, pundits say May could easily win a massive majority. This election is bigger than party politics -- we all need to work together if we're going to defend our democracy and hold the next government to account. Labour can defend Bristol East against the Tories, but they need all of our help to do it.

If we all give just a few hours of our time between now and the election, it could transform the result. Avaazers in France have just done the same to help beat Le Pen's hate -- now it's Britain's turn!

With hope and determination,

Alex W, Bert, Antonia, Fatima, Alex E, Mike and the whole Avaaz team

Ends.

This is all a lie. I will be voting Tory in Bristol East even though Tory candidate Theo is a drippy centrist who seems afraid to admit to having a shred of conservative DNA in her. She is a remoaner to boot. But faux Tory Theo is going to win becuase Avaaz has got its maths wrong. Not only dies it lie about the wicked Tories threatening democracy and the NHS and eating babies and about how it won the French election for Macron, Avaaz cannot add up.
Last time the vote was approximately:

Labour 18,000, Tory 14,000, UKIP 7,500, Lib Dem bugger all.

This time there is no UKIP candidate and a Green is standing. But even if the Green gets no votes and all of the Lib Dems from last time vote Labour and the Labour vote holds solid, the UKIP votes will go overwhelmingly Tory and Avaaz and Labour will be defeated.

In fact all polls sugest that Labour votes will leak away three ways: Lib, Green and straight to the accursed Tories. And that means that Theo will romp home with a majority of at least 3,500. It could well be more. If hoards of snowflakes stop tweeting and do actually  hit the streets of working class Bristol East to lecture my neighbours about critical Avaaz issues like Global Warming, LGBT rights, stopping Brexit and planting more money trees, the reaction will be all too predictable: more votes for drippy Theo.

More tears before bedtime for the innumerate snowflake liars at Avaaz.

Tom Winnifrith

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Are there "shy" Le Pen voters out there in France? You can bet there are

763 days ago

In the US election I flagged up the phenomenon of the "shy" Trump supporter. I reckoned that 3-4% of voters were prepared to back Donald but would not fess up to pollsters and that is why I predicted the Donald would win the swing states just as the corrupt liberal media and pollsters assured us that crooked Hillary would win. So are there shy Le Pen voters in France? You bet there are.

When I tell the polite middle class pals of my Mrs that I supported Trump they are horrified but decline to hit me or throw me out of their house. But if I said I was backing Marine Le Pen - which for the avoidance of doubt I am not - they would just go mental. Last time around polls showed Marine at 16% and she scored 17%. But as she reaches out beyond her base she is attracting new non hardcore supporters who will be even more reluctant to admit it. So if the polls have Marine on 22% I'd guess that she will score 24% in the round one Presidential poll on Sunday. And that means that it is Marine vs who in the second round?

Right now the man who reminds me of a young Tony Blair, Mr Macron is at c24% in the polls. He is a man who is drawn from the elite, a metropolitan liberal whose instinct after today's Paris attack will be to worry about its effect on multi cultural diversity. He despises many of the fears and views of the sans culottes but won't admit it. He may slip on the terror attack and so it is just conceivable that the crook Fillon, a millionaire Thatcherite who stole taxpayers cash by giving his wife a bogus job might make it through to round two. A wild card is the commie Melenchon, a more left wing version of Jeremy Corbyn without the beard but with an equal lack of charisma.

The reality is that all four candidates are ghastly. The choice of young Blair, the fascist, the crook and France's Corbyn makes one despair of democracy. John Stuart Mill's comments about a poll being a choice of rotten fruit in the local market has never been more apt. If I was a froggie I am not sure I could vote for any of the rotten fruit on offer, I think Id abstain and pray for the restoration of an absolute monarchy.

And that begs a question for the second round. The assumption is that the supporters of the defeated candidates will all vote for the not Le Pen candidate. I am not so sure that a good number of the working class folks backing Melenchon seeking radical change might not go Marine. Nor would I bet against many Fillon supporters preferring a semi-reformed fascist to a socialist light candidate. What I would bet on is that in round two, FN voters will vote. But that turnout rates among those who backed the defeated candidates will be far lower- Mr Abstention will be a very popular man.

On balance I still see the non Le Pen candidate ( probably Macron) winning but I sense it will be a lot closer than some folks think. Right now all four candidates are clustered within a margin of polling error. Shy Le Pen voters and the terror attack in Paris today mean that anything could happen on Sunday.

Tom Winnifrith

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The Daily Mail lies as part of the West's war on Truth in Syria

768 days ago

I was delighted to see the loathsome Daily Mail cough up for its disgraceful slurs on the charming Mrs Trump. I suspect many on the left will have had their loyalties divided in that battle, irrespective of the fact that it was the Mail that libelled Melania, but what about the Mail's mega lie today, on Syria. It boasts the headline "At least 100 people dead as a suicide car bomb hits convoy of busses evacuating residents from the clutches of ISIS to safe havens in Syria". This is quite simply a lie. It is fake news. It is a lie born of the insane and confused policy of the West in this godforsaken country.

Let's rewind a couple of weeks to when dozens of folks died after chemical weapons were detonated in an area controlled by the coalition of forces known loosely as the Free Syrian Army. The West instantly blamed the regime of President Assad although he pointed out that the UN itself had said he had no chemical weapons left but that it could not be sure that the FSA did not. Might conventional weapons have set off a chemical attack by landing on a store run by the FSA? We don't know for sure.

I suspect Assad was somehow responsible but there was no concrete proof when President Trump ordered a retaliatory bombing raid on an Assad air base, an attack which caused material collateral damage (i.e. the deaths of women and kids). Trump had said that he would not bomb Syria ( as Obama had done) without Congressional approval but I guess he had changed his mind. The mainstream liberal press suddenly applauded him for his Damascene conversion to the warmongering policies of the Clinton Obama regime.

We in the West stood firm against Assad once more. Hooray! Since we clearly don't back ISIS that leaves us supporting the FSA which last week apologised for beheading a 12 year old boy. It was not the beheading for which they expressed regret just that they got the wrong boy. For the FSA are largely Islamofascists, many of them are Al Qaeda followers and decapitation, and chucking folks off buildings are the sort of acts they deem acceptable.

Wind forward to this attack on a convoy of folks who were leaving two villages which had been besieged not by ISIS but by FSA forces. They were being evacuated as part of a deal that saw civilians from FSA outposts besieged by Assad also to seek safety. The Syrians who died in this outrage, mainly women and kids, were Assad supporters. They were killed,almost certainly by FSA/Al Qaeda backers. One thing we know is that they were not being evacuated from the clutches of ISIS but from the clutches of the maniacs we in the West are supporting.

The mainstream liberal press denounced the chemical attack as a war crime. It was. But so too was this suicide bombing.. So who will Trump and his poodles May and the EU leadership bomb now? Presumably Assad again. Meanwhile a pliant media lies to us and muddies the waters by blaming ISIS who, we can all agree, are really bad guys.

In Aleppo today for the first time in several years St Elijah's cathedral sees the celebration of a full Easter Mass. That is because the folks we are supporting banned Christains from celebrating their faith and St Elijah's was in the smaller part of Aleppo (the East) controlled by "our guys". President Assad has always allowed Christians full freedoms which is why that persecuted minority support him unswervingly. The liberation of Eastern Aleppo allows them to celebrate Easter without the risk of execution. Is that not a rather good thing?

