Personal and undiluted views
polls

452 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: It happens once or twice a decade, Zak Mir says something quite interesting

Sorry to the in-house Euro loon Jonathan Price who reckons that my interest in the US election is excessive but two new polls yesterday cast further light on the races in Pennsylvania and Florida which  as I noted yesterday  are two of the three states that will decide the election. I discuss this and then Justin Urquhart Stewart on gold where he gets his numbers so wrong that I am more bullish than I was as I think this tells you something of wider import. Finally onto my good mate the Sith Lord Zak Mir, a chap called Carl Linton who is a plumber and heating engineer, and the current mood of market craziness.

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473 days ago

Tom Winnifrith Bearcast: Can Trump win in November and does it matter?

I am travelling today back from the Greek Hovel to the Welsh Hovel so this is an unusual bearcast. I called it for Trump last time when the entire media said otherwise. I look at the latest polls in detail and beneath the headlines and flag up the 4 great uncertainties. The answer is that Trump can indeed win but I am not calling it right now. You just cannot. As to whether it matters….

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1133 days ago

Calling the US Midterms – a week early: GOP to gain two in Senate, House almost a tie but...

I accept that calling the US Mid-terms a week early is a tad dangerous. There are a number of wild cards which could upset my calculations but having called the Trump win in 2016, here are my predictions…

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1747 days ago

Madame Le Pen is so God Awful but she keeps doing things that folks love - the Muslim bigot & the headscarf

Though the candidates ranged against Madame Le Pen in the French Presidential election are truly dreadful, I must still hope that one of them triumphs. I just cannot support a member of the Le Pen family or of the Front National. The polls indicate that Madame Le Pen will win the first round easily but will almost certainly lose the second round, a playoff between the top two candidates for the first contest. But as each day goes by Le Pen's poll ratings improve. She keeps doing things that just cause her opponents to look silly. She skewers the elitists of the liberal left on their own double standards and the sans culottes applaud her again and again.

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1854 days ago

Reader Polls - Who do you want to win the US Election & who do you think will win?

Very few of our readers have a vote but I guess we all have a view. And I sense that Europeans are far more pro Clinton than the wise folk in America. Maybe all our readers are libs into spirit cooking? Anyhow we have two Election polls with a deadline for entry of Sunday Midnight. Let's start with who you want to win.

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1859 days ago

BBC insists Hillary Clinton 75% likely to win - adjust polls for liberal media rigging & Trump is now 8% ahead

Newsnight, the BBC's flagship programme for liberal lies, last night saw Evan Davis in the Studio chatting to Emily "crazy poll" Maitlis in the US about an election which Evan reckons Hillary Clinton is 75% certain to win. The opinion polls tell a massively different story which the UK taxpayer funded broadcaster just cannot handle or even report in a meaningful manner

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1862 days ago

Ignore the lying liberal media: What the polls actually said, even pre FBI, is that Trump can win!

Before the FBI did the decent thing and, in some cases, afterwards the liberal media was telling us that the General Election was a slam dunk win for Hillary. But the polls told you that this was not the case. Even without the FBI reopening its investigation into Crooked Hillary which is really bad news for her, as I explain HERE, Trump was looking good for the White House. Here's why.

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1869 days ago

Don't Tell the BBC or C4 but Donald Trump is now leading in some opinion polls

Crooked Hillary Clinton is still the favourite to win the November 8 Presidential Election. But her allies in the liberal media who refuse to air damning video exposes - such as this one - showing how she is just not fit to run the Dog Pound let alone be POTUS, are already pondering what outfits to wear for the victory party. The media is telling you that the contest is over and if you are a Republican you might as well not vote as your party is imploding. Au contraire my God Fearing, gun owning, tax paying, hard working friends in the conservative family.

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1876 days ago

NBC Wall Street Journal Poll showing Trump 11 points behind - why it is a lie

There were two polls out Sunday night - one shows Clinton 4 points up and the other shows her 11 points up. With Rasmussen showing Trump two points ahead that 11 point poll from the Wall Street Journal/NBC News looks very odd. Well here's the rub - its data is obviously flawed. Why the hell was it used at all and why has the media just not picked up on this?

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1876 days ago

The Mainstream Media will be the big losers from Trump vs Clinton as the big lies are exposed

On the BBC today, liberal media establishment poseur Andrew Marr stated that Donald Trump is what everyone is talking about. By that he meant Trump and "pussygate" and by everyone he meant the mainstream press. But is that what most folks are talking about and is that what the mainstream press should be talking about.

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1879 days ago

BBC Newsnight anchor Emily Maitlis & her shock "new" Donald Trump polls - stupid or just utterly biased?

Breathlessly Newsnight anchor Emily Maitlis said that two new shock opinion polls begged the question of whether Donald Trump could win the Presidency. She was joined in the studio by a Republican pollster while on video link from inside the Beltway was a smug, patronising Democrat lardbucket. Cripes, I track the polls every day what had Emily in store for us all?.

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1880 days ago

Hillary Clinton's lead is tiny and shrinking - the polls are just wrong: here's why

A poll out pre the weekend debate had Hillary Clinton 11% ahead of Donald Trump as the "sex tapes" scandal was pushed as hard as possible by the Liberal mainstream media. Over here in the UK you are being told by the BBC, C4, ITV and the rest that Hillary is 11 points ahead and a slam dunk winner. That is just not true.

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2060 days ago

When No Republicans get to vote Cruz wins, when real people vote Trump Wins - bring on New York

Channel 4 News is happy to employ a reporter (Assed Baig) who appears to support islamofascists rather than British soldiers but that is what free speech is all about for the liberal left. When it comes to Donald Trump it means interviewing a collection of blacks and gays in New York who would be more likely to join the KKK than vote in a Republican Primary, and who were demanding that Trump leave town at once because he was a horrid bigot. Free speech for the left does not apply to folks you don't like and so Mr Trump needs to be drummed out of the town where he actually lives.

What do these folks demonstrating against the Donald tell us about the Republican primary. Nothing at all. You might as well ask a bunch of God fearing, gun owning, small businessmen from the Republican heartlands if they wanted to have sex 

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