Personal and undiluted views
ShareStock

4 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Diary date 23 September 2023

Put it in your diary now. That is ShareStock 2023. Come on Jimbo you have more than a year to persuade your Mrs to allow you out for the weekend. Courage mon brave! In the podcast I look at Audioboom (BOOM), Parsley Box (MEAL), Fevertree (FEVR) and the greed of Novum, king of the spivs Jon Bellis and Strand Hanson with 2 Standard List IPOs today. No way on earth with that structure will anyone bar the crony capitalists make money from those deals. Coke & hookers all round.

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4 days ago

Picture Article Sharestock 2022, Two Till Very late Indeed

Sadly, photographer C did not hang around for the cold salmon, stuffed marrows, leeks and new potatoes with mint all from the garden. Nor for the home made ice cream and for the drinking which continued until 9 PM. And for some of us even longer as home made nettle beer was opened up inside the house. Next year he must stay for that and so can you. The date is now fixed as September 23 2023 and we have a new really big name headline speaker. But back to 2022.

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5 days ago

Picture Article Sharestock 2022, Noon to Two

By noon, thanks to the verbose Peter Brailey, we were running late and thus lunch arrived while I did a double act with Boatman Capital which I really enjoyed. Great analysis from him and a few jokes thrown in as we talked about some crooks and some overvalued stocks not run by crooks. And we talked about transparency and short selling.

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5 days ago

Picture Article Sharestock 2022, 10 AM to c12

Folks carried on tucking into croissants however much I urged them to go to the main tent. The home made jam was just so good. But the cat was patient and still waiting for us and Gabriel Grego was ready and, later than scheduled Lucian and I kicked the day off. We over-ran too but talked about a lot of crooks.

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5 days ago

Picture Article Sharestock 2022, 9 AM to 10 AM

Folks registered in the farmyard and headed through the main barn and up onto the new 35 yard by 35 yard elevated lawn ending with a Ha Ha where Sharestock took place. In the pictures below you see the tents, folks enjoying breakfast of croissants with butterand home made damson and blackberry jams and heading to the stand manned by my son Joshua who was obtaining an early lesson in the joys of capitalism. All profits on the stand go to his ice cream fund.

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6 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast and Photo: a bear with a sore head

The photo below was of me at Sharestock talking about fraud. I discuss the day and ask those who attended to say which speakers I should drop for next year and to make any other comments. Then I discuss what profits warnings are inevitable a week on Tuesday.  PS Thanks to those offering gifts of wine and ouzo yesterday. It is much appreciated although I am not inquite  the right place to start on them today.

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8 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: God Save the Queen - we battle on

I am a Republican but was an admirer of the late Queen. I reflect a bit on her death and on mawkish sentimentality and appropriated grief. I can’t think she would have approved of either. ShareStock tomorrow will go ahead as planned. With folks having flown in from many places to attend it is too late to cancel even if I thought it appropriate which I do not. I then talk about Sosandar (SOS) asking when its profits warning will be? Then about Manolete (MANO ) and Gear4Music (G4M).

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9 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast – The Dark Destroyer 5 - Darktrace (& PL) Nil

A few logistics on shared cabs etc for Sharestock first. Then Darktrace (DARK), Funding Circle (FCH), Alien Metals (UFO), Cenkos (CNKS), FinnCap (FCAP), Shield Therapeutics (STC) and Restaurant Group (RTN)

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11 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Poulden, Lenigas, the Alien Motley Crew - I've had it with Aussie mining chaps taking the piss with related party deals on AIM

In today’s podcast I end with a few ShareStock logistics matters ahead of Saturday. Before that: Wishbone Gold (WSBN), Alien Metals (UFO), Avacta (AVCT), Asimilar (ASLR), TrustPilot (TRST), Ceres Power (CWR) and Deepverge (DVRG).

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13 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast : an absolute shocker from the FCA - Zamaz & free Cineworld cash thanks to the morons

I end with some logistics on Sharestock, booking for supper, tickets etc – we are now looking at almost 80 seats on the lawn. If you want to book yours please do so this weekend so I can sort out catering etc HERE. I start with economics lessons for the NHS and greedy and lazy Shipmans, then onto Cineworld (CINE), then thanks to Evil Banksta, what is an RCF and musicMagpie (MMAG). Finally today’s new issue Zamaz (ZAMZ) a £77 million IPO worth, £350,000. This is a true shocker. What is the FCA thinking about in permitting this to list on the Standard List?