I do not argue that Assad is an angel. But to say that he is a devil, like the ISIS devils, and that we must thus back the other team as being relatively good guys is just to deny the truth of what is happening on the ground. In this post fact era, organs like the Mail are printing fake news to justify an intervention that is unjustifiable. The world would be a better place if the West recognised that President Putin had been, rightly, backing the least worst side all along and fell in line with him to allow Assad to cleanse his land of both ISIS and Al Qaeda. But that is not going to happen is it?

So who do Trump and the Mail propose bombing in response to this latest war crime?

Tom Winnifrith

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Diary of a Diabetic day 11 - Good & bad

770 days ago

The penultimate day in Sweden saw the Mrs and I drive out to vist another friend of hers in the countryside around Gothenburg. Within minutes of arriving our host was explaining why she and her family had decided not to go on holiday to America this year. "For all the reasons am sure you understand we decided not to go after November." I bit my lip. She then said that they were thinking of going to France instead.

I couldn't resist. So what happens if Marine Le Pen wins? I asked. She said they had thought about that and if Marine triumphs it is clear that the family may have to stay in the happy multi cultural, crime ridden welfare paradise that is Sweden. Again I bit my lip and nodded to show understanding. I really was quite amazed about how well I behaved as our host went on to say that her brother was in fact a resident of the USA having become a naturalised yank and brought up two boys who were also US citizens. Amazingly The Donald has not incarcerated them as aliens. Yet.

The conversation ebbed and flowed and eventually moved onto my favourite subject, snakes. It appears that her place suffers regular adder invasions in the summer. The adder is apparently an endangered species in Sweden and so it is illegal to kill the little darlings and so our host's husband catches them puts them in a bucket and takes them away for release in a safe space. Hell's teeth! If there is a law that is meant for breaking it is that one.

Would anyone really lament the eradication of the adder in Sweden? If they did the State could always piss away even more borrowed cash on reintroducing the little dears. But once again I bit my lip and nodded as a keen supporter of biodiversity. That was the end of the good behaviour from me.

In the evening we returned to our island where at last its only restaurant was finally open. I guess it was the stress of a day of biting my lip or perhaps it was the fact that the next day the Mrs was heading back to the UK with Joshua while I head off to Greece. And so a couple of glasses of wine and a couple of pieces of bread found their way to me. I dared not test my bloods last night but this morning they came in at 10.3 which was surprisingly low. I guess all the walking of the previous day had done some good. I was only 0.4 up on the prior day.

Okay 10.3 is nowhere near my target of 5 but it is way down on my start point of 15.3. And now I have weeks and weeks free from lfty sociologists to wind me up with inane comments out Trump, Brexit, poor little vipers and worshipping the Money Tree. it is off to greece for a diet of salads, no ouzo, and lots of manual labour at the Greek Hovel. Just watch those sugars drop as I tackle type 2 diabetes head on.!

Tom Winnifrith

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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Wringing the Vicar's Neck, he is a mad Guardian reader

790 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/27949/tom-winnifrith-bearcast-wringing-the-vicar-s-neck-he-is-a-mad-guardian-reader

Tom Winnifrith

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BBC Brexit Bias & fake news on Donald Trump.. why am I paying a poll tax for this?

794 days ago

The BBC started its Ten O'Clock News with its reporters and presenters visiibily delighting in the FBI stating that it was investigating allegations of links between members of the Trump Campaign team and the Russians. But why stick to facts on a day like this?  it was time for some classic fake news from Pravda's gimp in Washington, Jon Sopel.

He asserted that these new "facts" about team Trump were sending shockwaves across Washington. A fact is something that has happened. There were no new facts revealed yesterday at all just the FBI saying it was investigating allegations, largely made by the liberal media. But when it comes to bashing POTUS, little Sopel always operates in a post fact era.

Then it was onto Brexit where the BBC revels in its unbalanced approach. Supporters of leaving were seen popping champagne corks. Yes what fascist toffs they are. And then a Labour shadow minister Kier Starmar was interviewed. He is a remoaner. So for balance they interviewed one more MP. Some SNP Loon. A Remoaner. Yup real balance from taxpayer funded Pravda once more.

Tom Winnifrith

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The bull case for gold from the team at Sprott

832 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/27046/the-bull-case-for-gold-from-the-team-at-sprott

Tom Winnifrith

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Precious Metals Market Commentary - why has gold tanked since Trump?

887 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25934/precious-metals-market-commentary-why-has-gold-tanked-since-trump

Tom Winnifrith

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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: 550kg of olives harvested in one day, I'm cream crackered

902 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25702/tom-winnifrith-bearcast-550kg-of-olives-harvested-in-one-day-i-m-cream-crackered

Tom Winnifrith

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Peter Schiff - the bond carnage post Trump - next stop real estate

907 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25550/peter-schiff-the-bond-carnage-post-trump-next-stop-real-estate

Tom Winnifrith

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Mariana Mazzucato - Sussex University Economics Prof & BBCQT panelist - she is utterly bonkers

909 days ago

Post Trump the BBC tries hard to show it is balanced by having an American on the Question Time panel. Naturally it always chooses a nutso liberal democrat so that he or she can join the other panelists and hand-picked audience of Guardian readers in saying that the victory of Trump reminds them all of Adolf Hitler and is awful. Heaven forbid that Question Time might actually invite on an enthusiastic Trump supporter to represent the 59 million. So this week's token yank was Mariana Mazzucato who actually teaches crazy economics over here at Sussex University. God only help her students.

Asked about Tony Blair making a possible return to front line politics she said that he was not credible because he thought that Labour needed to reach out to wealth creators, that is to say the private sector. You and I might think that Blair is ruled out for rather more serious reasons like lying to parliament about WMD, starting illegal wars, spending the past few years making millions working for Wall Street banksters and murderous dictators, etc, etc.

But not Mariana. That is because she wants us to recognise that the way forward is to accept that it is the public sector that is going to be the creator of wealth. Oh silly me and those other two million folks who risk our capital to set up small businesses to create jobs and generate incomes and profits on which taxes are paid. We are idiots and should just stay in bed. The state can go and create businesses for all. and everyone will be rich and happy just like they were in East Germany. Right on comrade..

To think that our taxes are going to pay the wages of this woman defies belief. Oh silly me. Her filling the minds of young folks with this rubbish is creating wealth, me risking my capital is doing nothing of the sort.

1984 and all's well at Sussex University.

Tom Winnifrith

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Even Trump’s Best Policies Can’t Stop the stockmarket Crash

910 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25488/even-trump-s-best-policies-can-t-stop-the-stockmarket-crash

Tom Winnifrith

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A Snapshot of How Trump's Election Affected Gold Commodities and Major Markets Last Week

915 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25276/a-snapshot-of-how-trump-s-election-affected-gold-commodities-and-major-markets-last-week

Tom Winnifrith

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Tom Winnifrith Postcard: fascist liberals at Hamilton & global warming falling hard in Ohio

915 days ago

In this week's postcard I look at how the liberal elite of the 1% behave like fascists at a performance of the crap uber-PC musical Hamilton in New York while in Ohio Trump voters get snowed on heavily. Oh the global warming irony. But those without jobs will not be laughing at the folly of the liberal elite on this matter.

Tom Winnifrith

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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - Draining the swamp of AIM

921 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/25232/tom-winnifrith-bearcast-draining-the-swamp-of-aim

Tom Winnifrith

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Video of Donald Trump - the Closing campaign Advert: Make America Great Again

929 days ago

This needs no explanation and is bang on the money. Go Trump!
 

