US Election

17 days ago

Tom Winnifrith podcast: The US Election: polls, polls, polls - whichever way you look at it it is disastrous for the Democrats

I focus onMichigan, recent polls but also those in 2020 and 2016. That is awful for Joe Biden. But what if he is dumped? I look again at polls on how Donald Trump shapes up against other Democrats. But those pollls fail to take into account two big elephants one of whom is Kamala Harris and that makes things even worse for the Dems. As things stand the GOP will control all four branches of Govrrnment from 2025 as this is shaping up to be a self-inflicted bloodbath for the team in blue.


72 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Why the FCA should have a butchers at Ceres Power

Before turning my attention to Daphne du Maurier and underpants I say a few words about betting on the US election where, as I predicted, The Donald is now a racing cert for the GOP Nomination and, I reckon, favourite to win the General. Then it is on to Ceres Power (CWR), Tern (TERN), Zoo Digital (ZOO), Genflow Biosciences (GENF), Verditek (VDTK), Belluscura (BELL) and Centamin (CEY).


78 days ago

Tom Winnifrith podcast: Russia, Ukraine and the American Election

In the latest of these series I start in Ukraine where things are getting rapidly worse for the home team. I look at what is happening and what will happen next. That is linked to the US election where I look at the swing state polls, discuss the Trump show trials and how US voters perceive then, Robert Kennedy jr and who his candidacy hurts most and conclude that things are looking ever better for President Trump. Things can change but as things stand the smart money is so much on trump that I ponder what happens if polling trends continue theoir recent run up to the Democrat convention. Will Biden throw in the twel at that point? What happens then?


109 days ago

Tom Winnifrith podcast: Russia, Ukraine and USA and a flashback to Syria and how we were lied to then

No doubt this will be seen as being Assad as well as Putin apologies. It is neither, it is just I dont like being lied to and misled by the politocal and media class GroupThink. I discuss events in Ukraine and the US election campaign and how, as ever, they are linked.


1331 days ago

The Real US election fraud, new data on media suppression of real news and what George Orwell did say

I am far from convinced that Donald Trump won enough real votes in Georgia, Arizona, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin to swing the electoral college. US elections are always, to some extent, corrupt but right now I’d bet heavily on Joe Biden being the next President. However, there is a new poll out today which convinces me that an enormous fraud did take place and I will call as my first witness the late Mr George Orwell.


1408 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: It happens once or twice a decade, Zak Mir says something quite interesting

Sorry to the in-house Euro loon Jonathan Price who reckons that my interest in the US election is excessive but two new polls yesterday cast further light on the races in Pennsylvania and Florida which  as I noted yesterday  are two of the three states that will decide the election. I discuss this and then Justin Urquhart Stewart on gold where he gets his numbers so wrong that I am more bullish than I was as I think this tells you something of wider import. Finally onto my good mate the Sith Lord Zak Mir, a chap called Carl Linton who is a plumber and heating engineer, and the current mood of market craziness.


1412 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Trolling & harassment of me by SYME Morons hits new depths and can Trump win? I now call it as being down to just 3 states

My new video show is live and if you have a spare three hours it is, if I say so myself, a total belter and can be watched HERE. I then discuss the US election and am ready to call all bar three states: Pennsylvania, Florida and Michigan. I believe that the maths are that Trump will have to win all three to win. there are three others I am calling but with a low degree of certainty ( Ohio for Trump, Wisconsin and Minnesota for Biden). I discuss what will swing the three uberswing states and where things stand now but also what financial betting markets tell us. Then trolling of me by morons, this time owning Supply@ME Capital (SYME) hits a new low. I discuss these sad creatures and how they motivate me to dig even more. 


1419 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Video Shareshow No 8: Well over 2 hours of gold, me on corporate lying, Richard Poulden and Steve Moore

And now from Wales, by just 30 yards, it is my new, I hope, weekly video show. This costs 99p per episode, and you can either listen to, or watch, some sparky interviews with Richard Poulden on gold and where it goes next, on the US election but also on Wishbone Gold (WSBN) as it takes a new direction. As a long suffering shareholder, down £30,000, I have a few tough questions. Then I discuss what gold stocks I am buying before chatting to Steve Moore, a man with whom I have worked for all bar a few weeks of his working life. He is this year 38! Frightening. I started the show with a suggestion that we all look back to the 1970s. I end with a look at corporate lying and why it is on the rise and why no-one cares but that will change. Verditek (VDTK) is a case study here. You can access the show HERE


2806 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Lock her Up! Lock her Up! Drain the Swamp! Drain The Swamp

I start with the US Election. My last piece on why the polls are wrong and on who will win is HERE. Talking of a rigged affair I move onto Cloudtag (CTAG) and then to Redcentric (RCN) and MXC Capital (MCXP). Then I look at Premier Oil (PMO), Mkango (MKA), Golden Saint (GSR) and Servision (SEV) before ending with a chant for The Donald.


4272 days ago

Obama v Romney, Man United v Chelski – I want BOTH to lose but on balance I go for ...

After 6 billion dollars and what seems like an eternity of evasion and unfulfillable promises America must decide today whether to re-elect President Obama or to replace him with Mitt Romney. What a god awful choice. It is just like Manchester United versus Chelski, you want both teams to lose. But after another evening with deluded lefties I think I have now decided who I want to lose less.

Rating the two men on a number of issues is a pretty thankless task but here goes on what matters to me.


4275 days ago

#SaySomethingNiceAboutObama – Trending on twitter

Okay this is meaningless stuff but there are a few cracking tweets. For what it is worth my own was:

okay then: He is just a bit less loathsome and appalling than Hillary Clinton. Best I could do. Sorry

Others did far better. Perhaps the medium works best if you follow on twitter. There are a few stormers in there including:

he’s killed way more people than any other Nobel Peace Prize winner has.

Under President Obama it takes me far less time to put $20 of gas in my car.

Because of Obama I’ve learned to spell narcissist without spellcheck

I’ve never seen a more loving relationship between a president & his teleprompter. It’s inspiring, really.

he is good at math. Subtracts from the workforce, adds 2 high gas costs, multiplies Debt, and Divides country

He turned me into a flaming reactionary, and it feeeels sooo goood!!!

Former President Obama has a nice ring to it.

He makes Jimmy Carter look like the greatest president ever!

He’s leaving soon.

He liked poor people so much, he made a million more.