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14 days ago

Photo article: Hard at work in the kitchen at the Welsh Hovel

Yesterday, as my Oxford contemporaries discovered whether they were moving up or down the slippery pole at Westminster, my five year old son Joshua and I celebrated getting a sex pest suspended from his work, by going blackberry picking. It is horses for courses I guess. But boy was it fun as we discovered two new spots where nobody seems to have been and which were dripping with blackberries.  Joshua’s motive is that if we picked enough I could make more cordial which then becomes ice cream. His birthday party looms and he is keen that his friends have his favourite ice cream. Meanwhile…

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27 days ago

Tom Winnifrith: New shorts, old shorts, no recordings no holds barred in just 8 days

It is 8 days to Sharestock when 70-80 folks will spend the day in a tent on a raised garden on the banks of the River Dee, eight m,iles from Chester but in Wales! There will be free drinks all day and up to four meals of locally produced food. There is salmonand pike fishing, prize croquet but this day is for those who want to make more money from shares. It will be fun and entertaining with no speaker, least of all me, pulling their punches.

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28 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - could or should Boohoo.com go bust?

I start with a nasty shock my grandmother, Lesbia Cochrane, got in the late 1920s. This is relevant I suggest that a whole swathe of millenials could be getting a similar shock this year and that is one of many reasons why I pose the Boohoo (BOO) question. I look at its balance sheet, cashflows, shocking G (as in ESG) and find myself agreeing with ouzo man. Thewn the chart below and what it means for any company including Purplebricks (PURP) , getting some PR dictated puffery in The Times today, exposed to UK housing. Finally it is 12 days to ShareStock. I am off to mow the lawn for the tents next, book your seats HERE

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29 days ago

Photo Article from the Welsh hovel - blackberry and apple crumble

I am working like a demon picking blackberries with Joshua in order to produce as much blackberry cordial as possible. On Saturday we spent an hour picking at our two favourite sites and the amount we produced generated 600 ml of cordial which is enough to make three litres of ice cream. But with both Sharestock and Joshua’s birthday party looming I need about 6 litres, plus some for normal family use. And fear not there will be other ice creams at both events (lavender and rhubarb & ginger). So it is all hands to the coalface.

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29 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Is Naked Wines going to run out of cash & is bad news already priced in at the housebuilders?

Congratulations to those remembering Steve Holdsworth with a pint at 10 AM today. That is more than I could manage. Staying with the booze theme I discuss why Naked Wines (WINE) may run out of cash and how bad it is and could be. Then it is onto the housebuilders: is the bad news priced in with sub double figure PEs?  Sharestock is now 14 days away. To get your seat book HERE 

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33 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: was this Zak Mir's worst ever (undeclared) paid for forecast ever?

I start with a joke the late Steve Holdsworth would have appreciated for I can confirm that reports of his death were, sadly, not exaggerated. Then onto two US oil plays where I see big troubles ahead: Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL) and Zephyr Energy (ZPHR). Then onto the failings of Aquis in covering up the sins of disgraced Graham Mullis at Love Hemp (LIFE) and onto another shocker from the lobster pot Evrima (EVA), hat tip M for that one. Finally, a detailed look at Powerhouse Energy (PHE), its dismal interims, Zak’s appalling forecast/plain paid for ramping and the looming cash crisis set to unfold by this time next year. The big tent for ShareStock arrived today. Gosh it is heavy. I am dreading trying to put it up. To get inside it book your seats HERE.

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36 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: RIP The man in the Paddington Dungeon, should I report Andrew Bell to the FCA and/or push Steve O'Hara in the River Dee at Sharestock?

If Steve Holdsworth has not passed away as I was told I hope he enjoys what I have to say about him. If he has that is my greatest loss today although I do also discuss Optibiotix (OPTI) and Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX) in detail, the two battering the value of my pension fund. I won’t push Steve O’ Hara in the River at Sharestock but if he brings his chairman I’d be tempted. Grilling O’Hara in person over a Wrexham lager is surely another reason for you to book HERE. The number of seats now needed: 74. Join the crowd on September 10. I discuss Red Rock Resources (RRR), Allied Minds (ALM), Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL) and, on behalf of a convalescing Nigel Somerville, Haydale Graphene (HAYD). 

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36 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Ironveld breaks AIM Rules again, chatting to 2 CEOs, Argo ducks a question (twice)

I start with a reference to this personal podcast about Christmas Day 1914 HERE. Then it is onto Ironveld Resources (IRON), Kefi Gold & Copper (KEFI), Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX), Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) and Argo Blockchain (ARB) and it is one of two more reasons given to book your seats at ShareStock on September 10 NOW HERE

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36 days ago

New shorts, old shorts, no recordings no holds barred in 16 days time

It s just 16 days to Sharestock and I bought the big tent for it yesterday!. It will not just be about shares to short. Peter Hambro will talk about gold and how to play it. Chris Bailey will talk about making money from long only value investing in a bear market and 3 CEOs will face a 15 minute grilling from me, including Optibiotix boss Steve O’Hara and Cathal Friel of Open Orphan. But the short sellers presenting are legends.