Tom Winnifrith

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Peter Schiff: Q3 GDP data rigged to help Hillary Clinton and emails explained for dummies & cars tell you its 2008 all over

930 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/24986/peter-schiff-q3-gdp-data-rigged-to-help-hillary-clinton-and-emails-explained-for-dummies-cars-tell-you-its-2008-all-over

Tom Winnifrith

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The Guardian's snobbish liberal readers swung it for Bush, can dipstick Avaaz millennials swing it for Trump?

935 days ago

Back in 2004 the Guardian identified Clark County Ohio as a swing district in th4e swing state of Ohio. History shows if you win Ohio you win the White House and Clark was an uber-marginal district. So the Guardian got its readers back in the UK to call up folks in Clark. You can guess what happened next.

"Hello my good man this is Jasper from Islington and that Bush fellow is a racist who does not understand why LGBT issues and global warming are the big issues in Ohio today please vote for John Kerry. There's a good chap. Power to the workers."

Sound of silence as American from flyover state wonders who this posh British tosser is and why he is talking total rubbish.

There was a 1600 vote swing to Bush in Clark giving him a landslide win in the district and helping him to land Ohio comfortably.

It is not too late for The Guardian to get its readers on the phone before November 8. Ohio looks safe for the Donald so how about the Grauniad readers work their magic in Florida or Pennsylvania? But in this new media era there is already an effort underway from Avaaz, the online grouping fighting for every duff cause on this planet. Remember Brexit?

On June 22nd Avaaz emailed its database of dim millennials urging everyone to vote Remain. It warned that if we voted leave it would mean this for the country:

It can turn away from Great Britain to become little England: small, weak, and white. But that has never been the dream of the English, or the British. It is not now the dream of any of Britain's major political parties or leaders. It is only the dream of a few populist xenophobes, buoyed by a few small minded newspaper editors and owners of the Mail and the Sun, especially Trump-loving American Rupert Murdoch, who have whipped up anti-government and anti-immigrant hysteria with lies and propaganda."

Well that was balanced and fact based. With an Avaaz campaign in overdrive in the final days of the campaign the polls did indeed move. Much to everyone's shock, Britain voted to leave.

And so to Trump, okay most Avaaz folks are in Europe but we can still help the great cause. So Avaaz warns it millenial readers of what a Trump win means. It starts with the BIG ISSUE

Trump wants to tear up the Paris climate deal, and that's just the start of his horrifying plans! But now there's a way we can all help stop him, just by texting.

Then onto the other Trump issues...

Trump and the racist, sexist, anti-climate, isolationist message he peddles is a threat to the entire world, to everything we fight for as a community. And connecting with young Americans who also care about saving our planet, and ensuring they have all the information they need to vote, can be enough to secure a vote against Trump.

So what to do: starting texting! Over to Avaaz

Tests show that one of us can make a voting plan with 30 people who share our values in just an hour -- there's no get out the vote program anywhere that has that kind of success rate!

You’ll get everything you need to jump right in through progressive group NextGen Climate -- a thorough training, a community, a support team in a chat room, and a contact list when you’re ready to get started. And because the tool doesn't use any text messages on your plan -- you send them through a web page -- you can recruit tons and tons of people at no extra cost (make sure you're super comfortable writing in fluent English though!).

Ends

Well good luck folks. Make sure you text all those unemployed young folks across the Rust Belt to tell them why you are fighting carbon emissions. Make sure to text the black community where Trump is the most popular GOP candidate for 56 years to say that all Trump supporters including 1 in 5 Afro Americans and almost 40% of hispanics are racists

Please explain to the poor kids in the inner cities and the south who will be the next lot in the front line for the army why isolationism is so much worse than sending young folks overseas to die in numerous pointless wars, the Clinton doctrine.  

Go for it...Clark County goes national with the proven vote winners of Avaaz.

Tom Winnifrith

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October UK Investor Show Magazine - Shares to beat ASOS, When the Bubbles Pop, Scotland can't afford to leave

935 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/24784/october-uk-investor-show-magazine-shares-to-beat-asos-when-the-bubbles-pop-scotland-can-t-afford-to-leave

Tom Winnifrith

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The Liberal Media Establishment shamed & discredited again over FBI and Clinton emails

936 days ago

You may remember that for much of this year some journalists outside the mainstream established press questioned the health of Hillary Clinton. The mainstream media refused to cover it, stating that it was not an issue and that we were just mad right wing "bloggers". In MSM talk blogger means online writer who earns his living writing for a profitable enterprise. A journalist is paid by a loss making older media grouping that is losing readers. Anyhow, enough about folks like me who enjoy rising readership and run profitable businesses while er... enough said.

Then on 9/11 the crooked one collapsed and the story she spun did not stack up. Cough cough...the MSM briefly started to admit there was a bit of an issue but then buried that current story as it got hold of some Trump tapes from 2005.

Over the summer the FBI concluded an enquiry into Hillary's email habits and said there was no case to answer. Again, we deranged crazy right wingers questioned that as more and more evidence emerged saying there was an issue and as more and more folks within the FBI let it be known that they thought there was a very real case against Clinton. Again the MSM did not report this other than to blame any "noise" on Russia and deranged right wing bloggers.

Now once again we deranged deplorables have been vindicated. And despite initial spin on the liberal media that the new information the FBI has is from Russian hacking it is now clear that it is from its own work investigating how the husband of Hillary's closest aide was trying to get inside the knickers of a 15 year old girl.

The liberal media establishment would rather not cover this event which is clearly the biggest story in the world this weekend. Thus Saturday's Guardian did not make it the front page lead. Imagine if it had been Trump under an FBI probe?

Thereafter the reporting has followed a number of approaches. Firstly we are told that this is not going to change the way folks vote and that Hillary maintains a big lead. Unfortunately this is just a palpable lie on both counts as I explained earlier HERE

So the MSM then moved on to suggest that the FBI was biased and to repeat Hillary's demands that it publish all the evidence now. What sweet irony. This is the woman who refused to hand over emails even when faced with a subpoena, who tried to destroy 33,000 emails though she had been ordered not to, suddenly demanding the FBI publish emails which her closest aide had on her PC for months? Do you not see the irony? The MSM does not.

This is the FBI which the Dems were praising in the summer as it cleared Hillary. Back then it was an impartial body staffed by fine Americans. Now that has all changed for the Dems. Just imagine that evidence had emerged about Trump, the FBI had been duty bound to investigate and had NOT revealed this having gone on the record saying that it had checked out Trump previously and found no case to answer. In such circumstances the Dems would have screamed "cover-up" as would the liberal media. But its Hillary so again a double standard applies.

Mrs Clinton knows full well that the FBI cannot release evidence half way through an investigation. That would prejudice the result. So she screams that the FBI must do just that and that its refusal to pervert the course of justice is evidence that she has no case to answer and that this is a stitch up. Such a narrative is so utterly ludicrous that no-one in America believes it. Yet that is exactly the narrative that the MSM is trying to run.

It simply will not wash. As I noted the other day, HERE, the big loser from this campaign is the mainstream liberal elitist media whose credibility has been shot to pieces. More trust with ordinary Americans has been destroyed and more readers lost to those of us who base our viable business models on simply telling the truth.

Tom Winnifrith

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Photo article: Can I now wear my Hillary for Prison T-Shirt here in Bristol?

