Wednesday September 17, 2014


This time it really WAS a snake encountered at the Greek Hovel
Video Postcard #80, snakes, frigana and falling in love with Kambos issue
Picture article: The summer draws to a close, grapes give way to prickly pears at the Greek Hovel

PERSONAL, UNDILUTED VIEWS FROM TOM WINNIFRITH

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This time it really WAS a snake encountered at the Greek Hovel

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In my weekly video postcard HERE I revealed how I obsess about snakes while at the Greek Hovel but had not actually seen one. Bloody hell that was a bit of a jinx. Snakes were very much on my mind today as the section of frigana I am attacking right now is the densest on the property on a rocky hill near the gate on our drive. For drive read mud track. Put it this way, if I was a snake I’d hang out there.

I had mentally preserved this section for my brave Albanian pal Foti who is coming up to assist me next week. Foti is fearless and if he saw a snake would grab whatever was nearest to hand and smash it on the head. But I decided to man up and head into the bushes anyway.

Luckily I encountered no snakes and so, dripping in sweat after an hour’s solid cutting in the midday heat, I ambled back to the house and started to wander up the front steps and – fuck me – there was a snake, slithering over the snake veranda towards my front door. Naturally I retreated rapidly shouting to no-one in particular “it’s a fucking snake”.

Maybe it is my Irish genes? 

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The Naibu fraud – two critical questions and tests of integrity for Daniel Stewart as the stock heads to 0p and/or a delisting

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Apparently at 31p shares in Naibu now trade on a 2015 and 2015 PE of c0.7. Any stock trading on such a rating is either the cheapest stock on this planet or an outright fraud, a Norfolk. Naibu is a fraud. My target price is 0p and this stock will lose its Aim listing soon. It could be very soon. If Daniel Stewart, nomad and broker to this POS – and the firm that listed Quenron – had any integrity it would resign at once as Nomad and broker. As such I ask two questions of Daniel Cesspit.

  1. My old friend Simon “Wincey” Willis is the analyst covering Naibu.
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ShareProphets Reader Poll – Chinese stocks on AIM

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It is now quite clear, after my shock revelations today HERE, that Naibu (NBU) is a total Norfolk and is going to 0p. And this is only the latest of a number of Chinese based Norfolks to list on the AIM casino. Good Chinese stocks list in Hong Kong or Shanghai, bad ones on NASDAQ and total stinkers and outright Norfolks on AIM. Well that is my view - hence the advice to dump shares in Camkids (CAMK) and China Chaintek (CTEK) as well as Naibu. What do you think? 

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ISIS not Muslims but Monsters says Call Me Dave – he lies

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Call Me Dave stated today that ISIS fighters were “not Muslims but Monsters.” I sounds like a good sound bite but the only thing is that it is untrue. 

ISIS fighters are in fact ALL Muslims. They are also Monsters, on that Cameron and I agree. This s not saying that all Muslims are monsters. Very few are. Just like very few Jews or Christians are monsters.   

Extremists of most religions tend to be fairly unpleasant fellows and in this respect ISIS fits the bill perfectly.  But to try to suggest that they are not Moslems is just plain untrue.

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Video Postcard #80, snakes, frigana and falling in love with Kambos issue

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This is my penultimate video postcard from Greece until I return November for the olive harvest. Forgive my lack of writing, I have been busy preparing for UK Investor Show on April 18 2015 and also obsessing about snakes and frigana.

I discuss both snakes and frigana in great detail.

I then go on to say why I disagree with Paddy Leigh Fermour and have fallen in love with Kambos, the village nearest to the Greek Hovel. 

Details of the show are at www.UKInvestorShow.com – book your seat now!

My financial video postcard this week covers the issues of shares that appear to be uber cheap (PE of less than 3 etc). It is the “It’s too good to be true” edition and can be viewed HERE

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Value Investing and Chinese Stocks – Asian Citrus, a sell even though shares trade at a discount to stated net cash

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Asian Citrus (ACHL) appears to be one of the better Chinese stocks on the AIM Casino but although it now trades at a steep discount to stated net cash and a vast discount to net assets it just cannot qualify as a value investment and you’d be mad to touch its shares with a bargepole. In fact its a sell.  Here’s why.

First a little reminder of the history of this producer of Oranges and to a lesser extent bananas. It listed in AIM in 2005 at 112p a share. Now let’s wind forward to December 2013 when someone purporting to be a value investor a Mr Marcel Springorum wrote:

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PR spinning, share price obsession, misleading investors – Avanti Communicatons, look to sell on Monday results

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Avanti Communications (AVN) is a Bulletin Board darling which spews out more than its fair share of Red flag warnings. Its obsession with its share price is understandable given that it needs to get away yet another equity fundraising within 12 months. And hence I draw your attention to a release issued on Friday.

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Horse Hill – what’s the timeline and what’s the upside for Alba, UK Oil & Gas, Solo, Stellar etc

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The excitement is mounting at Horse Hill, the oil prospect near Gatwick. But what is the timescale and what is the upside. Soon and big! But caveat emptor.

The six companies involved (Stellar Resources, Regency Mines, Alba Minerals, UK Oil & Gas, Solo and Doriemus) announced that drilling had started on 3rd September and was targeting a total depth of 8,680 feet. As I understand it the first few hundred feet is drilling by one rig then a larger rig goes onto site. I have no idea when exactly that will happen but when it does the excitement begins as the larger rig can drill at such speed that the whole project will be completed within sixty days.

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Why Scotland needs the Painful Medicine of Independence and must vote YES for ITS sake

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Scotland is the Greece of the North. 89% of its population are net takers from the State. Its share of the National debt is £108 billion which will be hard to support. It has a bloated Government sector and with oil revenues set to decline its financial position can only get worse. The only answer is independence. It must vote YES.

Yes some companies will redomicile to England. But as they have made clear very few actual jobs will be affected. This and threats from Cameron that the ISIS peril will be increased by a YES vote are all red herrings.

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