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Why is someone born on January 1 four or five times as likely to rape your wife as someone born on January 2?

Tom Winnifrith
Thursday 12 November 2026
It might seem unbelievable but the hard data is there. Neil O’Brien MP obtained data from various forces and the numbers arrested and charged for sexual offenses with a January 1 birthday and a January 2 birthday so far this year were:

The Met in London 155 vs 34
Manchester Police 116 v 29
West Yorks 52 v 9
Leicestershire 22 v 5

This looks quite remarkable but there is a very simple explanation and it explains why this Government refuses to hand out full data in sex crimes by ethnicity. With even the Economist admitting that an Afghan male in the UK was 7 times more likely to commit rape than a native Brit, the Government knows the full data will horrify the wider population and drive a coach and horses through its claim that diversity is a force for unequivocal good.
 
Migration Watch suggests the real Afghan number is 22 times but nobody knows. So why are January 1 born males so “rapey”?

Simple.

If you are an illegal migrant landing on our beaches and chuck away your passport then the authorities, unable to verify your d.o.b. guess your age and give you a January 1 birthday. So 80% of the January 1 born rapists could, in fact, be born on any day of the year but are, undoubtedly, illegal migrants who chucked their passports in the Channel.

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About Tom Winnifrith
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Tom Winnifrith is the editor of TomWinnifrith.com. When he is not harvesting olives in Greece, he is (planning to) raise goats in Wales.
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