937 days ago

Bristol is the sort of left leaning City where the patronising middle classes agree with Matt Frei that ALL Trump supporterrs are racists. They agree with Hillary Clinton that anyone voting for the GOP is a "deplorable". Naturally we Brexit voters were also termed ignorant racists by the bien pensants of the South West. Put it this way: I really don't feel as if I am in my ideologocal home here.

I want to stand shoulder to shoulder with my Brexit supporting comrades in Gateshead who do not think that loving your country and wanting it to be free is something to be ashamed of. I want to link arms with God fearing, hard working, tax paying, gun owning patriots in the flyeover states as they seek to take back their country from the coastal liberal elites who have presided over a mass trabnsfer of wealth from the 99% to the 1%. And so I want to wear my Hillary for Prison T-shirt with pride.

Until today, doing so here in Bristol risked a lynching because, if the effete Bristolians looked up from their organic latte's as they read the Guardian, and saw a Trump supporter they could not hide their contempt for a "deplorable."

But as someone who wears the tag deplorable with pride I wonder if on this day, as it now seems just possible that, thanks to the heroic FBI, Hillary will indeed go to prison, is it right to "come out" as a Trumpster? Perhaps the bien pensants will accept that we deplorables were right all along and now join me in a choris of "lock her up! lock her up!"

I doubt it. So distorted are the values of the liberal elite that they would rather vote for a criminal than a conservative.

Tom Winnifrith

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Rigging the Election - Video I: Hillary Clinton Campaign and DNC Incite Violence at Trump Rallies

944 days ago

This video is explosive. It shows how Hillary Clinton and the DNC are cheating on an industrial scale. In part one of the Veritas expose we discover how the Dems create violence at Trump rallies to discredit The Donald. They also "fake" attacks on women at Trump rallies. Hillary says this is made up but a) it is utterly compelling, b) two of the folks on the video, notably Bob Creamer - a fraudster married to a Dem Congresswoman so a very senior player -  have already "resigned" from the Clinton campaign. Not the actions of innocent men. Natch the mainstream media has not played this video at all - can you remember the BBC or Channel 4 even commenting on it?

Tom Winnifrith

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Another academic who views the "Little people" with contempt and disgust - Scott Bellows

963 days ago

The Colombian referendum really has got the liberal elite out in force showing their contempt for the "little people" when they vote the wrong way. In the comfortable groves of academia, a haven for lazy and overpaid folks who engage in an intolerant form of group think, the sparks were flying. We have already met Dr Caroline from Sheffied University who thinks we "should never have referendums on things that really matter" now meet Scott Bellows from Durham. Scott, the Prof, tweeted:


So Scott uses the BBC as his primary news source. Why does that not surprise me. 

In Scott's view the great unwashed just don't know what is good for them. Of course they don't Scott. Their hard work without 15 weeks leave per annum and with no gold plated pension, pays your bloody salary but that does not mean that plebs driving white vans should have a say in public policy.

Only those folks in the top 10% of wage earners (like senior lecturers once you add in the pension benefit), folks who read the Guardian and who do not need to be told about eating five a day know what is best for society. The working classes are just fucking stupid. They just let emotions like racism, or not wanting to forgive mass murderers, or resentment of widespread de-industrialisation get in the way of making the "right choice". Right on Scott, pass the Focaccia and lets sneer at common people again.

Here is another patronising bastard from academia telling 17 million Britons that they did not understand what they needed to do to make a rational choice on June 23 and so allowed silly thoughts to get in the way. Why didn't the great unwashed read Polly Toynbee and Owen Jones in the Guardian and so vote the right way?

How Scott views the Republican primaries is even more telling. You will note that he makes no judgement about how Democrats voted in their primaries but it is only Trump (who secured 60% of the GOP vote) who is where he is as the result of emotion not logic. Most folks in the West think that selecting candidates via primaries ( that is among all supporters of a party in a given area) is a good thing. Party activists tend to be more extreme (left wing for Labour & the Dems, right wing for the Tories and the GOP) than party voters. So a primary rather than a caucus gets more mainstream candidates. The third alternative, party leaders picking a crony candidate in a smoke filled room is surely the least desirable selection method on offer.

Yet such is Scott's contempt for the ordinary voter now that he or she is voting the "wrong way", that he or she is prepared to tell the establishment where to stick it, that our comrade from Durham views a primary as a plebiscite and wants to move away from such a system. Scott wants to take power from the many ( who he despises) and give it to the few, to folks like him.

I am afraid that Donald and Caroline hold views that are far from isolated in academia today. My wife is an academic in a social studies discipline and when I listen to her friends I hear the same views. "How can the Tories have won the election, I don't know anyone who votes for them" said one in 2015. My wife, a woman of colour, has not dared say how she voted on June 23rd given the slew of facebook posts from her friends branding all Brexit supporters as racist or stupid or both. It does not cross their closed minds for a second that my wife might have voted for Brexit, as indeed she did.

Academia has no tolerance for those outside a narrow Group Think. Worse still, there is now no pretence that it does not openly despise those of us who dare to think differently. We must, by definition, be stupid to disagree with a consensus which is enforced with Stalinist brutality.

 

Admin

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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Fraudsters, losers & tossers the lot of them

966 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/24051/tom-winnifrith-bearcast-fraudsters-losers-tossers-the-lot-of-them

Tom Winnifrith

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Happy days: Gennifer Flowers to attend Clinton-Trump debate: a refresher for Millennials on Clinton sleaze and lies

971 days ago

Oh happy days. The only way that Monday night's Presidential debate can get better is if crooked Hillary has a coughing fit and then another pneumonia induced collapse live on air. And if anything will bring that on it is the now confirmed presence of Gennifer Flowers in the front row. Gennifer who? say the millennials who still think that the Clinton family are not pathological liars and sleaze-buckets. Welcome, my young friends, to a refresher course on the 1990s.

In the 1992 Presidential election campaign Gennifer, a former playboy model and clear piece of white trailer park trash, popped up to claim that she had has sex with Bill Clinton. Bill went on 60 Minutes and denied this. Occasionally in the years that followed Gennifer would pop up again and even had tapes of her chats with Bill. Advisers to Bill and Hillary herself said these tapes were falsified and that Flowers was just a lying piece of trailer park trash.

But by 1998 when Bill was in a spot of bother for allegedly molesting another woman who was not his wife and who actually did not welcome his advances, that is to say Katherine Willey, Clinton, under oath admitted that he had enjoyed extra marital sex with Flowers. Clinton admitted to one liaison in 1977 the tapes and Flowers suggest that there were a lot more.

But the bottom line is that Bill Clinton lied on TV repeatedly about Flowers and that both Clintons and their aides then smeared Gennifer repeatedly in the press. This is the way that the Clintons operate: they lie, they smear opponents, they cheat, they mislead the American people.

Millennials might think that the emails and all that stuff is a one off. The re-emergence of Miss Flowers will make them realise there is a pattern of Clinton family deceit here.

Perhaps Katherine Willey might also pop along to the debate along with Paula Jones, Monica Lewinsky, Juanita Broaddrick and many others. You could pack out the studio with women with whom Bill Clinton is alleged to have had relations, mostly but not all consensual, but who when they kicked up a fuss found themselves harassed by Government agencies and the Billary smear machine.