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36 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Today I bought shares in ...

All is explained in the podcast but my pension has gone to nil cash after this trade. Then I look at Eden Research (EDEN), musicMagpie (MMAG), Cineworld (CINE), Boohoo.com (BOO) and Revolution Beauty (REVB). As of today 72 chairs will be needed for ShareStock on September 10. I am scrabbling to get them so if you want to attend please book early in case I need to do more scrabbling. Book HERE

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36 days ago

Photo article from the Welsh Hovel - Joshua and I press first apple juice of 2022

The apples should be falling later but this hot summer means that in the old orchard by the river they are starting to drop already. So they should be almost ripe. If I wait longer more will fall down the sloping banks into the river or just sit on the ground waiting for worms and other bugs. And so Joshua and I gathered a large plastic ball full and did our first press of ther year, aided by our new toy, an apple scratter.

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36 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Will Marstons be the next Cineworld?

I start by revealing the latest speaker at ShareStock and if you are thinking of coming please do book ASAP so I can order the right number of chairs, pizzas etc. You can book HERE. Then it is onto Cineworld (CINE), what should have happened on Friday but did not and what happens next. Then I discuss whether Marston’s (MARS) is another Cineworld in waiting.

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37 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: ouzo tonight, is Cineworld Bust and Mahmud looks like a prat already

I end with a few words on Sharestock as I prepare the jam tomorrow. Tickets and details of our latest speaker can be found HERE.  Then onto Cineworld (CINE), Revolution Beauty (REVB) which is already making Mahmud Kamani of Boohoo (BOO) look like a prat. Again! And then Chill Brands (CHLL). Tomorrow I report another two corporate bosses tgo the regulators. That is my weekend treat!

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40 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Boohoo's Mahmud Kamani is the LAST Person to follow on Revolution Beauty

I start with preparations for Sharestock on 10 September - if you are coming please book your seats now HERE.  Then it is onto Cineworld (CINE), the stench of dodgy share dealing at Predator Oil & Gas (PRD), more buit still incomplete disclosures on boardroom share dumping at the fraud [email protected] Capital (SYME) and why Mahmud Kamani of Boohoo (BOO) is the last person on earth to follow as his company (adviser Zeus Capital) takes a 7.1% stake in Revolution Beauty (REVB) – adviser Zeus Capital. It is a small and cosy world innit?

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40 days ago

Just 21 days to go: Book Now!

Yes it is just 21 days to the most unusual event in the share calendar – ShareStock. On September 10, sixty to eighty folks will be sitting in tents on an elevated lawn by the banks of the River Dee listening to legends from the investment world give talks and them chatting to them informally, one to one, in the drinks tent.

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41 days ago

Photo article from the Welsh hovel - jam tomorrow

We have one damson tree here at the Welsh hovel up in the vegetable patch. It overhangs the road down to the hovel and you know when the fruit are ripe as they spatter onto the road and your car crunches over them as you drive in or out. There was a second tree alongside it but the gales took it and I have planted a cherry tree in its stead. For there is already a second source of damsons. My neighbours have a tree which leans over into our garden so we are allowed to pick its fruit too. Our neighbours are in their nineties and their needs are not that great.

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42 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Explaining why Victoria and Cineworld are zeros and why Malcolm is bonkers

I start with gardening news and a bit sbout ShareStock 2022 and 2023 and urge prompt ticket booking for the former HERE. Why Victoria (VCP) is a zero in waiting is a matter for Sharestock but today I look at why Cineworld (CINE) has not collapsed yet but why it will. Then there is Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO) and why it MUST end in tears whatever PL says.  Finally I comment on the lunacy of Malcolm Stacey. I think he meant to send today’s column to the Guardian letters page, it is insanity writ large.

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44 days ago

ShareStock – No Video Links this is a personal experience!

“Can I do my chat with you via video link?” said the least well-known person attending Sharestock on September 10 as a CEO speaker? “No! You are uninvited” said I. He missed the point about this event, it is personal. You can listen to all the speakers on stage but then collar them in the drinks tent before or afterwards for a one to one chat.

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44 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - will Parsley Box come clean?