It is not that Bill is repeatedly unfaithful to Hillary that is the issue. It is that he and she lie and smear women who fall victim to him. It was Hillary who, for instancem branded Lewinsky, an intern seduced by POTUS, as a slut after Bill had lied about the incident.  

That is the trust deficit which is is for the audience across America to ponder on Monday. Meanwhile as Hillary looks up at the audience in the studio there will be a familiar face staring down at her from row one. Cough, cough.

Tom Winnifrith

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Bruce Springsteen supports Hillary Clinton, terms Trump a moron and the Guardian thinks this is news.

972 days ago

Surely after Brexit, when almost every celebrity in Britain told the great unwashed to vote to stay, a call that was completely ignored, even the Guardian realises that celeb endorsements count for nothing. Keira Knightley can lecture me from her multi million pound mansion about why I really want to pay more taxes, have more EU diktat's ruining my life and why I should wet my pants over global warming but I just don't care. I have bills to pay and rather resent someone with no such concerns telling me how to live my life.

But the Guardian has not twigged that. After all its senior staffers in the media elite go to the same parties as Alan Bennett and the same charity bashes as Becks, Keira and Gary Lineker so they think the views of the celebs actually matter. The Guardian backed laws to stop the press exposing the hypocrisy of such celebs by exposing double standards in their private lives. It is part of an utterly out of touch liberal establishment

And thus the Guardian splashes with the news that the singer Bruce Springsteen is backing Hillary Clinton and thinks that Donald Trump is a "moron". Well there is a shock. Bruce backs the Dems every single time. Back in the days when I actually attended a couple of his shows on the Born in the USA Tour he was tearing into old Ronnie Reagan. Bruce told Americans to back Walter Mondale in the 1984 contest. You will remember that Mondale lost every state bar his home state of Minnesota and even there he won by the tiniest of margins. In terms of electoral college votes Bruce's man managed the worst showing in history. But Bruce did not mind that the rest of America was backing Reagan, at the height of his own popularity he insisted that folks should vote Dem and lambasted Reagan's America. And everyone ignored him.

So draft dodging Bruce, a lifelong liberal is voting Democrat. Knock me down with a feather. And for the next shock Guardian headline "Bill Clinton is voting for Hillary Clinton." That is after he's finished knocking off his latest bimbo who's on the Clinton Foundation payroll.

As for the moron comment, by implication the multi millionaire Springsteen is questioning the intelligence of those who might vote for a moron. Just like folks like Keira reckon we are thick for voting for Brexit....

PS. The song below by Bruce still makes it into my top 50 all time play list. I don't agree with Bruce's solutions to the problems of de-industrialisation and the impoverishment of the rust belt working classes it describes. My solution is capitalism and Trump. His solution, a bigger State, is no solution. I love the music of Bruce but that is not going to make me follow him in backing yet another Dem loser for President.

 

Tom Winnifrith

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Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Truthful Trump but Democrats lying on terror, The maths on Watchstone now & Alba spouting shite

973 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/23852/tom-winnifrith-bearcast-truthful-trump-but-democrats-lying-on-terror-the-maths-on-watchstone-now-alba-spouting-shite

Tom Winnifrith

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The State that knows Crooked Hillary Clinton best shows American the way: latest Arkansas polling sets 44 year record

973 days ago

You have to be a truly useless candidate for President not to win your home state. Even folks who got thrashed at the electoral college level, such as Walter Mondale, got his neighbours to vote for him in Minnesota. Of course Crooked Hillary has no real home state. When in Dixie she tries to put on a southern drawl but when back home with her liberal millionaire pals in New York her tones become more clipped. But one state knows the Clintons better than anyone, Arkansas.

Old Bill was Governor there before he gained higher office and that was the place where Hillary had such fun with Whitewater and other matters. I accept that, given how solidly Republican the South is these days, winning Arkansas is a hard ask for the crooked one: Back in 2012 Romney was just under 24 points ahead of Obama although in the 1990s Bill Clinton did carry the state for the Dems.

So how is Hillary doing in the place they know her best? Er... an Emerson poll out last night shows Trump ahead by 28%. That would be the worst result for the Dems in Arkansas since 1972 when the utterly unelectable George McGovern, a Corbyn type figure in terms of electability, got thrashed nationally. To achieve the worst result in 44 years when you have the home town candidate is quite some achievement.

As I have noted before: the more folks get to know Hillary, the less they like her.

Incidentally there were three national polls out last night: two had Trump ahead one showed Clinton in the lead. It is tight but Trump has momentum and is trending higher, while the more that folks get to know Clinton...

Tom Winnifrith

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Is Hillary Clinton going to come clean on her health issues? Key rally dropout

975 days ago

Yesterday Crooked Hillary Clinton was set to do a fund raising event in North Carolina. That is a swing state which she really must win if she is going to win the Presidency and right now the local polls show Trump in the lead and surging and the wicked witch sinking. And so you would have thought that the last thing that Mrs Clinton would do is pull out of such an event at the last minute.

But she did. She did not look that well at a rally in Pennsylvania the day before but the mainstream media and liberal elites keep telling us that on 11 September Hillary just had a brief bout of pneumonia and that she is better now and that only mad right wing bloggers suggest anything else.

The polls suggest that the American people do not buy that narrative one bit. It may well be that Hillary had a perfectly good reason for a last minute pull out from a key event. Perhaps she had a key assignment crop up from a Mid East Government which had donated $10 million to the Clinton Foundation? Maybe she caught Bill in bed with another bimbo? Whatever. Most Americans will reckon that the pullout was another sign of ill health and that the Dems have lied to them about how sick Hillary is.

As every day goes by Crooked Hillary becomes ever more unelectable. And the liberal media becomes more pained and visibly desperate. Don't you just love it?

Tom Winnifrith

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Clinton Poll Collapse among young voters: the more they learn about Crooked Hillary....

977 days ago

In the past few US General Elections older voters have swayed to the GOP and thus for Democrats to win they have to win big among the younger voters, the millennials, and until about a month ago Hillary was leading by almost 30 points with young voters. But that lead has collapsed and, in the latest LA Times poll, is now well into single digits which is a disaster for Crooked Hillary. In my eight reasons why Trump would win article of two weeks ago, the key to this collapse is made explicitly.

And that key is that in every campaign Hillary has fought her poll numbers have headed only one way. The more folks get to know about her the less they like or trust her. And that is especially the case for younger voters. Just think about it.

When was the Whitewater scandal? When did we all get a refresher on Whitewater with the enquiry and the death of Vince Foster?: When was the Lewinsky scandal? That was when Hillary called a naive 18 year intern a "slut" after her boss (Mr Clinton) forced himself on the poor girl. When was the pork bellies trading scandal?

The answers: the 1980s, 1993, 1998 and 1994. In other words anyone under the age of 33 is very unlikely to remember these scandals first hand and most young voters were not even born during the sleaze filled years of the Clinton White House. But as each new scandal concerning Hillary emerges young folks do a bit of research and discover all the old stuff and conclude that the latest evidence of lying or dodgy financial dealings is not a one off, however much the mainstream media try to dismiss it as such. You can get the stains of Monica's Lewinsky's dress but you can't get them off the internet.

The latest scandal is a claim from a top Haitian politician that Hillary Clinton and the Clinton Foundation tried to bribe him. Yabba dabba Doo its the Clintstones again with another scandal that the mainstream liberal media will not report but which is all over the internet. And so as the campaign goes on young folks will inevitably become disillusioned at an accelerating rate with Crooked Hillary. Older voters already knew not to trust her, now younger voters are reaching the same conclusion. That is no shock.

The asset bubble that had benefited those with wealth and property has, according to Hillary Clinton, made America great again. It has not if you are poor or do not own real estate on the coasts or in Chicago and many young folks are in that category. More than now million young Americans now sell their bodies for sex in order to pay bloated rents and so when Trump says America is broken his message is one that should not alienate young folks for they know he speaks the truth and Hillary does not.

The young folks increasingly know that Hillary, bankrolled by Monsanto, Goldmans and the rest of Wall Street plus multi millionaire lifetime liberal hypocrites from Hollywood is just not on "their side". But it is the (lack of) trust issue that is the killer for Hillary and that is not going to get any better for her before November.

Tom Winnifrith

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Ron Howard is backing Hillary Clinton "Scoop" - Can SkyTV's Sophy Ridge be more stupid please?

979 days ago

It seems that the BBCs Kuenssberg & Maitlis are not the only ones claiming bogus scoops this week. SkyTV pundit Sophy Ridge tops up her earnings with a column in the Metro in which, this week, she reported on a freebie visit to Abbey Road Studios to meet Ron Howard as he plugged his new Beatles movie. "He revealed for the first time that he would be supporting Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump: "You look at the resumes and you go with the person who has the degree. I think I would rather go to the doctor who has the degree on the wall."

Perhaps that is a somewhat an unfortunate metaphor given Hillary's recent issues. But the real issue is that what Ms Ridge says is patent bollocks.

Trying to find a Hollywood multi-millionaire who is not a lifelong registered Democrat voting liberal who supports every liberal "good cause" going is a near impossibility. The multimillionaires of LA like nothing more than getting in their jet planes to demand the Government spends more money extracted from poor folks to fight global warming/racism/poverty, etc etc. And who better to deliver on such lofty goals than Mrs Clinton Foundation herself.

Chuck Norris and Clint Eastwood and Ron Howard's brother are noted as being that oddball: a Hollywood GOP voter. But Ron himself is a solid Dem. He worked hard for Obama in both the last two campaigns and thus his support for Crooked Hillary is not exactly shocking. Nor is it new as Ms Ridge claims. Three minutes on Google and I bet that you will find Ron saying he would back Hillary back in 2013, that is even before she announced she was running. You can see ardent Democrat Ron shocking no-one, revealing he was backing Hillary for the first time, three years ago, HERE

Even Emily Maitlis would not say thanks for a freebie by dressing up three year old news as a scoop

Tom Winnifrith

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The British liberal Media wants to bury Trump so ignores the polls - The Donald is surging

1008 days ago

The British liberal media and many of its ideological cousins from inside the Beltway want Donald Trump to lose the Presidential election and so all pretence of impartiality is out of the window. Right now the media is ignoring the latest Clinton scandals and Crooked Hillary's refusal to come clean on her health issues. Instead the narrative is of Trump failing so badly that senior GOP figures want him to withdraw, a campaign in chaos. The only problem is that this is just not true.

The latest poll out in the LA times shows crooked Hillary on 44% and Trump on 43.4% - a gap which is way inside the margin of error. Just five days ago the gap was 46.3% for Mrs Whitewater and 41.6% for the Donald. This poll uses a methodology which tends to show less violent swings than other polls but what you should care about is the trend. And that is clear: la Clinton falling, Trump rising.

For almost a week the Donald has managed to avoid making a single gaffe. Without any foot in mouth moments he has gained steadily. Meanwhile we have President Obama drowning in his $400 million bribe for Iran hostage scandal (not reported by the liberal British media) and Hillary facing more email leaks showing what a crook she is and how corrupt is the Clinton Foundation and still dodging the issue of her health - again none of this reported by the liberal British Press. As I have noted many times, the pattern of all Hillary campaigns is the same. The more folks get to know about her the less they like or trust her. It will be the same again in 2016.

The mainstream media may not report every Clinton Scandal but that is another reason why so many voters ignore the Deadwood Press and buy fewer and fewer papers each year. The sans culottes hate the established media as much as it hates its bedfellow the established political elite and we, the people, now get our information elsewhere.

This contest is wide open and Trump is not panicking for a good reason - he can win. Sure, right up to polling day the BBC or loathsome beltway warrior Kylie Morris of C4 News will be able to drag out some Country Club GOP bore to say that Trump is a rotter and that he is voting for his fellow establishment figure, Crooked Hillary. But outside the Beltway and the big liberal Cities on the coasts the anger against the establishment is mounting. And that bodes badly for crooked Hillary.

PS: I penned a piece yesterday, seven reasons why Clinton must not win and you can read that HERE

Tom Winnifrith

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New Trump Video: Is Robot Hillary Clinton melting down

1019 days ago

Crooked Hillary is now seeing her post convention poll bounce evaporate. As I have said before, the more folks know about Mrs Clinton the less they like her. Donald Trump knows this and as long as he can stop saying daft things, Hillary will carry on delivering him the votes. This little attack advert from Trump sums up a couple of recent gaffes and reminds us all of her email varacity issue.

 

Tom Winnifrith

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The BBC World News takes the piss on Brexit

1076 days ago

Sadly here in the most excellent Melitsina Village hotel here in Kardamili the only English language channel we can get is the BBC World News Channel. It is Pravda at its best. The agenda is clear: Trump = evil racist, Brexit - evil supported by racists, Tories - evil racists who hate the NHS, all of the NHS, EU, crooked Hillary = perfect. Once you understand that all reporting has to fit that narrative watching becomes easy and your anger at having to pay for this crap with your taxes sort of subsides.

And thus we flicked channels and saw a BBC chappie called Sean with a panel of four folks discussing Brexit. As far as I could make out it was two yanks and two Europeans. It did not long for me to realise what this panel debate was about. It was not about whether Brexit was good or bad. All four guests and the host agreed that Brexit would be a disaster.

I think it is actually a game called BBC Bingo/ two minutes without hesitation. The idea is to see which of the guests or indeed the host, can use the most words like Trump, racists and Boris Johnson in a negative sense and immigration, Clinton and the Labour Party in a positive sense all in one sentence.

Once you understand that it is a sort of game show your anger as a taxpayer and license fee payer subsides. Surely after the fall of the iron curtain no country in Europe would consider extracting money from its citizens to fund such blatant propaganda while pretending it was news would it?

Tom Winnifrith

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New poll again shows UK liberal media 100% wrong on Trump as GOP voters unite, Dems splinter, the Donald gets record traction with non-whites

1096 days ago

The liberal British media could not get enough Republicans to go on camera saying how they's rather suck Bill Clinton's cock than vote for Donald Trump. Inside the bubble that is Washington DC, folks like Kylie "beltway" Morris of C4 news span the narrative again and again that the GOP would splinter and not back Trump and so he could not win. As such the latest polls show at every level that Kylie et al really just cannot get this contest any more wrong.

The headline is a good place to start on the latest ABC/Washington News poll. Trump is on 46%, crooked Hillary is on 44%. Yes Trump is winning. But its the breakdown that is more fascinating.

What percentage of Republicans who did not vote for Trump in the primaries will vote for Hillary in the General? It is just 11% ( down from 20% in March). So 11% of c40% of GOP voters are backing crooked Hillary - that would be just over 4%. The rest are backing The Donald. that looks like a pretty united party to me with pretty much everyone bar Mitt Romney, and the effete Country Club Republicans who lead the party to electoral disaster in the past two contests, backing Trump.