I start with a bity of my travel adventures. I was in bed by 3 AM last night after the previous night’s 5 AM. If I ever say that I am driving from Greece to Wales in 2.5 days again you can shoot me.  Then I remind you that it is less than a month to ShareStock so book your seats on the greenest lawn in Wales NOW. Then I look in detail at Revolution Beauty (REVB), Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT), I have a hot rumour on Parsley Box (MEAL) and I comment on GSK (GSK) and the Zantac issue. or non issue. Any more carcinogens with your medication vicar?

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45 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Jupiter tells Revolution to stick it up Uranus

In three days time I start the drive back to Wrexham and I explain why Chris Gilbert of Fox Marble (FOX) sees nothing wrong happening there but much to the disappointment of many on the LSE Asylum I shall be taking an alternative route home. I flag up now that my output may be limited next Tuesday and Wednesday. I then cover Deepverge (DVRG), Revolution Beauty (REVB) and also in some detail Argo Blockchain (ARB). Then say a few words on Sharestock to which I hope you can book a ticket HERE.

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55 days ago

ShareStock – Final speaker announced, and there will be no videos

Somebody had the cheek to ask if I will record videos of ShareStock. Er, no!

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60 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Ordering portable loos, facing being stranded in Greece and talking toothpaste with Skinbiotherapeutics

I start with the trials of ordering portable loos for ShareStock which I have now done. More than 40% of the seats are now taken so with 7 weeks to go please book yours HERE. Then onto how Barclays (BARC) may strand me in Greece and why the Mrs reckons I am wrong on how gay is your stockbroker. Then it is onto Skinbiotherapeutics (SBTX), Optibiotix (OPTI), Ben’s Creek (BEN) and Advanced Oncotherapy (AVO).

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61 days ago

ShareStock – Final Main stage speaker announced: gold guru Peter Hambro

I indicated a week or so ago that I was bored by gold’s failure to run higher despite everything. Maybe that was a buy signal as it has, since then, gone up! Is gold a barbarous relic or will it zoom as chaos descends on the West. Peter Hambro has been involved in gold for 50 years- if anyone knows he knows.

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90 days ago

Photo Article from the Welsh Hovel - Gooseberry jam

Those attending ShareStock will enjoy a full range of homemade jams, alongside breakfast croissants and tea-time scones. First up is the gooseberry jam, made with dessert gooseberries. There may be another pot to come, but for now, that is it. Next up, blackcurrant and strawberry jams.

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92 days ago

Photo Article from the Welsh Hovel - missing death by minutes

Much to my surprise, all 12 tomato seeds have taken. Thus, I worked late into the night on a small patch of the jungle, bringing it into life as a tomato bed. In addition to the ten plants I was given by a friend, I hope to be drowning in tomatoes by autumn. We shall see. It was about nine when I finished. I leant on my rake, pondering the last roped-off patc

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100 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: swimming wearing the Emperor's New Clothes

I mix metaphors, after a hard session watering the lawn for ShareStock. Thereafter, I discuss: Canadian Overseas Petroleum (COPL); Wandisco (WAND) and a wasted decade; Argo Blockchain (ARB) and why Mark, who is right about most things, is wrong; Vast Resources (VAST); Tertiary Minerals (TYM); Guild ESports (GILD); and Wildcat Petroleum (WCAT).

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114 days ago

New star speaker announced for ShareStock on September 10 – watch out Argo Blockchain!

I am pleased to announce the 5th of our six main stage speakers. Do join us for Sharestock, the share show with an all-day bar, held in North Wales (by 30 yards). Joining me, Gabriel Grego, Chris Bailey, Lucian Miers and 4 CEOs is…

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116 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast - lied to by Barclays, and fleeced by EasyJet

I discuss both these corporates, and remind the 94% of you yet to support Rogue Bloggers for Woodlarks: please do so, HERE.  Then, I discuss Stuart Ashman of Skinbiotherapitics (SBTX), who has made me look like a complete git (again), as he withdraws from ShareStock. But, I will announce another BIG-name speaker tomorrow, and will replace Stuart. So, make sure you book your tickets, HERE.  Then, I look at Cellular Goods (CBX) and Guild ESports (GILD), the David Beckham dogs. 

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116 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: This is what I very much hope you will be doing on September 10 at the Welsh Hovel - Sharestock!

I start with my weekend at the Christian retreat. Who would have thought that I’d be spending a Saturday night alcohol-free, sitting around a campfire as folks strummed guitars and sang to Jesus?  I reflect on that, and, on the subject of weekend suffering, urge those of you yet to donate: please do so, HERE.  Then, I discuss September 10, when I hope you will join me at the Welsh Hovel for an all-day bar, great local food and a day of expert talks. Yes, it is time to book into Sharestock! HERE!

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