But over with the Dems it is rather different. 20% of those who backed crackpot Bernie Sanders in the primaries ( up from 10% in March) now plan to back Trump in the General. Given that mad Bernie has been polling at close to 50% overall (he has actually won 14 of the last 18 primaries) that implies that 10% of the Dems are voting for Trump and the number is rising. Actually it is even worse than that, in that 8% of Dems who voted for Clinton in the primaries (up from 2% in March) are voting for Trump in the General (the vice versa is 0% by the way) and so it seems as if 14% of Dems ( and rising fast) are now backing The Donald.

So beltway Kylie and colleagues which party is divided? Repeat after me...Trump has united the Republicans, the Democrats are splintering.

With Trump increasingly uniting GOP voters and pulling increasing numbers of Dems as well as being 48/35 up against independents ( having been 48/39 down in March) whose failure to unite is suggesting electoral meltdown? It must be really hard for a member of the liberal media establishment to say something about the Queen of the liberal political establishment but crooked Hillary is in a real mess.

And while Kylie gets ready to explain to C4 viewers why she has got this aspect so disastrously wrong perhaps she'd also care to explain why she said that racist Trump could not win because non whites thought he was er...racist. The latest poll shows that among non white voters Trump is losing 21% to 69%. That may not sound great but despite the barrage of smears from the beltway liberals Trump is up 2% since March and Clinton down 4%.

And to put this in perspective, a 21% vote among non whites would be the biggest share of the non white vote gained by a Republican since Nixon got 35% back in 1960. And that, of course, was an era when many Southern blacks voted for the party of Lincoln while their white Democrat (Dixiecrat) congressmen and senators railed against Civil Rights.

The bottom line, as I have noted before,is that Trump is reaching out to non whites in a way that no Republican has ever done in the modern era. He is scoring better among non whites than all the GOP victorious candidates of the modern era: Nixon 13% & 12%, Reagan 10% and 13%, and Bush 18%. Post Bush senior polls tend to split Latinos and blacks but its clear the GOP took a caning each year until now when it is on 21% and rising. When do you think Kylie and the rest of the British media are going to report that?

The snearing and ludicrously unbalanced coverage of Trump from beltway Kylie and her colleagues may well go down well with viewers of C4 News or the British Middle classes who like to regard Trump as all that is worst about vulgar right wing America. But, at a factual level of actually reporting what has been going on in America, the coverage has been dire from the start. It has ignored facts and replaced analysis with smear.

By talking only to others cocooned inside the beltway the British press has utterly misread the mood music of America today and it continues to do so. As such it does the British people no great service.

Perhaps C4 and others might consider some personnel changes as the current staff roster is making them look increasingly ridiculous. Or perhaps C4 and the pack will stick to what they do best: liberal smears and getting the facts wrong.

Tom Winnifrith

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Tom Winnifrith Postcard: Ignore the British liberal media, why Trump will beat Clinton in November

1100 days ago

A new poll show The Donald leading the loathsome Clinton woman for the first time. The British liberal media told you Trump would not win the Republican nomination. Folks like Kylie Morris of C4 News could not see outside of the beltway and got that totally wrong. The same folks said with Trump the GOP choice the lyin' Hillary was sure to win. They are wrong again as I explain. in this podcast.

Tom Winnifrith

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Beltway Kylie Morris and British Liberal Media have you seen the Trump landslide news from New York? Apology time?

1129 days ago

Beltway liberal Kylie Morris of C4 News led the British liberal media, after Wisconsin, in saying Donald Trump's campaign had problems. Less partial commentators (me) suggested we wait for the New York Primary where rump would win big. Kylie covered that contest by interviewing rapid Democrats saying what a stinking racist Trump was or, yesterday, the craziest man she could find among Trump supporters - a religous nutter from Long Island blowing a ram's horn and misquoting the Old Testament. C4 viewers could be under no illussion: Trump had no mainstream support in New York State. Well here are the actual numbers from the primary.

Trump 60.5% and 89 delegates, Kasich 25.1% and 3 delegates while Cruz, the candidate the Country Club establishment want to foist on the GOP got just 14.5% of the vote and no delegates.

So what do we know now? Kylie may not have worked this out but some of us did long ago: Cruz is unelectable and now has no credibility at all. Moreover Trump attracts not just obvious lunatics but actually vast numbers of normal New Yorkers flocked to vote for him. Although hundreds of thousands of normal human beings in New York City as well as upstate voted for him, Beltway Kylie failed to find even one of them in the week she spent in NY ahead of the poll. So C4 viewer might be rather surprised by the result, a landslide for the Donald.

If Trump follows this with a huge win in Pennsylvania, which he will, and then moves on to win in California, where Kylie will interview a stack of Hollywood liberals who would rather commit hari kiri than vote in a Republican primary as she covers the Republican primary declaring everyone here hates Trump, he is going to be darn close to getting the GOP nomination on a first ballot.

GOP voters clearly want Trump as their candidate. Should he not quite make it on the first ballot and party elders stitch up the convention to foist upon supporters a candidate they do not want, the Donald will run as an Independent. The establishment does not like the insurgency and there is a lot not to like about Trump but it is the Country Club losers like McCain and Romney who are out of step with Republican opinion not Trump. What is happening is called democracy, something Republicans used to believe in as a matter of faith. Its time that some of the party elders remembered that.

Now Kylie, when will you start apologising for your coverage which remains so utterly partisan and misleading that you really should be working for the BBC. Your beltway prejudices are wasted on C4 where I suffer a nightly torture just to Fiske your reports but am probably a reasonable percentage of your regular viewers.

Tom Winnifrith

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Video: Peter Schiff, Trump & Sanders are right, the US economy is broken

1130 days ago

http://www.shareprophets.com/views/20111/video-peter-schiff-trump-sanders-are-right-the-us-economy-is-broken

Tom Winnifrith

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How to confuse the liberal white media - black Trump supporter beats up white liberal in KKK outfit

1160 days ago

Gosh the lefty media just does not know to play this one. A white college educated liberal attended a Donald Trump rally dressed in a Klu Klux Klan hood yesterday and endeavoured to disrupt the event, making it clear that he thinks The Donald is a racist. A black supporter of Donald Trump then beat him up before the cops pulled both men away in cuffs.

The liberal media is confused because it has been telling us for ages that all blacks hate Trump for being a racist. It also tells us that white folks who dress up in KKK hoods are bad news. And that it supports free speech.

So how does it spin this particular event? We conservatives hae no need to spin. we have said for ages that plenty of blacks and hispanics have lived the American dream and thus vote for the GOP and will vote for Trump. It is only liberals who assume in their patronising way that being well off or having drive is the preserve of the whites. And of course it is the left that thinks free speech is only for those they agree with. We on the right know free speech is for all. So we have no need to spin.

But for the left, just how do you spin this event?

Meanwhile I hope that the Trump supporter rightly observes that folks dressing up in Klan outfits is offensive to him as an African American and that in kicking the shit out of the idiot he was merely making amends for 200 years of oppression and racism. How was he to know that the chap underneath the outfit was not a racist?

Tom Winnifrith

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Lesbians For Donald Trump - Beltway liberal Kylie Morris of C4 News is very confused indeed

1164 days ago

Out on the stump in a working class town in Ohio, one could sense the discomfort of Channel 4 News reporter Kylie Morris as she encountered rust belt workers from the real world. Gosh they paint their dogs in funny colours for St Patrick's Day she noted. I am sure she thought it all rather naff, rather white van man, but didn't quite say that on camera. But then salvation for Ms Morris as she stumbled across two big fat lesbians. However, much to the consertanation of the beltway liberal the bull dykes were voting for Trump.

But, an uncompreheding Kylie stammered: what about what he says about the blacks and the hispanics? For her narrative is that of the middle class liberal. That is to say all minorities are oppressed and all need to stand shoulder to shoulder with a Big State looking after them.

For folks like Kylie, as I have noted before in her lamentable coverage of the US election, there are of course problems. What about the large number of hispanics and blacks who have lived the American Dream, worked hard, joined the middle classes and vote not only for the GOP but in some cases for Trump? What about those nice brown men who rather blow the liberal narrative apart as they demand the excecution of homos in the name of Islam? What about the clear tensions in the ghetto between poor blacks and poor hispanics, the turf wars?

We can gloss over all of that if, like Kylie, we live in the beltway where are the minorirties are rich, liberal and middle class and the only intolerance shown is to that real minority in such areas, Republicans.

As Kylie asked the two lesbians about the blacks and hispanics I prayed that one of the two would say "FFS we are lesbians at a St Patrick's Day Parade, cant you see we are not black or hispanic, stop patronising us by assuming all minorities are the same you silly cow."

Sadly the lesbians were not quite that eloquent but merely suggested that Trump spoke up for them and would get their vote. That is to say Trump appeared to care about white working and lower middle class people in the flyover states, in the rust belt, folks who have got poorer since 2008 whilst the East & West Coast dined out on funny money, QE and asset bubbles.

Trump has a message, perhaps the wrong message but a message none the less, for such folks and unlike all the Beltway political class folks with whom Kylie mixes that makes him stand out. Trump does not make a big issue of whom someone chooses to have sex with, he leaves it to the liberals like Kylie to regard such folks as different.

But they are not are they? Without obsessing about betwee the sheets action as do the Democrats, Trump is simply reaching out to a whole section of society hitherto ignored by Replulicans and taken for granted by Democrats. And guess what Kylie, some working class folks are gay and lesbian as well as working in a factory. Not all homos work in the meduia, liberal arts or in restaurants.

Tom Winnifrith

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Clinton, Obama, Beltway Bernie and the GOP Country Clubbers play the racism card but it wont stop Trump

1167 days ago

Things are getting desperate for the political establishment. The polls suggest that after the Florida and Ohio primaries on Tuesday, The Donald will be a slam dunk cert to get the GOP nomination. Then - with the Democrat contest rigged by establishment super-delegates, proof once again that the left doesn't trust the little people to handle democracy by themselves - we are all set for Trump vs Clinton in the General Election.

Right now polls show Clinton winning but it is within the margin or error. And with all sorts of skeletons in Clinton's closet, some of which might just lead to an impeachment, it is still far from a slam dunk that the insurgents will be defeated by the establishment this time around. Sure, the Beltway classes, big businesses like Monsanto and the military-industrial complex, Wall Street and the Mainstream media are lining up for Hillary. But America has never been angrier with the establishment and Trump is a lightening rod for that anger.

The establishment is desperate to stop Trump and thus showing this is a last resort it has played the racism card this weekend. We were spectators at a show of unity involving career politicians from the left , led by Mrs Clinton, Obama and Beltway Bernie and from the right, lead by Cruz, Rubio and the twins of defeat McCain and Romney. Has Trump said anything more racist than before in recent days? No. Perhaps that is why in the GOP primaries he is winning not just among white voters but also among blacks and hispanics.

There have, of course, been protests at his rallies as liberals tried to shut him down. As I noted earlier this will only make him more popular. Most of the protestors are white middle class young folks. A liberal arts graduate student at a good college might feel good about screaming about how Trump supports "white privilege". But the thousands of white manual workers laid off across the rust belt or white farm workers now without jobs or hope across middle America are not really feeling that privilege. Those folks have been ignored by the politicial establishment for years and they are pissed off and will flock to Trump on Tuesday and at the General Election that follows, however much the establishment and their ivy league college educated kids scream "racism."

While the sons and daughters of the Establishment go to college to learn that Donald Trump is a racist and that all hispanics and blacks must loathe him, the white sons and daughters of rust belt America and the black and Hispanic kids from the poorer areas sign up to the military as a way out. It is they who are coming back from Iraq minus limbs or in body bags. Trump is the only candidate who opposes these pointless foreign wars. Perhaps that is another reason he is going to win big time on Tuesday.

The insurgency has momentum. The establishment is terrified.

Tom Winnifrith

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British Liberal media creams itself as proven Republican losers bash Trump but no-one else cares

1170 days ago

You could sense how the BBC, Channel 4 News, The Guardian and the rest of the British liberal media creamed themselves last week as leading figures from the Republican establishment lined up to slam Donald Trump. For a moment the liberal media forgot that folks like Mitt Romney and John Mccain were evil right wingers, in their book anyway, and lauded them as great statesman.

As one, the only question the media pack lead by Emily Maitlis on Newsnight and the beltway liberal warrior Kylie Morris on C4, asked was "have the big beasts left it too late". That was, of course, the wrong question.

In case the liberal media had forgotten, the country club Republicans they now view as big beasts but slated as evil no-hoper extremists when they were running for office, both got utterly thrashed when they ran for President. The sort of poll ratings that Trump has been getting are the sort of ratings that Mitt & John could only ever have dreamed about getting.

The Donald says some awfully daft things. But when he talks about NOT sending young working class men and women to die on foreign fields and when he talks about cutting taxes for middle class Americans not cosying up to Wall Street and big business he speaks like isolationist Republicans used to speak in the old days when it was a right wing party. Mitt & John with Wall Street/big business funded campaigns talked a different language and perhaps that is why millions of hard working, God fearing Americans from outside the rich enclaves on either coast are now coming back to the Republican Party having refused to back the Country Club patricians.

Lecturing such "ordinary" folks from the comfort of your Country Club or offices inside the beltway, about how The Donald is not their man was thus never going to have any effect. The question the liberal media should have asked as Mitt and John piped up was not "is it too late" but "why should anyone care what these losers think anyway?"

And the answer is that no-one outside the beltway classes and liberal media did care.
Ordinary voters in the primaries since the GOP establishment upped the smear Donald campaign have carried on voting for him anyway. The only poll rating that has changed is that of Marco Rubio who is the man that the GOP establishment all backed. With that endorsement he has tanked, finishing fourth in Michigan and a dismal third everywhere else.

When, and it is when not if, little Rubio is thrashed in his home state of Florida by Trump in a winner takes all Primary and when Trump also takes the winner takes all Ohio contest, Rubio will throw in the towel. But at that point The Donald will be so far ahead of the establishment's second pick, the relgious fruitcake Ted Cruz, that it will be game over.

At that point the GOP Establishment will have to decide if they back the man their party has voted for in a fair contest, that is to say Trump, or the frightful lying, criminal, war-mongering Clinton woman. Given what the endorsement of the GOP establishment has done for Rubio's poll ratings and did for those of Jeb Bush before him, should the "big beasts" betray their party and the Country and back the awful Mrs Clinton, one suspects that Trump won't be losing that much sleep over it.

Tom Winnifrith

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